Submissive-Guitarist — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$678

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

30.9%

Resolved (90d)

175

Trades (90d)

890

4,202 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$1.58K

$10.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 10-16 08:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 199 days

Categories

Other

94% 9% +$469

Politics

4% 33% +$1

Crypto

2% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in ankara on march 22 2026 13c	14	$547	552	552	+0	Yes	+$535	03-22 14:10
highest temperature in ankara on march 4 2026 10corhigher	16	$506	500	500	+0	Yes	+$485	03-04 11:53
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 22?	10	$408	400	400	+0	No	+$392	05-22 15:00
Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on September 25?	3	$266	199	199	+0	No	+$131	09-25 09:43
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on September 10?	1	$244	758	0	+758	Yes	-$244	09-09 08:55
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?	5	$218	210	210	+0	Yes	+$201	05-31 10:30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 17?	11	$215	200	200	+0	Yes	+$183	07-17 10:22
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	2	$198	101	101	+0	No	$0	04-28 12:47
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 12?	3	$182	182	182	+0	Yes	+$179	05-12 07:04
Iran leadership change by June 30?	2	$172	400	400	+0	No	-$4	04-28 13:24
Iran leadership change by December 31?	2	$152	200	200	+0	open	—	04-28 13:06
highest temperature in chicago on january 25 17forbelow	4	$150	92	92	+0	Yes	+$34	01-26 06:58
highest temperature in ankara on january 29 8c	8	$140	100	100	+0	Yes	+$60	01-29 17:00
abnb up or down on april 13 2026	7	$138	173	173	+0	Up	+$7	04-13 14:01
highest temperature in seoul on january 27 neg 1c	6	$122	100	100	+0	Yes	+$78	01-27 09:40
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 20?	4	$118	100	100	+0	Yes	+$62	09-20 10:52
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 13?	2	$116	83	83	+0	No	+$50	07-13 19:41
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 28?	2	$116	80	80	+0	No	+$44	07-28 01:39
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 26?	2	$116	86	86	+0	No	+$57	06-26 09:02
highest temperature in toronto on january 26 neg 10corbelow	3	$114	105	100	+5	No	+$66	01-26 17:10
highest temperature in london on january 28 10c	3	$107	100	100	+0	Yes	+$91	01-28 15:05
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on April 29?	2	$105	100	100	+0	Yes	+$1	04-29 11:32
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 12?	4	$100	100	100	+0	No	+$90	05-12 13:36
highest temperature in ankara on january 30 11c	3	$99	100	100	+0	Yes	+$94	01-30 12:17
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 11?	3	$98	92	92	+0	Yes	+$82	05-12 02:10
cricipl pun guj 2026 03 31	5	$95	900	874	+26	Punjab Kings	+$13	03-31 17:50
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 15?	2	$94	49	49	+0	No	+$4	07-14 18:10
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 21?	2	$89	60	60	+0	No	+$29	06-21 14:24
highest temperature in ankara on january 25 9corhigher	2	$89	77	77	+0	Yes	+$43	01-25 09:12
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 9?	4	$87	58	58	+0	No	+$29	07-09 04:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 08:41:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 16?	No	BUY	670	3¢	$20	0x620c19…
10-10 09:29:33	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x3024fd…
10-10 06:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 10?	No	BUY	41	9¢	$4	0xfaac97…
10-10 06:05:31	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 10?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb2da5a…
10-10 06:05:30	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 10?	No	BUY	48	9¢	$4	0xb97ec2…
10-09 19:54:50	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on October 9?	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x5be6c7…
10-09 10:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C or higher on October 9?	Yes	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0x3e9d14…
10-09 10:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C or higher on October 9?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$1	0x0a1798…
10-09 10:30:13	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C or higher on October 9?	Yes	BUY	27	6¢	$2	0xfa6224…
10-09 10:30:13	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C or higher on October 9?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0xef02ec…
10-09 10:30:13	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C or higher on October 9?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0xa69e37…
10-09 10:30:13	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C or higher on October 9?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x05dc32…
10-09 06:57:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 9?	No	BUY	164	5¢	$8	0xc696dc…
10-09 06:50:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xeb1d08…
10-09 06:50:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 9?	No	BUY	75	5¢	$4	0x80c03e…
10-09 06:50:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	56	0¢	$0	0xfec8ab…
10-09 06:48:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 9?	No	BUY	223	3¢	$7	0xc6f6cd…
10-09 06:45:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 9?	No	BUY	77	3¢	$2	0xbc34ce…
10-08 18:50:23	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x770482…
10-08 10:08:05	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	136	0¢	$0	0xbda2d2…
10-08 08:54:32	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 8?	No	BUY	702	0¢	$2	0x88f924…
10-08 07:25:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 8?	No	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x40776b…
10-08 07:23:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 8?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x4b0e4a…
10-08 07:17:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 8?	No	BUY	41	1¢	$0	0xa3cd36…
10-08 07:11:14	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe6f441…
10-08 07:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x746c76…
10-08 07:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x3e981b…
10-08 07:11:08	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0xdac26e…
10-08 07:11:08	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x8e2647…
10-07 17:12:49	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C or higher on October 7?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x05db35…
10-07 16:01:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x85a688…
10-07 16:01:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	227	0¢	$0	0x62a37b…
10-07 16:01:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x50fe72…
10-07 16:01:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	753	0¢	$2	0x0cf7cb…
10-07 16:01:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x02be6a…
10-07 09:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	51	0¢	$0	0xfeb11b…
