Terrible-Rule — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

279

Trades

281

lifetime

Volume

$3.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-31 17:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 231 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$4

Politics

3% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C or higher on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 14:27
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:31
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 06:17
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-12 07:31
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-11 11:38
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-10 09:39
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C or higher on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-09 09:56
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-08 06:38
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 7?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 17:06
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-07 06:31
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 6?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-06 09:34
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on May 5?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 11:46
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 02:52
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-04 15:55
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 3?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-03 15:11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 2?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-02 13:14
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$1	04-12 02:33
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:27
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 07:06
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 12c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-05 09:15
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 3 2026 23c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 16:30
highest temperature in wellington on april 3 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 07:38
highest temperature in seoul on april 2 2026 14c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 10:31
highest temperature in los angeles on april 1 2026 68 69f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-02 03:31
highest temperature in istanbul on april 1 2026 15c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-01 15:14
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:49
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 10:35
highest temperature in san francisco on march 30 2026 70 71f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-31 01:53
highest temperature in chongqing on march 30 2026 23c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-30 09:43
highest temperature in los angeles on march 29 2026 84forhigher	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-30 01:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 17:30:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6bb9f5…
10-31 09:50:28	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x79b705…
10-30 10:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x961960…
10-29 08:55:02	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe7b64d…
10-28 07:36:35	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4fdddb…
10-27 08:21:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7e2841…
10-26 09:15:08	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x47e554…
10-22 10:09:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x69654c…
10-20 07:29:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbf7e4d…
10-19 09:08:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9e0ad8…
10-18 09:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa11cf2…
10-17 14:46:57	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfaebae…
10-16 08:57:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x423446…
10-15 09:16:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc0f922…
10-14 09:14:22	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb641f2…
10-13 09:08:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x437e7d…
10-12 08:20:28	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1de4c4…
10-11 08:15:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xedccd7…
10-08 08:23:34	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe79131…
10-07 14:17:26	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xff51b9…
10-06 07:44:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d47c9…
10-04 15:07:11	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x727b41…
10-03 05:48:38	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc78502…
10-02 07:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x663a64…
10-01 08:16:02	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc8bc93…
09-30 12:06:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x48add0…
09-29 14:08:00	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe1676e…
09-28 09:25:41	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or below on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9af622…
09-27 08:42:47	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb476dc…
09-25 12:22:59	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa0b7fe…
09-24 08:24:23	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x463827…
09-23 06:49:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x13f8cc…
09-22 07:48:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc1b6b1…
09-21 09:15:15	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5cf30b…
09-20 05:38:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb0a338…
09-19 08:18:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x689b01…
09-18 06:15:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x660b99…
09-17 04:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x43d3fd…
09-16 08:10:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x787541…
09-15 09:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa024f4…
09-14 08:20:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6111c0…
09-12 16:18:55	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd62c4f…
09-11 07:14:13	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x659d31…
09-10 06:18:25	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6274e4…
09-09 02:35:33	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1919bd…
09-08 02:33:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7c78e0…
09-07 08:16:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x21b434…
09-06 17:31:34	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc179e…
09-06 09:12:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x18014d…
09-05 09:55:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1c7fc6…
09-04 17:34:37	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x23494f…
09-03 09:45:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x539202…
09-02 07:36:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc99b30…
08-30 08:28:19	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1d4f60…
08-29 07:56:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8d4ba5…
08-28 07:23:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x912ccf…
08-27 08:35:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x404469…
08-26 08:21:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd36c34…
08-25 09:07:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x644b8c…
08-24 09:49:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7a465c…
08-23 14:44:27	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4b47b1…
08-22 08:43:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x53734b…
08-21 07:08:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd2ad51…
08-20 08:37:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf4ef35…
08-19 11:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x18989c…
08-18 08:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00cede…
08-17 07:19:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ac77b…
08-16 11:14:37	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf619c7…
08-15 09:43:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x397938…
08-14 06:42:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x895608…
08-13 07:46:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x90a282…
08-12 07:45:34	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf0b55…
08-11 06:50:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9fe5bc…
08-10 06:52:03	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x18ffab…
08-09 01:20:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe680b3…
08-08 07:25:25	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf912ac…
08-07 01:08:04	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa9c1a4…
08-06 06:34:18	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf4ed9a…
08-05 07:48:50	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x361fd2…
08-04 08:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbbe695…
08-03 07:15:17	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb7319c…
08-02 01:33:32	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd31b93…
08-01 06:57:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2b33b1…
07-31 08:22:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbf2a2d…
07-30 06:46:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3c53ba…
07-29 06:09:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa8ad11…
07-28 06:19:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0b4558…
07-27 08:08:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x141d31…
07-26 06:29:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2bf5b2…
07-25 07:47:33	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x64fabd…
07-24 09:42:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1739c4…
07-23 07:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa551cf…
07-22 01:50:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x245a3f…
07-20 23:52:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e3151…
07-20 07:48:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf4ba2…
07-18 23:12:00	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x57529a…
07-18 00:23:27	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xba3b42…
07-17 06:33:33	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x08beeb…
07-15 22:01:34	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4d61ff…
07-15 07:13:23	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe552c8…