Occasional-Linen — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.94K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.1%

Resolved

104

Trades

411

lifetime

Volume

$37.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$91

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 05-15 19:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Politics

52% 52% -$3,195

Crypto

37% 60% -$91

Other

11% 64% -$657

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?	8	$3.9K	2,212	2,212	+0	No	+$473	05-15 07:26
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	8	$3.0K	4,123	0	+4,123	No	-$2,950	05-15 19:27
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	3	$2.8K	1,557	1,557	+0	Yes	+$305	04-29 19:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	5	$1.7K	1,021	1,021	+0	No	+$265	04-26 23:40
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	2	$1.6K	875	875	+0	No	+$174	05-01 01:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 00:55 UTC	6	$1.1K	548	547	+1	Down	+$9	04-07 01:00
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	6	$1.0K	2,466	0	+2,466	No	-$1,035	05-03 08:12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$989	543	543	+0	No	+$86	04-29 04:28
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	7	$875	1,040	1,040	+0	Yes	+$189	04-05 03:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 06:35 UTC	3	$832	426	425	+1	Up	+$10	04-07 06:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 06:30 UTC	3	$824	417	416	+0	Down	+$0	04-07 06:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 06:25 UTC	2	$813	418	416	+1	Up	+$13	04-07 06:30
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	3	$760	457	457	+0	No	+$64	05-14 03:03
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	6	$749	1,027	0	+1,027	Yes	-$749	04-27 02:46
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 29?	14	$744	400	400	+0	Down	+$48	04-29 20:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$644	400	400	+0	No	+$44	05-14 03:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 07:40 UTC	7	$643	355	351	+4	Down	+$56	04-06 07:44
Kash Patel out by May 31?	2	$641	386	386	+0	No	+$41	05-14 03:04
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?	10	$634	380	380	+0	No	+$115	04-29 19:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 07:10 UTC	4	$615	315	315	+1	Up	+$9	04-06 07:14
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$600	848	848	+0	Yes	-$594	05-14 13:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 08:10 UTC	6	$585	335	330	+5	Up	+$73	04-06 08:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 07:35 UTC	5	$583	322	319	+3	Up	+$11	04-06 07:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 07:30 UTC	4	$560	289	288	+1	Down	+$12	04-06 07:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 07:05 UTC	7	$550	331	324	+7	Down	+$77	04-06 07:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 07:20 UTC	5	$523	291	288	+3	Up	+$15	04-06 07:24
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	2	$479	301	301	+0	No	+$39	05-14 03:18
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	8	$476	695	587	+108	Yes	-$192	05-10 22:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 06:40 UTC	7	$450	500	107	+393	Up	-$388	04-07 06:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 21:20 UTC	9	$410	236	232	+4	Down	+$54	04-06 21:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 19:27:54	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	588	2¢	$10	0x425bf5…
05-15 16:29:31	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	941	74¢	$692	0x3fe549…
05-15 07:31:43	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	43	87¢	$37	0x799205…
05-15 07:29:12	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,364	88¢	$1,200	0x7fa2f6…
05-15 07:26:31	Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	1,244	100¢	$1,243	0x87a0b9…
05-15 07:21:27	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0xc5e47b…
05-15 07:20:55	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	435	90¢	$390	0xdd717c…
05-15 07:20:32	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	96	95¢	$91	0x5386d4…
05-15 07:19:03	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	108	80¢	$87	0x742c39…
05-15 07:18:54	Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	323	95¢	$308	0x7f82df…
05-15 07:17:58	Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	92	95¢	$87	0x2aa899…
05-15 07:08:54	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	636	83¢	$528	0x14e1eb…
05-15 07:08:28	Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	553	96¢	$532	0x543ae6…
05-15 07:03:48	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0xb89e08…
05-15 06:50:21	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x13ae7b…
05-14 13:29:38	Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	848	0¢	$3	0x50d5e6…
05-14 11:56:12	Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x860262…
05-14 11:54:55	Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1,114	76¢	$845	0xaac0b0…
05-14 08:03:41	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	96	68¢	$65	0xa0c61f…
05-14 08:02:45	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?	Yes	SELL	225	30¢	$67	0x563b55…
05-14 03:20:38	Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	462	74¢	$340	0x3807b1…
05-14 03:19:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	400	86¢	$344	0x33306b…
05-14 03:18:51	Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	352	73¢	$255	0x0f8d16…
05-14 03:18:23	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	301	86¢	$259	0x26e13d…
05-14 03:04:32	Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	417	81¢	$338	0xf8e1b4…
05-14 03:04:11	Kash Patel out by May 31?	No	SELL	386	88¢	$341	0x4a330c…
05-14 03:03:43	Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	537	76¢	$407	0x5a003a…
05-14 03:03:23	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	457	90¢	$412	0x3606f6…
05-13 20:18:26	Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	145	74¢	$108	0x4b4ff7…
05-10 22:28:09	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	87¢	$94	0x06f3b4…
05-10 22:25:58	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	512	15¢	$77	0x75c371…
05-10 22:25:51	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	33	15¢	$5	0xdd99c1…
