Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.4%

Resolved

Trades

6,555

lifetime

Volume

$498.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$76

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-07 00:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

43% — —

Politics

30% — —

Tech

27% — —

Crypto

0% 67% $-16

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
gpt 5pt4 released by march 5	69	$16.2K	9,899	9,813	+86	open	—	03-05 18:05
will chatgpt be back in as the 1 free app in the us apple store by march 15 744 344	12	$13.8K	7,407	7,407	+0	open	—	03-09 01:26
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	32	$11.7K	9,401	9,401	+0	open	—	03-08 21:12
gpt 5pt3 released by march 31 2026 735 745 742	27	$10.7K	6,472	5,972	+500	open	—	03-03 18:15
internet access restored in iran by friday 263	119	$9.9K	7,664	7,389	+275	open	—	01-29 22:53
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	113	$9.2K	18,941	19,366	-425	open	—	02-28 00:39
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	65	$9.0K	10,899	10,899	+0	open	—	02-28 21:22
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	16	$8.4K	5,647	5,647	+0	open	—	03-08 21:18
gpt 5pt3 released by february 28 394 385	56	$7.9K	5,932	7,011	-1,078	open	—	02-27 19:16
will big ai be out as 1 free app in the us apple store by march 8	28	$7.6K	5,422	5,422	+0	open	—	03-08 07:48
will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 10	14	$7.1K	4,141	4,141	+0	open	—	03-10 16:00
will google have the 3 ai model at the end of february 2026	62	$6.9K	6,583	6,331	+252	open	—	02-22 14:42
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	62	$6.8K	7,136	7,213	-77	open	—	02-28 19:31
will big ai be out as 1 free app in the us apple store by march 9	14	$6.8K	4,093	4,093	+0	open	—	03-08 07:50
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	18	$6.1K	4,112	3,836	+276	open	—	03-08 21:56
will khamenei tweet again by march 7 216	11	$6.0K	3,804	3,804	+0	open	—	03-06 14:04
gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	34	$5.8K	3,952	3,952	+0	open	—	03-03 18:14
us forcibly removes khamenei from power by march 31	56	$5.8K	6,201	2,845	+3,356	open	—	03-01 05:13
will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 10	14	$5.7K	3,988	3,988	+0	open	—	03-10 15:57
will israel strike lebanon on march 1 2026	7	$5.5K	3,094	3,094	+0	open	—	03-01 23:38
will iran strike cyprus in march	33	$5.3K	6,284	6,284	+0	open	—	03-02 18:52
will iran strike israel on march 10	19	$5.3K	3,875	3,839	+36	open	—	03-12 22:05
will axiom be accused of insider trading	24	$5.2K	6,067	5,751	+317	open	—	02-26 13:45
will chatgpt be back in as the 1 free app in the us apple store by march 11	3	$5.2K	2,611	2,611	+0	open	—	03-09 01:26
will google gemini 3 score at least 40 on the frontiermath benchmark	69	$4.9K	3,404	3,685	-281	open	—	01-26 16:05
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 9 795	47	$4.7K	3,216	3,216	+0	open	—	03-08 21:17
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	82	$4.6K	7,030	7,030	+0	open	—	03-12 07:23
will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	38	$4.5K	2,851	2,851	+0	open	—	03-17 00:53
ukr1 pol kar 2026 03 13 kar	6	$4.5K	2,438	2,438	+0	open	—	03-13 13:10
iran leadership change by march 31	24	$4.4K	7,708	7,708	+0	open	—	03-17 19:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 00:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xbac6e5…
05-07 00:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0xb9ab15…
05-06 23:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xff45b0…
03-25 22:51:09	will xai have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	906	26¢	$231	0xeb0f50…
03-25 12:17:25	will xai have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	906	23¢	$211	0x489fac…
03-23 22:52:23	will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 24	Yes	BUY	23	39¢	$9	0x746f10…
03-18 16:12:39	will xai have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0x7ef8d8…
03-18 13:50:07	will mojtaba khamenei tweet again on march 18	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x776c4d…
03-18 12:44:39	will google have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	229	53¢	$122	0x6a24ad…
03-18 11:57:31	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 20	Yes	SELL	280	3¢	$8	0x62d267…
03-18 11:56:57	will google have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	684	57¢	$393	0xfdc4e5…
03-18 11:56:45	will xai have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	381	29¢	$110	0x86f6f4…
03-18 11:46:13	chatgpt outage by march 20	No	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xda091d…
