Long-Term-Disco — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$275

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-16

last 05-31 13:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 64% -$19

Politics

1% 0% -$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-31).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	5	$52	36	25	+11	Down	+$3	05-31 13:28
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	3	$17	15	4	+11	Down	+$2	05-31 12:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	4	$16	21	0	+21	Down	-$9	05-31 13:34
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	4	$15	15	2	+13	Up	-$2	05-31 13:19
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	4	$15	18	2	+16	Down	-$2	05-31 12:49
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	4	$10	7	4	+3	Down	-$2	05-31 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$10	22	0	+22	Up	-$10	05-30 18:31
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	05-31 13:21
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-31 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	3	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$2	05-31 09:25
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	4	$8	10	9	+1	Up	+$0	05-31 13:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 19:30 UTC	4	$8	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	02-16 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	4	$8	14	0	+14	Up	-$8	05-31 13:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 19:15 UTC	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	02-16 19:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 09:30 UTC	2	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	04-02 09:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-31 13:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 18:50 UTC	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	+$4	02-16 18:50
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-31 12:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 19:35 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	02-16 19:37
will trump say god 3 times during address to the nation	1	$4	7	0	+7	Yes	-$4	04-01 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$4	6	0	+6	Down	-$4	05-31 13:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$4	7	0	+7	Up	+$3	05-31 13:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 22:55 UTC	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	04-01 23:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 19:40 UTC	3	$3	4	2	+2	Up	-$1	02-16 19:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 19:45 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	02-16 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$2	100	0	+100	Down	-$2	05-30 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Up	+$3	05-30 17:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 09:35 UTC	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	-$2	04-02 09:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	-$2	05-30 18:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 19:50 UTC	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	-$2	02-16 19:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 13:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xdaf3f3…
05-31 13:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x89827d…
05-31 13:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x8bdfca…
05-31 13:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x02d9c6…
05-31 13:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x23d8b2…
05-31 13:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xca2fcb…
05-31 13:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x30a1db…
05-31 13:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xcf135c…
05-31 13:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xd39c79…
05-31 13:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xda497e…
05-31 13:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x9eef14…
05-31 13:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xd0df9a…
05-31 13:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x3c1cfc…
05-31 13:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x06ce27…
05-31 13:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x9a1e91…
05-31 13:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xc79527…
05-31 13:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x7f516c…
05-31 13:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x3dfed4…
05-31 13:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	14	88¢	$12	0xd87f3f…
05-31 13:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xff060c…
05-31 13:21:38	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xfa1145…
05-31 13:19:46	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xeae28a…
05-31 13:19:15	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x8e5717…
05-31 13:18:01	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x0eba8d…
05-31 13:16:09	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x2612be…
05-31 13:11:56	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	91¢	$2	0xf91a8b…
05-31 13:10:32	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x8cc793…
05-31 13:10:26	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0xfece69…
05-31 13:10:19	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x6d8644…
05-31 13:05:04	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xb429ef…
05-31 13:04:50	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x4aa47f…
05-31 13:04:45	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x3c0e5c…
05-31 13:01:24	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xcc7b64…
05-31 12:58:39	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xe6e7d4…
05-31 12:56:51	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x0acffc…
05-31 12:53:37	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x3329b2…
05-31 12:53:30	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x6913e5…
05-31 12:51:41	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xb0b3ea…
05-31 12:49:42	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0xbe7e4b…
05-31 12:48:48	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xd4b349…
05-31 12:48:37	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0xba47ac…
05-31 12:47:20	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x4182a1…
05-31 12:43:14	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x69cef9…
05-31 12:38:16	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x04b7a2…
05-31 12:14:30	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb44b37…
05-31 12:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x3bd782…
05-31 09:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xe12f12…
05-31 09:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xaed59f…
05-31 09:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x83eec4…
05-31 09:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x91bd2d…
05-31 08:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x7e55e8…
05-30 18:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x33171f…
05-30 18:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xfe20e1…
05-30 18:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xef08dd…
05-30 18:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x135708…
05-30 18:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb46b41…
05-30 17:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4e8869…
05-30 17:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xcfba61…
05-30 17:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x6068f7…
04-02 09:37:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xb4f094…
04-02 09:35:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 09:30 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xd1866a…
04-02 09:30:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x39944f…
04-01 23:09:25	will trump say god 3 times during address to the nation	No	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x662391…
04-01 23:00:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 22:55 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x82ab7c…
04-01 22:58:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x48abc3…
04-01 22:53:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 22:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x4147f1…
04-01 22:45:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x4452a0…
02-16 19:52:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x2ffe55…
02-16 19:50:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 19:45 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x03809d…
02-16 19:47:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa3798f…
02-16 19:43:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x579a70…
02-16 19:41:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 19:40 UTC	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xbf7a18…
02-16 19:41:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x121a26…
02-16 19:37:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 19:35 UTC	Up	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0xe2bd49…
02-16 19:36:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xf620b4…
02-16 19:34:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 19:30 UTC	Up	SELL	3	84¢	$2	0x421ec1…
02-16 19:34:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xd9ba00…
02-16 19:32:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 19:30 UTC	Up	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0xf47cbf…
02-16 19:32:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xdd743c…
02-16 19:26:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 19:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x9ae81c…
02-16 19:22:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x7a5523…
02-16 19:20:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 19:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf80805…
02-16 19:16:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x758548…
02-16 18:56:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xeeb2b1…
02-16 18:50:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 18:50 UTC	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x29ab9a…