Salty-Clef — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.1%

Resolved

Trades

478

lifetime

Volume

$1.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 05-24 16:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

64% 67% $-1

Politics

16% 50% +$1

Crypto

11% — —

Sports

5% 0% $-5

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	9	$36	67	67	+0	open	—	04-23 14:50
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	3	$22	39	79	-39	open	—	04-18 15:02
Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$19	5	20	-15	open	—	05-16 19:30
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	8	$18	31	31	+0	open	—	04-12 05:27
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	6	$18	20	20	+0	open	—	04-17 17:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	7	$16	26	20	+6	open	—	04-12 14:00
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	8	$16	31	31	+0	open	—	04-12 14:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	3	$15	40	16	+24	open	—	04-16 04:13
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	4	$14	16	16	+0	open	—	04-13 17:04
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	4	$12	30	30	+0	open	—	04-07 11:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	5	$11	24	32	-8	open	—	05-24 16:25
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$11	27	27	+0	open	—	05-15 14:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	4	$11	22	21	+0	open	—	04-24 02:00
highest temperature in seoul on april 22 2026 15c	3	$11	10	5	+5	open	—	04-21 22:00
highest temperature in nyc on april 17 2026 78 79f	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	04-17 17:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	4	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	04-07 18:12
highest temperature in hong kong on april 2 2026 23c	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-02 09:30
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 0 39	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-02 19:30
fl1 psg tou 2026 04 03 tou	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-03 03:30
bra2 lon cui 2026 04 01 lon	3	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-01 15:30
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be between 170m and 180m	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-04 00:45
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-03 10:16
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	6	$10	105	105	+0	open	—	03-26 07:30
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-08 05:26
highest temperature in seoul on april 17 2026 18corhigher	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	04-16 16:23
highest temperature in hong kong on april 3 2026 27c	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-03 09:30
bitcoin above 74k on april 17	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	04-17 06:15
highest temperature in seoul on april 3 2026 19corhigher	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	04-03 04:15
any of the stolen kitkats recovered by april 5	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	04-03 16:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	4	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	05-20 14:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 16:25:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	17	10¢	$2	0x975f9e…
05-24 16:25:31	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0x8c736a…
05-24 16:25:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0x9d9a48…
05-24 16:25:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0x60e895…
05-24 16:25:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x509cc1…
05-24 09:30:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x390c03…
05-24 08:06:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xc1b764…
05-24 08:00:18	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x2e3337…
05-24 06:30:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0xe21ffa…
05-24 06:18:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0xe13fd3…
05-24 04:00:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	6	25¢	$2	0xb50717…
05-24 01:00:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x05f4a1…
05-23 23:00:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xc9fe78…
05-23 22:02:30	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	14	18¢	$3	0x03673b…
05-23 21:30:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x443baa…
05-23 20:09:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	17	17¢	$3	0xdb8f9f…
05-23 18:51:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x8f7fc4…
05-22 23:30:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	12	20¢	$2	0x366165…
05-22 11:12:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x242872…
05-22 10:31:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	8	31¢	$2	0x0765f8…
05-21 18:00:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0x6eb946…
05-21 11:00:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x546a6f…
05-21 10:00:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	SELL	12	21¢	$3	0xd9798d…
05-21 06:52:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xaf0cf3…
05-20 21:04:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x912cbc…
05-20 21:04:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf45309…
05-20 19:52:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x4bb4f6…
05-20 19:51:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x24082a…
05-20 17:30:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0xb09907…
05-20 16:04:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xf292e8…
05-20 14:30:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xcb86a7…
05-20 08:24:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd6ed35…
05-18 18:30:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xf6666d…
05-18 18:00:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xb6d471…
05-18 12:30:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	9	23¢	$2	0x0ff0d8…
05-18 07:13:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$2	0x8f6757…
05-17 07:00:13	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xb58269…
05-17 06:20:33	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x250117…
