Gleeful-Tumbler — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.10K

Unrealized P&L

+$407

Hit rate

91.4%

Resolved

Trades

163

lifetime

Volume

$239.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.47K

Open exposure

$5.24K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-26 15:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 79% +$470

Other

4% 47% -$1,569

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	+3,860	$3,286	94¢	$3.6K	+$362	10-26 15:40
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	+1,625	$1,527	97¢	$1.6K	+$46	04-30 10:07
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	-16	-$14	94¢	$-15	-$1	08-14 14:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$42.8K	21,447	21,447	+0	No	+$64	03-26 07:48
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	5	$33.8K	16,971	16,971	+0	No	+$51	02-14 13:44
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	3	$19.8K	9,923	9,920	+4	No	+$41	04-25 09:33
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	2	$19.6K	19,632	0	+19,632	No	+$43	01-19 11:04
will bitcoin reach 120k in february 2026	1	$16.9K	16,954	0	+16,954	No	+$34	02-14 13:44
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	21	$12.6K	8,860	5,000	+3,860	open	—	10-26 15:40
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	12	$11.6K	5,812	5,812	+0	No	+$6	06-24 01:55
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	3	$11.0K	5,513	5,513	+0	No	+$33	05-24 01:35
will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	2	$10.4K	5,205	5,205	+0	No	+$0	07-30 15:59
will bitcoin reach 95k in march 2026	1	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$20	03-26 08:26
will bitcoin reach 110k in february 2026	4	$8.6K	4,306	4,306	+0	No	+$22	02-17 17:36
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	13	$7.8K	4,000	3,994	+6	No	+$4	04-12 04:56
will bitcoin reach 115k in february 2026	4	$7.6K	5,286	2,310	+2,976	No	+$24	02-17 20:28
will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	1	$5.3K	5,361	0	+5,361	No	+$11	08-01 12:33
will bitcoin dip to 55k in january 2026	2	$5.2K	2,637	2,637	+0	No	-$2	01-08 17:22
Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?	10	$2.8K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$207	04-30 10:06
Will Paradex launch a token by April 30 2026?	14	$1.9K	1,098	962	+137	Yes	+$15	02-21 19:42
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$1.5K	1,625	0	+1,625	open	—	04-30 10:07
Over $2M committed to the Fluent public sale?	6	$1.5K	1,710	1,708	+2	No	-$966	04-13 09:13
will bitcoin dip to 50k in january 2026	1	$1.0K	1,033	0	+1,033	No	+$4	01-02 22:10
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	1	$1.0K	1,012	0	+1,012	No	+$7	02-23 13:12
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	9	$872	545	545	+0	open	—	10-25 13:57
Over $3M committed to the Fluent public sale?	4	$665	1,045	1,044	+1	No	-$547	04-13 06:27
ucl bvb1 ata1 2026 02 17 bvb1	2	$585	500	500	+0	Yes	+$105	02-17 20:27
Trove FDV above $80M one day after launch?	2	$553	0	561	-561	No	-$8	01-18 18:40
Trove FDV above $60M one day after launch?	3	$437	67	389	-322	No	+$4	01-18 14:25
Trove FDV above $10M one day after launch?	6	$420	300	300	+0	No	+$60	01-18 19:15
will bitcoin reach 95k in february 2026	1	$417	419	0	+419	No	+$2	02-20 16:19
Trove FDV above $5M one day after launch?	5	$408	600	600	+0	No	+$72	01-19 14:20
will ethereum dip to 1000 in january 2026 651	1	$249	250	0	+250	No	+$1	01-02 22:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 15:40:24	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5,000	93¢	$4,650	0xa7c65d…
10-25 13:57:21	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	290	84¢	$243	0xd24b0f…
10-25 09:22:18	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	80	84¢	$67	0xd93e96…
10-25 06:12:44	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	125	84¢	$105	0x2aa14f…
10-24 12:53:21	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0x5d21ef…
09-12 11:30:06	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	No	BUY	136	99¢	$135	0x7eca7f…
08-14 14:37:39	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	89¢	$14	0x49e923…
08-11 10:20:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x62de1e…
08-11 10:20:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8db90a…
08-11 10:09:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x114d9c…
08-01 12:33:12	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	BUY	5,361	100¢	$5,350	0x6b93fd…
07-30 15:59:32	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	SELL	5,205	100¢	$5,200	0x4785c2…
07-15 13:00:44	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	167	90¢	$150	0x83cf19…
07-13 18:57:29	over 70m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325658	Yes	BUY	351	11¢	$39	0x92fb7f…
07-13 18:12:10	over 16m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325648	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x78ec73…
07-13 18:11:16	over 80m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325659	Yes	BUY	521	5¢	$25	0x273e38…
07-09 22:44:17	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	BUY	5,205	100¢	$5,200	0xdecf88…
07-08 17:04:04	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	706	17¢	$120	0xc3bbf4…
07-08 17:02:44	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	1,071	14¢	$150	0xc5784f…
06-24 01:55:34	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0x904bcd…
06-24 01:54:11	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x3b48da…
06-24 00:48:05	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x708cdd…
06-24 00:39:55	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4a628c…
06-24 00:38:04	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x7a78b2…
06-23 22:43:53	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7f95de…
06-23 22:41:52	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x84aa5c…
06-23 22:34:34	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x22401a…
06-23 22:04:17	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5,493	100¢	$5,488	0x991ebc…
06-14 20:10:10	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	201	49¢	$98	0x32167c…
06-14 20:09:37	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x070e33…
