Starchy-Script — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.5%

Resolved (90d)

1,645

Trades (90d)

2,165

6,018 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$11.1K

$24.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 11-01 15:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 183 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 67% -$114

Other

3% 48% -$50

Tech

1% 0% -$34

Politics

0% 0% -$34

Sports

0% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 08:40 UTC	15	$103	85	45	+40	Up	-$13	03-26 08:45
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 09:20 UTC	6	$99	72	53	+19	Down	+$7	03-22 09:25
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 07:30 UTC	12	$98	86	55	+31	Up	+$12	03-26 07:35
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 07:45 UTC	7	$97	103	53	+50	Up	+$9	03-22 07:50
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 07:30 UTC	13	$97	54	51	+3	Up	+$4	03-25 07:35
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 12:50 UTC	6	$94	64	49	+15	Up	+$4	03-22 12:55
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 05:35 UTC	19	$92	54	47	+7	Up	+$3	03-24 05:40
will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	6	$88	122	68	+54	Yes	-$25	06-09 13:50
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 17:25 UTC	10	$85	68	43	+25	Down	+$1	03-21 17:30
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 06:50 UTC	12	$83	59	43	+16	Up	+$3	03-24 06:55
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 12:20 UTC	6	$78	62	40	+22	Up	+$3	03-22 12:25
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 15:50 UTC	12	$78	66	37	+29	Up	-$4	03-25 15:55
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 06:45 UTC	7	$78	70	36	+34	Down	-$5	03-23 06:50
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 05:00 UTC	9	$77	45	40	+5	Down	+$4	03-26 05:05
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 06:55 UTC	13	$76	278	35	+243	Up	-$6	03-26 07:02
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 17:35 UTC	10	$71	63	30	+33	Up	-$11	03-21 17:40
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 05:30 UTC	10	$67	55	30	+25	Up	-$7	03-26 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	7	$66	63	63	+0	Up	+$1	07-29 06:38
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 19:10 UTC	10	$65	42	36	+6	Up	+$7	03-24 19:15
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 26?	2	$65	36	36	+0	Down	+$7	05-26 21:02
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 06:30 UTC	12	$65	53	28	+25	Up	-$8	04-03 06:35
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 08:20 UTC	11	$64	59	33	+26	Up	+$3	03-26 08:25
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 2?	7	$62	114	114	+0	Up	+$4	06-02 19:48
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 17:40 UTC	11	$61	52	25	+27	Up	-$11	03-25 17:46
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 07:15 UTC	5	$58	84	0	+84	Up	-$13	03-23 07:17
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 06:00 UTC	8	$57	34	28	+6	Down	-$1	03-26 06:05
xrp up or down july 30 2026 6am et	2	$55	29	29	+0	Down	+$3	07-30 11:00
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 04:50 UTC	7	$54	33	28	+5	Down	+$2	03-26 04:55
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 07:25 UTC	8	$54	33	28	+5	Down	+$2	03-26 07:30
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 08:50 UTC	11	$53	84	0	+84	Up	-$29	03-26 08:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 15:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0xead78f…
11-01 15:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0x7fb8dd…
11-01 15:07:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0x90dcbf…
11-01 15:03:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$1	0xbeb486…
11-01 14:58:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0xe7b252…
11-01 14:54:09	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$1	0x098541…
11-01 14:48:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0xd2ba5c…
11-01 14:47:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x43a116…
11-01 13:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xd5092f…
11-01 13:52:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xfd921c…
11-01 13:37:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0x801743…
11-01 13:32:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0x2b7ece…
11-01 13:27:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xc96c2f…
11-01 13:22:33	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$1	0x3e9f92…
11-01 13:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x01266c…
11-01 13:01:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xd3f8d1…
11-01 12:51:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0xa02493…
11-01 12:46:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0x8d00e1…
11-01 12:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xac4edc…
11-01 12:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0x11d0a3…
11-01 12:07:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0xb1397f…
11-01 11:51:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0xbe6db4…
11-01 11:39:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x66539f…
11-01 11:37:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x557401…
11-01 11:31:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xfd1a01…
11-01 11:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x92ae5a…
11-01 11:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0xbef210…
11-01 11:07:03	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x528245…
11-01 11:01:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xa7d092…
11-01 10:56:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x7841be…
11-01 10:46:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0xa79a36…
11-01 10:41:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0x020670…
11-01 10:31:52	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0x14caae…
11-01 08:26:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	83¢	$3	0xf870e2…
11-01 08:22:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xa24308…
11-01 08:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xe1eed4…
11-01 08:12:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x0c7e68…
11-01 08:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x2365a9…
11-01 08:04:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0xfb15f1…
11-01 08:01:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	80¢	$3	0xfca43c…
11-01 07:46:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	82¢	$3	0xb0ee75…
11-01 07:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x72f80f…
11-01 07:39:49	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0xa04125…
11-01 07:37:00	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x80a25b…
11-01 07:33:06	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0xf7dd86…
11-01 07:32:34	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x755507…
11-01 07:24:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x8f666a…
11-01 07:22:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x718e21…
11-01 07:01:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x6ae992…
11-01 04:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb52623…
11-01 04:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x056720…
10-30 10:38:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x12bc68…
10-30 10:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x835e8c…
10-30 10:02:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x78522f…
10-30 09:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe332ad…
10-30 09:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x4b4567…
10-30 09:28:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc3b3e5…
10-30 09:22:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x90435d…
10-30 08:58:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xdb08eb…
10-30 08:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xfba6a0…
10-30 08:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x29079c…
10-30 08:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xcabb5f…
10-30 08:32:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x5fa086…
10-30 08:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x375ba6…
10-30 08:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xf47a97…
10-30 08:08:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x063b1c…
10-30 08:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x88111d…
10-30 08:02:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xb6d489…
10-30 07:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x861e1a…
10-30 07:42:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x732871…
10-30 07:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xfa9bf3…
10-30 07:34:24	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x440382…
10-30 07:34:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x336bb4…
10-30 07:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xb21e91…
10-30 07:32:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x40bc7d…
10-30 07:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xd1094c…
10-30 07:27:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x66ba5d…
10-30 07:24:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x221a4f…
10-30 07:17:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x84ad94…
10-30 07:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xa24b80…
10-30 07:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xbf95e9…
10-30 07:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x37f8f9…
10-30 07:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xdadc68…
10-30 07:03:58	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x390404…
10-30 06:57:43	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x738f19…
10-30 06:47:46	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x6b55b0…
10-30 06:47:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x603948…
10-30 06:44:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x1f9877…
10-30 06:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x000d7d…
10-30 06:28:48	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x851844…
10-30 06:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc745aa…
10-30 06:08:42	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe63c2a…
10-30 06:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xa5aae2…
10-30 06:03:58	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf0f7d2…
10-30 06:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xe7796e…
10-30 05:59:00	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xbe0ba2…
10-30 05:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x7bd378…
10-30 05:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xf5bcf4…
10-30 05:52:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x0f0c31…
10-30 05:49:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x481363…