03-18 11:46:05	will mojtaba khamenei tweet again on march 20	Yes	SELL	57	64¢	$37	0xee353b…
03-18 11:44:29	GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,534	71¢	$1,089	0x656e66…
03-18 10:26:39	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 20	Yes	BUY	280	7¢	$20	0x412910…
03-18 00:36:01	chatgpt outage by march 20	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x614539…
03-17 19:40:17	will trump say hormuz during taoiseach events	Yes	SELL	320	4¢	$12	0x7e2414…
03-17 19:32:21	will trump say ballroom or arch during taoiseach events	Yes	SELL	138	18¢	$25	0x934cd8…
03-17 19:32:11	will trump say epic fury during taoiseach events	Yes	SELL	159	7¢	$12	0xe5e30e…
03-17 19:29:43	will google have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	4,140	1¢	$48	0x70c17d…
03-17 19:29:29	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	Yes	SELL	2,607	18¢	$477	0xac7794…
03-17 19:29:21	will khamenei tweet again on march 20 2026 825 171	Yes	SELL	254	75¢	$191	0xebd8ad…
03-17 19:29:15	will anthropic have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	1,271	3¢	$37	0x3978c5…
03-17 19:29:11	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	SELL	397	11¢	$44	0xdd145a…
03-17 18:36:33	chatgpt outage by march 31	No	BUY	750	12¢	$90	0x460d33…
03-17 18:36:29	chatgpt outage by march 31	No	BUY	165	9¢	$16	0x25a229…
03-17 17:18:15	will trump say ballroom or arch during taoiseach events	Yes	BUY	138	34¢	$47	0x95a328…
03-17 17:17:47	will trump say epic fury during taoiseach events	Yes	BUY	159	13¢	$20	0xf36611…
03-17 17:17:37	will trump say hormuz during taoiseach events	Yes	BUY	320	6¢	$20	0x555df8…
03-17 15:21:11	will mojtaba khamenei tweet again on march 17	Yes	BUY	685	17¢	$116	0xac25ad…
03-17 14:25:51	will mojtaba khamenei tweet again on march 20	Yes	BUY	57	65¢	$37	0xb550a9…
03-17 13:24:29	will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 17	Yes	SELL	200	24¢	$47	0x3320e6…
03-17 11:24:19	will big ai be out as 1 free app in the us apple store by march 20	Yes	SELL	1,000	85¢	$851	0x685024…
03-17 10:59:41	us evacuates baghdad embassy by march 31	Yes	SELL	297	14¢	$41	0x9acae0…
03-17 10:24:51	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 17	No	SELL	458	27¢	$126	0x788f89…
03-17 09:56:53	will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 17	Yes	BUY	44	52¢	$23	0x8c6296…
03-17 05:47:55	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 17	No	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x152d61…
03-17 05:28:35	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 17	No	BUY	304	30¢	$91	0x7e0511…
03-17 04:59:59	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 17	No	BUY	90	34¢	$31	0xb1f580…
03-17 04:33:13	will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 17	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x68c290…
03-17 04:32:11	will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 17	Yes	BUY	115	6¢	$7	0x8f8f81…
03-17 04:08:55	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 17	No	BUY	794	4¢	$30	0xdf7d9a…
03-17 01:21:11	will xai have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	1,000	27¢	$274	0x8b7c4f…
03-17 01:00:13	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	328	38¢	$125	0x787739…
03-17 00:55:31	khamenei of tweets march 17 march 24 2026 0 19	Yes	SELL	347	76¢	$264	0x36dc4b…
03-17 00:55:21	will louis theroux inside the manosphere be the 2 global netflix movie this week	Yes	SELL	187	98¢	$184	0x382787…
03-17 00:54:59	Claude 4.7 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	180	42¢	$76	0x7f2799…
03-17 00:54:49	will xai have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	1,636	3¢	$53	0x21a459…
03-17 00:54:25	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	248	21¢	$52	0x44ee91…
03-17 00:54:19	will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	Yes	SELL	1,009	6¢	$61	0x411b03…
03-17 00:53:57	will khamenei tweet again on march 17 2026 723 397	Yes	SELL	69	75¢	$51	0x94b19f…
03-17 00:53:47	donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 120 139	Yes	SELL	205	9¢	$19	0x24b8aa…
03-17 00:53:35	will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	237	89¢	$211	0x4d17b5…
03-17 00:53:31	will anthropic have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	232	89¢	$208	0x00de33…
03-17 00:53:23	will the dinosaurs be the 2 us netflix show this week 774	Yes	SELL	541	98¢	$530	0x94e531…
03-17 00:53:17	will the dinosaurs be the 2 global netflix show this week 475	Yes	SELL	122	99¢	$120	0xf72bf0…
03-17 00:52:57	internet access restored in iran by april 30 2026	No	SELL	55	66¢	$36	0xa61fad…
