Drab-Bustle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.63K

Unrealized P&L

-$60

Hit rate

82.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,384

lifetime

Volume

$128.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$93

Open exposure

$198

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-21 05:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

90% 75% +$1,629

Sports

9% — —

Politics

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No		+459	$257	43¢	$198	$-60	06-29 18:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
plby quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 12 2026 0pt01	86	$7.3K	8,094	0	+8,094	open	—	03-16 11:37
will madison airs market cap be greater than 13pt5b at market close on ipo day	4	$6.0K	6,294	0	+6,294	open	—	04-17 09:47
Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?	36	$5.1K	6,168	0	+6,168	Yes	+$1,108	05-06 15:39
hims quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 23 2026 0pt05	41	$4.4K	5,537	0	+5,537	open	—	02-23 19:41
will madison airs market cap be less than 12pt0b at market close on ipo day	3	$3.2K	3,210	0	+3,210	open	—	04-17 00:02
will justin bieber play beauty and a beat first at coachella	1	$3.1K	3,074	0	+3,074	open	—	04-12 22:41
Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?	17	$3.0K	3,443	0	+3,443	Yes	+$454	05-06 20:10
Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.35B?	2	$2.9K	2,899	0	+2,899	open	—	05-27 21:07
will justin bieber play cold water first at coachella	1	$2.6K	2,623	0	+2,623	open	—	04-13 00:37
nfl buf jax 2026 01 11	20	$2.5K	2,932	1,950	+982	open	—	01-11 20:51
will justin bieber play peaches first at coachella	6	$2.3K	2,345	0	+2,345	open	—	04-12 09:52
will justin bieber play what do you mean first at coachella	8	$2.1K	2,115	0	+2,115	open	—	04-12 12:34
will kailera therapeuticss market cap be greater than 2pt1b at market close on ipo day	15	$2.1K	2,372	0	+2,372	open	—	04-19 03:58
crint aus gbr 2026 01 03 aus	16	$2.1K	1,901	1,600	+301	open	—	01-08 00:26
ms quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 15 2026 3	2	$2.0K	1,978	0	+1,978	open	—	04-15 11:29
nflx quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 16 2026 0pt76	15	$1.9K	2,180	0	+2,180	open	—	04-16 19:40
kmx quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 14 2026 0pt22	12	$1.9K	2,036	0	+2,036	open	—	04-14 11:41
will justin bieber play ghost first at coachella	3	$1.9K	1,911	0	+1,911	open	—	04-12 23:18
will justin bieber play baby first at coachella	7	$1.9K	1,881	0	+1,881	open	—	04-12 21:13
Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	24	$1.7K	1,984	1,410	+574	No	$-106	05-07 19:56
Will Moderna (MRNA) beat quarterly earnings?	22	$1.6K	1,916	93	+1,823	open	—	05-01 08:16
nfl ind hou 2026 01 04	17	$1.6K	2,000	1,000	+1,000	open	—	01-04 20:55
bynd quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 25 2026 neg0pt08	19	$1.5K	2,439	210	+2,229	open	—	03-31 20:32
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	10	$1.5K	1,588	0	+1,588	open	—	04-29 20:04
ionq quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 25 2026 neg0pt47	22	$1.5K	2,033	0	+2,033	open	—	02-23 14:18
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	12	$1.4K	2,100	0	+2,100	open	—	02-09 00:22
Will "Plastic" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	1	$1.4K	1,385	0	+1,385	open	—	05-16 01:08
Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?	7	$1.3K	1,771	0	+1,771	No	+$438	05-11 19:47
open quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 19 2026 neg0pt11	12	$1.3K	1,719	0	+1,719	open	—	02-19 20:48
nfl sf phi 2026 01 11	24	$1.1K	1,450	1,150	+300	open	—	01-12 00:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 20:40:33	will blue be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of july 20 20260714183012858	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb17419…
07-21 20:40:10	will blue be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of july 20 20260714183012858	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x1954c7…
07-21 20:39:57	will blue be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of july 20 20260714183012858	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd6fdd3…
07-21 05:52:21	will ibm ibm q2 software revenue be above 8pt05b 20260707025814492	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x659209…
07-18 05:37:25	will midterm or midterms be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260713144020214	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0xc0807c…
07-18 03:44:40	will iran be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260713144020213	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa9ae49…
07-18 03:33:49	will constitution be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260713143905587	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x534a07…
07-18 03:32:03	will stock market be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260713143905586	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd1a778…
07-18 01:15:42	will red be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260713144020200	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0x67ec87…
07-18 01:13:40	will anthropic be said 5 times during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260713144020196	Yes	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x1accc7…
07-18 01:00:18	will regulator or regulatory be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260713144020202	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x74f2f1…
07-18 00:58:57	will no episode air 20260713144020215	No	BUY	229	100¢	$229	0x67cf5f…
07-17 11:38:01	will ibm ibm q2 software revenue be above 7pt9b 20260707025814491	No	BUY	80	89¢	$71	0xdb612b…
