Peaceful-Deliberation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$87

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.9%

Resolved

2,209

Trades

5,135

lifetime

Volume

$63.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-12 12:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 98 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 78% +$87

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-12).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 11:00 UTC	2	$126	66	65	+0	Up	+$4	04-17 11:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 23:45 UTC	5	$122	63	63	+0	Up	+$3	04-20 23:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 13:15 UTC	2	$122	63	63	+0	Down	+$3	04-20 13:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 10:30 UTC	6	$121	69	68	+1	Down	+$12	04-17 10:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 01:10 UTC	5	$116	62	62	+0	Down	+$7	03-28 01:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 00:30 UTC	2	$115	67	66	+1	Up	+$16	03-28 00:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 08:35 UTC	4	$115	63	63	+0	Down	+$10	03-27 08:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 13:45 UTC	2	$112	65	65	+1	Up	+$16	03-26 13:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 01:00 UTC	2	$112	61	61	+0	Down	+$9	03-28 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$110	57	57	+0	Down	+$2	05-03 01:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 07:00 UTC	2	$110	57	57	+0	Up	+$2	04-17 07:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-19 13:15 UTC	2	$109	59	58	+1	Up	+$6	04-19 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$109	57	57	+0	Down	+$3	05-03 00:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	3	$109	56	56	-0	Down	+$2	05-02 05:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 02:30 UTC	2	$109	57	57	+0	Down	+$4	03-29 02:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 00:10 UTC	2	$109	60	59	+0	Down	+$9	03-28 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	2	$109	56	56	+0	Down	+$3	05-02 22:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 05:15 UTC	2	$109	56	56	+0	Up	+$2	04-22 05:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 23:35 UTC	2	$109	59	59	+0	Up	+$8	03-27 23:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 05:30 UTC	2	$108	56	56	+0	Down	+$3	03-27 05:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 01:05 UTC	2	$108	57	57	+0	Down	+$5	03-28 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	2	$108	56	56	+0	Down	+$2	05-03 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	4	$108	56	56	+0	Down	+$2	05-03 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	2	$108	56	56	+0	Up	+$2	05-02 06:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	2	$108	56	56	+0	Up	+$2	05-02 13:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	2	$108	56	56	+0	Up	+$2	05-03 03:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	2	$108	56	56	+0	Up	+$2	05-03 09:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	2	$108	56	56	+0	Down	+$2	05-03 01:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$108	56	56	+0	Down	+$2	05-01 22:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-19 05:30 UTC	2	$108	58	58	+1	Up	+$7	04-19 05:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 12:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	30	45¢	$13	0x2370a7…
05-12 12:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x74cac0…
05-12 11:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	29	29¢	$8	0x695bc9…
05-12 11:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0x91093e…
05-12 10:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x33f7c3…
05-12 10:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0x233ff2…
05-12 07:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	29	44¢	$13	0x1a6314…
05-12 07:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0xf0db09…
05-12 05:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x49b121…
05-12 05:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x79e957…
05-12 03:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	31	99¢	$30	0xadd21d…
05-12 03:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	31	92¢	$28	0x9a622d…
05-12 02:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x5e4244…
05-12 02:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0xbed5ea…
05-11 23:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	31	99¢	$30	0xaad295…
05-11 23:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	31	91¢	$28	0x829a11…
05-11 23:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x65ec99…
05-11 23:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x2c91b3…
05-11 22:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xdab40a…
05-11 22:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0xc081ec…
05-11 18:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x257896…
05-11 18:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xdd8655…
05-11 18:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x939872…
05-11 17:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$29	0xaaafcf…
05-11 17:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xbd6f9a…
05-11 16:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x941ff3…
05-11 16:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0xe8b039…
05-11 12:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xc0d5b2…
05-11 12:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0xf8f6df…
05-11 11:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xfb1b87…
05-11 11:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0x86b296…
05-11 10:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x8a0152…
05-11 10:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x43a54f…
05-11 10:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x702596…
05-11 10:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	29	94¢	$28	0xf1c504…
05-11 06:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xd47585…
05-11 06:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0xa47d5d…
05-11 05:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x41d478…
05-11 05:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0xc134ba…
05-11 01:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x2134b5…
05-11 01:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0x7eb518…
05-10 22:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x7a2514…
05-10 22:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0x0acaa9…
05-10 21:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xb7ae12…
05-10 21:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0x5fe34f…
05-10 20:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x808bd5…
05-10 20:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0x3ec950…
05-10 19:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	30	21¢	$6	0xa91aac…
05-10 19:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x11e313…
05-10 19:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	31	45¢	$14	0x4e04b2…
05-10 19:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	90¢	$28	0xf308b2…
05-10 17:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$29	0xcce246…
05-10 17:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x8f2ec7…
05-10 16:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xea00bb…
05-10 16:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0x5d1c58…
05-10 15:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$29	0x20539c…
05-10 15:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xa68c4c…
05-10 00:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x746d4b…
05-10 00:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0x40ced9…
05-09 17:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x2b3d46…
05-09 17:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0x579b50…
05-09 16:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$29	0xdaec93…
05-09 16:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x04f5cf…
05-09 16:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x4c4573…
05-09 16:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0xcf2d52…
05-09 15:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x91a520…
05-09 15:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0x93e0e8…
05-09 14:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x9be608…
05-09 14:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	29	94¢	$28	0xe0ea54…
05-09 09:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0x29e3cd…
05-09 09:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	32	87¢	$28	0x7e8178…
05-09 08:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xe6b5ab…
05-09 08:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0x2d9869…
05-09 07:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x7768a1…
05-09 07:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0xf4720c…
05-09 06:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$29	0xc7dfbd…
05-09 06:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xa0afe3…
05-09 06:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	31	99¢	$30	0xd62457…
05-09 06:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	31	91¢	$28	0x84f71d…
05-09 04:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x096cef…
05-09 04:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x31a54b…
05-09 03:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	29	48¢	$14	0x49103e…
05-09 03:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0x04704d…
05-09 01:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x7b7723…
05-09 01:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x9a3356…
05-08 23:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xfdbc42…
05-08 23:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	31	90¢	$28	0x5330d6…
05-08 14:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x1db63f…
05-08 14:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0x456409…
05-08 14:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xab3a6c…
05-08 14:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0x16abd1…
05-08 13:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	30	45¢	$13	0xb9be86…
05-08 13:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xc88f3a…
05-08 12:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x747c9a…
05-08 12:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	29	94¢	$28	0x4be245…
05-08 12:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	38	21¢	$8	0x16c02e…
05-08 12:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	38	70¢	$27	0x2f4d27…
05-08 11:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xed9ea6…
05-08 11:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xbfb733…
05-08 11:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xf47d50…