Ill-Informed-Muskrat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.1%

Resolved

109

Trades

2,551

lifetime

Volume

$9.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 08-13 19:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 50% $-19

Other

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 187 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776151800	2	$184	97	97	+1	open	—	04-14 07:33
btc updown 5m 1776258000	4	$149	207	68	+138	open	—	04-15 13:05
btc updown 5m 1776258600	3	$134	100	77	+23	open	—	04-15 13:13
btc updown 5m 1776017400	3	$124	133	103	+30	open	—	04-12 18:14
btc updown 5m 1776079500	3	$112	85	61	+24	open	—	04-13 11:30
btc updown 5m 1776017100	3	$104	113	44	+69	open	—	04-12 18:10
btc updown 5m 1776017700	2	$99	50	50	+0	open	—	04-12 18:20
btc updown 5m 1776258300	4	$89	99	45	+55	open	—	04-15 13:11
btc updown 5m 1776018300	2	$84	81	77	+3	open	—	04-12 18:27
btc updown 5m 1776143400	5	$62	45	44	+1	open	—	04-14 05:15
btc updown 5m 1776153300	6	$56	61	59	+3	open	—	04-14 08:00
btc updown 5m 1772968200	4	$55	37	36	+1	open	—	03-08 11:15
btc updown 5m 1776152100	4	$48	56	54	+3	open	—	04-14 07:39
btc updown 5m 1776152700	2	$46	33	32	+1	open	—	04-14 07:49
btc updown 5m 1773826800	4	$44	27	22	+5	open	—	03-18 09:45
btc updown 5m 1776803700	3	$43	67	37	+29	open	—	04-21 20:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	5	$41	41	41	+0	Up	+$11	05-07 11:07
btc updown 5m 1775997600	2	$41	29	28	+1	open	—	04-12 12:44
btc updown 5m 1783062000	2	$40	31	31	+0	open	—	07-03 07:03
btc updown 5m 1776151500	2	$40	31	30	+1	open	—	04-14 07:26
btc updown 5m 1776149700	3	$40	44	30	+14	open	—	04-14 06:56
btc updown 5m 1776204600	4	$40	36	35	+1	open	—	04-14 22:14
btc updown 5m 1776841800	2	$38	40	38	+1	open	—	04-22 07:13
btc updown 5m 1775990400	2	$37	23	22	+1	open	—	04-12 10:45
btc updown 5m 1784831700	6	$37	48	28	+19	open	—	07-23 18:36
btc updown 5m 1776264000	1	$36	57	0	+57	open	—	04-15 14:43
btc updown 5m 1776150600	1	$36	76	0	+76	open	—	04-14 07:10
btc updown 5m 1776803100	4	$36	38	37	+2	open	—	04-21 20:29
btc updown 5m 1776764700	2	$35	30	29	+1	open	—	04-21 09:49
btc updown 5m 1776089100	4	$34	36	34	+2	open	—	04-13 14:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 19:11:40	btc updown 5m 1786648200	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xcfe2c2…
08-13 19:08:34	bitcoin up or down august 13 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	17	15¢	$2	0xbe8e70…
08-13 19:05:49	hype updown 5m 1786647900	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xedd8ed…
08-01 13:46:15	hype updown 5m 1785591900	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xd1bc18…
08-01 13:40:30	hype updown 5m 1785591600	Up	BUY	16	16¢	$2	0x1e274c…
08-01 13:36:20	hype updown 5m 1785591300	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x946ad2…
08-01 13:33:45	btc updown 5m 1785591000	Up	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0xb36e17…
08-01 13:32:50	hype updown 5m 1785591000	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa68ede…
08-01 13:31:27	btc updown 5m 1785591000	Up	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x91196d…
08-01 13:25:35	bnb updown 5m 1785590700	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x75ffed…
08-01 13:22:47	bnb updown 5m 1785590400	Up	SELL	9	72¢	$7	0xc2e99a…
08-01 13:21:21	bnb updown 5m 1785590400	Up	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x22f9f0…
08-01 13:19:17	hype updown 5m 1785590100	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x49f83c…
08-01 13:17:27	hype updown 5m 1785590100	Up	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0xdf718d…
08-01 13:16:41	hype updown 5m 1785590100	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x60ea15…
08-01 13:15:53	hype updown 5m 1785590100	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x30d806…
08-01 13:13:12	hype updown 5m 1785589800	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x88ce95…
08-01 13:10:32	hype updown 5m 1785589800	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x5e14f1…
08-01 13:09:33	hype updown 5m 1785589500	Down	SELL	12	37¢	$4	0x1acc5b…
08-01 13:08:44	hype updown 5m 1785589500	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xb3ae43…
08-01 13:07:24	hype updown 5m 1785589500	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x1dfe34…
08-01 12:55:36	hype updown 5m 1785588900	Up	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0xfc5a68…
08-01 12:50:26	hype updown 5m 1785588600	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x00ce94…
08-01 12:46:21	hype updown 5m 1785588300	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa4f793…
08-01 12:36:24	hype updown 5m 1785587700	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x88978c…
08-01 12:30:39	hype updown 5m 1785587400	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x1fc18c…
08-01 12:27:59	hype updown 5m 1785587100	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa3ccba…
08-01 12:26:08	hype updown 5m 1785587100	Down	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0x8a8715…
08-01 12:25:59	hype updown 5m 1785587100	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x48ed37…
08-01 12:22:14	hype updown 5m 1785586800	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x1d1e92…
08-01 07:40:09	hype updown 5m 1785569700	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x2adcfd…
08-01 07:37:30	hype updown 5m 1785569700	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x2ad32e…
08-01 07:32:27	hype updown 5m 1785569400	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xdcd8da…
08-01 07:31:20	hype updown 5m 1785569400	Up	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x30ee75…
08-01 07:30:35	hype updown 5m 1785569400	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x389098…
08-01 07:24:39	hype updown 5m 1785568800	Down	SELL	6	26¢	$2	0xc56973…
08-01 07:21:57	hype updown 5m 1785568800	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xce416a…
08-01 07:21:24	hype updown 5m 1785568800	Up	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x8b3bf6…
08-01 07:19:51	hype updown 5m 1785568800	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x70a1cc…
08-01 07:15:48	hype updown 5m 1785568500	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa91d38…
