Competent-Millimeter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$83

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.2%

Resolved

248

Trades

367

lifetime

Volume

$9.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-07 17:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Other

49% 58% +$154

Sports

43% 40% -$2

Crypto

8% 10% -$68

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	2	$1.1K	619	619	+0	No	+$0	01-13 22:21
Will Oviedo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$1.1K	538	538	+0	No	-$1	01-14 11:03
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$881	460	460	+0	No	$0	01-15 11:48
bun koe bay 2026 01 14 bay	3	$878	508	508	+0	Yes	+$17	01-14 21:18
bun stu ein 2026 01 13 stu	8	$726	525	580	-55	Yes	+$274	01-13 21:19
sup bowl national anthem ou 119pt5 seconds	3	$528	839	839	+0	Under	-$144	02-07 17:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 14:30 UTC	7	$507	43	535	-492	Up	-$36	01-14 14:42
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	6	$506	258	258	+0	No	+$0	01-15 13:52
over 160m committed to the ranger public sale 697 445 524 768 983	2	$484	243	243	+0	No	+$1	01-10 16:03
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	2	$481	298	298	+0	Yes	-$1	01-09 14:06
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$402	202	202	+0	No	+$0	01-08 14:02
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$380	190	190	+0	No	$0	01-08 19:29
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?	2	$379	190	190	+0	Yes	-$1	01-08 20:51
cdr rrc fcb 2026 01 15 fcb	2	$233	630	630	+0	Yes	-$6	01-15 15:07
epl ars liv 2026 01 08 total 1pt5	2	$63	51	51	+0	Under	+$39	01-08 22:33
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on May 3?	3	$60	31	31	+0	Yes	+$2	05-03 17:51
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 3?	3	$58	42	42	+0	No	+$2	05-03 12:51
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on May 3?	4	$57	34	34	+0	No	+$1	05-03 10:08
acn mli sen 2026 01 09 mli	2	$46	25	25	+0	No	+$4	01-09 18:48
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 2?	4	$45	30	30	+0	Yes	+$15	05-02 17:03
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 4?	2	$32	36	36	+0	Yes	-$30	05-04 15:16
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-09-17?	1	$31	42	0	+42	No	-$31	09-17 21:33
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 1?	2	$29	19	19	+0	Yes	+$5	05-01 14:45
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on April 30?	3	$27	15	15	+0	No	+$3	04-30 18:02
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 1?	5	$24	58	58	+0	No	-$2	05-01 16:47
bitcoin above 98k on january 30	3	$21	10,312	10,212	+100	No	$0	01-29 22:14
ethereum above 3500 on january 24	4	$19	9,702	9,702	+0	No	+$0	01-23 19:40
will the price of ethereum be less than 1500 on april 3	3	$14	7,125	6,600	+525	No	-$1	04-02 18:22
will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 26	3	$14	6,754	6,754	+0	No	+$0	01-25 20:23
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on april 3	4	$13	6,804	6,320	+484	No	$0	04-02 18:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-07 17:52:22	Braga: Florian Broska vs Lukas Neumayer	Lukas Neumayer	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2ee19f…
10-07 13:03:58	Villena: Abedallah Shelbayh vs David Jorda Sanchis	Abedallah Shelbayh	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6eb913…
10-07 10:18:23	Villena: Abedallah Shelbayh vs David Jorda Sanchis	Abedallah Shelbayh	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc3f1ea…
09-17 21:33:33	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-09-17?	Yes	BUY	42	75¢	$31	0x852343…
09-13 18:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x6339e2…
09-13 18:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x3d21f4…
09-12 09:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xef721c…
06-17 09:28:41	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0xa3aa9a…
06-16 10:16:40	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	No	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0xe3d698…
06-15 12:25:49	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	No	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0x820e0e…
06-14 11:26:15	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x5db929…
06-13 09:48:22	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x276a9c…
06-12 10:48:13	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	16	48¢	$8	0xc5c8a0…
06-11 11:32:36	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	18	69¢	$13	0x916195…
06-09 11:59:22	bitcoin above 62k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x05416e…
06-08 10:39:48	bitcoin above 64k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x7bbdbd…
06-07 09:59:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xe84a80…
06-07 09:53:28	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xfd3cc0…
06-07 09:50:09	atp shimabu rodiono 2026 06 07	Jurij Rodionov	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xa66462…
06-07 09:48:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xaae4a0…
06-07 09:44:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xe61e3f…
06-07 09:39:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf9abcd…
06-07 09:39:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xb258d9…
05-11 10:26:30	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x7bd319…
05-10 08:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x808f7c…
05-10 08:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6c5d97…
05-10 08:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x496016…
05-10 08:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2e8043…
05-10 08:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd7f2c8…
05-10 08:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4099f7…
05-10 08:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x29f141…
05-10 08:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd9ab39…
05-10 08:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4367b0…
05-10 08:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc6e585…
05-10 08:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1168df…
05-10 08:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x397fcb…
