Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$145

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

39.7%

Resolved

Trades

348

lifetime

Volume

$2.72K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$40

2 positions

First seen

2026-07-26

last 08-23 02:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 55% -$137

Other

19% 0% -$5

Politics

3% 50% -$4

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No		+40	$31	100¢	$40	+$9	08-21 23:47
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes		+40	$10	0¢	$0	-$10	08-22 01:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 08:30 UTC	23	$254	215	215	+0	Up	-$11	07-26 08:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 10:00 UTC	15	$228	154	154	+0	Down	-$8	07-26 10:09
will russia capture stavky by september 30	2	$176	100	100	+0	No	+$0	08-19 01:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 09:00 UTC	16	$119	136	136	+0	Up	-$17	07-26 09:10
Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?	8	$79	80	80	+0	No	-$3	08-20 05:07
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?	6	$41	80	0	+80	open	—	08-20 16:16
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	3	$41	80	0	+80	open	—	08-22 01:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 09:15 UTC	3	$40	45	0	+45	Up	+$5	07-26 09:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 10:30 UTC	6	$40	54	0	+54	Up	+$14	07-26 10:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 11:30 UTC	7	$40	65	0	+65	Down	+$25	07-26 11:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 09:30 UTC	12	$40	90	0	+90	Up	+$50	07-26 09:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 11:00 UTC	9	$40	78	0	+78	Down	+$1	07-26 11:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 11:15 UTC	7	$39	59	0	+59	Down	-$39	07-26 11:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 09:45 UTC	6	$38	98	0	+98	Down	-$38	07-26 09:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 08:45 UTC	4	$36	32	32	+0	Up	+$1	07-26 08:47
Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?	2	$33	20	20	+0	open	—	08-20 07:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 10:45 UTC	2	$25	35	0	+35	Down	-$25	07-26 10:46
will solana hit 300 by june 30 2027	2	$24	40	0	+40	open	—	08-22 05:48
Will Alexis Vega (Toluca) record the most assists in the 2027 Liga MX Clausura?	2	$21	40	0	+40	open	—	08-22 16:15
Will Ricardo Ferraço win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?	3	$21	36	4	+33	No	-$4	08-22 12:01
Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?	3	$21	40	0	+40	open	—	08-20 23:52
Will Texas have the closest Governor's race in 2026?	2	$20	40	0	+40	No	$0	08-21 13:33
Will there be no next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?	2	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	08-22 01:14
will louisville have more than 7pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194022493	2	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	08-20 11:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 00:30 UTC	3	$20	28	0	+28	Down	+$8	07-27 00:38
Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?	2	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	08-22 19:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 19:15 UTC	2	$20	28	0	+28	Up	+$8	07-26 19:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 20:00 UTC	4	$20	41	0	+41	Up	+$6	07-26 20:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 17:45 UTC	3	$20	30	0	+30	Up	+$10	07-26 17:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 21:00 UTC	2	$20	28	0	+28	Up	+$8	07-26 21:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-23 02:11:49	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	Yes	SELL	4	36¢	$2	0xd98904…
08-22 22:38:19	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	4	36¢	$2	0x4659d3…
08-22 19:56:10	Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x87f951…
08-22 16:15:10	Will Alexis Vega (Toluca) record the most assists in the 2027 Liga MX Clausura?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x7093a7…
08-22 15:54:45	Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x7bf755…
08-22 12:47:28	Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x79a459…
08-22 12:43:04	Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x2ddb0a…
08-22 12:22:58	Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next?	No	BUY	7	79¢	$5	0x4ac96f…
08-22 12:22:55	Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x007329…
08-22 12:14:13	Will Alexis Vega (Toluca) record the most assists in the 2027 Liga MX Clausura?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x9f7ab2…
08-22 12:01:40	Will Ricardo Ferraço win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?	No	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0x307d1e…
08-22 12:01:27	Will Brock Bowers be the highest-scoring TE of the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xe68db8…
08-22 11:46:01	Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xa5a1b7…
08-22 10:32:40	Will Ricardo Ferraço win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?	Yes	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0xa7fb1a…
08-22 06:32:25	Will Ricardo Ferraço win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x1d4f5f…
08-22 05:48:37	will solana hit 300 by june 30 2027	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xdfd296…
08-22 01:48:12	will solana hit 300 by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xf78e92…
08-22 01:22:36	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0x776e11…
08-22 01:14:06	Will there be no next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xa51d42…
08-21 23:47:39	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xb70e1e…
08-21 21:22:15	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xac5af2…
08-21 21:13:18	Will there be no next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x77ba3a…
08-21 13:33:06	Will Texas have the closest Governor's race in 2026?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xda8740…
08-21 10:13:27	Will Brock Bowers be the highest-scoring TE of the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xdb1510…
08-21 09:32:37	Will Texas have the closest Governor's race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x876e31…
08-21 03:21:52	Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be less than $4.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xb0b669…
08-21 01:52:00	Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be less than $4.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xec725b…
08-21 00:05:54	Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0xe9af40…
08-20 23:52:51	Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x24f875…
08-20 23:30:13	Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xca3597…
08-20 19:55:19	Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0797a9…
08-20 19:52:15	Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x689dc2…
