Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$61

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

53.5%

Resolved

619

Trades

1,691

lifetime

Volume

$7.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$17

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 10-25 11:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 42% -$72

Politics

10% 32% +$30

Other

0% 0% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 154 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+27	$13	55¢	$15	+$2	10-20 12:30
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+6	$2	26¢	$2	$0	10-13 12:15
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	+12	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	10-22 16:15
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	+6	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	10-22 16:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	10	$109	206	80	+126	Down	+$4	10-20 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	8	$102	83	71	+12	Up	+$2	10-20 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	10	$102	121	121	+0	Up	+$32	10-20 10:44
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$95	55	55	+0	Yes	+$15	03-02 17:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 12:20 UTC	6	$94	85	49	+36	Down	+$3	03-03 12:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	6	$85	79	79	+0	Up	+$5	10-20 07:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	4	$85	1,072	16	+1,056	Down	+$1	10-20 07:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 12:35 UTC	6	$78	92	36	+56	Up	-$7	03-03 12:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	7	$77	89	54	+36	Down	-$23	10-20 12:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	7	$75	103	58	+45	Down	-$5	10-20 12:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	7	$72	74	58	+16	Down	+$8	10-20 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	8	$67	144	66	+78	Down	+$4	10-20 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	6	$61	48	48	+0	Down	+$1	10-20 10:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 07:50 UTC	4	$60	150	0	+150	Down	-$18	03-04 07:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	6	$58	56	56	+0	Up	+$8	10-20 10:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 12:40 UTC	5	$56	71	26	+44	Down	-$4	03-03 12:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 07:00 UTC	3	$55	130	0	+130	Down	+$22	03-04 07:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	4	$51	40	40	+0	Down	+$11	10-20 10:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	5	$47	128	28	+100	Down	+$1	10-20 10:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 14:25 UTC	4	$47	46	23	+23	Down	-$2	03-03 14:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	5	$47	82	32	+50	Up	+$3	10-20 12:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	6	$46	40	40	+0	Up	-$4	10-20 10:58
will the us next strike iran on february 26 2026 et	2	$46	939	939	+0	No	+$16	02-24 08:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:25 UTC	2	$45	62	0	+62	Down	-$33	03-01 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	3	$45	25	25	+0	Up	+$5	10-20 07:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 15:40 UTC	4	$44	79	0	+79	Down	+$5	03-03 15:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 06:50 UTC	4	$43	99	0	+99	Down	-$5	03-04 06:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	4	$43	46	16	+30	Up	-$6	10-20 10:13
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	2	$41	542	542	+0	Yes	+$11	02-24 17:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 07:10 UTC	2	$40	77	0	+77	Down	+$2	03-04 07:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 11:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	17¢	$1	0x8aea67…
10-25 11:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$2	0x72a595…
10-25 11:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc20a5b…
10-25 11:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xbd2727…
10-25 11:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x974588…
10-25 11:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0xa7f80b…
10-25 11:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x1e591f…
10-25 11:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x87bba8…
10-25 11:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x24d39e…
10-25 09:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x021016…
10-25 09:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x8ff79e…
10-25 09:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	68¢	$3	0x2b9a04…
10-25 09:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x888054…
10-25 09:04:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-25 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x281c0c…
10-25 09:04:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-25 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x10899c…
10-25 09:03:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-25 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0xc95210…
10-25 09:03:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-25 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x66ef78…
10-25 09:02:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-25 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x4f2810…
10-25 09:02:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-25 09:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0x974290…
10-25 09:02:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-25 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x725112…
10-25 09:01:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-25 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0xb95d79…
10-25 09:01:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-25 09:00 UTC	Down	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0x6bcac3…
10-25 09:01:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-25 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x8e0137…
10-25 09:00:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-25 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x4a873e…
10-25 08:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0xc16dcb…
10-25 08:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x3f1fe2…
10-25 07:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x30b51e…
10-25 07:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x145db7…
10-25 07:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xf89e57…
10-25 07:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x0f7ba8…
10-25 06:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd072da…
10-25 06:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x5f47d7…
10-25 06:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0xaccd34…
10-25 06:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x1a11f0…
10-25 06:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x267247…
10-25 06:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xb57e3e…
10-25 06:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xc98f75…
10-25 06:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0xf6da88…
10-25 06:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc55aca…
10-25 06:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0xef16f1…
10-25 06:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x2711d6…
10-24 14:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xbf5b27…
10-24 14:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0xf16b74…
10-24 14:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xbeb005…
10-24 14:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0xc67fc1…
10-24 14:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x5b5f6c…
10-24 14:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xc6dcde…
10-24 14:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xfe7173…
10-24 14:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	52	4¢	$2	0x79b9ab…
10-24 14:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa92ff7…
10-24 14:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	22	6¢	$1	0x66e32b…
10-24 14:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x9eb1f9…
10-24 14:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xd17969…
10-24 14:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x7b98d9…
10-24 14:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xb76dc3…
10-24 14:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x47926e…
10-24 14:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0x7537d7…
10-24 14:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xbfbef4…
10-24 14:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xdd14bb…
10-23 10:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xbcb556…
10-23 10:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa578c8…
10-23 10:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0xbb9533…
10-23 10:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0xadb938…
10-23 10:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb1c677…
10-23 10:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x746f93…
10-23 10:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x18e89a…
10-23 10:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x0e9b4c…
10-23 10:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	63¢	$2	0x60c6df…
10-23 10:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x07873b…
10-23 10:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x2d7a12…
10-22 17:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x2049f8…
10-22 17:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x6dfb7a…
10-22 17:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xa48350…
10-22 17:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x54786e…
10-22 16:17:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x968fa8…
10-22 16:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xae68f7…
10-22 16:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x90af71…
10-22 16:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0xf02e26…
10-22 16:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xcfe787…
10-22 16:15:18	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd267ac…
10-22 16:15:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x2e26d7…
10-22 10:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	58¢	$1	0x76fffb…
10-22 10:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x6ed961…
10-22 10:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x17f38d…
10-21 12:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xc99cfc…
10-21 12:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x4871e5…
10-21 12:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0x771f76…
10-21 12:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xa2b1c7…
10-21 12:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	57¢	$3	0x6b5ad8…
10-21 12:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x3112cd…
10-21 12:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xe65ecb…
10-21 12:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4157d7…
10-21 12:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x5356f1…
10-21 12:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0x228e22…
10-21 12:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xe0d04f…
10-21 12:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9ac4c7…
10-21 12:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0x4ff4f3…
10-21 12:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x3130cc…
10-21 12:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x68327e…
10-21 12:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x524b2d…