Excited-Civilisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$55

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.4%

Resolved

1,105

Trades

1,899

lifetime

Volume

$4.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 11-02 09:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 216 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 67% -$56

Other

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	4	$31	20	20	+0	Up	+$3	06-09 04:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 12:45 UTC	4	$29	24	24	+0	Down	+$1	06-10 12:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 09:00 UTC	4	$29	21	21	+0	Up	+$1	06-09 09:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 15:15 UTC	4	$27	24	24	+0	Up	-$1	06-10 15:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	4	$23	17	17	+0	Up	+$3	05-21 09:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 07:15 UTC	4	$23	17	17	+0	Down	-$5	06-09 07:27
bitcoin up or down january 29 2am et	4	$22	13	13	+0	Up	-$2	01-29 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	4	$22	15	15	+0	Up	+$2	05-29 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	4	$22	14	14	+0	Up	+$2	05-18 06:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	6	$21	26	26	+0	Up	-$3	05-20 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3AM ET	4	$21	14	14	+0	Down	+$1	05-20 07:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 06:45 UTC	4	$21	13	13	+0	Down	+$1	06-04 06:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 06:30 UTC	4	$19	14	14	+0	Up	-$1	06-04 06:40
bitcoin up or down january 23 11am et	5	$19	19	16	+3	Up	-$1	01-23 16:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 09:15 UTC	3	$18	19	9	+10	Down	+$0	06-09 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	4	$17	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 07:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 20:15 UTC	4	$16	13	13	+0	Up	-$4	06-10 20:27
bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 4am et	4	$16	12	12	+0	Down	$0	07-06 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	2	$16	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	06-10 08:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	4	$15	13	13	+0	Down	+$1	06-03 10:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 07:30 UTC	2	$15	8	8	+0	Up	+$1	06-09 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	4	$15	20	7	+13	Down	-$3	05-29 10:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 08:45 UTC	2	$14	8	8	+0	Down	+$0	06-09 08:56
bitcoin up or down january 23 8am et	2	$14	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	01-23 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	2	$14	13	13	+0	Up	+$4	05-26 05:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 06:15 UTC	3	$14	13	10	+3	Down	$0	06-04 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3AM ET	4	$13	10	10	+0	Down	-$1	05-06 07:49
bitcoin up or down january 25 10pm et	4	$13	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	01-26 03:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 04:00 UTC	4	$13	23	23	+0	Up	-$5	06-09 04:11
bitcoin up or down january 27 3am et	4	$12	8	8	+0	Down	+$0	01-27 09:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 09:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x19ad9a…
11-02 08:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x970242…
11-02 08:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x14d02d…
11-02 05:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6ec34e…
11-02 04:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xbb484e…
11-02 02:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x4b43ba…
10-30 20:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xe99e99…
10-30 20:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x2e187b…
10-30 07:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf6ba0d…
10-30 06:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x0600ca…
10-30 01:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xad2d92…
10-29 08:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x749e1a…
10-29 02:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x1dacfe…
10-27 09:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x36b7ca…
10-26 08:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x1f4829…
10-26 08:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x3f3eea…
10-26 07:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8ea971…
10-23 09:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x6ff619…
10-21 03:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xbf4fe6…
10-21 03:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xc6c2eb…
10-20 09:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xc4bdee…
10-20 09:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xe95f32…
10-20 05:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x200395…
10-20 02:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc6bafb…
10-20 01:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x4d3420…
10-19 07:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6fccf5…
10-19 06:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa79cad…
10-19 04:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x83e794…
10-19 02:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x03b040…
10-19 02:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x173aa9…
10-17 19:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xfe5051…
10-16 08:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x0c944d…
10-16 08:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf682ad…
10-16 07:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x469b33…
10-16 02:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x53e78b…
10-15 07:27:46	bitcoin up or down october 15 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xcf927a…
10-15 07:27:43	bitcoin up or down october 15 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xe1368a…
10-14 04:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd44e90…
10-14 03:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x54134c…
10-14 01:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x44584e…
10-13 07:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xd1540c…
10-13 07:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xd1d3fc…
10-12 16:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xcc77af…
10-12 07:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xd928da…
10-12 06:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x43b1fe…
10-12 03:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x75f89e…
10-09 15:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x89b0bc…
10-09 08:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x78e15c…
10-09 06:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x9376f9…
10-09 04:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xfc465a…
10-08 06:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xead7e8…
10-07 11:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x7a60db…
10-07 02:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xd90d5f…
10-06 09:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x3cb759…
10-06 07:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x623d2e…
10-05 06:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xd708aa…
10-03 10:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7f9e05…
10-02 08:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xb46198…
10-01 05:31:50	bitcoin up or down october 1 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x25bcf2…
10-01 03:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x7282f3…
09-30 03:09:32	bitcoin up or down september 29 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x53d1de…
09-30 00:42:47	bitcoin up or down september 29 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x1b8c6e…
09-29 04:10:05	bitcoin up or down september 29 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2e47c4…
09-29 02:22:59	bitcoin up or down september 28 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xbbc782…
09-29 01:27:14	bitcoin up or down september 28 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x1fd5e6…
09-28 03:01:11	bitcoin up or down september 27 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf48e8e…
09-28 02:17:29	bitcoin up or down september 27 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe3d748…
09-26 21:25:14	bitcoin up or down september 26 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x20280e…
09-26 14:52:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xb09522…
09-26 14:52:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x414ff1…
09-26 11:50:59	bitcoin up or down september 26 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc6c8b0…
09-25 10:02:23	bitcoin up or down september 25 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x469657…
09-25 03:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x43d271…
09-25 02:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x22aaa1…
09-23 06:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xecba7b…
09-23 02:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1c7b36…
09-22 22:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xeee3ea…
09-22 12:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x827932…
09-22 11:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0xec7eae…
09-22 11:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xbffe59…
09-22 07:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xf090a1…
09-22 02:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xf579bf…
09-22 02:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0x4481d0…
09-22 02:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x25e85a…
09-21 09:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb536d9…
09-21 07:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x49d215…
09-21 04:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x2d94d9…
09-21 03:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x70b51b…
09-17 09:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xe025db…
09-17 07:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x624d5c…
09-17 03:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xc0f1b9…
09-17 02:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x847dcd…
09-17 02:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 9PM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x41e21a…
09-17 01:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xd6a2df…
09-17 01:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0x866acb…
09-17 01:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xee2551…
09-16 06:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x2fcc3b…
09-16 01:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x866034…
09-15 11:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd74fa2…
09-15 09:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2e538b…