Yearly-Tortoise — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$169

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$71

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 05-17 01:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

54% — —

Politics

25% 0% $-100

Crypto

21% 33% $-69

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$960	10,741	10,741	+0	open	—	05-09 09:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$261	807	807	+0	Up	+$61	05-09 10:04
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$251	1,643	1,643	+0	open	—	04-13 12:58
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	4	$232	540	540	+0	open	—	01-10 12:39
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	2	$176	1,051	358	+693	open	—	01-11 18:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$112	2,609	0	+2,609	open	—	05-17 01:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	3	$110	1,801	0	+1,801	Down	$-110	05-09 10:08
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 9, 2026?	1	$100	835	0	+835	Yes	$-100	05-09 09:32
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$100	4,167	0	+4,167	open	—	02-28 07:03
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$99	190	190	+0	open	—	01-10 12:39
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	3	$75	6,460	0	+6,460	open	—	02-28 07:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$57	485	0	+485	Up	$-57	05-09 11:11
us strikes iran by january 12 2026 314	1	$50	904	0	+904	open	—	01-11 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$30	1,333	0	+1,333	Down	$-30	05-09 09:17
will the us next strike iran on february 10 2026 et	1	$20	732	0	+732	open	—	02-09 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$20	2,000	0	+2,000	Down	$-20	05-09 10:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	1	$20	100	0	+100	Down	$-20	05-09 09:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	1	$20	105	0	+105	Down	+$85	05-09 09:47
will the us next strike iran on february 9 2026 et	1	$20	613	0	+613	open	—	02-09 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$20	286	0	+286	Down	$-20	05-09 09:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	1	$17	218	0	+218	Up	$-17	05-09 09:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$10	13	0	+13	Up	+$3	05-09 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$9	69	0	+69	Down	+$60	05-09 09:33
will the us next strike iran on february 11 2026 et	1	$7	432	0	+432	open	—	02-09 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Down	$-5	05-09 09:14
btc updown 5m 1776085200	1	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	04-13 13:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 01:10:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	2,609	4¢	$112	0xb1962a…
05-09 11:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	485	12¢	$57	0x268885…
05-09 10:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2,000	1¢	$20	0x6cd9d0…
05-09 10:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x8c37c0…
05-09 10:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	278	9¢	$25	0xf88946…
05-09 10:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1,024	7¢	$75	0xd93ba5…
05-09 10:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	807	20¢	$161	0x47fadc…
05-09 10:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	807	12¢	$100	0x043a9d…
05-09 09:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x10456b…
05-09 09:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x1e1191…
05-09 09:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x7c6dfb…
05-09 09:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	69	13¢	$9	0x0a07d8…
05-09 09:32:18	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 9, 2026?	No	BUY	835	12¢	$100	0x947daf…
05-09 09:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	286	7¢	$20	0xfe5c0d…
05-09 09:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	218	8¢	$17	0xeae5ed…
05-09 09:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	2¢	$20	0xcc798b…
05-09 09:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0xea49de…
05-09 09:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x08e8a0…
05-09 09:12:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	10,741	2¢	$208	0x727000…
04-30 20:33:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	10,741	7¢	$752	0xef6430…
04-13 13:00:29	btc updown 5m 1776085200	Down	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0x96c37e…
04-13 12:58:49	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	1,643	0¢	$5	0xf313cb…
04-12 14:32:01	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	1,643	15¢	$246	0xeeaa02…
02-28 07:05:37	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	4,715	1¢	$55	0xe2ac95…
02-28 07:05:09	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	909	1¢	$10	0xcc063c…
02-28 07:04:55	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	836	1¢	$10	0x71ae3e…
02-28 07:03:35	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	4,167	2¢	$100	0x7f1c87…
02-09 22:59:25	will the us next strike iran on february 11 2026 et	Yes	BUY	432	2¢	$7	0x05b1aa…
02-09 22:58:59	will the us next strike iran on february 10 2026 et	Yes	BUY	732	3¢	$20	0xa3b649…
02-09 22:58:49	will the us next strike iran on february 9 2026 et	Yes	BUY	613	3¢	$20	0xb20567…
01-11 18:48:32	us strikes iran by january 12 2026 314	Yes	BUY	904	6¢	$50	0x6e762b…
01-11 18:48:02	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	Yes	SELL	358	14¢	$50	0x41c224…
01-10 12:39:42	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	Yes	BUY	1,051	12¢	$126	0x9124f4…
01-10 12:39:24	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	SELL	190	28¢	$53	0xb6ae46…
01-10 12:39:20	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	SELL	270	27¢	$73	0x4f1491…
01-05 22:00:37	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	BUY	190	24¢	$46	0x95ab98…
01-05 22:00:07	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	SELL	270	17¢	$46	0x31a55f…
01-04 22:32:27	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	302	21¢	$63	0xac92d8…
01-04 22:32:07	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0x7d55fe…