Limited-Connection — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$711

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 09-17 08:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

88% 72% +$19

Crypto

11% 100% +$0

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$53	100	+100	Yes	+$47	06-25 07:42
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$43	100	+100	No	-$43	06-04 06:02
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$42	100	+100	Yes	+$58	06-04 06:02
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on June 3?	1	$35	35	+35	No	+$0	06-03 05:23
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or below on June 16?	1	$33	33	+33	No	+$0	06-15 02:31
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 42°C on May 30?	1	$33	33	+33	No	+$0	05-29 02:33
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on May 25?	1	$31	31	+31	No	+$0	05-24 02:46
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on May 22?	1	$31	31	+31	No	+$0	05-21 06:01
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on May 22?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	05-21 06:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on May 25?	1	$26	27	+27	No	+$0	05-24 02:45
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 6°C or below on May 11?	1	$26	26	+26	No	+$0	05-10 03:22
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$26	100	+100	No	-$26	06-25 07:42
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 11?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-10 03:21
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 25?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	05-24 02:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 30?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	05-29 02:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	04-27 08:20
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	1	$19	35	+35	No	-$19	09-17 08:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 11?	1	$18	18	+18	No	+$0	05-10 03:21
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$16	40	+40	No	-$16	04-27 08:24
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or below on May 30?	1	$16	16	+16	No	+$0	05-29 02:32
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	04-27 08:22
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	04-29 00:40
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$14	40	+40	Yes	+$26	04-27 08:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 22?	1	$13	13	+13	No	+$0	05-21 06:01
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$13	100	+100	No	-$13	06-25 07:42
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	1	$12	35	+35	Yes	+$23	09-17 08:27
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	1	$10	10	+10	No	+$0	04-29 00:40
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 22?	1	$10	10	+10	No	+$0	05-21 05:58
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$9	100	+100	No	-$9	06-04 06:06
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 3?	1	$7	7	+7	No	+$0	06-03 05:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-17 08:27:16	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0x63a7ee…
09-17 08:27:16	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	33¢	$12	0x3c2268…
09-17 08:27:16	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	53¢	$19	0x35eaff…
06-25 07:42:40	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x434437…
06-25 07:42:40	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x2b4a1b…
06-25 07:42:40	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x0ec1b8…
06-15 02:31:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or below on June 16?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x716935…
06-04 06:06:34	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x971d0a…
06-04 06:02:10	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0xf0984a…
06-04 06:02:10	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x5a3ee6…
06-03 05:23:53	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on June 3?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x4febc7…
06-03 05:23:37	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xab0015…
06-03 05:23:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 3?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0e6913…
05-29 02:33:26	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5c4e84…
05-29 02:33:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 42°C on May 30?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x69d51a…
05-29 02:32:55	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or below on May 30?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x578470…
05-29 02:32:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x234615…
05-24 02:46:21	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on May 25?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x5a5532…
05-24 02:45:44	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 25?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xca38ee…
05-24 02:45:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$26	0x59b0e2…
05-21 06:01:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on May 22?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x480d87…
05-21 06:01:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xbd62f0…
05-21 06:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on May 22?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x347510…
05-21 05:58:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 22?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3d53a9…
05-10 03:22:24	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 6°C or below on May 11?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x2a1e15…
05-10 03:21:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 11?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x284058…
05-10 03:21:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x3e91d2…
04-29 00:40:24	Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x73e128…
04-29 00:40:18	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x48728d…
04-29 00:33:52	Will Germany strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8d82d6…
04-27 08:24:14	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0xcaf8d6…
04-27 08:24:10	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	41¢	$16	0x1bd7f6…
04-27 08:24:04	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	34¢	$14	0xd6c1cb…
04-27 08:23:58	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x3b392c…
04-27 08:22:34	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe86d3b…
04-27 08:22:18	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x79e33e…
04-27 08:20:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6fed2c…