Energetic-Motive — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.5%

Resolved

Trades

665

lifetime

Volume

$2.74K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 06-09 17:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 0% $-4

Other

30% 0% $-7

Politics

11% 100% +$5

Sports

4% 50% +$2

Tech

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	24	$43	57	57	+0	open	—	03-23 22:16
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	6	$37	73	73	+0	open	—	05-16 22:18
will claude opus 4 6 thinking be the top ai model on april 17 2026 style control on	10	$29	130	127	+4	open	—	04-15 06:05
Will Encore Medical not IPO before June 2026?	5	$25	23	15	+8	open	—	04-18 15:20
will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0	5	$24	27	20	+7	open	—	04-15 01:10
will ethereum reach 2500 april 13 19	4	$23	24	23	+1	open	—	04-17 22:15
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	18	$22	83	83	+0	open	—	03-27 02:53
will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 18 2026	6	$20	56	56	+0	open	—	04-16 13:53
mls rsl mia 2026 04 22 mia	2	$19	14	14	+0	open	—	04-23 03:29
gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	4	$19	33	33	+0	open	—	04-13 23:10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	2	$18	14	14	+0	open	—	04-25 17:54
Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?	4	$17	20	20	+0	open	—	04-17 00:51
will trust me the false prophet be the top global netflix show this week	5	$16	85	85	+0	open	—	04-12 22:06
will ng reach 2 80 by april 13 2026	5	$16	20	20	+0	open	—	04-14 20:42
will claude opus 4 6 thinking be the best ai model on april 17 2026	8	$16	41	41	+1	open	—	04-15 09:12
will zhu jiner win the 2026 fide womens candidates tournament	6	$16	110	10	+100	open	—	04-15 10:21
will iran strike oman again in march	6	$15	47	47	+0	open	—	03-26 15:14
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 13 828 312	2	$15	130	130	+0	open	—	04-11 13:02
Will the fight be won by submission?	2	$15	10	10	+0	No	+$5	05-10 06:15
Nothing Ever Happens: March	6	$15	17	17	+0	open	—	03-30 23:57
Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd not IPO before June 2026?	3	$15	23	12	+10	open	—	04-21 07:41
will there be fewer than 3 major space weather events this week 351	4	$14	17	17	+0	open	—	04-14 19:39
Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	3	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	04-26 02:13
nba phi uta 2026 03 21 spread away 6pt5	2	$13	15	9	+6	open	—	03-22 04:40
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	2	$13	23	23	+0	open	—	04-06 05:42
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	4	$13	20	20	+0	open	—	03-23 12:22
cbb vcu ill 2026 03 21	4	$13	25	25	+0	open	—	03-22 00:32
will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	2	$13	13	13	+0	open	—	04-14 04:19
will thrash be the top us netflix movie this week	3	$13	57	57	+0	open	—	04-12 22:08
will vitality win iem rio 2026	2	$13	14	13	+0	open	—	04-16 08:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 17:24:18	xrp updown 5m 1781025600	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xa16b05…
06-09 16:04:25	xrp updown 5m 1781020800	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x5c3943…
06-09 13:24:16	xrp updown 5m 1781011200	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xce57be…
06-08 09:29:21	xrp updown 5m 1780910700	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xb94a9b…
06-08 06:24:07	xrp updown 5m 1780899600	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x703e85…
06-07 13:24:16	xrp updown 5m 1780838400	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x75b8f8…
06-07 10:24:16	xrp updown 5m 1780827600	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xbf5ae9…
06-06 13:39:15	xrp updown 5m 1780752900	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x6ccc84…
06-06 08:54:19	xrp updown 5m 1780735800	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x830006…
06-05 15:54:34	xrp updown 5m 1780674600	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x9663a8…
06-04 15:34:21	xrp updown 5m 1780587000	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x81148d…
06-04 07:39:01	xrp updown 5m 1780558500	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x36b067…
06-04 06:14:16	xrp updown 5m 1780553400	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xcdab7a…
06-04 01:39:04	xrp updown 5m 1780536900	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x52a1ea…
06-04 01:28:43	xrp updown 5m 1780536300	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xa9142a…
06-04 01:24:04	eth updown 5m 1780536000	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xf0d6b8…
06-04 00:13:34	xrp updown 5m 1780531800	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x8f0433…
06-03 18:23:55	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x5f69bf…
06-03 16:48:52	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x250ac6…
06-03 16:43:58	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x4b47df…
06-03 16:28:54	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xa94bf4…
06-03 16:14:15	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x07ff37…
06-03 16:04:03	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x329abb…
06-03 15:49:07	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xe87690…
06-03 14:54:24	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xa34f8f…
06-03 14:29:01	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x66f1f3…
06-03 14:09:07	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x38f358…
06-03 13:59:24	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x614a12…
06-03 11:09:02	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x369ce0…
06-03 07:29:04	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xa5a07b…
06-03 05:09:06	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xd4bc8a…
06-03 04:23:39	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x758234…