05-17 05:20:59	Will "In the Grey" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x6c4c87…
05-16 22:16:44	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x211c41…
05-16 19:30:15	Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0xe1de27…
05-16 12:30:15	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x18dbb8…
05-16 08:33:28	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x3cc5c5…
05-15 19:00:18	Will "In the Grey" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x1c2e10…
05-15 14:59:18	Will "In the Grey" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x357e57…
05-15 14:24:58	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x18127e…
05-15 13:46:41	Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x4330a5…
05-15 13:27:27	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x8f157a…
05-15 11:15:37	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	22	18¢	$4	0x4f12cd…
05-15 10:56:50	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	22	20¢	$4	0x40d8bd…
05-13 10:54:30	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0x7e7ec8…
05-12 17:30:20	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x618cd7…
05-12 16:00:27	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xd95930…
05-09 12:22:22	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xd4a09e…
05-07 17:53:29	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x098815…
05-07 14:00:12	OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x5859d4…
05-07 12:15:16	OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xa6c272…
05-07 06:18:12	UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xf17e5f…
05-06 14:26:26	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on May 6?	No	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x4c5972…
05-06 11:32:34	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x94b738…
05-06 09:01:44	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on May 6?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0xab3b3f…
05-06 08:01:44	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $715 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$5	0x243e1c…
05-03 10:16:54	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$5	0x117d81…
04-28 08:01:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xb88f49…
04-28 04:15:28	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on April 28?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xd79ce0…
04-27 00:04:34	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$4	0x0e46cf…
04-25 20:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 26?	Yes	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0x7492c3…
04-25 14:02:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 26?	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x001ec9…
04-25 14:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 26?	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x3ea4cf…
04-25 14:00:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 26?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd4665e…
04-25 00:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 62°F or higher on April 25?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$4	0x6776fc…
04-24 04:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x0de5f8…
04-24 02:00:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	SELL	14	18¢	$3	0x13c1d2…
04-23 20:25:06	highest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 20c	No	BUY	1	80¢	$0	0x98b5d0…
04-23 20:07:30	highest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 20c	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x393fe8…
04-23 19:52:08	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	No	BUY	16	21¢	$3	0x390c3f…
04-23 19:51:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0xe5dfba…
04-23 19:20:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0xf6a69b…
04-23 14:50:22	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	16	30¢	$5	0xa2c99a…
04-23 08:10:28	highest temperature in paris on april 23 2026 21c	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x22fff1…
04-23 06:05:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x7f505d…
04-23 05:22:34	highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 23corhigher	No	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x6a2c6d…
04-23 04:21:08	highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 16c	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xf79b08…
04-22 22:00:44	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	16	29¢	$5	0x37b327…
04-22 22:00:12	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	No	SELL	16	9¢	$1	0x29fb2e…
04-22 20:03:34	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	No	BUY	16	15¢	$2	0x332d52…
04-22 20:00:10	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	14	28¢	$4	0x05a748…
04-22 18:00:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	No	BUY	17	16¢	$3	0x22af84…
04-22 14:00:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	No	SELL	13	21¢	$3	0x887f80…
04-22 12:07:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	11	31¢	$3	0x5f7564…
04-22 12:00:54	highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 23corhigher	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x0269ea…
04-22 10:01:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	No	BUY	13	29¢	$4	0x9d681c…
04-22 06:59:16	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	8	32¢	$2	0x7404e0…
04-22 06:59:02	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x995279…
04-22 06:02:02	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	19	30¢	$6	0x4d99d4…
04-22 06:01:46	highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 15c	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x71134d…
04-22 06:01:42	lal bar cel 2026 04 22 bar	No	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0x506f44…
04-22 06:01:40	epl bur mac 2026 04 22 mac	No	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x38fd67…
04-22 06:01:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	SELL	11	17¢	$2	0x1c97c3…
04-22 02:00:46	highest temperature in shanghai on april 22 2026 19c	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x21870e…