Full-Cotton — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

278

Trades

279

lifetime

Volume

$3.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-28 07:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 227 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$4

Politics

3% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C or higher on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 14:27
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 06:17
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:31
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-12 07:36
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-11 11:38
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 10?	1	$23	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-10 09:39
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C or higher on May 9?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	05-09 09:35
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on May 8?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-08 12:24
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C on May 8?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-08 06:46
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-07 17:06
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-07 06:31
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C or higher on May 6?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-06 15:26
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on May 5?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 11:46
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 02:52
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-04 15:56
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 3?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-03 15:12
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 2?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-02 13:14
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$1	04-12 02:33
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:28
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 07:06
highest temperature in wuhan on april 5 2026 27corhigher	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-05 09:19
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 3 2026 23c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 16:30
highest temperature in wellington on april 3 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 07:38
highest temperature in seoul on april 2 2026 14c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 10:31
highest temperature in los angeles on april 1 2026 68 69f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-02 03:31
highest temperature in istanbul on april 1 2026 15c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-01 15:15
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:49
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 10:23
highest temperature in san francisco on march 30 2026 70 71f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-31 01:53
highest temperature in lucknow on march 30 2026 37c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-30 14:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 07:36:23	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x142ce1…
10-27 08:21:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd1045c…
10-26 09:14:56	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb29121…
10-22 10:09:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfba887…
10-20 07:29:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x68c831…
10-19 08:46:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ee1ac…
10-18 09:05:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaffe27…
10-17 11:24:11	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc7a1e3…
10-16 08:57:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb28b76…
10-15 09:15:56	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3e235c…
10-14 09:14:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x27b6f3…
10-13 09:07:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb956f…
10-12 08:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x077fc9…
10-11 08:15:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00379e…
10-08 08:23:19	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2c5542…
10-07 14:17:14	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x53fe1c…
10-06 07:44:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x73fd1f…
10-04 15:07:01	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x14ef03…
10-03 05:48:26	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0d8ac3…
10-02 07:40:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1755ea…
10-01 08:15:51	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x530656…
09-30 12:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0594cb…
09-29 14:07:48	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdbf211…
09-28 09:25:30	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or below on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0c94ea…
09-27 08:42:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x482b2a…
09-25 12:22:47	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6870b7…
09-24 08:24:11	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x456b22…
09-23 06:49:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3bb507…
09-22 07:48:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x76802e…
09-21 09:14:14	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf89b89…
09-20 05:38:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x064db4…
09-19 08:18:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x739c2f…
09-18 06:15:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb7fdac…
09-17 03:59:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x93503d…
09-16 08:10:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8b5bf4…
09-15 09:05:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd15d68…
09-14 08:20:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2411d9…
09-12 16:18:43	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e0ae8…
09-11 07:14:01	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc45b75…
09-10 06:02:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9bd392…
09-09 02:35:21	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x66d4a7…
09-08 02:33:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xee4352…
09-07 08:16:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x47b53b…
09-06 17:31:22	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x26a204…
09-06 09:12:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ed99c…
09-05 09:55:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x668067…
09-04 17:34:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x87cfad…
09-03 09:45:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0b498c…
09-02 07:36:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0a98e4…
08-30 08:28:09	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x12c995…
08-29 07:56:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd69b97…
08-28 07:22:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8d60cf…
08-27 08:35:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe457e7…
08-26 08:20:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x99d05c…
08-25 09:06:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4624bf…
08-24 09:49:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4d8206…
08-23 14:44:16	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc9a743…
08-22 08:43:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x947efe…
08-21 07:08:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf2941c…
08-20 08:37:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e8c6f…
08-19 10:58:06	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe85b0b…
08-18 08:11:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe8888b…
08-17 07:17:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xed8e94…
08-16 11:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf3bfc3…
08-15 09:43:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe8de7e…
08-14 06:41:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x392194…
08-13 07:46:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6d5924…
08-12 07:45:22	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00a4bc…
08-11 06:50:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa5e60…
08-10 06:51:52	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1bd9fa…
08-09 01:20:25	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd58812…
08-08 07:25:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa739f9…
08-07 01:07:52	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x11382e…
08-06 06:34:06	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3c802c…
08-05 07:48:38	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa4f9ec…
08-04 08:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x39b732…
08-03 07:15:05	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd06290…
08-02 01:33:20	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x079cbc…
08-01 06:57:35	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa65ea0…
07-31 08:22:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2e9aba…
07-30 06:46:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3507ea…
07-29 06:09:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5a1675…
07-28 06:18:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x39b6ac…
07-27 08:08:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x60898a…
07-26 06:29:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x46f2d9…
07-25 07:47:22	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf50b4c…
07-24 09:42:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb43047…
07-23 07:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4b2521…
07-22 01:49:55	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4a3acb…
07-20 23:52:27	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x999c38…
07-20 07:48:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf5f8bd…
07-18 23:11:49	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb764f…
07-18 00:23:15	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa6da0b…
07-17 06:33:21	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xae8bbb…
07-15 22:01:23	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd88336…
07-15 07:13:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f53ef…
07-14 07:26:20	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6fc83f…
07-13 07:23:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xb5921a…
07-12 02:13:46	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 11?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc18331…
07-11 07:43:58	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 11?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x55df51…