Grimy-Wasting — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$810

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

56.4%

Resolved

10,641

Trades

14,149

lifetime

Volume

$56.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$80

6 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 11-06 03:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 140 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 62% -$804

Other

0% 25% +$25

Politics

0% 0% -$31

Sports

0% 20% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	No	+68	$51	73¢	$50	-$1	11-06 03:31
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+66	$14	32¢	$21	+$7	10-28 01:14
Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?	No	+9	$3	39¢	$4	+$1	11-05 22:42
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	No	+5	$2	44¢	$2	+$0	10-31 02:23
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	No	+8	$3	30¢	$2	$0	10-20 20:33
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	+14	$3	1¢	$0	-$3	10-25 02:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 08:00 UTC	181	$606	1,061	0	+1,061	Down	-$606	06-29 08:01
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 06:15 UTC	78	$261	461	0	+461	Down	+$200	06-29 06:15
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$150	196	0	+196	Yes	+$46	07-29 14:01
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 14:15 UTC	2	$97	103	103	+0	Up	-$10	06-24 14:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 06:15 UTC	28	$94	165	0	+165	Down	+$71	06-29 06:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 20:35 UTC	1	$94	135	0	+135	Up	-$94	03-13 20:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 21:00 UTC	1	$88	127	0	+127	Up	+$39	03-13 21:03
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$81	147	0	+147	Up	+$65	05-22 19:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 14:30 UTC	1	$81	94	0	+94	Down	+$13	04-20 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 13:10 UTC	1	$67	87	0	+87	Up	+$20	04-22 13:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	1	$54	89	0	+89	Up	+$35	05-21 02:00
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	1	$54	86	0	+86	Down	+$32	05-21 05:00
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	1	$54	92	0	+92	Down	-$54	05-23 07:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 20:55 UTC	1	$54	63	0	+63	Down	+$9	03-13 20:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-21 11:15 UTC	1	$54	84	0	+84	Down	+$31	06-21 11:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-01 07:15 UTC	1	$54	92	0	+92	Up	+$39	07-01 07:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 14:45 UTC	1	$54	92	0	+92	Down	-$54	06-24 14:43
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 14:00 UTC	1	$54	97	0	+97	Up	+$43	06-24 13:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 15:15 UTC	1	$54	91	0	+91	Down	-$54	06-24 15:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-21 21:15 UTC	1	$54	91	0	+91	Up	+$37	06-21 21:09
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	1	$54	92	0	+92	Down	-$54	05-23 23:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 15:45 UTC	1	$54	91	0	+91	Down	-$54	06-24 15:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 15:00 UTC	1	$54	96	0	+96	Down	-$54	06-24 14:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 15:30 UTC	1	$54	91	0	+91	Down	-$54	06-24 15:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 12:45 UTC	1	$54	89	0	+89	Up	-$54	06-22 12:41
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-01 07:00 UTC	1	$54	94	0	+94	Down	-$54	07-01 06:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 20:45 UTC	1	$54	94	0	+94	Down	+$40	06-18 20:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 13:00 UTC	1	$54	94	0	+94	Down	+$40	06-22 12:58
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	1	$54	83	0	+83	Down	-$54	05-23 23:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 16:00 UTC	1	$54	92	0	+92	Up	+$38	06-24 15:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 03:31:24	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x8aba53…
11-05 22:42:28	Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?	No	BUY	9	29¢	$3	0x6ba2fb…
11-02 16:40:42	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x8127f0…
10-31 08:06:57	Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x36a45b…
10-31 08:06:42	Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x7852f4…
10-31 07:30:27	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0xfc3d55…
10-31 07:30:12	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x495fb2…
10-31 07:29:55	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0xfd2659…
10-31 05:37:07	Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x9522b3…
10-31 02:23:51	Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xf5e4c7…
10-30 19:47:58	Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0x4ad748…
10-28 03:12:09	Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0xe6e1ca…
10-28 02:57:56	Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0xb5cc35…
10-28 02:36:42	Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0xa9b3f8…
10-28 02:22:53	Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0xabf245…
10-28 01:14:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0xb491af…
10-27 23:51:29	Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	12	21¢	$2	0xa33ff7…
10-27 23:51:27	Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x8d04e3…
10-27 23:50:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	12	20¢	$2	0xdb044b…
10-27 23:50:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	21¢	$2	0xaa6b93…
10-27 23:50:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	21¢	$2	0xb5cc4e…
10-27 23:49:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	21¢	$2	0xe8542d…
10-27 23:49:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	21¢	$2	0x6d0e29…
10-27 23:49:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	21¢	$2	0x184cf3…
10-27 23:49:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	21¢	$2	0x741878…
10-27 23:48:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	21¢	$2	0x203dd8…
10-27 23:48:48	Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x371735…
10-27 23:31:51	Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x7927a5…
