Sophisticated-Soy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

167

lifetime

Volume

$787

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 07-04 22:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

64% 0% $-6

Politics

27% — —

Sports

5% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?	Yes		+78	$5	8¢	$6	+$1	07-03 12:39
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes		+28	$6	18¢	$5	$-2	07-03 12:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	9	$75	106	69	+37	open	—	06-16 18:01
will donald trump publicly insult friedrich merz by june 30 2026	7	$46	132	132	+0	open	—	06-21 06:01
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	6	$30	183	183	+0	open	—	06-20 14:01
Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?	4	$26	27	27	+0	open	—	06-11 22:01
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	4	$26	22	22	+0	open	—	06-17 22:01
will tsla reach 450 in june 2026	4	$20	55	55	+0	open	—	06-17 18:01
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in April?	2	$19	22	22	+0	open	—	04-18 05:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$19	30	30	+0	open	—	05-25 15:43
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	3	$17	117	117	+0	open	—	06-26 06:01
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$17	33	17	+17	open	—	05-23 05:18
will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	4	$16	132	132	+0	open	—	06-20 18:01
trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30	2	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	06-11 22:01
will xauusd dip to 4200 in june 2026	2	$15	12	12	+0	open	—	06-09 18:01
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	2	$15	11	11	+0	open	—	06-11 18:01
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	2	$15	25	25	+0	open	—	05-25 15:43
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 in May?	2	$14	22	22	+0	open	—	05-25 15:43
Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	2	$14	42	42	+0	open	—	04-12 13:39
will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	2	$13	19	19	+0	open	—	06-16 18:01
will trump praise delcy rodriguez by june 30	2	$13	18	18	+0	open	—	06-08 18:01
will meta dip to 560 in june 2026	2	$12	15	15	+0	open	—	06-08 14:01
Will Russia enter Moskovka by May 31?	3	$12	44	44	+0	open	—	05-18 14:01
will the next google gemini pro model be released by june 19 2026 20260601225410819	2	$12	30	30	+0	open	—	06-12 10:01
will googl reach 400 in june 2026	2	$12	36	36	+0	open	—	06-12 10:01
will googl dip to 340 in june 2026	2	$11	28	28	+0	open	—	06-18 10:00
israel closes its airspace by july 31	2	$11	35	35	+0	open	—	06-19 14:01
gpt 5pt6 released by june 23 2026	2	$11	16	16	+0	open	—	06-14 18:01
will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	2	$10	13	13	+0	open	—	06-26 02:02
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?	2	$10	28	28	+0	open	—	06-16 18:01
Will HC Dynamo Pardubice win Czech Extraliga?	2	$10	18	18	+0	open	—	04-25 06:55
will spy dip to 690 in june 2026	2	$10	29	29	+0	open	—	06-12 10:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 22:00:47	iran successfully targets shipping by july 7 20260629202434611	Yes	SELL	39	7¢	$3	0xb524b5…
07-03 12:41:40	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	23¢	$6	0x0ac64a…
07-03 12:39:38	Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	78	7¢	$5	0x4736b1…
07-02 19:16:28	iran successfully targets shipping by july 7 20260629202434611	Yes	BUY	39	16¢	$6	0x15b6de…
06-28 08:41:47	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	32	20¢	$6	0x6cbcca…
06-27 02:02:35	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	27	10¢	$3	0xc6fc09…
06-26 12:03:59	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0x1f17dd…
06-26 12:01:58	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	Yes	BUY	58	10¢	$6	0x662b19…
06-26 06:01:59	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	Yes	SELL	117	4¢	$5	0x8f4239…
06-26 02:02:23	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	13	28¢	$4	0x69f69c…
06-25 22:00:35	will jared kushner attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204741	Yes	SELL	64	4¢	$3	0xd4f99a…
06-25 22:00:34	will spencer pratt concede by july 2 20260608151037171	Yes	SELL	17	18¢	$3	0xd73d55…
06-24 07:59:46	will jared kushner attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204741	Yes	BUY	64	9¢	$6	0xc5966a…
06-23 08:56:58	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0x42f5a3…
06-23 08:56:55	will spencer pratt concede by july 2 20260608151037171	Yes	BUY	17	39¢	$7	0x83abda…
06-23 08:56:52	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	Yes	BUY	58	10¢	$6	0xb00bc5…
06-23 08:56:50	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	Yes	BUY	58	10¢	$6	0x5b7f42…
06-21 06:01:37	will donald trump publicly insult friedrich merz by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	33	11¢	$4	0x9848fe…
06-20 18:01:38	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	78	2¢	$2	0x9125f3…
06-20 14:01:10	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	88	5¢	$4	0x5c78ce…
06-20 10:59:38	will donald trump publicly insult friedrich merz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	33	19¢	$6	0x65577d…
06-20 10:59:37	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	78	7¢	$5	0xe7c14a…
06-20 10:59:37	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	6¢	$5	0xdb5d03…
06-19 18:01:35	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	54	5¢	$3	0xc6c3f7…
06-19 18:01:35	will openais valuation hit low 700b by june 30	Yes	SELL	78	1¢	$1	0x69e746…
06-19 14:01:40	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	SELL	35	14¢	$5	0xc9952f…
06-19 12:33:34	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	35	19¢	$7	0xe24727…
06-19 12:33:34	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	54	12¢	$6	0x9b3c6f…
06-19 10:01:40	will donald trump publicly insult friedrich merz by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	35	17¢	$6	0x11b39d…
06-19 10:01:38	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x348bdb…
06-19 10:01:38	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	9¢	$5	0x0dbdfe…
06-19 06:56:52	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0xc13733…
06-19 06:56:52	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	10¢	$6	0x3dafd7…
06-19 06:56:52	will donald trump publicly insult friedrich merz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	35	18¢	$6	0x008988…
06-19 06:56:50	will openais valuation hit low 700b by june 30	Yes	BUY	78	7¢	$5	0x9f4eba…
