Drab-Bustle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$45

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$200

Open exposure

$433

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-10 10:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

100% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Cerebras' market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day?	No	+316	$309	100¢	$314	+$5	05-08 07:08
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+341	$55	26¢	$90	+$36	05-08 08:49
Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	+93	$24	30¢	$29	+$4	05-10 10:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Theravance Biopharma (TBPH) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$401	405	+405	open	—	05-10 04:16
Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$313	313	+313	Yes	+$1	05-06 20:10
Will Cerebras' market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day?	1	$309	316	+316	open	—	05-08 07:08
Will HawkEye 360's market cap be between $3.25B and $4.0B at market close on IPO day?	1	$270	270	+270	No	+$0	05-08 02:17
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?	1	$55	341	+341	open	—	05-08 08:49
Will Odyssey Therapeutics not IPO before July 2026?	1	$26	27	+27	No	+$0	05-08 04:39
Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$24	93	+93	open	—	05-10 10:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 10:04:15	Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	93	26¢	$24	0xf09a64…
05-10 04:16:27	Will Theravance Biopharma (TBPH) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	405	99¢	$401	0x340ff7…
05-08 08:49:22	Will Cerebras' market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	341	16¢	$55	0xb2a354…
05-08 07:08:29	Will Cerebras' market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	316	98¢	$309	0xc72753…
05-08 04:39:47	Will Odyssey Therapeutics not IPO before July 2026?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$26	0x983f40…
05-08 02:17:34	Will HawkEye 360's market cap be between $3.25B and $4.0B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	270	100¢	$270	0xe48f88…
05-06 20:10:28	Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	313	100¢	$313	0x3b6ac0…