10-07 09:10:21	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x81cfb4…
10-07 09:05:05	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x980bd5…
10-07 09:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x8987a0…
10-07 08:54:29	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 7?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x11f957…
10-05 18:44:52	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 5?	No	BUY	25	22¢	$6	0xf5ad92…
10-05 16:22:14	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 5?	No	BUY	52	18¢	$9	0x99aaa9…
10-05 15:47:38	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	274	7¢	$19	0x946aea…
10-05 15:47:31	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0x98adc1…
10-05 15:47:29	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	37	7¢	$3	0x7c3bc8…
10-05 15:47:29	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	180	7¢	$13	0x51e61f…
10-05 14:57:13	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 5?	No	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0xbd4eaf…
10-05 12:41:14	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 5?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xd05ce1…
10-05 10:00:40	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	195	0¢	$0	0xf8a178…
10-05 09:59:56	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	235	0¢	$0	0x6f1494…
10-05 06:53:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0xb9d99d…
10-05 06:07:59	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 5?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xe37741…
10-05 05:02:17	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x61f8dc…
10-04 21:02:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 4?	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x0cc989…
10-04 21:02:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 4?	No	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x080b0f…
10-04 21:02:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 4?	No	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0xaa18e9…
10-04 21:02:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 4?	No	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x5da3e0…
10-04 20:57:01	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 4?	No	BUY	75	0¢	$0	0x4ce1b2…
10-04 20:28:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 4?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x76fb1b…
10-04 18:40:17	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 4?	No	BUY	48	0¢	$0	0xe6655c…
10-04 17:01:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 4?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2cc116…
10-04 17:00:49	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 4?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xdb7144…
10-04 17:00:49	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 4?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xcee1e1…
10-04 17:00:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 4?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x57cbff…
10-04 17:00:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 4?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x45b6db…
10-04 17:00:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 4?	Yes	BUY	18	2¢	$0	0x40c6e9…
10-04 16:57:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 4?	Yes	BUY	39	2¢	$1	0x04fcb2…
10-04 16:55:41	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 4?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x383af3…
10-04 16:55:17	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 4?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xddd2f8…
10-04 16:55:17	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 4?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x961794…
10-04 16:54:34	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 4?	Yes	BUY	101	2¢	$2	0xd688ce…
10-04 16:00:05	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 5?	No	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x775ce6…
10-04 15:59:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3536c6…
10-04 15:59:35	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xdd9def…
10-04 14:02:38	Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 22°C or below on October 4?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x25efe7…
10-04 13:46:19	Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on October 4?	No	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0xee5011…
10-04 13:02:04	Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 4?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xd3dc0f…
10-02 14:16:03	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 2?	No	BUY	95	0¢	$0	0xc95c36…
10-02 05:49:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 2?	No	BUY	1,000	1¢	$11	0x75c2bb…
10-02 05:13:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	1,516	0¢	$2	0xf6858c…
10-02 05:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 2?	No	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x00079f…
10-02 05:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 2?	No	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x808306…
10-01 13:27:00	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 1?	No	BUY	61	1¢	$1	0x770cbe…
10-01 13:17:59	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 1?	No	BUY	41	1¢	$0	0x7006e2…
10-01 13:16:59	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 1?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x945696…
10-01 13:02:29	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 1?	No	BUY	102	1¢	$1	0x239771…
10-01 13:00:44	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on October 1?	No	BUY	250	10¢	$25	0x930e9c…
10-01 12:57:51	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 1?	No	BUY	196	1¢	$2	0xa43ab3…
10-01 10:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 1?	No	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x761530…
10-01 10:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 1?	No	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x19d842…
10-01 10:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 1?	No	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x7acf66…
10-01 10:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 1?	No	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x7c69ec…
10-01 09:04:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 1?	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0b44b0…
10-01 08:03:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 1?	No	BUY	341	1¢	$3	0xcb1c1e…
10-01 08:03:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 1?	No	BUY	659	1¢	$7	0x383f51…
09-30 19:46:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x71b7c3…
09-30 19:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	53	0¢	$0	0x13a67a…
09-30 19:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x7c57b5…
09-30 19:01:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x887e5c…
09-30 18:33:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	132	0¢	$0	0x45c85f…