Muddy-Compulsion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$103

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$159

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 07-01 01:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Sports

66% 100% +$100

Politics

21% — —

Other

11% 100% +$4

Crypto

1% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba mem atl 2026 03 23 total 240pt5	1	$105	205	0	+205	Over	+$100	03-23 11:47
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	22	$34	2,600	2,600	+0	open	—	06-28 22:59
fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 spread home 1pt5	1	$2	5	0	+5	United States	+$3	07-01 01:59
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in May?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-10 08:14
Will Core CPI YoY be 3.1% in May?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-10 08:14
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	06-12 06:16
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in May?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-10 08:13
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-12 06:18
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 12?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	06-12 06:16
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 12?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	06-12 06:16
will the total number of tsa passengers for march 6 be less than 2000000	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	03-06 09:13
will the price of xrp be between 1pt30 1pt40 on march 13	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	03-13 14:29
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 240 259	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	03-19 07:44
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-10 08:14
Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	-$1	06-12 06:18
will the total number of tsa passengers for february 27 be greater than 2800000	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	02-28 10:09
will the total number of tsa passengers for march 9 be between 2800000 and 3000000	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	03-10 08:00
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-06 06:39
msft above 450 on march 13 2026	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	03-13 03:27
bitcoin above 70k on march 16	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	03-16 06:43
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 12?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	06-12 06:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 01:59:22	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 spread home 1pt5	United States	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x5e5b97…
06-28 22:59:44	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	167	1¢	$1	0x25f74f…
06-28 22:30:11	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x364a09…
06-28 21:14:46	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x94b403…
06-28 20:41:31	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	220	1¢	$2	0xdd48af…
06-28 20:17:11	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x74b28d…
06-28 20:12:40	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xe148af…
06-28 20:09:11	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	220	1¢	$2	0xa36a71…
06-28 19:15:02	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x34489d…
06-28 18:04:07	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	220	1¢	$2	0xf3f005…
06-28 17:59:49	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	690	1¢	$5	0x288d89…
06-28 17:54:04	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x85c22e…
06-28 17:09:04	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xdbb00d…
06-28 17:05:22	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	210	1¢	$1	0x2c3417…
06-28 16:40:41	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	210	1¢	$1	0x28f102…
06-28 16:33:32	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x1d0acd…
06-28 16:33:11	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	180	1¢	$1	0xfa5354…
06-28 16:30:05	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$1	0x20bd4c…
06-28 16:08:44	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xf2a687…
06-28 16:08:37	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x181ffa…
06-28 14:50:08	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	94	1¢	$1	0x2c390f…
06-28 14:47:08	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	182	1¢	$1	0x6f0205…
06-12 06:18:57	Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x2e6657…
06-12 06:18:33	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xfd5018…
06-12 06:16:54	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5384b5…
06-12 06:16:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x350cf4…
06-12 06:16:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xda2a52…
06-12 06:16:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf30403…
06-10 08:14:31	Will Core CPI YoY be 3.1% in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8782a3…
06-10 08:14:18	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x82639c…
06-10 08:14:01	Will annual inflation be 4.1% in May?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6e7a7f…
06-10 08:13:46	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc542c8…
05-06 06:42:26	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2,600	1¢	$16	0x7fe868…
05-06 06:39:54	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x68ab5c…
03-23 11:47:15	nba mem atl 2026 03 23 total 240pt5	Over	BUY	205	51¢	$105	0x222bff…
03-19 07:44:01	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 240 259	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9a9124…
03-16 06:43:45	bitcoin above 70k on march 16	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x618a0c…
03-13 14:29:07	will the price of xrp be between 1pt30 1pt40 on march 13	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x72d808…
03-13 03:27:07	msft above 450 on march 13 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x878d93…
03-10 08:00:03	will the total number of tsa passengers for march 9 be between 2800000 and 3000000	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4c1e0e…
03-06 09:13:43	will the total number of tsa passengers for march 6 be less than 2000000	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x05a808…
02-28 10:09:37	will the total number of tsa passengers for february 27 be greater than 2800000	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbc1cdb…