Critical-Nose — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$103

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 05-26 03:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

50% 95% +$0

Sports

33% 67% +$0

Tech

15% 0% —

Crypto

2% 91% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-26).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decide differently in the next three decisions decjanmar	3	$818	409	409	+0	No	+$0	03-17 00:41
will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	3	$792	400	400	+0	No	+$0	03-16 08:27
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	3	$788	400	400	+0	Yes	+$0	03-16 08:40
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$740	379	379	+0	No	+$0	03-16 09:01
will georgia win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$740	370	370	+0	No	+$0	03-17 01:16
will baidu have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	2	$730	366	366	+0	No	+$0	03-17 00:46
Will Spencer Fano be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?	2	$200	0	400	-400	No	+$0	03-17 00:29
highest temperature in beijing on april 7 2026 23corhigher	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	04-07 02:19
highest temperature in denver on april 14 2026 47forbelow	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-14 01:11
highest temperature in milan on april 9 2026 19c	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	04-09 05:44
highest temperature in beijing on april 10 2026 20corbelow	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	04-10 03:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 05:45 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	03-16 05:59
ethereum up or down march 15 2026 11pm et	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	03-16 03:48
highest temperature in shanghai on april 14 2026 23corhigher	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	04-14 01:11
highest temperature in taipei on april 10 2026 39corhigher	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	04-10 03:31
bitcoin up or down march 15 2026 11pm et	1	$18	18	0	+18	Up	+$0	03-16 03:48
highest temperature in ankara on april 8 2026 16c	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	04-08 02:37
highest temperature in toronto on april 10 2026 13c	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	04-10 03:32
highest temperature in ankara on april 8 2026 17c	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	04-08 02:37
highest temperature in paris on april 7 2026 18corbelow	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	04-07 02:16
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-16 00:00 UTC	1	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	03-16 03:47
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 115 139	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	03-16 05:22
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-09 00:00 UTC	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	04-09 03:56
bitcoin up or down on march 16 2026	2	$4	3	2	+2	Up	+$0	03-16 05:22
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 42°C or higher on May 27?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-26 03:28
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C or higher on May 21?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-20 02:18
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C or higher on May 27?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-26 03:28
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 07:15 UTC	1	$3	3	0	+3	Down	+$0	04-14 07:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 02:30 UTC	1	$3	3	0	+3	Down	+$0	04-07 02:34
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-26 03:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 03:28:54	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x55c7c2…
05-26 03:28:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 42°C or higher on May 27?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x70e6c5…
05-26 03:28:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C or higher on May 27?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x4ee3ce…
05-20 02:18:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C or higher on May 21?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x45acf8…
05-20 02:18:45	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 33°F or below on May 21?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa3bcd4…
04-14 07:19:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xb8ea6d…
04-14 01:11:35	highest temperature in denver on april 14 2026 47forbelow	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc01705…
04-14 01:11:07	highest temperature in shanghai on april 14 2026 23corhigher	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc276ef…
04-10 03:32:29	highest temperature in toronto on april 10 2026 13c	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x355db4…
04-10 03:31:59	highest temperature in taipei on april 10 2026 39corhigher	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x72a897…
04-10 03:31:27	highest temperature in beijing on april 10 2026 20corbelow	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x73eb87…
04-10 03:27:55	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xfce295…
04-09 05:44:37	highest temperature in milan on april 9 2026 19c	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xec5324…
04-09 03:56:13	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-09 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc00115…
04-09 03:55:21	BNB Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-09 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x808569…
04-08 03:14:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xebbc88…
04-08 02:37:29	highest temperature in ankara on april 8 2026 16c	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa79594…
04-08 02:37:11	highest temperature in ankara on april 8 2026 17c	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x4616db…
04-07 02:34:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xc19e96…
04-07 02:19:13	highest temperature in beijing on april 7 2026 23corhigher	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xaa4ec2…
04-07 02:16:09	highest temperature in paris on april 7 2026 18corbelow	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7d01e1…
03-17 01:16:43	will georgia win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	370	100¢	$370	0x5ddae3…
03-17 00:58:45	will georgia win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	370	100¢	$370	0x518679…
03-17 00:46:37	will baidu have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	SELL	366	100¢	$365	0x4c14e4…
03-17 00:42:05	will baidu have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	366	100¢	$365	0x945cb1…
03-17 00:41:23	will the fed decide differently in the next three decisions decjanmar	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x1e1ac6…
03-17 00:37:57	will the fed decide differently in the next three decisions decjanmar	No	SELL	366	100¢	$365	0x876342…
03-17 00:36:35	will the fed decide differently in the next three decisions decjanmar	No	BUY	409	100¢	$409	0x378d0d…
03-17 00:29:25	Will Spencer Fano be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0x54547c…
03-17 00:29:03	Will Spencer Fano be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0x4d7d9d…
03-16 09:01:09	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	44	98¢	$43	0x49bdbd…
03-16 09:01:09	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x1380bc…
03-16 09:00:31	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	331	98¢	$324	0xef3d4c…
03-16 08:57:33	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	379	98¢	$370	0xd9086a…
03-16 08:40:21	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x2b03b3…
03-16 08:40:01	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	385	99¢	$379	0x8ad5c9…
03-16 08:37:53	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	400	98¢	$394	0xab54b6…
03-16 08:27:15	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x2b7b91…
03-16 08:26:23	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	SELL	389	99¢	$385	0x601479…
03-16 08:25:19	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	BUY	400	99¢	$396	0xfc6c57…
03-16 07:30:01	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xd2e5c6…
03-16 07:28:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x45b47f…
03-16 05:59:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x904359…
03-16 05:43:49	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x395e95…
03-16 05:22:59	bitcoin up or down on march 16 2026	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$1	0x1f6f9a…
03-16 05:22:35	bitcoin up or down on march 16 2026	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xfa997b…
03-16 05:22:09	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 115 139	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x660fd7…
03-16 03:48:51	ethereum up or down march 15 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x951433…
03-16 03:48:15	bitcoin up or down march 15 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x8301f4…
03-16 03:47:57	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-16 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2b91c6…