Drab-Bustle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$28.8K

Unrealized P&L

+$58

Hit rate

81.2%

Resolved

609

Trades

3,031

lifetime

Volume

$365.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$121

Open exposure

$4.73K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 19:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 162 days

Categories

Other

62% 89% +$19,258

Sports

37% 64% +$9,383

Tech

1% 100% +$92

Politics

0% 100% +$83

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?	No	+3,782	$3,362	90¢	$3.4K	+$23	10-23 19:31
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	No	+1,146	$1,045	92¢	$1.1K	+$9	10-26 19:15
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	+275	$233	88¢	$243	+$10	10-18 12:59
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?	No	+48	$38	100¢	$48	+$10	09-29 10:37
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	-25	-$7	3¢	$-1	+$7	05-23 00:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Seahawks vs. Broncos	44	$10.5K	13,400	5,600	+7,800	Broncos	+$332	10-16 02:58
Falcons vs. Packers	23	$7.7K	10,000	6,000	+4,000	Falcons	-$1,793	09-25 02:27
plby quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 12 2026 0pt01	86	$7.3K	8,094	0	+8,094	Yes	+$779	03-16 11:37
Raiders vs. Chargers	25	$6.4K	8,110	3,700	+4,410	Raiders	+$1,039	09-20 22:41
Rams vs. Eagles	23	$6.3K	6,842	4,842	+2,000	Rams	-$1,340	10-04 20:12
will madison airs market cap be greater than 13pt5b at market close on ipo day	4	$6.0K	6,294	0	+6,294	Yes	+$268	04-17 09:47
Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?	6	$5.4K	6,042	0	+6,042	open	—	10-26 04:05
Chiefs vs. Raiders	16	$5.2K	3,500	3,500	+0	Chiefs	+$1,044	10-04 23:35
Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?	36	$5.1K	6,168	0	+6,168	Yes	+$1,108	05-06 15:39
Colts vs. Chiefs	32	$4.7K	5,313	5,313	+0	Chiefs	-$1,335	09-21 03:36
Cardinals vs. Rams	23	$4.7K	5,000	5,000	+0	Cardinals	-$2,589	10-18 22:56
Eagles vs. Bears	22	$4.7K	6,525	2,500	+4,025	Bears	+$1,273	09-29 01:05
Giants vs. Rams	14	$4.7K	5,622	0	+5,622	Rams	+$953	09-22 02:04
Commanders vs. 49ers	25	$4.5K	5,273	0	+5,273	49ers	+$822	10-20 02:56
hims quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 23 2026 0pt05	41	$4.4K	5,537	0	+5,537	Yes	+$1,144	02-23 19:41
Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 350B HKD?	13	$4.1K	4,386	0	+4,386	No	+$256	08-28 00:27
Vikings vs. Bears	16	$4.1K	4,300	4,300	+0	Vikings	-$1,186	09-20 19:35
Giants vs. Texans	8	$3.9K	2,900	2,900	+0	Giants	-$233	10-25 18:32
Will Safepoint's market cap be between $1.1B and $1.3B at market close on IPO day?	10	$3.7K	2,361	1,771	+590	No	+$425	07-30 04:59
Colts vs. Vikings	17	$3.6K	5,910	0	+5,910	Vikings	+$2,307	10-25 18:35
Cowboys vs. Packers	21	$3.6K	5,130	0	+5,130	Packers	+$1,579	10-19 02:27
Rams vs. Broncos	25	$3.4K	3,431	2,431	+1,000	Broncos	+$584	09-28 03:11
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?	9	$3.4K	3,782	0	+3,782	open	—	10-23 19:31
Will Tarsier Pharma not IPO before September 2026?	6	$3.3K	3,684	0	+3,684	Yes	+$394	07-30 11:18
Will CopperTech Metals not IPO before September 2026?	13	$3.2K	3,189	327	+2,862	Yes	+$305	08-24 20:22
will madison airs market cap be less than 12pt0b at market close on ipo day	3	$3.2K	3,210	0	+3,210	No	+$16	04-17 00:02
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	17	$3.2K	2,053	2,053	-0	open	—	09-29 10:47
Broncos vs. Cardinals	12	$3.1K	4,444	0	+4,444	Broncos	+$1,346	10-25 21:07
will justin bieber play beauty and a beat first at coachella	1	$3.1K	3,074	0	+3,074	No	+$3	04-12 22:41
Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?	17	$3.0K	3,443	0	+3,443	Yes	+$454	05-06 20:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 19:50:07	Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	387	89¢	$345	0x4ac2bd…
10-29 19:49:07	Will Strategy (MSTR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	504	95¢	$478	0x8a8861…
10-29 19:40:18	Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	217	91¢	$198	0xd80d5b…
10-29 11:54:47	Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	57	65¢	$37	0xe9e079…
10-29 11:54:38	Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	143	65¢	$93	0x597a88…
10-29 11:24:16	Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	500	88¢	$440	0x48a83e…