06-03 03:23:55	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xaa80a2…
06-03 00:09:02	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x77ddb5…
06-02 23:43:57	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x4f3938…
06-02 23:04:04	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xe07b42…
06-02 20:39:02	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xd8a9c0…
06-02 17:28:36	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x989132…
06-02 15:38:38	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x2125a0…
06-02 06:58:52	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xcabf7c…
06-02 02:14:03	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xe67011…
06-02 01:33:55	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xadefed…
06-02 00:44:04	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xd4521e…
06-01 13:38:48	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x797f43…
06-01 13:28:43	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xf83635…
06-01 12:19:04	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe96a74…
06-01 12:04:04	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x5d34a2…
05-30 20:29:11	BNB Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xa41b26…
05-30 16:49:23	BNB Up or Down - May 30, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6e28ca…
05-30 15:04:24	BNB Up or Down - May 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x5b9df4…
05-30 06:04:07	BNB Up or Down - May 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb7c27b…
05-30 04:33:53	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x949528…
05-29 10:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xb20cbe…
05-29 04:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x52814f…
05-29 04:53:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x3a141f…
05-29 04:34:16	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0xf96eba…
05-29 03:14:00	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x3d9ea6…
05-29 03:04:09	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa13700…
05-29 02:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xdd5851…
05-29 01:54:04	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x97d4ce…
05-29 01:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xc94874…
05-29 00:59:14	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5035d2…
05-29 00:34:05	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd7d04e…
05-28 20:34:15	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xcb0e78…
05-28 20:03:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x966dd9…
05-28 17:13:47	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	63¢	$12	0x1e8253…
05-28 17:12:09	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x2ff8af…
05-28 17:09:04	BNB Up or Down - May 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x92adf0…
05-28 16:39:05	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xf1a725…
05-28 16:24:24	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xcc71ac…
05-28 16:18:52	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xe14b41…
05-28 14:39:10	BNB Up or Down - May 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$7	0x678573…
05-28 14:39:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0x421da8…
05-28 14:34:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x20c73c…
05-28 14:33:31	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0x36083b…
05-28 14:28:58	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xb448d5…
05-28 14:08:56	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x16d482…
05-28 13:39:19	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	80¢	$12	0x011340…
05-28 06:29:17	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x3ac725…
05-28 04:27:59	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	70¢	$7	0x4b9662…
05-28 03:49:10	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0x8013db…
05-28 02:38:35	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x42ba56…
05-28 02:04:15	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x324ab9…
05-28 01:48:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x3524b3…
05-28 01:44:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xce78ab…
05-28 01:43:59	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0xe37c87…
05-28 01:33:55	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xe91de3…
05-28 01:33:45	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	16	80¢	$12	0xfdc380…
05-28 01:03:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x02aa25…
05-28 00:58:55	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0x2a967c…
05-27 22:44:12	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x252d74…
05-27 22:44:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe87936…
05-27 22:18:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xd2bd29…
05-27 20:44:11	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x8a3c67…
05-27 18:54:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xc4087e…
05-27 16:09:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x545e24…
05-27 16:08:33	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xd1da27…
05-27 15:28:16	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x025a4a…
05-27 15:24:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	83¢	$3	0x59382c…
05-27 15:14:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x8fec46…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	194	$21.1K	1,832	06-09 17:24
(anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3	188	$4.51K	1,016	06-09 17:24
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	187	$6.60K	1,161	06-09 17:24
(anonymous) 0x5e2b…9101	186	$6.92K	1,174	06-09 17:24
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	170	$11.6K	6,290	06-09 17:24
Weird-Peak 0x9f5f…a008	169	$13.8K	2,318	06-08 09:29
Faithful-Larva 0x81a2…a062	168	$1.06K	569	06-09 17:19
Incomparable-Front 0xd093…767e	163	$4.06K	1,391	06-09 17:23