Identical-Inauguration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.9%

Resolved

Trades

354

lifetime

Volume

$4.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 06-04 00:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 25% $-28

Other

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	6	$171	130	130	+0	open	—	05-18 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	4	$146	99	99	+0	open	—	05-18 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	2	$125	65	65	+0	open	—	05-17 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	3	$125	105	105	+0	open	—	05-18 15:31
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitals	5	$104	70	70	+0	open	—	05-24 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	4	$99	70	70	+0	open	—	05-18 08:29
btc updown 15m 1780533000	4	$94	61	61	+0	open	—	06-04 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	2	$87	73	73	+0	open	—	05-18 12:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12PM ET	3	$78	45	45	+0	open	—	05-14 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$76	71	71	+0	open	—	05-18 13:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	2	$75	46	46	+0	open	—	05-18 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$74	45	45	+0	open	—	05-17 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1PM ET	2	$74	53	53	+0	open	—	05-14 17:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	2	$71	42	42	+0	open	—	05-18 06:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4AM ET	2	$69	54	54	+0	open	—	05-19 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11AM ET	2	$69	41	41	+0	open	—	05-16 15:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$68	39	39	+0	open	—	05-18 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	2	$67	38	38	+0	open	—	05-17 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$67	38	38	+0	open	—	05-17 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12PM ET	2	$67	58	58	+0	open	—	05-18 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	2	$67	41	41	+0	open	—	05-18 02:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	2	$66	37	37	+0	open	—	05-17 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3AM ET	2	$66	36	36	+0	open	—	05-16 07:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$66	38	38	+0	open	—	05-17 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	2	$64	43	43	+0	open	—	05-19 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	2	$64	36	36	+0	open	—	05-18 03:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$64	34	34	+0	open	—	05-17 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$64	159	159	+0	open	—	05-17 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$64	34	34	+0	open	—	05-17 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$63	33	33	+0	open	—	05-18 00:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 00:44:39	btc updown 15m 1780533000	Up	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xf06e16…
06-04 00:44:10	btc updown 15m 1780533000	Up	BUY	23	92¢	$21	0x535ce1…
06-04 00:43:39	btc updown 15m 1780533000	Up	SELL	38	55¢	$21	0x2975ac…
06-04 00:33:04	btc updown 15m 1780533000	Up	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0x8a57c2…
06-03 22:51:07	btc updown 15m 1780526700	Down	SELL	9	72¢	$7	0xb5f1fd…
06-03 22:43:03	btc updown 15m 1780526700	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x686d74…
06-03 16:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0xa76d8e…
06-03 16:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x81b650…
06-03 04:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	11	87¢	$9	0x90e26a…
06-03 04:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x1355d8…
06-03 04:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12AM ET	Up	SELL	24	86¢	$21	0xc864be…
06-03 03:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	24	54¢	$13	0xa4640a…
06-03 02:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10PM ET	Down	SELL	20	84¢	$16	0x650970…
06-02 23:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	27	45¢	$12	0xd6dbce…
06-02 23:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0xa1873c…
06-02 21:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	16	81¢	$13	0xc11959…
06-02 20:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x39c8f5…
06-02 20:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	18	9¢	$2	0x45683a…
06-02 20:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0xb695fe…
06-02 17:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xa1afa1…
06-02 17:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x748b17…
06-02 17:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x37ff9b…
06-02 17:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x800c75…
06-02 17:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xe748b5…
06-01 10:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x34a491…
05-31 20:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xd56530…
05-31 20:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0x573d65…
05-31 20:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x6a8142…
05-31 14:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	36	68¢	$24	0x479686…
05-31 14:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	19	17¢	$3	0x1026fa…
05-31 14:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	43¢	$8	0x81f47b…
05-31 14:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	13	33¢	$4	0xcd53b2…
05-31 14:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0xabb712…
05-31 03:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	15	78¢	$11	0x769dab…
05-31 03:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0xfcd11e…
05-31 02:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	16	65¢	$10	0x3eb152…
05-31 02:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xe32066…
05-31 01:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0xa5d6b4…
05-31 01:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xb98d08…
05-31 01:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	14	93¢	$13	0xe9d595…
05-31 01:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0x81a0b0…
05-31 00:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	16	93¢	$15	0x5a4303…
05-31 00:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x8f9261…
05-30 23:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x7233aa…
05-30 23:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2a4bcb…
05-30 23:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	50¢	$5	0xe87d95…
05-30 23:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x0c9694…
05-30 23:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x133866…
05-30 23:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x164b84…
05-30 23:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1db88c…
05-28 11:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x46863c…
05-28 10:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	37	77¢	$29	0x4fd95b…
05-28 09:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xefcad1…
05-28 08:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	29	95¢	$28	0x0f8523…
05-28 08:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x6cd417…
05-28 08:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	28	74¢	$21	0xbe8011…
05-28 07:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x8a98b1…
05-28 07:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	33	36¢	$12	0xef2a1c…
05-28 06:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0xd3544d…
05-28 05:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1AM ET	Down	SELL	31	75¢	$24	0xc28016…
05-28 04:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0xb0c5f6…
05-25 10:27:33	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Kenya vs Rwanda	Rwanda	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0xa2f95e…
05-25 09:22:22	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Kenya vs Rwanda	Rwanda	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0xe43100…
05-25 09:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	26	55¢	$15	0xe1e37c…
05-25 09:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	26	53¢	$14	0x14ddc1…
05-24 17:48:13	Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitals	Delhi Capitals	SELL	41	99¢	$40	0xc623b2…
05-24 17:26:22	Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitals	Delhi Capitals	BUY	41	69¢	$28	0x5f0217…
05-24 16:56:02	Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitals	Kolkata Knight Riders	SELL	29	66¢	$19	0x54904f…
05-24 14:50:09	Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitals	Kolkata Knight Riders	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x49d06d…
05-24 14:19:03	Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals	Rajasthan Royals	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x3036df…
05-24 12:56:22	Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x49bca3…
05-24 12:32:25	Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals	Mumbai Indians	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0xab2a81…
05-24 10:30:29	Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals	Mumbai Indians	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xf2e176…
05-24 10:26:45	Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals	Rajasthan Royals	SELL	14	30¢	$4	0xa6b6a2…
05-24 10:04:24	Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0xd5d43b…
05-23 17:39:44	Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitals	Kolkata Knight Riders	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x47303c…
05-23 17:21:48	Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings	Punjab Kings	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x70b1dc…
05-23 16:43:58	Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings	Punjab Kings	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0x8c9022…
05-22 17:55:04	Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings	Punjab Kings	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x7ce2c1…
05-22 17:53:54	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	Sunrisers Hyderabad	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xfe5a40…
05-22 15:38:18	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	Sunrisers Hyderabad	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x0ac132…
05-20 13:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0xc35824…
05-20 13:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	42¢	$5	0xc81de2…
05-20 08:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0x026b1f…
05-20 08:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x4d18ad…
05-20 08:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	9	39¢	$3	0x23caa2…
05-20 08:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x31d6a7…
05-20 08:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x27f074…
05-20 08:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xed757f…
05-20 08:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	12	68¢	$8	0x3d2fc6…
05-20 08:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xf84a75…
05-20 07:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x1492f6…
05-20 07:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xed3670…
05-20 06:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xa4ffdc…
05-20 06:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xbef8d6…
05-20 06:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xa9bbe5…
05-20 06:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x22ddbf…
05-20 05:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x693f7a…
05-20 05:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7fd7a9…
05-20 02:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10PM ET	Down	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0xd5a8fc…