03-17 00:52:45	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	SELL	454	6¢	$27	0xab5f09…
03-17 00:52:41	will iran strike turkey in march	Yes	SELL	222	10¢	$22	0x76ee6f…
03-17 00:52:35	will trump post oscar or oscars on truth social this week	No	SELL	38	33¢	$13	0x6522c2…
03-17 00:52:33	will uk strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	310	4¢	$11	0xd00d16…
03-17 00:52:27	will france strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	314	4¢	$11	0xb20c0b…
03-17 00:52:23	will anthropic have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	348	2¢	$8	0xb25035…
03-17 00:52:19	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	Yes	SELL	221	1¢	$3	0xe12df1…
03-17 00:52:13	military action against iran ends on march 25 2026	Yes	SELL	961	0¢	$5	0x2ced23…
03-17 00:52:11	will radaromega doppler radar app be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 17	Yes	SELL	717	0¢	$1	0x7ee236…
03-17 00:51:57	khamenei of tweets march 17 march 24 2026 200plus	Yes	SELL	370	0¢	$1	0x9ef1f8…
03-17 00:51:51	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 17	No	SELL	474	0¢	$2	0x8919c8…
03-17 00:51:47	will mojtaba khamenei tweet again on march 20	No	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x13dbcf…
03-17 00:51:41	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x4600f9…
03-17 00:51:37	GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xd6cb94…
03-17 00:51:33	will love is blind the reunion be the 2 us netflix show this week	Yes	SELL	427	0¢	$1	0x9fd89d…
03-17 00:51:29	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 15	Yes	SELL	300	0¢	$1	0xa4fe32…
03-17 00:51:15	will google gemini be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 17	Yes	SELL	92	0¢	$0	0xe99f09…
03-17 00:51:07	gpt 5pt5 released by april 15 2026	Yes	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0xda8a5e…
03-17 00:51:03	Claude 4.7 released by March 31?	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0x196225…
03-17 00:41:33	will trump cut off trade with spain	Yes	SELL	1,405	2¢	$25	0x21f9a9…
03-17 00:41:15	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	198	12¢	$24	0x27a015…
03-17 00:40:57	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	Yes	SELL	50	37¢	$18	0x4c18fc…
03-17 00:37:47	will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	Yes	SELL	500	7¢	$35	0xb9d313…
03-17 00:27:43	us evacuates baghdad embassy by march 31	Yes	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0xf61559…
03-17 00:18:43	us evacuates baghdad embassy by march 31	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x37dc23…
03-16 23:59:25	donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 120 139	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x32e14e…
03-16 23:57:41	donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 120 139	Yes	BUY	195	19¢	$37	0x9a3cc9…
03-16 23:33:11	will mojtaba khamenei tweet again on march 17	No	BUY	105	44¢	$47	0x9b2a17…
03-16 23:26:25	will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 17	Yes	BUY	183	3¢	$6	0x675772…
03-16 22:54:23	will mojtaba khamenei tweet again on march 20	No	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x626b02…
03-16 22:47:13	will mojtaba khamenei tweet again on march 20	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xa1691f…
03-16 22:45:49	will mojtaba khamenei tweet again on march 20	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x3c4727…
03-16 22:37:05	will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 17	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd9049f…
03-16 22:15:23	will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 17	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x3042c6…
03-16 22:13:37	will big ai be out as 1 free app in the us apple store by march 20	Yes	BUY	995	30¢	$298	0x8f8f8e…
03-16 22:13:11	will big ai be out as 1 free app in the us apple store by march 20	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x819c80…
03-16 22:01:11	will mojtaba khamenei tweet again on march 20	Yes	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0xad59b1…
03-16 21:52:57	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	Yes	BUY	900	11¢	$100	0xfd6952…
03-16 21:51:11	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,707	12¢	$200	0x4c33a0…
03-16 21:26:21	will xai have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	218	4¢	$9	0xdf5bfe…
03-16 21:26:07	will xai have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	300	5¢	$15	0xf62334…
03-16 21:24:43	will google have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	177	69¢	$122	0x83294f…