Vain-Vagrant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$146

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.3%

Resolved

127

Trades

748

lifetime

Volume

$5.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 06-09 15:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 56% -$153

Other

25% 48% +$4

Politics

4% 60% -$5

Tech

1% 100% +$2

Sports

0% 100% +$7

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-09).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 68k on february 22	29	$494	1,600	1,600	+0	No	+$28	02-22 14:53
bitcoin above 64k on february 24	18	$297	765	765	+0	Yes	+$14	02-24 14:26
will bitcoin dip to 58k february 23 march 1	22	$264	1,390	1,090	+300	No	-$6	02-28 09:10
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 2	93	$256	8,548	4,291	+4,257	No	-$21	03-02 12:20
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 5	84	$251	7,563	1,241	+6,321	No	-$96	03-05 12:15
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	16	$210	740	413	+327	No	-$49	02-22 03:43
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 29	8	$198	600	600	+0	No	+$30	03-28 13:40
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 31	15	$197	372	371	+0	No	+$4	03-31 01:02
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 20	19	$183	740	740	+0	No	+$13	03-19 19:35
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	17	$167	396	396	+0	No	+$3	03-03 13:56
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 3	15	$159	800	800	+0	No	+$57	03-03 08:42
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 4	74	$138	3,360	1,289	+2,071	No	-$29	03-03 19:53
ethereum above 1800 on february 24	5	$134	488	488	+0	Yes	+$6	02-24 15:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	5	$131	1,050	1,050	+0	No	+$5	04-23 17:41
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 6	30	$131	1,178	1,173	+5	No	+$5	03-06 01:26
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 2	5	$125	500	500	+0	No	+$25	03-01 16:49
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	8	$116	131	131	+0	Yes	+$7	03-20 15:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	38	$106	3,111	2,159	+952	No	-$80	04-26 21:56
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	5	$87	115	86	+29	No	+$2	06-09 15:07
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 26	6	$82	200	200	+0	Yes	+$6	03-25 15:07
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 380 399	16	$74	200	200	+0	No	+$2	03-21 13:32
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	6	$71	100	100	+0	Yes	+$3	04-27 16:33
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 65 89	2	$60	100	100	+0	No	+$2	03-14 17:10
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	14	$57	90	193	-103	No	+$15	02-21 23:55
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$55	77	77	+0	No	+$4	05-20 19:51
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 40 64	2	$52	200	200	+0	Yes	+$4	03-14 18:41
bitcoin above 66k on february 23	5	$52	53	53	+0	No	+$1	02-23 07:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	3	$50	200	200	+0	No	+$2	04-23 00:16
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	7	$48	100	100	+0	No	+$2	04-28 21:47
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 280 299	2	$43	30	30	+0	No	+$1	02-20 07:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 15:07:54	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0xa2ea6a…
06-09 15:07:49	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	65¢	$9	0x3dfc8a…
06-09 15:07:49	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0x3035a7…
06-08 01:19:57	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	45¢	$26	0xf7c227…
06-07 16:40:48	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	37¢	$43	0x010ef1…
06-06 18:44:37	bitcoin above 60k on june 7 2026 159	No	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0xab468f…
05-20 19:51:24	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	77	38¢	$30	0xea4e96…
05-20 10:24:36	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	33¢	$25	0x6c6126…
05-18 21:26:27	Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	38	63¢	$24	0x7a3770…
04-28 21:47:48	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	25¢	$15	0x0dbaa5…
04-28 21:47:08	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	24¢	$10	0x168a3d…
04-28 21:42:04	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xf6f60a…
04-28 21:41:54	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x98c398…
04-28 21:39:32	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0x5bb8bb…
04-28 21:38:52	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x89c628…
04-28 21:33:34	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	23¢	$16	0xc37956…
04-27 16:33:46	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	40¢	$18	0x6ccece…
04-27 15:23:18	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	36¢	$11	0xfe2fb3…
04-27 15:19:04	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	34¢	$4	0x9a9924…
04-27 15:16:24	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	34¢	$2	0x98ed6b…
04-27 15:15:58	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xf192ca…
04-27 08:02:08	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x168287…
04-26 21:56:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$6	0x54631e…
04-26 13:11:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	Yes	SELL	48	1¢	$0	0xc9e675…
04-26 12:19:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	Yes	SELL	1,111	1¢	$7	0xdf1fb5…
04-25 15:25:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xd569d5…
04-24 21:49:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	498	2¢	$11	0x3558ce…
04-24 20:16:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xd36088…
04-24 12:56:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	339	2¢	$6	0xfdaa43…
04-24 12:44:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0x9b5260…
04-24 11:44:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x1e7913…
04-24 11:44:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x345074…
04-24 11:44:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x8aad2f…
04-24 11:44:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x2805fa…
04-24 11:44:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xfd545e…
04-24 11:44:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x321d61…