08-01 07:15:26	hype updown 5m 1785568500	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x8af2bf…
08-01 07:12:20	hype updown 5m 1785568200	Down	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x0d9cf2…
08-01 07:10:51	hype updown 5m 1785568200	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4d7940…
08-01 07:08:23	hype updown 5m 1785567900	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa80f0a…
08-01 07:06:18	hype updown 5m 1785567900	Up	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x1efb7b…
08-01 07:05:26	hype updown 5m 1785567900	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xbf21fb…
08-01 06:55:51	hype updown 5m 1785567300	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xbbb6bc…
08-01 06:55:02	hype updown 5m 1785567000	Down	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x2b435a…
08-01 06:51:02	hype updown 5m 1785567000	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x700519…
08-01 06:49:14	btc updown 5m 1785566700	Down	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0xc4a8fb…
08-01 06:47:00	btc updown 5m 1785566700	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xa4a1df…
08-01 06:37:48	hype updown 5m 1785566100	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x26b353…
08-01 06:17:53	btc updown 5m 1785564900	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x78336b…
08-01 06:17:47	hype updown 5m 1785564900	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xfdc0a3…
08-01 06:16:57	hype updown 5m 1785564900	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc2292e…
08-01 06:15:41	btc updown 5m 1785564900	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x015ca9…
08-01 06:07:42	btc updown 5m 1785564300	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xbdb94b…
08-01 06:06:56	btc updown 5m 1785564300	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x81a52f…
08-01 06:01:42	hype updown 5m 1785564000	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6f23cf…
08-01 06:01:12	btc updown 5m 1785564000	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x837cef…
08-01 05:53:05	btc updown 5m 1785563400	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x8d51c0…
08-01 05:52:23	btc updown 5m 1785563400	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4e16a3…
08-01 05:52:02	btc updown 5m 1785563400	Down	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0xcf23e1…
08-01 05:51:44	btc updown 5m 1785563400	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x667b28…
08-01 05:47:39	btc updown 5m 1785563100	Up	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0x765d7e…
08-01 05:47:26	btc updown 5m 1785563100	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x5f5136…
07-31 21:17:39	btc updown 5m 1785532500	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xdd957b…
07-31 21:15:57	btc updown 5m 1785532500	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9382a6…
07-31 21:14:41	bnb updown 5m 1785532200	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0xfe94cc…
07-31 21:14:17	btc updown 5m 1785532200	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x938c11…
07-31 21:12:44	bnb updown 5m 1785532200	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x69abbb…
07-31 21:10:53	btc updown 5m 1785532200	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x71c4af…
07-31 21:06:08	btc updown 5m 1785531900	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x209e43…
07-31 20:53:51	btc updown 5m 1785531000	Up	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0x25c2d7…
07-31 20:53:41	btc updown 5m 1785531000	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x757f3a…
07-31 20:48:06	btc updown 5m 1785530700	Down	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0xeb1a96…
07-31 20:46:05	btc updown 5m 1785530700	Down	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0xcc1886…
07-31 20:43:39	btc updown 5m 1785530400	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xe789c9…
07-31 20:43:20	btc updown 5m 1785530400	Down	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xce4ee1…
07-31 20:40:57	btc updown 5m 1785530400	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe9f354…
07-31 20:35:33	btc updown 5m 1785530100	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe7b086…
07-31 19:12:47	btc updown 5m 1785525000	Up	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0x088f71…
07-31 19:11:56	btc updown 5m 1785525000	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb55f25…
07-31 19:01:35	btc updown 5m 1785524400	Down	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x1aebbc…
07-31 19:01:21	btc updown 5m 1785524400	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x68ae94…
07-31 18:57:57	btc updown 5m 1785524100	Down	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x965980…
07-31 18:55:36	btc updown 5m 1785524100	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc92c36…
07-31 18:51:45	btc updown 5m 1785523800	Down	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0xf4a7fd…
07-31 18:51:32	btc updown 5m 1785523800	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x4558c1…
07-31 18:47:21	btc updown 5m 1785523500	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x310cf1…
07-31 18:46:20	btc updown 5m 1785523500	Down	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x3c96d6…
07-31 18:45:42	btc updown 5m 1785523500	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x00ee12…
07-31 18:43:05	btc updown 5m 1785523200	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x77b916…
07-31 18:40:21	btc updown 5m 1785523200	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xcb5b87…
07-31 18:37:26	btc updown 5m 1785522900	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x692aa4…
07-31 18:32:23	btc updown 5m 1785522600	Down	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0xf059dc…
07-31 18:31:02	btc updown 5m 1785522600	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x3afaf4…
07-31 18:25:33	btc updown 5m 1785522300	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xfe21b8…
07-31 18:23:41	btc updown 5m 1785522000	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x4f326b…
07-31 18:20:33	btc updown 5m 1785522000	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x117c15…