06-18 14:01:40	will donald trump publicly insult friedrich merz by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	64	17¢	$11	0x681652…
06-18 10:00:56	will googl dip to 340 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	28	18¢	$5	0x373e44…
06-18 07:55:31	will googl dip to 340 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	28	23¢	$6	0x7c70fe…
06-18 07:55:28	will donald trump publicly insult friedrich merz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	32	20¢	$6	0x8ad9e4…
06-18 07:55:26	will donald trump publicly insult friedrich merz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	32	20¢	$6	0x1c6a8e…
06-17 22:01:37	Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	11	56¢	$6	0x607c12…
06-17 18:01:38	will tsla reach 450 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	29	13¢	$4	0x4a25cb…
06-17 16:50:32	will tsla reach 450 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	29	18¢	$5	0xb3e7e4…
06-17 16:50:29	Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x2d9d04…
06-16 18:01:41	will tsla reach 450 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	26	18¢	$5	0x4a040b…
06-16 18:01:40	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	14¢	$4	0x7b0148…
06-16 18:01:40	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	19	32¢	$6	0x30005d…
06-16 18:01:38	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	SELL	38	63¢	$24	0xb2cc7c…
06-16 14:01:43	Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	11	53¢	$6	0x5a42ef…
06-16 12:58:46	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	BUY	16	42¢	$7	0xa58d7f…
06-16 12:56:45	Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	11	59¢	$7	0xa01f90…
06-16 12:54:43	will tsla reach 450 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	26	25¢	$6	0x969259…
06-16 12:54:42	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	23¢	$6	0xcf9b16…
06-15 15:30:46	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	BUY	19	34¢	$7	0x2e924e…
06-15 15:28:45	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	BUY	22	30¢	$7	0xc38c9a…
06-14 18:01:36	gpt 5pt6 released by june 23 2026	Yes	SELL	16	29¢	$5	0x8d62ce…
06-14 07:34:01	gpt 5pt6 released by june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	16	41¢	$7	0x8a6e07…
06-13 18:01:34	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	SELL	15	36¢	$5	0xf13fc7…
06-13 14:01:39	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	10¢	$4	0x9547a4…
06-13 09:02:27	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0xb71665…
06-13 09:00:24	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	16¢	$6	0xd74089…
06-12 10:01:39	will the next google gemini pro model be released by june 19 2026 20260601225410819	Yes	SELL	30	18¢	$5	0xe085a9…
06-12 10:01:39	will spy dip to 690 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	29	14¢	$4	0xce8a37…
06-12 10:01:37	will googl reach 400 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	36	16¢	$6	0xe25144…
06-12 08:36:16	will googl reach 400 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	36	17¢	$6	0xe69c82…
06-12 08:34:13	will spy dip to 690 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	29	20¢	$6	0x2a28ec…
06-12 08:30:09	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	BUY	19	35¢	$7	0x9e992d…
06-12 08:30:09	will the next google gemini pro model be released by june 19 2026 20260601225410819	Yes	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0x72198c…
06-11 22:01:37	Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	44¢	$6	0x987777…
06-11 22:01:36	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30	Yes	SELL	11	81¢	$9	0x47c28f…
06-11 21:30:42	Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xd1f1ea…
06-11 21:28:39	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	BUY	18	36¢	$7	0x726c8f…
06-11 18:01:37	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	SELL	11	74¢	$8	0xca3541…
06-10 18:01:42	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	SELL	17	38¢	$6	0x6dc08b…
06-10 18:01:42	Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	46¢	$6	0x2e9a68…
06-10 14:04:04	Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0x7585bf…
06-10 14:02:03	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0x783d90…
06-09 18:01:40	will xauusd dip to 4200 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	12	73¢	$9	0xcc12e1…
06-09 14:04:57	will andurils valuation hit high 85b by june 30	Yes	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0x138194…
06-08 18:01:37	will trump praise delcy rodriguez by june 30	Yes	SELL	18	34¢	$6	0x0044dc…
06-08 14:01:40	will meta dip to 560 in june 2026	No	SELL	15	37¢	$6	0xf7f050…
06-07 05:09:22	will meta dip to 560 in june 2026	No	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x23b0f4…
06-07 05:07:21	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	11	59¢	$7	0xdbc906…
06-07 05:05:18	will xauusd dip to 4200 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x25863f…
06-07 05:03:15	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30	Yes	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x1affd0…
06-07 05:01:12	will trump praise delcy rodriguez by june 30	Yes	BUY	18	38¢	$7	0x8db5c7…
05-25 15:43:45	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 in May?	Yes	SELL	22	35¢	$8	0x72d2a4…
05-25 15:43:36	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	No	SELL	25	33¢	$8	0xd09a13…
05-25 15:43:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	30	40¢	$12	0xe2bc45…
05-23 06:04:26	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 in May?	Yes	BUY	22	30¢	$7	0x9c5ee4…
05-23 06:02:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0xb71790…
05-23 06:02:23	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	No	BUY	25	26¢	$6	0x80be28…
05-23 05:18:33	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0x33b95d…
05-19 13:49:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0x4dd876…
05-19 13:43:02	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x1f2cd1…
05-18 14:01:38	Will Russia enter Moskovka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x459ad0…
05-16 18:01:49	Kash Patel out by May 31?	Yes	SELL	9	9¢	$1	0xff65e5…
05-16 12:44:32	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	45¢	$2	0x9ab921…
05-14 08:23:58	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	17	20¢	$3	0x1b0ed6…
05-05 15:36:42	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	17	39¢	$7	0x9920ce…