07-16 12:54:34	usb quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 16 2026 1pt27	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbe18c6…
07-16 11:37:47	stt quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 16 2026 3pt23	Yes	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0xa5f286…
07-16 11:33:04	sbux quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 28 2026 0pt69	Yes	BUY	102	70¢	$72	0xa5b303…
07-16 11:25:38	usb quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 16 2026 1pt27	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf02cac…
07-16 11:18:50	will ibm ibm q2 software revenue be above 7pt9b 20260707025814491	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xd0e849…
07-16 11:18:49	will ibm ibm q2 software revenue be above 7pt9b 20260707025814491	No	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0x8b8dd6…
07-16 11:03:01	usb quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 16 2026 1pt27	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x1f1b8f…
07-16 10:16:11	will deepseek ipo by december 31 2026 20260714175933544	No	BUY	120	93¢	$112	0x7f395c…
07-15 23:40:31	will ai or artificial intelligence be said 15 times during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260709163957167	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbe1c61…
07-15 22:36:04	will ai or artificial intelligence be said 15 times during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260709163957167	Yes	BUY	179	100¢	$179	0x9d946b…
07-15 22:36:04	will ai or artificial intelligence be said 15 times during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260709163957167	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x50f9d7…
07-15 10:40:11	ibm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 22 2026 3pt02	No	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x3ac4a7…
07-15 10:36:02	pnc quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 15 2026 4pt41	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb5a24b…
07-15 01:09:55	will ibm ibm q2 software revenue be above 8pt5b 20260707025814495	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x075218…
07-14 23:10:07	ibm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 22 2026 3pt02	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xbc16b9…
07-14 11:48:43	will ibm ibm q2 software revenue be above 7pt9b 20260707025814491	No	BUY	88	94¢	$83	0x1c30b6…
07-14 11:24:38	will ibm ibm q2 software revenue be above 8pt05b 20260707025814492	No	BUY	88	96¢	$84	0x801628…
07-14 11:22:10	will ibm ibm q2 software revenue be above 7pt9b 20260707025814491	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8c8cda…
07-14 11:21:10	will ibm ibm q2 software revenue be above 7pt9b 20260707025814491	No	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x82d471…
07-14 11:20:56	will ibm ibm q2 software revenue be above 8pt05b 20260707025814492	No	BUY	54	95¢	$51	0xbe00bc…
07-14 11:20:49	will ibm ibm q2 software revenue be above 8pt2b 20260707025814493	No	BUY	35	94¢	$33	0xd4c218…
07-14 11:20:14	will ibm ibm q2 software revenue be above 7pt9b 20260707025814491	No	BUY	55	81¢	$45	0xf1089a…
07-14 11:17:32	ibm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 22 2026 3pt02	No	BUY	167	95¢	$158	0x785c2e…
07-14 10:49:53	will jp morgan jpm q2 investment banking fees be above 3pt0b	Yes	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x9a45c0…
07-14 10:46:38	will jp morgan jpm q2 investment banking fees be above 3pt0b	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x9b6969…
07-14 10:46:35	will jp morgan jpm q2 investment banking fees be above 3pt15b	Yes	BUY	33	98¢	$33	0xde7459…
07-14 10:42:32	will jp morgan jpm q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt85b	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x179d16…
07-14 10:42:26	will jp morgan jpm q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt85b	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x70bd0f…
07-14 10:41:10	will jp morgan jpm q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt7b	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x7fe7c3…
07-14 10:40:55	will jp morgan jpm q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt7b	Yes	BUY	269	96¢	$259	0x01b39b…
07-13 20:11:52	stt quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 16 2026 3pt23	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xbca159…
07-12 20:24:43	ctas quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 15 2026 1pt23	No	BUY	154	16¢	$25	0xb3f3f1…
07-12 08:19:04	stt quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 16 2026 3pt23	Yes	BUY	22	64¢	$14	0x02324c…
07-11 08:02:53	stt quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 16 2026 3pt23	Yes	BUY	35	64¢	$22	0xe088ec…
07-11 08:02:40	stt quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 16 2026 3pt23	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x0fe8c5…
07-11 04:38:44	dpz quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 20 2026 4pt22	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xa7fe91…
07-11 03:35:44	will constitution be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260707174212427	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xeef018…
07-11 03:34:22	will stock market be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260707174212426	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x7f031f…
07-11 03:32:46	will canada be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260707174212424	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x86ff91…
07-11 03:32:34	will canada be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260707174212424	No	BUY	34	96¢	$32	0xae55e3…
07-11 03:30:19	will alignment be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260707174212423	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0xafcbda…