10-29 09:14:55	Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	201	93¢	$187	0x59ada7…
10-29 09:09:55	Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0xc8f55e…
10-29 09:09:32	Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	224	93¢	$208	0x11ae1a…
10-29 04:26:44	Chargers vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	60	73¢	$44	0xca0744…
10-28 23:18:40	Chiefs vs. Broncos	Chiefs	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x048b79…
10-28 23:12:37	Falcons vs. Buccaneers	Falcons	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x88acf9…
10-28 23:09:52	Raiders vs. Jets	Raiders	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x6c9cd2…
10-28 21:27:28	Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	133	93¢	$124	0xe64b22…
10-28 19:55:07	Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	300	50¢	$150	0xf93b80…
10-28 19:23:26	Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	17	62¢	$11	0xdc514f…
10-28 19:04:31	Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0x98ffa1…
10-28 17:14:28	Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x022c40…
10-28 16:43:55	Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	150	62¢	$93	0x9d7b88…
10-28 14:46:14	Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x187516…
10-28 14:42:02	Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	44	62¢	$27	0x97fc27…
10-28 08:53:35	Panthers vs. Packers	Packers	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x215cc1…
10-28 08:40:28	Panthers vs. Packers	Packers	BUY	1,000	65¢	$650	0xb747e6…
10-28 07:32:38	Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	31	93¢	$29	0x7bd0e2…
10-28 06:15:46	Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	202	93¢	$188	0x12593a…
10-28 04:22:56	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0x5a40e1…
10-28 03:41:27	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	168	91¢	$153	0xdaaaf9…
10-28 03:41:27	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	99	91¢	$90	0xbdb0ba…
10-27 23:27:29	Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	175	93¢	$162	0x70db6f…
10-27 23:26:24	Will Etsy (ETSY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x61ed08…
10-27 20:50:12	Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	453	77¢	$350	0xf53fcc…
10-27 19:48:32	Will Arm (ARM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x0600d7…
10-27 19:27:08	Will Circle (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	115	67¢	$77	0x5e88b5…
10-27 19:26:00	Will Moderna (MRNA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x5b22fb…
10-27 09:11:41	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	91¢	$42	0x365c2c…
10-27 07:54:12	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	413	89¢	$368	0x69a61f…
10-27 07:52:09	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	254	90¢	$228	0xff2c14…
10-27 07:38:48	lite quarterly earnings nongaap eps 11 05 2026 4pt27	Yes	BUY	110	61¢	$67	0xa55f85…
10-27 04:29:15	Eagles vs. Commanders	Commanders	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0xcfd88d…
10-27 04:04:51	Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	257	68¢	$174	0xa654c1…
10-27 03:51:29	Will Hims & Hers (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc2f275…
10-27 03:37:09	tbph quarterly earnings gaap eps 11 09 2026 0pt18	No	BUY	35	65¢	$23	0xe62107…
10-27 03:33:41	mrna quarterly earnings gaap eps 11 06 2026 neg1pt28	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x13252b…
10-27 03:22:11	arm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 11 05 2026 0pt48	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x2d5261…
10-27 01:59:42	crcl quarterly earnings gaap eps 11 04 2026 0pt37	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x855191…
10-27 01:26:48	Will Intel (INTC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	26	45¢	$12	0x14c023…
10-27 01:24:23	Will Intel (INTC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	49	83¢	$40	0xcaf713…
10-27 01:14:53	ddog quarterly earnings nongaap eps 11 04 2026 0pt67	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xb89f5d…
10-27 00:33:24	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Cowboys	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0x49b473…
10-27 00:33:14	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Cowboys	BUY	400	55¢	$220	0x496328…