04-24 11:44:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x63aef2…
04-24 11:44:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x489d9d…
04-24 11:44:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xfc0baf…
04-24 11:44:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xd9d178…
04-24 11:44:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xa4bad4…
04-24 11:44:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xa431c3…
04-24 11:44:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x9ad1e6…
04-24 11:44:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x603ac4…
04-24 11:44:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x436ec5…
04-24 11:44:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0x3c26fb…
04-24 11:44:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x27dd85…
04-24 11:44:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x1d5b8d…
04-24 11:08:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x7f72dd…
04-24 11:01:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x89cd5e…
04-24 11:01:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	500	4¢	$18	0x02f564…
04-24 00:36:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	300	4¢	$11	0x6ef286…
04-23 22:59:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	274	4¢	$11	0xc732d0…
04-23 22:47:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xe49714…
04-23 22:47:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x7979ae…
04-23 22:45:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x923d27…
04-23 22:45:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x30dd5e…
04-23 22:44:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x4a95d4…
04-23 17:53:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	300	7¢	$21	0x9b1b6e…
04-23 17:49:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0x9970df…
04-23 17:41:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	650	4¢	$24	0xfc471b…
04-23 00:16:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	125	13¢	$16	0xcd6b5c…
04-23 00:16:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	75	13¢	$10	0x9d1dff…
04-22 23:56:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0xcbe4cb…
04-22 14:36:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	650	4¢	$23	0xb49730…
04-20 17:10:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	400	11¢	$44	0xa58116…
04-20 12:28:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	386	10¢	$39	0x34e7c7…
04-20 12:27:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0x478129…
03-31 01:02:19	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 31	Yes	SELL	13	27¢	$4	0x1707e1…
03-31 01:02:13	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 31	Yes	SELL	26	27¢	$7	0x32390d…
03-31 00:49:49	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 31	Yes	SELL	25	27¢	$7	0xa46a84…
03-31 00:49:49	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 31	Yes	SELL	25	27¢	$7	0x37fffd…
03-31 00:49:33	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 31	Yes	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0xf68c64…
03-31 00:49:33	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 31	Yes	SELL	39	27¢	$11	0xc82423…
03-31 00:49:33	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 31	Yes	SELL	232	27¢	$63	0x5a8052…
03-30 18:50:05	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 31	Yes	BUY	69	20¢	$14	0xabefee…
03-30 18:49:53	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 31	Yes	BUY	72	20¢	$14	0x0a3769…
03-30 18:49:19	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 31	Yes	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0xa5c5e4…
03-30 17:29:27	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 31	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xe4a523…
03-30 17:27:29	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 31	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xc965b5…
03-30 17:27:29	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 31	Yes	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0xc52855…
03-30 16:06:37	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 31	Yes	BUY	28	31¢	$9	0x7207f4…
03-30 16:06:37	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 31	Yes	BUY	172	31¢	$53	0x49ca59…
03-28 13:40:43	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 29	Yes	SELL	494	19¢	$94	0xb72b82…
03-28 13:40:41	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 29	Yes	SELL	100	19¢	$19	0x2efd9f…
03-28 13:40:35	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 29	Yes	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x5b515b…
03-27 18:24:45	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 29	Yes	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0x7eac34…
03-27 13:55:07	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 29	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x3d95c5…
03-27 13:55:05	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 29	Yes	BUY	249	18¢	$45	0x19159e…
03-27 13:54:11	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 29	Yes	BUY	35	18¢	$6	0xc95388…
03-27 13:54:11	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 29	Yes	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0x986b3e…
03-25 15:07:53	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 26	Yes	SELL	100	22¢	$22	0xb4fcfd…
03-25 15:07:51	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 26	Yes	SELL	100	22¢	$22	0x2fdf7e…
03-25 12:56:19	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 26	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc03d50…
03-25 12:56:13	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 26	Yes	BUY	25	19¢	$5	0x92dc29…
03-25 12:55:59	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 26	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x72c92a…
03-25 12:55:51	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 26	Yes	BUY	150	19¢	$28	0xc70686…
03-21 13:32:57	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 380 399	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x0a6fee…
03-21 11:47:45	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 380 399	Yes	SELL	27	19¢	$5	0x5b2386…
03-21 11:47:33	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 380 399	Yes	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0x3388e7…