Heavy-Preoccupation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$323

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.2%

Resolved

1,543

Trades

1,870

lifetime

Volume

$30.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 10-20 23:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 103 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 66% +$322

Other

3% 51% +$8

Politics

0% 44% -$3

Sports

0% 44% -$5

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 00:35 UTC	1	$288	401	0	+401	Down	+$114	04-18 00:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 00:10 UTC	1	$277	347	0	+347	Up	+$69	04-18 00:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 23:00 UTC	1	$264	353	0	+353	Down	+$88	04-17 23:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 02:40 UTC	1	$262	322	0	+322	Down	-$262	04-18 02:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 22:45 UTC	1	$257	309	0	+309	Down	+$53	04-17 22:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 02:15 UTC	1	$252	307	0	+307	Up	+$55	04-18 02:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 01:20 UTC	1	$244	296	0	+296	Down	+$52	04-18 01:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 22:15 UTC	1	$241	351	0	+351	Down	+$110	04-17 22:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 21:00 UTC	1	$234	278	0	+278	Up	+$44	04-17 21:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 05:35 UTC	1	$228	298	0	+298	Up	-$228	04-18 05:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 05:55 UTC	1	$223	288	0	+288	Down	+$66	04-17 05:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 03:00 UTC	1	$222	281	0	+281	Down	+$59	04-18 03:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 02:30 UTC	1	$221	282	0	+282	Down	-$221	04-19 02:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 04:55 UTC	1	$220	275	0	+275	Up	+$55	04-18 04:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 04:35 UTC	1	$214	243	0	+243	Up	+$29	04-18 04:38
will elon cut the budget by at least 5 in 2025	3	$214	118	118	+0	No	+$14	02-10 14:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 05:50 UTC	1	$213	279	0	+279	Up	+$66	04-17 05:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 02:25 UTC	1	$211	279	0	+279	Up	+$68	04-19 02:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 02:15 UTC	1	$210	257	0	+257	Down	-$210	04-20 02:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 05:45 UTC	1	$206	252	0	+252	Up	+$46	04-17 05:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 06:55 UTC	1	$206	271	0	+271	Up	-$206	04-22 06:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 22:45 UTC	1	$205	243	0	+243	Up	+$38	04-18 22:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 02:00 UTC	1	$202	262	0	+262	Down	+$61	04-20 02:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 05:25 UTC	1	$201	239	0	+239	Down	+$38	04-17 05:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 21:55 UTC	1	$199	237	0	+237	Up	+$38	04-18 21:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 04:15 UTC	1	$197	310	0	+310	Down	+$113	04-18 04:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 07:05 UTC	1	$194	213	0	+213	Down	+$19	04-18 07:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 05:20 UTC	1	$193	232	0	+232	Up	+$39	04-17 05:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 07:35 UTC	1	$193	236	0	+236	Down	-$193	04-19 07:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 04:40 UTC	1	$191	248	0	+248	Down	+$56	04-22 04:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 23:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	80	3¢	$2	0x3d1160…
10-20 23:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	27	34¢	$9	0x2565bf…
10-20 22:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb680f1…
10-20 22:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x95a0b0…
10-20 22:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0x5be974…
10-20 22:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x5ac948…
10-20 22:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x27c9d6…
10-20 22:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	67¢	$10	0xb7b9e5…
10-20 22:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x088d52…
10-20 22:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	63¢	$10	0xcf7619…
10-20 22:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0x7a13f3…
10-20 22:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0x721495…
10-20 22:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	23	41¢	$10	0xd2cdc0…
10-20 22:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0xb607fb…
10-20 22:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	41	41¢	$17	0xf8cafd…
10-20 22:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x4b6efb…
10-20 22:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	45¢	$10	0xf7b921…
10-20 22:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	45¢	$10	0xbcf12d…
10-20 22:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	45¢	$9	0xbd0cdc…
10-20 14:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	54	35¢	$19	0xc15946…
10-20 14:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	52	36¢	$19	0x8cd5b1…
10-20 04:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x8800a0…
10-18 22:45:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0xe30df2…
10-18 22:45:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x41636a…
10-18 22:44:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x34d9df…
10-18 22:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x69de60…
10-18 22:04:30	BNB Up or Down - October 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xed72f4…
10-18 20:30:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xc1585f…
