Apprehensive-Checkroom — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$173

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.3%

Resolved

221

Trades

12,487

lifetime

Volume

$57.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 05-19 02:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 52% +$173

Politics

4% — —

Other

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 727 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	6	$887	1,078	0	+1,078	open	—	05-15 11:45
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	5	$869	1,046	0	+1,046	open	—	05-15 11:45
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	7	$794	409	409	+0	open	—	05-15 11:40
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$738	882	0	+882	open	—	05-15 11:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$229	137	137	+0	open	—	05-19 02:28
btc updown 15m 1774875600	2	$42	78	0	+78	open	—	03-30 12:58
highest temperature in dallas on march 5 2026 82 83f	1	$30	55	0	+55	open	—	03-05 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	7	$29	58	0	+58	open	—	04-29 21:59
eth updown 5m 1774899000	2	$28	51	0	+51	open	—	03-30 19:28
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	17	$25	139	0	+139	open	—	04-29 20:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	5	$24	40	0	+40	open	—	04-29 20:33
btc updown 5m 1776279300	5	$24	53	0	+53	open	—	04-15 18:58
eth updown 15m 1774875600	1	$21	39	0	+39	open	—	03-30 12:58
btc updown 15m 1774881000	1	$21	39	0	+39	open	—	03-30 14:28
btc updown 15m 1774881900	1	$21	39	0	+39	open	—	03-30 14:43
eth updown 15m 1774876500	1	$21	39	0	+39	open	—	03-30 13:13
btc updown 15m 1774847700	1	$21	39	0	+39	open	—	03-30 05:13
btc updown 15m 1774848600	1	$21	39	0	+39	open	—	03-30 05:28
eth updown 15m 1774865700	1	$21	39	0	+39	open	—	03-30 10:13
btc updown 15m 1774845000	1	$21	38	0	+38	open	—	03-30 04:28
eth updown 15m 1774845000	1	$21	38	0	+38	open	—	03-30 04:28
btc updown 15m 1774893600	1	$21	38	0	+38	open	—	03-30 17:58
eth updown 15m 1774842300	1	$21	38	0	+38	open	—	03-30 03:43
btc updown 15m 1774860300	1	$21	38	0	+38	open	—	03-30 08:43
btc updown 15m 1774842300	1	$21	38	0	+38	open	—	03-30 03:43
btc updown 15m 1774890000	1	$21	38	0	+38	open	—	03-30 16:58
btc updown 15m 1774740600	1	$21	38	0	+38	open	—	03-28 23:28
btc updown 15m 1774890900	1	$21	38	0	+38	open	—	03-30 17:13
btc updown 15m 1774839600	1	$21	38	0	+38	open	—	03-30 02:58
eth updown 15m 1774859400	1	$21	38	0	+38	open	—	03-30 08:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 02:28:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	137	94¢	$129	0x4f179c…
05-19 00:54:32	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xa21b16…
05-19 00:53:36	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0xd942db…
05-19 00:53:13	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	BUY	73	7¢	$5	0x145e9c…
05-19 00:52:22	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0x784718…
05-19 00:51:58	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xccea17…
05-19 00:51:17	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0xe84a77…
05-19 00:50:58	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	BUY	32	7¢	$2	0x70dc86…
05-17 23:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0xd761a0…
05-17 23:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xcd31b7…
05-17 23:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x98f36e…
05-17 21:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	38¢	$7	0x8ac7cb…
05-17 21:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0xc86f42…
05-17 21:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc7e79e…
05-17 21:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x3a94f1…
05-17 21:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x09cd47…
05-17 21:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	37	38¢	$14	0x81993a…
05-17 21:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0xf66ff2…
05-17 21:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xa35376…
05-17 21:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x40255a…
05-17 21:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x200b6b…
05-17 21:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0x1d5ca9…
05-17 21:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x0be1fb…
05-17 21:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	40	38¢	$15	0x75aa7a…
05-17 20:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	49¢	$8	0x85354f…
05-17 20:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xb9b2be…
05-17 20:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	38	48¢	$18	0xb1f317…
05-17 20:38:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x95bc61…
05-17 20:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	51	35¢	$18	0xf6de69…
05-17 19:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	60¢	$8	0xcbf397…
05-17 19:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	60¢	$8	0x81a1be…
05-17 19:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x18cafa…
05-17 19:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	31	56¢	$17	0x69ae82…
05-17 19:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x03ed11…
05-17 18:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0xf979a9…
05-17 18:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	43¢	$7	0x48519d…
05-17 18:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	43¢	$7	0x380c02…
05-17 18:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x089203…