07-09 23:07:08	ctas quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 15 2026 1pt23	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xa884ab…
07-08 22:02:23	will levi strauss copt say churn during earnings call 20260703162106547	No	BUY	76	99¢	$76	0xe7d958…
07-08 22:01:01	will levi strauss copt say flywheel during earnings call 20260703162106545	No	BUY	76	99¢	$76	0x605ec0…
07-08 08:05:31	ctas quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 15 2026 1pt23	No	BUY	25	37¢	$9	0xd7474d…
07-04 04:57:37	will trump be said 10 times during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260630164420224	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xaecd65…
07-04 00:22:56	will korea or korean be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260630164420238	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x288bdb…
07-04 00:21:07	will samsung or hynix be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260630164420239	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb1a16f…
07-01 23:45:04	will red be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260626152001206	No	BUY	37	99¢	$36	0x8dd7d1…
06-30 22:08:56	will nike say nike factory during earnings call 20260624143210397	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xb64c67…
06-30 22:07:43	will nike say nike factory during earnings call 20260624143210397	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x27c71f…
06-30 22:06:46	will nike say amazon during earnings call 20260624143210401	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xb33b0c…
06-30 22:06:31	will nike say amazon during earnings call 20260624143210401	No	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x032017…
06-30 20:40:44	will the earnings call not air 20260626145608145	No	BUY	254	100¢	$254	0xf2910b…
06-29 18:35:52	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	459	56¢	$257	0x3ca977…
06-27 02:51:28	will cancer be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260622142240397	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6119a1…
06-27 02:49:49	will miracle be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260622142240399	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x7fc270…
06-19 23:23:11	will nvidia be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260612212743967	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x8f9478…
06-17 22:30:38	will warsh say job market during june press conference 20260608181156667 124 345	No	BUY	358	99¢	$354	0xeafbaa…
06-17 20:53:20	will warsh say downside during june press conference 20260608181156664 382 163	No	BUY	155	99¢	$153	0x0c2c32…
06-17 20:30:53	will warsh say downside during june press conference 20260608181156664 382 163	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa201ae…
06-17 20:30:46	will warsh say downside during june press conference 20260608181156664 382 163	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x0cc489…
06-17 20:30:43	will warsh say downside during june press conference 20260608181156664 382 163	No	BUY	95	99¢	$93	0x940ba0…
06-17 20:27:14	will warsh say i dont know during june press conference 20260608181156663 466 644	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0xdb7805…
06-11 20:22:13	will rh q1 revenue be above 850m	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x220cf7…
06-11 20:07:52	will rh q1 revenue be above 850m	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xd33367…
06-02 20:23:22	Will Palo Alto Networks Q3 Next-Generation Security ARR be above $8.0B?	Yes	BUY	962	100¢	$961	0x3fee04…
06-02 20:08:38	Will Palo Alto Networks Q3 Next-Generation Security ARR be above $8.0B?	Yes	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0xdb44ad…
06-02 20:06:46	Will Palo Alto Networks Q3 Next-Generation Security ARR be above $7.5B?	Yes	BUY	206	100¢	$206	0xd12e57…
06-01 21:10:25	Will Hewlett Packard Enterprise Q2 Cloud and AI revenue be above $7.0B?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x474aa2…
06-01 21:09:56	Will Hewlett Packard Enterprise Q2 Cloud and AI revenue be above $7.5B?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x03a68c…
05-28 21:31:41	Will Dell say "Displace" or "Displacement" during earnings call?	No	BUY	127	99¢	$126	0xf99786…
05-28 21:30:08	will dell say arm or snapdragon during earnings call	Yes	BUY	527	99¢	$522	0xf21c72…
05-28 21:29:52	will dell say arm or snapdragon during earnings call	Yes	BUY	133	98¢	$130	0x7cd7bf…
05-28 21:29:43	will dell say layoff during earnings call	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x56bee9…
05-28 21:29:14	will dell say meta during earnings call	No	BUY	45	94¢	$42	0xb6cbba…
05-28 21:14:12	Will Dell say "Deal" 3+ times during earnings call?	No	BUY	31	71¢	$22	0x33fd11…
05-28 20:39:46	Will Dell say "Sovereign" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	626	99¢	$620	0xa23662…
05-28 20:39:37	Will Dell say "PowerEdge" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x72e5ec…
05-28 20:38:08	Will Dell say "PowerEdge" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	271	99¢	$268	0xc8fdc0…
05-28 20:36:16	will dell say agentic during earnings call	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x4a3ac6…
05-28 20:36:00	will dell say agentic during earnings call	Yes	BUY	232	99¢	$230	0x76737c…
05-28 20:35:39	will dell say gpu or cpu during earnings call	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf6c7dd…
05-28 20:35:30	will dell say gpu or cpu during earnings call	Yes	BUY	359	99¢	$355	0x4ec3a9…
05-27 21:07:24	Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.35B?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x0bfbc3…
05-27 20:33:30	Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.35B?	No	BUY	2,892	100¢	$2,887	0x63beb1…
05-23 03:09:03	Will "Middle East" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x0d69e9…