10-18 20:30:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x30dc43…
10-18 20:30:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5750d0…
10-18 20:30:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x69b251…
10-18 19:59:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa3a31c…
10-18 19:50:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	35¢	$3	0xc12f74…
10-18 19:50:26	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x707e29…
10-18 19:50:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x3cdb70…
10-18 19:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xdc9adc…
10-18 19:44:59	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x49694d…
10-18 19:40:41	ZCash Up or Down - October 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x484d7d…
10-18 19:40:27	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x28f0f4…
10-18 19:40:27	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x141ac3…
10-18 19:39:21	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x4dec61…
10-18 19:35:30	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd00e3e…
10-18 19:35:30	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x1f89ca…
10-18 19:30:48	ZCash Up or Down - October 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x61a731…
10-18 19:30:47	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x30647b…
10-18 19:30:45	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$3	0xdaeb9a…
10-18 18:47:35	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 3 Winner	BetBoom Team	BUY	17	55¢	$10	0x1e38eb…
10-18 18:11:59	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	45	27¢	$12	0xe389c7…
10-18 17:02:18	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner	BetBoom Team	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x20f062…
10-18 17:02:15	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner	BetBoom Team	BUY	25	38¢	$10	0x709158…
10-18 16:35:36	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x94aadd…
10-18 16:35:36	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x32f5e5…
10-18 16:35:26	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x2083bb…
10-18 16:35:09	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x092d2a…
10-18 16:35:00	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x4b3cee…
10-18 16:25:20	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner	BetBoom Team	BUY	91	14¢	$13	0x4c4f8b…
10-18 16:25:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x988e8e…
10-18 16:25:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc06556…
10-18 15:45:03	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x09c164…
10-18 15:35:05	ZCash Up or Down - October 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc5f20a…
10-18 14:40:02	BNB Up or Down - October 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x524a0a…
10-18 14:36:02	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x226827…
10-18 14:36:00	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x0e5934…
10-18 14:35:59	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x2d858b…
10-18 14:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2fcc77…
10-18 14:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xd1b64a…
10-18 14:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x051789…
10-18 14:04:42	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9731c9…
10-18 14:04:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x91886c…
10-18 14:04:42	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x769add…
10-18 14:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf0bbc3…
10-18 13:35:57	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x8d0ee7…
10-18 13:35:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xba4243…
10-18 13:30:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xdeadc1…
10-18 13:30:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xa37603…
10-18 13:25:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xae94a6…
10-18 13:25:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xab3163…
10-18 13:25:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x26dab0…
10-18 13:24:33	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5e651d…
10-18 13:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf94241…
10-18 10:20:21	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x34daea…
10-18 10:20:17	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x3f16eb…
10-18 10:19:48	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x61a63e…
10-18 09:09:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xf3aeb6…
10-18 09:09:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x6af048…
10-18 09:09:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x5a5c9b…
10-17 19:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xf95fb4…
10-17 19:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$9	0xfb2a14…
10-17 18:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x54828e…
10-17 18:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xce76c0…
10-17 18:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0x3a4489…
10-17 18:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0xc6fe33…
10-17 18:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xb16c9e…
10-17 18:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	37¢	$7	0x02142d…
10-17 18:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	59¢	$8	0x8711e5…
10-17 18:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x5a9f43…
10-17 18:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xde688d…
10-17 18:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	53¢	$9	0xfad85a…
10-17 11:41:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xb8a239…
10-17 11:41:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0xe54a95…