Concrete-Assumption — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30

Unrealized P&L

+$30

Hit rate

84.9%

Resolved

Trades

182

lifetime

Volume

$2.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$239

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-06 06:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 82% $-30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 116 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets (4)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2AM ET	Up		+164	$142	100¢	$164	+$22	05-06 06:40
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 2AM ET	Up		+75	$67	100¢	$75	+$8	05-06 06:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8PM ET	12	$206	224	+224	Up	+$11	05-06 00:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12AM ET	12	$199	212	+212	Down	+$13	05-06 04:44
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6AM ET	11	$189	201	+201	Up	+$12	05-05 10:40
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET	12	$181	192	+192	Up	+$11	05-05 02:49
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	10	$163	176	+176	Up	+$8	05-05 13:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8PM ET	14	$163	214	+214	Up	$-163	05-06 00:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7AM ET	10	$147	187	+187	Up	+$40	05-05 11:40
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4AM ET	9	$145	166	+166	Up	+$21	05-05 08:51
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2AM ET	9	$142	164	+164	open	—	05-06 06:40
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4AM ET	9	$135	161	+161	Down	+$26	05-05 08:40
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 7AM ET	8	$124	143	+143	Up	+$19	05-05 11:46
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10PM ET	9	$98	110	+110	Up	$-7	05-06 02:59
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7AM ET	7	$84	103	+103	Up	+$19	05-05 11:46
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	5	$82	88	+88	Up	+$7	05-05 05:40
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	5	$74	79	+79	Up	+$5	05-05 05:40
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	6	$73	94	+94	Up	+$20	05-05 04:50
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 2AM ET	6	$67	75	+75	open	—	05-06 06:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	5	$53	61	+61	Down	$-53	05-05 05:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	3	$45	60	+60	Down	$-45	05-05 19:45
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET	3	$45	48	+48	Up	+$3	05-05 12:40
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	2	$33	35	+35	Down	+$2	05-05 04:40
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 1AM ET	2	$27	33	+33	Up	+$6	05-06 05:40
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4PM ET	2	$27	30	+30	Up	+$2	05-05 20:40
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8PM ET	2	$23	27	+27	Up	+$4	05-05 00:40
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 1AM ET	2	$21	25	+25	Up	+$4	05-06 05:54
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8PM ET	2	$20	22	+22	Up	+$2	05-05 00:45
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4PM ET	1	$18	20	+20	Up	+$2	05-05 20:40
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1PM ET	2	$12	14	+14	Up	+$2	05-05 17:52
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	1	$7	8	+8	Down	+$1	05-05 07:55
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5PM ET	1	$4	4	+4	Up	$-4	05-05 21:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 06:55:28	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xf1275e…
05-06 06:55:28	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xc22102…
05-06 06:55:28	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x9e4945…
05-06 06:55:26	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xc57ec1…
05-06 06:54:16	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xc5f9ac…
05-06 06:53:52	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xe761a2…
05-06 06:40:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xb95e3b…
05-06 06:40:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	18	87¢	$16	0x6c0497…
05-06 06:40:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xb1c7b5…
05-06 06:40:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xc9240d…
05-06 06:40:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x3e7129…
05-06 06:40:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x255e48…
05-06 06:40:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xa0039b…
05-06 06:40:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x14fc7a…
05-06 06:40:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x61da51…
05-06 05:54:18	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x3ca547…
05-06 05:54:16	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xa6912c…
05-06 05:40:24	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	13	83¢	$11	0x6f884a…
05-06 05:40:18	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xcc8799…
05-06 04:44:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xed5878…
05-06 04:44:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0xbe884b…
05-06 04:44:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0xab8d54…
05-06 04:44:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0xc9dc2a…
05-06 04:44:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0xfdafbf…
05-06 04:44:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0x5a764a…
05-06 04:44:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0x6b0227…
05-06 04:44:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0xf581e9…
05-06 04:44:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0xc1df90…
05-06 04:44:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0x95c8d9…
05-06 04:44:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0xdee162…
05-06 04:44:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0x667439…
05-06 02:59:52	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x3ddc8a…
05-06 02:59:48	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xcbf6e9…
05-06 02:59:48	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0x4b4115…
05-06 02:59:46	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xb8cf2a…
05-06 02:59:46	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x0657e9…
05-06 02:59:44	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xb24c4b…
05-06 02:59:42	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0xc767e3…
05-06 02:59:42	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x6f0b7b…
05-06 02:54:32	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xdab398…
05-06 00:53:52	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x402bd2…
05-06 00:53:52	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	17	92¢	$16	0x26299d…
05-06 00:53:50	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x81ac1e…
05-06 00:53:50	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x96efe5…
05-06 00:53:50	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xc4c317…
05-06 00:53:42	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xdf65f8…
05-06 00:53:42	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xee2e3c…
05-06 00:53:42	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x8d7ae4…
05-06 00:53:40	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xa5505e…
05-06 00:53:40	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x5591ee…
05-06 00:53:40	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xb030dd…
05-06 00:49:32	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xaf3a90…
05-06 00:49:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xf5eeef…
05-06 00:49:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x03f77c…
05-06 00:49:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xb51ac5…
05-06 00:49:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xe77a2c…
05-06 00:49:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xaa1b41…
05-06 00:49:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xc18d91…
05-06 00:49:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xe90b3a…
05-06 00:49:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0xad9070…
05-06 00:49:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x69611b…
05-06 00:49:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	20	77¢	$16	0x9d054e…
05-06 00:48:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x6fd666…
05-06 00:48:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	21	74¢	$15	0xe4dc50…
05-06 00:48:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x15b6a9…
05-06 00:48:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xc382c7…
05-05 21:45:10	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xef66af…
05-05 20:40:08	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x668b6b…
05-05 20:40:08	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x50ce1d…
05-05 20:40:06	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xbaaa72…
05-05 19:45:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xc1ce1a…
05-05 19:45:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xd070de…
05-05 19:45:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x2dd4e4…
05-05 17:52:46	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xbe272f…
05-05 17:52:46	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xc7db3a…
05-05 13:57:06	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xb2694d…
05-05 13:50:38	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0xdfa211…
05-05 13:50:38	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x928c1c…
05-05 13:50:36	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xa32e1b…
05-05 13:50:36	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x11c38a…
05-05 13:50:34	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xd1801b…
05-05 13:50:34	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x175405…
05-05 13:50:32	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x7b95c4…
05-05 13:50:30	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0x24edbd…
05-05 13:50:30	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0xe5d703…
05-05 12:40:30	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0xb7805c…
05-05 12:40:30	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xaca85a…
05-05 12:40:30	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0x172593…
05-05 11:46:54	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x513ab1…
05-05 11:46:54	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xc885fe…
05-05 11:46:50	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xe55ce0…
05-05 11:46:48	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xa9548e…
05-05 11:46:48	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x1f147c…
05-05 11:46:48	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x73feee…
05-05 11:46:48	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0xf2be8d…
05-05 11:46:46	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x36f757…
05-05 11:46:44	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x6cf9ec…
05-05 11:46:44	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x3a6ad0…
05-05 11:46:42	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x98261d…
05-05 11:46:42	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x137d12…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Decimal-Split 0x9291…6232	25	$2.31K	152	05-06 06:55
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	21	$3.20K	120	05-06 05:55
Sorrowful-Software 0x93b1…746e	8	$606	16	05-06 05:49
Exotic-Utility 0xa806…2c7c	5	$899	36	05-06 06:54