Quirky-Piece — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$158

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,079

lifetime

Volume

$45.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 05-14 09:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Sports

75% 37% $-166

Other

15% — —

Politics

7% — —

Crypto

2% 100% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	4	$3.3K	1,860	1,860	+0	open	—	05-14 09:08
atp kolar callejo 2026 04 02	4	$387	440	0	+440	open	—	04-02 10:41
atp oki ilagan 2026 03 31	4	$363	390	0	+390	open	—	04-02 05:11
nba nop sac 2026 04 03	1	$327	380	0	+380	open	—	04-04 03:25
nhl stl lak 2026 04 01	15	$320	360	0	+360	open	—	04-02 03:30
mlb sf bal 2026 04 12	8	$296	426	209	+216	open	—	04-12 10:01
atp bennan hanfman 2026 04 01	1	$294	320	0	+320	open	—	04-01 15:07
atp carabel assche 2026 04 03	1	$292	390	0	+390	open	—	04-03 16:04
atp moeller navone 2026 04 01	4	$264	300	0	+300	open	—	04-01 10:17
atp boitan moeller 2026 03 30	1	$208	260	0	+260	open	—	03-31 08:13
atp muller jodar 2026 04 03	5	$200	230	0	+230	open	—	04-03 13:22
nba was uta 2026 03 25	1	$196	230	0	+230	open	—	03-26 01:59
atp boulais sekulic 2026 04 12	9	$180	200	0	+200	open	—	04-14 07:33
atp laarous echargu 2026 03 29	2	$173	190	0	+190	open	—	03-29 12:40
atp dzumhur zandsch 2026 04 02	2	$166	200	0	+200	open	—	04-03 12:09
mlb mia atl 2026 04 14	3	$163	200	196	+4	open	—	04-14 10:00
nba atl det 2026 03 25	6	$156	200	0	+200	open	—	03-26 00:26
btc updown 5m 1775277900	5	$152	200	0	+200	open	—	04-04 04:49
atp uchida su 2026 03 23	1	$149	160	0	+160	open	—	03-24 04:13
nba orl cle 2026 03 24	6	$148	170	0	+170	open	—	03-25 02:04
atp sharipo uchiyam 2026 04 13	9	$146	200	0	+200	open	—	04-14 07:38
mlb cle stl 2026 04 13	8	$144	300	0	+300	open	—	04-13 15:05
atp engel kopriva 2026 04 13	1	$142	200	0	+200	open	—	04-14 07:32
atp park zhukaye 2026 04 12	5	$142	200	0	+200	open	—	04-14 08:57
mlb ari bal 2026 04 13	1	$138	300	0	+300	open	—	04-13 07:15
mlb tex oak 2026 04 13	1	$138	300	0	+300	open	—	04-14 01:32
atp engel quilez 2026 04 03	6	$134	170	0	+170	open	—	04-03 10:31
nba bkn por 2026 03 23	4	$133	140	0	+140	open	—	03-24 02:55
mlb mia atl 2026 04 13	1	$132	300	0	+300	open	—	04-13 07:15
nba tor uta 2026 03 23	2	$126	140	0	+140	open	—	03-24 02:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 09:08:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1,860	99¢	$1,847	0x644fda…
05-08 05:26:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	897	80¢	$721	0x4e5cb3…
05-08 05:21:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	943	80¢	$757	0x688ae1…
05-08 03:53:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xaef0f7…
05-06 06:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xa1e308…
05-06 04:25:14	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x453dfa…
05-06 04:25:06	Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xf3eb94…
05-06 04:24:58	Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xf09599…
05-06 04:24:52	Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees	Texas Rangers	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x21a5d5…
05-06 04:24:46	Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x925a3d…
05-06 04:24:38	Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Athletics	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0xbfe232…
05-06 04:24:32	Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xd5d5c9…
05-06 04:24:24	Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	Atlanta Braves	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x38d538…
05-06 04:24:18	New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0xb8b5d7…
05-06 04:21:08	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros	Houston Astros	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x81dad5…
05-06 04:21:00	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xe2a3ca…
05-05 14:50:34	Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	67	44¢	$30	0x093fe8…
05-05 14:46:26	Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2e190e…
05-05 14:36:24	Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	31	44¢	$14	0x926e5e…
05-05 14:31:02	Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	Atlanta Braves	BUY	48	45¢	$22	0xd31e1a…
05-05 14:30:40	Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	Atlanta Braves	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xee70c7…
05-05 14:30:40	Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	Atlanta Braves	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc45c90…
05-05 14:27:40	Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	Atlanta Braves	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xd112bf…
05-05 14:18:56	Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	Atlanta Braves	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x98c9e6…
05-05 14:13:34	Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	Atlanta Braves	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x1d80ae…
05-05 14:12:12	Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	Atlanta Braves	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x9f9526…
05-05 14:12:12	Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	Atlanta Braves	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x1f00b6…
05-05 14:12:06	San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants	San Diego Padres	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x017251…
05-05 14:11:46	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x18f60b…
05-05 14:08:56	Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	Atlanta Braves	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0x18ed1d…
05-05 14:07:54	New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x9de2a8…
05-05 14:07:30	Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x95600b…
05-05 14:07:06	Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees	Texas Rangers	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x5fbe88…
05-05 14:06:06	Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Athletics	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0xa5b6de…
05-05 14:05:30	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xf58e87…
05-04 14:41:08	San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants	San Francisco Giants	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x995462…
05-04 14:40:44	Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	Atlanta Braves	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x12fcfc…
05-04 14:40:02	Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels	Chicago White Sox	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0xc3cc10…
05-04 14:39:28	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros	Houston Astros	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x98b212…