10-27 00:27:11	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Cowboys	BUY	300	59¢	$177	0x0f438a…
10-27 00:26:50	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Cowboys	BUY	500	60¢	$300	0x461fe6…
10-27 00:23:35	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Cowboys	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x3f9ab9…
10-27 00:23:20	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Cowboys	BUY	500	68¢	$340	0x4cb31c…
10-27 00:22:09	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Cowboys	BUY	49	67¢	$33	0x3c17e6…
10-27 00:19:20	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Cowboys	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0xb3c3ce…
10-27 00:09:00	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Cowboys	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x6da892…
10-27 00:08:51	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Cowboys	BUY	700	67¢	$469	0x384fec…
10-26 23:42:51	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	90¢	$20	0x725b75…
10-26 21:56:32	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	495	88¢	$435	0xbc634c…
10-26 19:15:09	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x7e795f…
10-26 16:24:57	Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x5b59e1…
10-26 04:05:57	Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,718	94¢	$1,623	0x5e457b…
10-26 01:32:30	Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	65	89¢	$58	0xeb8ef0…
10-26 01:31:06	Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	44	90¢	$39	0xfa6e43…
10-26 01:31:06	Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x1fbb54…
10-25 21:07:05	Broncos vs. Cardinals	Broncos	BUY	500	62¢	$310	0x6d6eae…
10-25 20:52:59	Broncos vs. Cardinals	Broncos	BUY	24	68¢	$16	0xcc64e8…
10-25 20:52:51	Broncos vs. Cardinals	Broncos	BUY	300	68¢	$204	0x5ede34…
10-25 20:45:48	Broncos vs. Cardinals	Broncos	BUY	300	74¢	$222	0x5feac3…
10-25 20:31:14	Broncos vs. Cardinals	Broncos	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0xda2f41…
10-25 20:26:18	Broncos vs. Cardinals	Broncos	BUY	400	70¢	$280	0x3b93f2…
10-25 20:24:53	Broncos vs. Cardinals	Broncos	BUY	400	74¢	$296	0x588e09…
10-25 20:20:03	Broncos vs. Cardinals	Broncos	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0x990d04…
10-25 20:15:57	Broncos vs. Cardinals	Broncos	BUY	700	69¢	$483	0x5c3d01…
10-25 20:15:48	Broncos vs. Cardinals	Broncos	BUY	700	69¢	$483	0xb8c123…
10-25 20:11:32	Broncos vs. Cardinals	Broncos	BUY	700	72¢	$504	0xa646d4…
10-25 18:35:35	Colts vs. Vikings	Vikings	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0x2c92de…
10-25 18:32:23	Giants vs. Texans	Texans	SELL	2,900	64¢	$1,856	0x6e3fdd…
10-25 18:22:42	Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by December 31?	No	BUY	31	63¢	$19	0x51ff13…
10-25 18:18:03	Colts vs. Vikings	Vikings	BUY	65	54¢	$35	0x16eb02…
10-25 18:18:02	Colts vs. Vikings	Vikings	BUY	235	54¢	$127	0x0a0db7…
10-25 18:17:54	Colts vs. Vikings	Vikings	BUY	300	54¢	$162	0x422f98…
10-25 18:07:42	Colts vs. Vikings	Vikings	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0x88334a…
10-25 18:04:00	Colts vs. Vikings	Vikings	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0x078633…
10-25 17:42:38	Colts vs. Vikings	Vikings	BUY	900	59¢	$531	0xec0e42…
10-25 17:35:32	Colts vs. Vikings	Vikings	BUY	500	65¢	$325	0xd47ed3…
10-25 17:33:03	Colts vs. Vikings	Vikings	BUY	400	64¢	$256	0xf96dc2…
10-25 17:32:24	Colts vs. Vikings	Vikings	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x5896d0…
10-25 17:32:15	Colts vs. Vikings	Vikings	BUY	400	65¢	$260	0x6d8947…
10-25 17:30:51	Giants vs. Texans	Texans	BUY	500	64¢	$320	0x704876…
10-25 17:30:36	Giants vs. Texans	Texans	BUY	500	64¢	$320	0x74bac2…
10-25 17:23:56	Colts vs. Vikings	Vikings	BUY	500	58¢	$290	0x66a500…
10-25 17:21:48	Giants vs. Texans	Texans	BUY	500	69¢	$345	0x21e398…
10-25 17:20:32	Giants vs. Texans	Texans	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x5f1e7b…
10-25 17:20:27	Giants vs. Texans	Texans	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0xffb812…
10-25 17:20:14	Giants vs. Texans	Texans	BUY	500	78¢	$390	0x0b17a1…
10-25 17:12:14	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	SELL	1,000	41¢	$410	0x0b0f7f…
10-25 17:10:51	Colts vs. Vikings	Vikings	BUY	500	58¢	$290	0xe4e7cc…
10-25 17:10:42	Colts vs. Vikings	Vikings	BUY	500	58¢	$290	0xa53ae1…