05-10 07:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xaccc89…
05-10 07:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa0486d…
05-04 15:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 4?	No	SELL	36	2¢	$1	0x1542ea…
05-04 10:25:48	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 4?	No	BUY	36	87¢	$31	0xb4fcf7…
05-03 17:51:54	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on May 3?	Yes	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x87180a…
05-03 14:26:38	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xded36a…
05-03 14:26:14	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xdfbf96…
05-03 12:51:58	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 3?	Yes	SELL	42	72¢	$30	0x46a6fb…
05-03 10:10:56	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0xbaf5f9…
05-03 10:10:20	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	26	67¢	$17	0x6faae8…
05-03 10:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on May 3?	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x21c0ed…
05-03 10:07:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on May 3?	No	SELL	14	86¢	$12	0xeea001…
05-03 07:38:20	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on May 3?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x1ab129…
05-03 07:37:38	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on May 3?	No	BUY	28	84¢	$24	0x0462ef…
05-02 18:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x486975…
05-02 18:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x7e53f2…
05-02 18:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x1c19f4…
05-02 18:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x9cf4e7…
05-02 18:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x91d3d1…
05-02 17:03:50	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 2?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x18a1ec…
05-02 17:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 2?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb5ceb0…
05-01 19:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x361625…
05-01 19:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x610dcf…
05-01 19:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x61f265…
05-01 19:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf98e02…
05-01 19:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x003c15…
05-01 19:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe3e4aa…
05-01 18:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x430f05…
05-01 18:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x785ec7…
05-01 18:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x256950…
05-01 18:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x035a0f…
05-01 17:34:18	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x2da105…
05-01 17:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xf3ee16…
05-01 16:47:38	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 1?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x0be487…
05-01 14:48:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 1?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x420ca3…
05-01 14:45:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 1?	Yes	SELL	19	87¢	$17	0x0fb651…
05-01 09:39:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 1?	Yes	BUY	19	60¢	$12	0x42a1d9…
05-01 09:34:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 1?	Yes	SELL	50	21¢	$11	0x32b6d8…
04-30 19:10:28	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 1?	Yes	BUY	45	24¢	$11	0xfeec72…
04-30 19:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 1?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xa11803…
04-30 18:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x75d605…
04-30 18:02:58	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on April 30?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x1c60bd…
04-30 10:58:08	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on April 30?	No	BUY	7	78¢	$6	0x0547d0…
04-30 10:57:28	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on April 30?	No	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x9bd164…
04-30 09:31:16	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on April 30?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x6c06ef…
04-30 09:30:52	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on April 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xde70c1…
04-29 21:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xaef7af…
04-29 21:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xdd815a…
04-29 21:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x5cb6a4…
04-29 21:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xea7231…
04-29 21:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x619ea2…
04-29 21:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on April 30?	No	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0xd08ac0…
04-17 16:41:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x4f24ed…
04-13 10:56:37	atp diallo sachko 2026 04 13	Gabriel Diallo	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x6f2826…
04-10 12:03:17	atp izquier rodiono 2026 04 09	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0xad2482…
04-02 18:24:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x4bd4b0…
04-02 18:22:19	will the price of ethereum be less than 1500 on april 3	Yes	SELL	2,400	0¢	$2	0x1cc350…
04-02 18:22:01	will the price of ethereum be less than 1500 on april 3	Yes	SELL	4,200	0¢	$4	0xcdabf2…
04-02 18:20:27	will the price of ethereum be less than 1500 on april 3	Yes	BUY	7,125	0¢	$7	0x2b0168…
04-02 18:16:45	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on april 3	Yes	SELL	6,220	0¢	$6	0x34edd5…
04-02 18:16:19	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on april 3	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x2571c9…
04-02 18:15:45	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on april 3	Yes	BUY	6,604	0¢	$7	0xe7fc3a…
04-02 18:15:45	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on april 3	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x83e217…
04-02 18:13:59	ethereum above 2500 on april 3	Yes	SELL	3,270	0¢	$3	0x8400d4…