05-10 22:24:46	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	42	15¢	$6	0xb1eeaa…
05-03 17:30:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x1ae046…
05-03 08:12:32	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	974	7¢	$70	0xa912e5…
05-03 08:11:00	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	476	18¢	$86	0x2e44a7…
05-03 07:29:50	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x0551c3…
05-03 07:09:56	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	70	29¢	$20	0x085154…
05-03 06:23:20	Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	1,700	0¢	$5	0x38f884…
05-03 06:18:20	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	1,094	67¢	$733	0xd37951…
05-03 06:13:56	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	16	67¢	$11	0x557a97…
05-03 06:05:08	Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	714	1¢	$5	0x76a165…
05-03 06:03:16	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	304	66¢	$200	0x784c8a…
05-02 21:33:10	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	160	40¢	$64	0xe9b99c…
05-02 19:44:02	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	479	13¢	$61	0xeda9c8…
05-02 19:38:08	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0xc3d88c…
05-02 07:06:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	447	76¢	$340	0xbcaed8…
05-02 06:17:20	Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	No	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x817e81…
05-02 06:16:18	Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	No	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x67525a…
05-02 02:17:28	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	160	50¢	$80	0x19f238…
05-01 22:11:32	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	301	73¢	$220	0xd24201…
05-01 21:58:42	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	833	4¢	$30	0x4a6e1d…
05-01 13:42:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	75¢	$300	0xffe2e0…
05-01 01:33:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	875	100¢	$874	0x79f4fa…
04-30 04:44:18	Kash Patel out by May 31?	No	BUY	386	78¢	$300	0x9fd99f…
04-29 20:26:46	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	300	33¢	$99	0xfac073…
04-29 20:01:26	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	SELL	400	99¢	$396	0x3a9d90…
04-29 19:54:50	Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$30	0xbbf535…
04-29 19:51:58	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0xa50a50…
04-29 19:49:40	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0x4a9695…
04-29 19:46:40	Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?	No	SELL	125	100¢	$125	0x57134a…
04-29 19:45:36	Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd6607d…
04-29 19:44:42	Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x929019…
04-29 19:38:06	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0xcc9401…
04-29 19:37:26	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	141	87¢	$123	0xa7ae18…
04-29 19:37:22	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	27	87¢	$23	0xd47570…
04-29 19:37:22	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0xcc4cf8…
04-29 19:37:22	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0xcc3b3a…
04-29 19:37:22	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0x2b7e37…
04-29 19:37:20	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0x7939a3…
04-29 19:37:20	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0x0d2642…
04-29 19:37:12	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x0ef3b4…
04-29 19:36:56	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	28	87¢	$24	0xa11e99…
04-29 19:36:20	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x134cee…
04-29 19:35:16	Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x733cab…
04-29 19:34:50	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	32	87¢	$28	0x8729ab…
04-29 19:33:34	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0x926328…
04-29 19:29:10	Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?	No	SELL	61	99¢	$60	0x4adab3…
04-29 19:27:40	Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x869cc5…
04-29 19:23:46	Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?	No	SELL	95	95¢	$90	0x53a242…
04-29 19:12:20	Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?	No	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x952a41…
04-29 19:11:46	Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?	No	BUY	222	68¢	$150	0x045f0a…
04-29 19:05:08	Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?	No	BUY	17	56¢	$10	0x8c6fac…
04-29 19:03:52	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	SELL	1,557	100¢	$1,555	0xd1f728…
04-29 19:00:58	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x44c0ea…
04-29 18:55:42	Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?	Yes	SELL	40	11¢	$4	0x209b1a…
04-29 18:40:52	Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	31	22¢	$7	0xbcc3ea…
04-29 18:40:26	Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during April press conference?	Yes	SELL	27	27¢	$7	0xeea43b…
04-29 18:39:48	Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?	No	BUY	22	59¢	$13	0x2bbfee…
04-29 18:39:26	Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during April press conference?	Yes	SELL	35	40¢	$14	0xfb771b…
04-29 18:21:46	Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x69c060…
04-29 18:20:32	Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0xcb5364…
04-29 04:50:12	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	BUY	641	78¢	$500	0xf1f168…
04-29 04:28:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	543	99¢	$537	0x570be9…
04-27 02:46:44	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	160	63¢	$101	0xb71b79…
04-27 01:36:52	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	BUY	916	82¢	$751	0xcd6027…
04-26 23:40:38	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	265	72¢	$191	0x6deb88…
04-26 23:40:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	195	98¢	$191	0x93d633…
04-26 19:53:28	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	167	38¢	$64	0x936284…
04-26 19:53:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	65	98¢	$64	0x645621…