Ignorant-Preface — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

91.8%

Resolved (30d)

114

Trades (30d)

117

625 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$621

$3.51K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-16

last 10-28 15:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 111 days

Categories

Other

74% 92% +$44

Sports

19% 62% +$7

Crypto

7% 91% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Lens win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?	No		-5	-$5	99¢	$-5	$0	07-20 22:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	1	$60	99	0	+99	No	-$60	05-19 21:29
morgan rogers 20260609175104695	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	06-17 19:04
Will Hull City achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	1	$35	101	0	+101	Yes	+$66	05-19 21:28
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	1	$30	30	0	+30	Argentina	+$0	07-07 18:03
Exact Score: AS Omónoia Leukosías 0 - 2 Qairat FK?	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	07-22 17:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 15:35 UTC	1	$25	26	0	+26	Down	+$1	07-13 15:38
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	10-05 15:16
will paraguay be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003067	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	06-26 17:08
richard rios 20260609175657508	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-18 00:38
ucl hmi stu1 2026 07 28 team to advance	3	$19	10	10	+0	SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz	+$1	07-29 16:33
Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group C?	1	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$1	07-08 17:55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	1	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$1	07-08 21:42
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$19	20	0	+20	No	-$19	06-24 15:06
clf eve new 2026 08 12 total 0pt5	1	$18	20	0	+20	Over	+$2	08-12 16:35
ucl pls kai 2026 08 04 total 0pt5	2	$18	20	0	+20	Over	+$2	08-04 16:38
Will Qatar finish last in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	1	$18	20	0	+20	Yes	+$2	06-19 15:36
Will Spain record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$17	17	0	+17	Yes	+$0	07-14 21:00
Will Minnesota Timberwolves advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	1	$16	18	0	+18	No	+$2	05-01 18:46
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$16	20	0	+20	Yes	+$4	07-08 17:51
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-29?	1	$15	16	0	+16	Yes	+$1	07-29 16:48
will dr congo reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134510	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	06-29 13:56
Will Canada be the worst-placed host nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$14	20	0	+20	Yes	+$6	07-02 20:29
Will Iraq finish last in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	1	$14	15	0	+15	Yes	+$1	06-26 16:18
will ecuador reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134484	1	$13	15	0	+15	No	+$2	06-29 13:56
Will Curaçao finish last in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	1	$13	15	0	+15	Yes	+$2	06-09 19:19
will ivory coast reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134485	1	$13	15	0	+15	No	+$2	06-30 04:22
FCI Levadia Tallinn vs. Tartu JK Tammeka: FCI Levadia Tallinn O/U 0.5	2	$13	13	0	+13	Over	+$0	10-26 14:30
will the announcers say captain during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403322	1	$13	15	0	+15	Yes	+$2	07-17 16:39
Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$12	18	0	+18	Yes	+$6	06-24 15:09
ucl omo kai 2026 07 22 total 1pt5	2	$12	13	0	+13	Under	+$1	07-22 18:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 15:03:46	Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9533de…
10-28 15:03:13	Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: Al Nassr Saudi Club O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x867bec…
10-28 15:02:47	Will Spartak Myjava vs. Hammarby IF end in a draw?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xa50d77…
10-28 15:02:20	Will SK Brann vs. Czarni Sosnowiec end in a draw?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x0008fd…
10-28 15:01:56	SC Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe77e98…
10-28 15:01:17	SC Freiburg vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x540ea5…
10-28 15:01:02	AD Tarma vs. CD Moquegua: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x49e7de…
10-28 15:00:52	Panathinaikós AO vs. AS Áris Thessaloníkis: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xb99b59…
10-26 14:31:02	Rot-Weiss Essen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2c23d5…
10-26 14:30:36	FCI Levadia Tallinn vs. Tartu JK Tammeka: FCI Levadia Tallinn O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	7	97¢	$6	0x241fa4…
10-26 14:30:23	acle joh por 2026 10 27 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xfdbfce…
10-26 14:28:59	FCI Levadia Tallinn vs. Tartu JK Tammeka: FCI Levadia Tallinn O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	7	97¢	$6	0xdc0e70…
10-26 14:28:23	Al Nassr Club vs. Al Wasl FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe14482…
10-26 14:27:47	FC København vs. Odense BK: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd0bca8…
10-26 14:27:36	FK Grobina vs. Riga FC: Riga FC O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0520a3…
10-26 14:27:08	Al Ain FC vs. Tractor Tabriz: Al Ain FC O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2b798f…
10-26 14:26:47	Beşiktaş JK vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4ef340…
10-26 14:26:20	Will Al Gharafa SC win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x86e270…
10-23 15:37:03	US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x00b922…
10-23 15:36:56	Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xcb6f49…
10-23 15:36:45	Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xd34be3…
10-23 15:36:36	Como 1907 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5efd5e…
10-23 15:36:05	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x727e75…
10-23 15:35:36	RB Leipzig vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4c5393…
10-23 15:35:27	VfB Stuttgart vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x467b56…
10-23 15:34:21	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xb0fc44…
10-23 15:33:20	Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x2567b5…
10-23 15:33:05	Athletic Club vs. Getafe CF: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb98c4a…
10-23 15:32:45	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x2dc1f4…
10-23 15:32:33	Deportivo Alavés vs. Málaga CF: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xec639e…
