Murky-Aspic-Hearthside — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$874

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.9%

Resolved

2,621

Trades

5,381

lifetime

Volume

$12.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 10-25 17:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 118 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 46% -$861

Other

1% 31% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 122 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:40 UTC	50	$106	175	5	+170	Up	+$8	07-02 13:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:40 UTC	43	$103	150	35	+115	Up	-$22	07-02 13:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:40 UTC	41	$95	165	15	+150	Up	-$1	07-02 13:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 17:15 UTC	10	$91	154	103	+51	Down	-$28	04-01 17:23
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 10:15 UTC	8	$79	268	67	+202	Up	-$2	03-30 10:25
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:45 UTC	34	$79	100	65	+35	Up	-$17	07-02 13:49
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 15:15 UTC	2	$70	47	46	+1	Up	+$23	03-17 15:26
DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 15:00 UTC	7	$66	135	0	+135	Down	-$66	03-17 15:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 15:15 UTC	2	$64	43	42	+1	Up	+$21	03-17 15:26
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 09:45 UTC	2	$61	133	0	+133	Down	+$6	03-30 09:57
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 15:15 UTC	2	$61	39	38	+1	Up	+$17	03-17 15:26
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 17:45 UTC	9	$59	75	74	+1	Down	-$16	03-04 17:58
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:45 UTC	21	$58	80	19	+61	Down	-$23	07-02 13:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 17:30 UTC	3	$57	222	0	+222	Up	-$6	03-29 17:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 11:00 UTC	16	$53	106	84	+21	Up	+$12	04-01 11:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:45 UTC	19	$52	72	25	+48	Down	-$16	07-02 13:49
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 15:10 UTC	6	$49	113	0	+113	Down	-$49	03-17 15:14
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 17:40 UTC	2	$44	100	0	+100	Down	-$44	03-04 17:41
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 15:00 UTC	3	$44	36	26	+10	Up	+$15	03-21 15:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 17:15 UTC	8	$43	63	0	+63	Up	$0	10-09 17:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	18	$42	85	0	+85	Up	+$3	10-08 14:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 02:35 UTC	8	$38	41	0	+41	Up	+$2	08-04 02:39
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:35 UTC	23	$37	81	0	+81	Down	+$5	07-02 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	15	$36	75	0	+75	Down	-$1	10-08 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	9	$35	69	0	+69	Up	-$15	10-09 17:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	4	$33	40	0	+40	Down	+$7	10-09 18:20
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 10:35 UTC	5	$32	32	31	+1	Up	+$10	04-01 10:39
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 17:30 UTC	5	$32	504	0	+504	Up	-$32	03-29 17:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	8	$31	80	0	+80	Down	+$19	10-09 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	6	$30	60	0	+60	Up	-$30	10-10 03:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 17:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xf04c7b…
10-25 17:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x32822e…
10-25 17:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xbafa76…
10-25 17:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x4b79ad…
10-25 16:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x5f8fb7…
10-25 16:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x8826fb…
10-25 16:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x4e9490…
10-25 16:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xfb615a…
10-25 15:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x0c5729…
10-25 15:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x3b8e5a…
10-25 15:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x3b194e…
10-25 14:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x7b24f0…
10-25 14:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xa0d95b…
10-25 14:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x5fab21…
10-21 14:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xa01b0f…
10-21 14:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xefc968…
10-21 14:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x465355…
10-21 14:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x47244b…
10-21 14:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x2f5185…
10-20 18:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x048b20…
10-20 17:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xba6db1…
10-20 17:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x086729…
10-20 17:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xd6b060…
10-20 17:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa09545…
10-20 17:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x8017a2…
10-20 17:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x1c2cf0…
10-20 17:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x105e00…
10-20 17:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x0d1d58…
10-20 16:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x1ee946…
10-20 16:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x505ee5…
10-20 16:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0x47fa9c…
10-20 16:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x896521…
10-20 16:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x726d82…
10-20 16:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x62fb28…
10-20 15:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0xbad55b…
10-20 15:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xa8b001…
10-17 07:03:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x318c21…
10-17 06:47:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x8910fd…
10-17 06:47:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x4ae0ac…
10-17 06:47:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2549f6…
10-17 06:31:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xb1cb18…
10-17 06:27:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xd370d1…
10-17 06:18:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x2963bf…
10-17 06:18:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xbfd9c5…
10-17 06:06:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xc5a5aa…
10-17 05:57:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xe3653a…
10-17 05:48:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x827ce8…
10-17 05:30:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf3b9ce…
10-17 05:16:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x12cff2…
10-17 05:15:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xce5b66…
10-17 04:45:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xe8d5ce…
10-17 04:31:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x81f0ef…
10-17 04:12:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x4e48ae…
10-17 04:12:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xf51c5c…
10-17 04:00:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x42fdd1…
10-17 01:17:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x7a6f8a…
10-16 12:12:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x31a813…
10-16 12:07:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x88bb19…
10-16 11:47:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x075a55…
10-16 11:42:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x1b3fb3…
10-16 11:27:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x759c45…
10-16 09:57:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x75e8c0…
10-16 09:38:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xb2d022…
10-16 08:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x6c4070…
10-16 08:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x403ef9…
10-16 08:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x58cf4b…
10-16 07:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x32635b…
10-16 06:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x26a342…
10-16 06:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xa88344…
10-16 04:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xfdbd4a…
10-16 01:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x028d74…
10-16 01:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x722e45…
10-16 00:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x66f04e…
10-16 00:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6da577…
10-15 04:02:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xf9822d…
10-15 03:43:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x6668b1…
10-15 03:37:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x5ddb3c…
10-15 03:28:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd2b25d…
10-15 02:42:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x04b44d…
10-15 02:32:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x942e99…
10-15 02:27:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x56f037…
10-15 02:12:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x660168…
10-15 01:58:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x5fb3a3…
10-15 01:43:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x868a90…
10-15 01:38:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xd15b4e…
10-15 00:58:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0xded4cf…
10-15 00:58:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x6cba83…
10-15 00:32:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x5645c1…
10-15 00:27:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xe9b81e…
10-15 00:27:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0xe555af…
10-15 00:17:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xf4296c…
10-14 14:28:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xf3a6ca…
10-14 14:27:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xe88d6b…
10-14 14:27:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$5	0x219e07…
10-14 14:17:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x228e35…
10-14 14:17:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0xfaafb6…
10-14 14:08:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x02f645…
10-14 14:03:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xdecb1d…
10-14 13:47:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xbf7efb…
10-14 13:27:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x3aba8d…