10-27 23:30:21	Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x366060…
10-27 23:19:26	Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x9298b5…
10-27 20:42:48	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	No	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x91cbff…
10-27 20:39:38	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	No	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x13ee4e…
10-27 20:37:36	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	No	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0xb7af9f…
10-27 20:36:24	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	No	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0xa28466…
10-27 20:35:15	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	No	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x24da86…
10-27 20:32:45	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	No	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x2b55d2…
10-27 13:54:05	Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0x2dc5d5…
10-25 02:55:02	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	16¢	$3	0x11769a…
10-25 02:55:00	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	17¢	$3	0xbbbc9c…
10-25 02:53:38	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0x6e0dbd…
10-23 00:55:21	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0x108c5f…
10-21 08:37:17	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x91974d…
10-21 08:36:56	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x76e1ea…
10-21 08:36:26	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xf8bdb6…
10-21 08:04:18	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	No	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xb01f15…
10-21 08:04:18	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	No	SELL	8	31¢	$2	0x95d60c…
10-21 07:42:26	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xfd10b1…
10-21 07:41:42	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x83eba5…
10-21 07:41:35	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x005478…
10-21 07:41:24	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x074e7a…
10-21 07:36:18	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xc47b9b…
10-21 07:30:42	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x302509…
10-21 07:04:26	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	No	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x0c834c…
10-21 01:23:27	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x42f3ad…
10-21 01:15:08	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x87c808…
10-20 20:33:18	Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	No	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0xa5be21…
10-20 17:13:38	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x10fe4b…
10-20 16:51:02	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xa7f697…
10-16 01:59:57	Raptors vs. Knicks	Raptors	SELL	11	17¢	$2	0xfa5f60…
10-16 01:59:55	Raptors vs. Knicks	Raptors	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0xdcec00…
10-15 02:09:31	mlb mil lad 2026 10 14	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	9	21¢	$2	0xd49251…
10-15 02:09:29	mlb mil lad 2026 10 14	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0xca40e6…
10-15 02:08:29	mlb mil lad 2026 10 14	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xacf7e7…
10-15 02:08:25	mlb mil lad 2026 10 14	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xffa829…
10-14 02:39:52	Pacers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xe0bec8…
10-14 02:25:01	Pacers vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0xe16884…
10-14 02:24:59	Pacers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xc017a7…
10-14 00:52:24	Trail Blazers vs. Kings	Trail Blazers	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xe8d182…
10-14 00:52:22	Trail Blazers vs. Kings	Trail Blazers	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x1eaaac…
10-13 02:24:03	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0x51d088…
10-13 01:18:41	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x3986ed…
10-13 01:18:38	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf7713f…
10-12 14:50:59	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	12	12¢	$1	0x3c5915…
10-12 14:46:36	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	12	13¢	$1	0x088b81…
10-10 02:14:48	Grizzlies vs. Bulls	Bulls	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf62cb6…
10-06 23:50:29	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x03995c…
10-02 20:32:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0xe94602…
10-02 18:37:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0x51353b…
10-02 18:37:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0xb6bdd0…
10-02 18:37:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x02c232…
10-01 15:52:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x49fee2…
09-30 16:30:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x1dc12e…
09-29 23:06:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x341bd0…
09-04 17:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x637456…
09-04 16:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x1af2a7…
09-04 16:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x332e62…
09-04 15:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0xfb6008…
09-04 08:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0xeaa227…
09-04 08:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xc4b225…
09-04 08:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0x499b65…
09-04 07:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x1cc654…
09-04 04:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4f17aa…
09-03 22:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x06c8c3…
09-03 22:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xdda4fc…
09-03 14:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	59¢	$6	0xfc3b40…
09-03 14:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x67d5dc…
09-03 11:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x317fc0…
09-03 11:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0xf28177…
09-03 11:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	51¢	$5	0x7cdf23…
09-03 09:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x50f2aa…