05-04 14:38:52	Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x867f3f…
05-04 14:38:14	Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xa392f7…
05-04 14:37:48	Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x6969f0…
05-04 14:37:22	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x9f1604…
05-04 14:36:54	Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers	Boston Red Sox	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x651a16…
05-04 14:36:32	New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0xa3df38…
05-03 17:41:06	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xae6a30…
05-03 09:15:32	Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers	Texas Rangers	BUY	79	47¢	$37	0x6669aa…
05-03 08:11:42	Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers	Texas Rangers	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0xa068f9…
05-03 07:53:44	Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers	Texas Rangers	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x137a7a…
05-03 07:36:38	Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres	Chicago White Sox	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0xf04ffc…
05-03 07:36:16	New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xe0443d…
05-03 07:35:56	Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xb45046…
05-03 07:34:54	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x80a3dc…
05-03 07:34:32	San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Rays	San Francisco Giants	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x528396…
05-03 07:34:10	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xf2f909…
05-03 07:33:42	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x3bcd99…
05-03 07:33:20	Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox	Houston Astros	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x12717c…
05-03 02:56:16	Saint-Malo: Tereza Valentova vs Moyuka Uchijima	Moyuka Uchijima	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0xb182f7…
05-03 02:55:58	La Bisbal: Daria Kasatkina vs Tamara Korpatsch	Tamara Korpatsch	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x729b24…
05-03 02:55:42	Huzhou: Veronika Erjavec vs Katarzyna Kawa	Katarzyna Kawa	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0xc35e3f…
05-03 02:55:10	Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x82e022…
05-03 02:54:48	Aix en Provence: Zizou Bergs vs Alejandro Tabilo	Zizou Bergs	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x6b54f4…
05-03 02:54:28	Mauthausen: Jaime Faria vs Roman Safiullin	Jaime Faria	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x1ab7ea…
05-03 02:54:08	Ostrava: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Zdenek Kolar	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x585b37…
05-03 02:53:46	Shymkent 2: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Manoj Dhamne Manas	Manoj Dhamne Manas	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x791553…
05-03 02:53:30	Jiujiang: Adam Walton vs Coleman Wong	Adam Walton	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0xa6e4a4…
05-02 05:38:06	Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners	Kansas City Royals	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x64e10c…
05-02 05:37:24	New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xb89996…
05-02 05:36:46	Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres	Chicago White Sox	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x22391b…
05-02 05:36:20	Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers	Texas Rangers	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xe6f2e8…
05-02 05:35:56	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0xb1f3d8…
05-02 05:35:34	Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox	Houston Astros	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xb7d70a…
05-02 05:35:20	Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x3ee9be…
05-02 05:34:28	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x52de1a…
05-02 05:34:04	Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0xe2e203…
05-02 05:33:48	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xa1d69d…
05-02 05:33:24	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x3f32bc…
05-02 05:33:02	Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x267693…
05-01 09:20:26	Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners	Kansas City Royals	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x27b68c…
05-01 09:19:28	Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres	Chicago White Sox	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x524c19…
05-01 09:18:40	New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x4e7176…
05-01 09:18:06	Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0xcfddd5…
05-01 09:17:32	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x2a3b9c…
05-01 09:17:00	San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Rays	San Francisco Giants	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x07cebb…
05-01 09:16:32	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x05a87b…
05-01 09:15:48	Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x1ca645…
05-01 09:15:30	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x7243a2…
05-01 09:15:24	Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xab185a…
05-01 09:15:06	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xac08c1…
04-30 07:37:28	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x6beb8b…
04-30 07:37:22	Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics	Kansas City Royals	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x55b71e…
04-30 07:37:16	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xfa4fcb…
04-30 07:37:10	Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets	Washington Nationals	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0xe2855a…
04-30 07:35:50	San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies	San Francisco Giants	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x7ac55d…
04-30 07:35:44	Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds	Colorado Rockies	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x565c36…
04-30 07:35:38	Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles	Houston Astros	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xd9e7fd…
04-30 07:35:30	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xf65f02…
04-30 07:35:22	Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Braves	Detroit Tigers	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xaba5ca…
04-30 07:35:14	San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies	San Francisco Giants	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0xcb3fae…
04-29 06:09:08	Utah vs. Golden Knights	Utah	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0xc37cf0…