08-20 16:16:22	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?	No	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0x60efce…
08-20 12:03:27	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xaf95fb…
08-20 12:03:10	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x943645…
08-20 12:02:55	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xad2f2f…
08-20 11:56:04	will louisville have more than 7pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194022493	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x4a17c8…
08-20 07:55:42	will louisville have more than 7pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194022493	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xd73954…
08-20 07:27:27	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?	Yes	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0x021986…
08-20 07:27:15	Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0xa78676…
08-20 06:55:52	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?	Yes	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0x3bcce5…
08-20 05:30:00	Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x30e738…
08-20 05:07:27	Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x59ae57…
08-20 04:57:18	Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xbebfe0…
08-20 01:20:04	Will the Eagles win the season series against the Giants during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	19	43¢	$8	0x1d2db9…
08-20 00:29:36	Will the Eagles win the season series against the Giants during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	19	43¢	$8	0xc61615…
08-20 00:10:13	Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x601eb0…
08-20 00:10:06	Will PI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x81e263…
08-20 00:09:55	Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0xa325ce…
08-19 22:35:07	Will PI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x7a0dc8…
08-19 20:02:15	Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x246d65…
08-19 15:26:04	Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xde3b56…
08-19 06:30:33	Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x0116a1…
08-19 06:30:21	will borussia dortmund qualify for the 2027 28 uefa champions league	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xbe0c80…
08-19 05:50:27	Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x1a277e…
08-19 02:35:16	will borussia dortmund qualify for the 2027 28 uefa champions league	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x175cd9…
08-19 01:11:31	will russia capture stavky by september 30	No	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0x5ee990…
08-18 21:34:21	will russia capture stavky by september 30	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xee80f1…
08-18 13:57:46	Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	23	24¢	$5	0xb53ea6…
08-18 10:36:52	Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x5376d3…
08-18 10:32:39	Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x0874d0…
08-17 09:23:55	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-17 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0x1366b2…
08-17 09:17:19	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-17 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa8b6dc…
08-17 09:14:45	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-17 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0xdde145…
08-17 09:12:31	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-17 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xae1447…
08-17 08:44:40	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-17 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0xa79039…
08-17 08:44:36	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-17 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x5bc081…
08-17 08:41:30	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-17 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe38fa3…
08-17 08:41:24	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-17 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe6646a…
08-15 09:04:57	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-15 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x01af7f…
08-15 09:03:42	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-15 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x61c652…
08-15 09:02:57	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-15 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	9	29¢	$2	0x622c7b…
08-15 09:01:24	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-15 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xbb2a9f…
08-15 07:36:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7af053…
08-14 09:43:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x3d0821…
08-14 04:29:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-14 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6c7bbe…
08-14 04:09:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-14 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x3ae237…
08-14 03:56:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-14 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xb5df3e…
08-09 01:03:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 01:00 UTC	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x518732…
08-09 01:03:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x736d25…
08-07 01:59:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x96290f…
07-31 10:11:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf5029e…
07-27 09:11:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	21	30¢	$6	0xe809d1…
07-27 09:11:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0xcfa6d0…
07-27 09:11:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	17	32¢	$6	0xb5e55c…
07-27 09:11:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xa7ce0a…
07-27 09:11:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x41c66d…
07-27 09:11:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x40754f…
07-27 09:11:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	32¢	$4	0x0e039d…
07-27 08:52:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	25	64¢	$16	0x2abdbf…
07-27 06:15:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	16	57¢	$9	0xf8b91e…
07-27 06:01:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	16	53¢	$8	0x33c04f…
07-27 05:53:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	16	52¢	$8	0x55ebd1…
07-27 05:46:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x11cd0e…
07-27 05:39:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	16	46¢	$7	0xbbf024…
07-27 05:39:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	45¢	$3	0xb39203…
07-27 05:30:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x826f70…
07-27 05:30:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x272e4a…
07-27 05:15:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	64¢	$0	0xd8bdd0…
07-27 05:15:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0xfaaeb0…