10-23 15:16:27	Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd7d2ab…
10-23 15:16:09	Hull City AFC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe18e0f…
10-23 15:15:54	Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Liverpool FC O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x4dfd70…
10-23 15:14:51	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xdc0f4d…
10-23 15:14:36	Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5d5376…
10-23 15:14:14	Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: Manchester City FC O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x5d576c…
10-23 15:13:08	Ipswich Town FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0ca851…
10-19 02:26:03	AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x49f884…
10-19 02:25:24	Will SC União Torreense win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x4e86c6…
10-19 02:25:03	Will OFI win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x3b84d4…
10-19 02:24:38	Juventus FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Stade Rennais FC 1901 O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x314a6e…
10-19 02:23:32	SC Braga vs. KAA Gent: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xdea4a1…
10-19 02:22:08	Sporting CP vs. LASK Linz: LASK Linz O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x84da6f…
10-19 02:21:26	FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: FK Shakhtar Donetsk O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xb18a98…
10-19 02:21:03	Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK: Viking FK O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0x25c7ca…
10-19 02:20:44	FC Porto vs. PSV: PSV O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xad85e3…
10-19 02:20:20	AS Roma vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: ŠK Slovan Bratislava O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x2e7bf2…
10-19 02:19:30	Manchester City FC vs. AEK: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf8d322…
10-19 02:17:44	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf7c26d…
10-19 02:15:23	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x72c1ea…
10-17 01:29:59	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x519296…
10-16 17:40:03	CF Cruz Azul vs. FC Juárez: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x8d32c8…
10-16 17:39:50	Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x92baf3…
10-16 17:39:20	Club Necaxa vs. Atlas FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x755c1a…
10-16 17:39:00	Olympique Lyonnais vs. OGC Nice: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbdf01d…
10-16 17:38:33	RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x28699e…
10-16 17:37:45	AS Roma vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x2359c9…
10-16 17:37:24	Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x3dbf94…
10-16 17:36:47	1. FC Union Berlin vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x233e4e…
10-16 17:06:27	Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x72db58…
10-16 17:06:09	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x38d306…
10-16 17:05:45	Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xc59fdf…
10-16 17:05:30	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x74a15c…
10-16 17:05:10	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc75827…
10-16 17:04:48	Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x37be9a…
10-16 17:04:18	Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb4447f…
10-16 17:03:45	Manchester City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xd1d0a4…
10-16 17:03:31	Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x6ed04f…
10-12 02:40:48	Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x04d55b…
10-12 02:40:17	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x171e9c…
10-12 02:39:48	AFC Bournemouth vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xd4f39e…
10-12 02:39:21	Will OFI win on 2026-10-15?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x43135b…
10-12 02:39:03	Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-10-15?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xfd2437…
10-12 02:38:21	Will SC União Torreense win on 2026-10-15?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x533e66…
10-12 02:37:44	Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x3a3e75…
10-12 02:37:21	Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x99891a…
10-12 02:36:47	Will LASK Linz win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x1f8077…
10-12 02:36:11	Arsenal FC vs. Lille OSC: Arsenal FC O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xcafaaa…
10-12 02:35:30	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x5267b1…
10-12 02:35:09	Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1d88d7…
10-09 15:16:12	Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xee55bf…
10-09 15:14:57	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x8dfba0…
10-09 15:14:07	Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x95df75…
10-09 15:13:37	Real Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x12e052…
10-09 15:13:19	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xb2310c…
10-09 15:11:52	FC Internazionale Milano vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xa6b488…
10-09 15:10:37	Lille OSC vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x510e90…
10-09 15:09:30	Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-10-09?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x2cbf1e…
10-09 15:08:36	Kosovo vs. Austria: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xd5e997…
10-05 15:21:35	RNK Veres Rivne vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xdaeffc…
10-05 15:20:17	Colombia vs. Peru: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x38f7f3…
10-05 15:19:31	England vs. Czechia: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x70d328…
10-05 15:18:26	Croatia vs. Spain: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xdb23a5…
10-05 15:18:02	Algeria vs. Niger: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x1ce2ea…
10-05 15:16:50	Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xb6a62b…
10-05 15:15:05	Romania vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf1f163…
10-05 15:14:32	Italy vs. Türkiye: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x60ec7f…
10-05 15:13:44	Buccaneers vs. Cowboys	Cowboys	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xf7159b…
10-03 02:38:02	Will Chatham Town FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x646c56…
10-03 02:37:23	Switzerland vs. North Macedonia: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x67b594…