06-13 18:08:00	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5,010	100¢	$5,000	0x304ceb…
06-13 17:37:58	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	802	100¢	$800	0xec51f1…
06-04 19:34:10	Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	223	79¢	$176	0xb86622…
06-03 22:57:58	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xe25032…
06-03 21:35:40	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	42	88¢	$37	0x241b66…
06-03 19:07:03	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2,100	88¢	$1,848	0xb959aa…
06-03 18:49:39	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	150	88¢	$132	0x33a5a2…
06-03 18:48:25	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	400	87¢	$348	0x99e157…
06-03 16:13:34	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	145	76¢	$110	0xc1ce61…
06-01 12:43:27	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0xfa264f…
05-31 14:41:47	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x36f09a…
05-31 10:22:12	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	125	76¢	$95	0xfa5500…
05-30 22:06:50	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	240	76¢	$183	0x53d43d…
05-30 10:19:50	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,000	90¢	$900	0x84a561…
05-29 17:16:34	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2,000	90¢	$1,800	0xde7af2…
05-29 17:15:37	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,000	90¢	$900	0xa5ceee…
05-28 18:47:39	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x59e829…
05-27 21:34:43	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x28db12…
05-27 11:58:25	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x68b11f…
05-25 14:04:57	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x728ebf…
05-25 13:11:40	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$2	0x4ca93a…
05-24 09:06:55	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	145	90¢	$130	0x01ac4d…
05-24 01:35:27	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	No	SELL	5,212	100¢	$5,207	0xb72262…
05-24 01:35:09	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	No	SELL	301	100¢	$301	0x654a05…
05-20 21:47:38	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,961	91¢	$1,784	0x586f4f…
05-19 21:38:48	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0xd11f43…
05-19 05:22:10	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$2	0x605d3e…
05-19 02:03:39	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0xb98165…
05-18 02:51:37	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xecc719…
05-15 12:41:45	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x8dc2df…
05-02 04:31:54	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x8733ea…
05-02 04:30:32	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	No	BUY	5,513	99¢	$5,474	0xdae640…
04-30 10:07:14	Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,625	94¢	$1,527	0x80e48b…
04-30 10:06:26	Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	1,500	100¢	$1,497	0xbafbe7…
04-30 04:55:32	Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0x33b70b…
04-30 04:53:24	Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0x419b79…
04-30 04:53:22	Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0xf6a89a…
04-30 04:53:22	Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	1,470	86¢	$1,264	0xdbeb73…
04-30 04:53:22	Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0xa6eb25…
04-30 04:53:22	Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0x7cc541…
04-30 04:53:22	Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x42d143…
04-30 04:53:22	Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	3	86¢	$2	0x1949e2…
04-30 04:50:14	Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	24	86¢	$20	0xc8bdc5…
04-25 09:33:02	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	No	SELL	9,920	100¢	$9,897	0x0366e0…
04-13 21:06:43	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	No	BUY	2,245	100¢	$2,236	0x06deec…
04-13 09:13:11	Over $2M committed to the Fluent public sale?	Yes	SELL	1,708	16¢	$273	0xd64de2…
04-13 06:27:41	Over $3M committed to the Fluent public sale?	Yes	SELL	982	5¢	$49	0x218350…
04-13 06:26:47	Over $4M committed to the Fluent public sale?	Yes	SELL	382	2¢	$9	0xcf6cfe…
04-12 12:37:59	Over $3M committed to the Fluent public sale?	Yes	SELL	62	16¢	$10	0xad959b…
04-12 04:56:19	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	630	98¢	$617	0xde7bbc…
04-12 04:42:35	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0xe0b000…
04-12 04:35:37	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	49	98¢	$48	0xfb80d3…
04-12 04:28:19	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	27	98¢	$27	0x34bc6f…
04-12 03:59:53	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	48	98¢	$47	0xfd526c…
04-12 03:45:23	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0x702434…
04-12 03:33:53	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	59	98¢	$58	0x314d81…
04-12 03:27:47	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0x744cfe…
04-12 03:22:43	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0xb7ed11…
04-12 03:19:59	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x4216a4…
04-12 03:17:25	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$9	0x7f9aa3…
04-09 16:54:25	Over $2M committed to the Fluent public sale?	Yes	BUY	126	69¢	$87	0xd94859…
04-09 16:52:55	Over $2M committed to the Fluent public sale?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$9	0xffeda2…
04-09 16:52:31	Over $2M committed to the Fluent public sale?	Yes	BUY	70	68¢	$47	0x1fbc85…
04-09 16:42:09	Over $2M committed to the Fluent public sale?	Yes	BUY	1,494	73¢	$1,091	0xb69e42…
04-09 16:06:17	Over $2M committed to the Fluent public sale?	Yes	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x7957c3…
04-09 16:01:57	Over $3M committed to the Fluent public sale?	Yes	BUY	1,000	58¢	$580	0x55fbb3…
04-09 15:44:45	Over $4M committed to the Fluent public sale?	Yes	BUY	400	39¢	$156	0xbba6f2…
04-09 15:43:15	Over $3M committed to the Fluent public sale?	Yes	BUY	45	58¢	$26	0xd8afa8…
04-09 14:22:29	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	2,954	98¢	$2,892	0x90c7ea…
04-03 06:20:29	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	No	BUY	7,679	99¢	$7,625	0x26f343…