05-17 17:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	48	41¢	$20	0x78df6e…
05-17 17:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0xf39a25…
05-17 17:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	57¢	$7	0xcb353f…
05-17 17:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x522639…
05-17 17:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	42	45¢	$19	0x2958f8…
05-17 17:08:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	52	31¢	$16	0xbf17ed…
05-17 16:40:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x97357f…
05-17 15:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	45	39¢	$18	0xe1c59c…
05-17 15:42:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x9a636a…
05-17 15:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	42	35¢	$15	0x5988fc…
05-17 15:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	48	37¢	$18	0x115278…
05-17 14:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0xe1b3f5…
05-17 13:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xd01ce9…
05-17 13:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x7fd48f…
05-17 13:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x7837da…
05-17 13:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x70d0f2…
05-17 13:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x5a6056…
05-17 13:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x02cc26…
05-17 13:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	27	45¢	$12	0x7620d9…
05-17 13:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x5cc431…
05-17 13:12:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0x1ea5b1…
05-17 12:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0xf8cf02…
05-17 12:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	32	35¢	$11	0xb6a8d5…
05-17 12:03:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$1	0x16f1be…
05-17 10:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	52	34¢	$18	0x151c9f…
05-17 10:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	52	37¢	$19	0xf2e7b6…
05-17 10:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	38¢	$4	0xd4b570…
05-17 10:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xcc023f…
05-17 10:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x9a584e…
05-17 10:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x78e479…
05-17 10:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x0d6568…
05-17 10:17:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xd380df…
05-17 10:17:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xbdf21f…
05-17 10:17:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	24	38¢	$9	0xb5b955…
05-17 10:17:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xaa5562…
05-17 10:17:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xa8d0b5…
05-17 10:08:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x82b616…
05-17 10:08:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	39¢	$6	0x497906…
05-17 10:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0xa434bd…
05-17 09:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0x884c3d…
05-17 09:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	64¢	$11	0x662b5c…
05-17 09:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	64¢	$0	0x2cb1fa…
05-17 09:56:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xf36a5b…
05-17 09:56:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0xcbbb70…
05-17 09:56:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x70d20b…
05-17 09:56:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	45¢	$8	0x2365b4…
05-17 09:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	43	37¢	$16	0xb5d5ee…
05-17 09:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xa11f87…
05-17 09:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x6f9826…
05-17 09:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x694e45…
05-17 09:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x0fe6dc…
05-17 09:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	46	40¢	$18	0xd8edeb…
05-17 09:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	37	44¢	$16	0x6bcefd…
05-17 08:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x43c889…
05-17 07:13:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	36	38¢	$14	0x469c24…
05-17 07:13:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x00e5e9…
05-17 07:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd355ff…
05-17 07:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	28	45¢	$12	0xc2f94b…
05-17 07:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x646508…
05-17 07:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x5b7a59…
05-17 07:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x1d5b6b…
05-17 04:22:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	42	47¢	$20	0x2817c4…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	948	$249.0K	41,851	05-17 21:49
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	942	$298.5K	56,731	05-18 22:56
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	903	$450.2K	31,631	05-17 21:46
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	885	$296.8K	97,392	05-17 21:49
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	868	$1.75M	101,656	05-17 21:49
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	864	$293.2K	93,291	05-17 21:49
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	819	$952	3,166	05-17 21:50
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	812	$97.1K	28,294	05-17 21:49