Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$17,753

Trades

1,078

Unique wallets

187

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-03-16

First seen

2026-03-15

last 03-16 03:59

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

(anon) +2,596 Shallow-Actor +1,881 (anon) +1,326 Steel-Hometown +804 (anon) +743 (anon) +742 Energetic-Hosiery +649 (anon) +600

NO holders

(anon) +2,249 (anon) +1,508 (anon) +1,010 (anon) +1,005 Kind-Sycamore +1,000 Energetic-Hosiery +768 (anon) +600 Cool-Storyboard +500

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -0.4¢ (top1%: 68% YES on $6.6K vs crowd: 69% YES on $15.9K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	18	$5.2K	$2.0K	+$3.3K
🐬 Dolphin	32	$1.9K	$1.7K	+$228
🐟 Fish	54	$891	$1.0K	$121
🦐 Shrimp	83	$2.9K	$273	+$2.6K

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	13	$4.5K	$2.1K	+$2.5K
🏆 Top 5%	30	$2.9K	$966	+$1.9K
✅ Top 10%	11	$162	$279	$117
Median	18	$195	$24	+$171
Below median	61	$667	$264	+$403
⚠️ Bottom 10%	23	$1.1K	$828	+$302
🔻 Bottom 5%	19	$706	$361	+$345
💀 Bottom 1%	12	$643	$122	+$522

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
(anonymous) 0x1f0e…cf86	Up	+2,596	$991	$991	57	03-16 03:34
(anonymous) 0xefea…a267	Down	+2,249	$67	$67	1	03-16 03:34
Shallow-Actor 0x2df8…7c79	Up	+1,881	$1,878	$1,878	6	03-16 03:58
(anonymous) 0x1f0e…cf86	Down	+1,508	$722	$722	31	03-16 03:34
(anonymous) 0x08b1…4559	Up	+1,326	$1,286	$1,286	1	03-16 03:34
(anonymous) 0xed86…78c7	Down	+1,010	$264	$264	42	03-16 03:43
(anonymous) 0x686c…1a39	Down	+1,005	$10	$10	20	03-16 03:45
Kind-Sycamore 0xe302…cb54	Down	+1,000	$1	$1	2	03-16 03:54
Steel-Hometown 0x8888…0b39	Up	+804	$792	$792	32	03-16 03:41
Energetic-Hosiery 0x6fdc…953f	Down	+768	$473	$473	50	03-16 03:31
(anonymous) 0x5350…2ec1	Up	+743	$721	$721	1	03-16 03:34
(anonymous) 0xed86…78c7	Up	+742	$333	$333	18	03-16 03:31
Energetic-Hosiery 0x6fdc…953f	Up	+649	$244	$244	24	03-16 03:32
(anonymous) 0xd8ba…4da2	Up	+600	$144	$144	1	03-16 02:35
(anonymous) 0x143e…ab5a	Down	+600	$456	$456	1	03-16 02:35
Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6	Down	+500	$0	$0	1	03-16 03:54
(anonymous) 0x2bf2…a1f2	Down	+460	$426	$426	24	03-16 03:23
Remarkable-Consulate 0x50bc…fdc6	Down	+454	$10	$10	2	03-16 03:40
(anonymous) 0x5373…4504	Up	+411	$403	$403	3	03-16 03:40
Golden-Lecture 0xf581…0892	Down	+400	$100	$100	1	03-16 03:30
(anonymous) 0x4d0c…7ffa	Down	+389	$8	$8	1	03-16 03:35
Wilted-Race 0xca38…30ed	Up	+350	$346	$346	4	03-16 03:40
(anonymous) 0xd0de…9635	Down	+336	$252	$252	6	03-16 03:23
(anonymous) 0xad88…4ff9	Down	+297	$145	$145	20	03-16 00:51
Loud-Astrolabe 0xd26a…c5ea	Up	+275	$274	$274	2	03-16 03:59
(anonymous) 0xd0de…9635	Up	+253	$18	$18	7	03-16 03:15
ftyukon 0x0482…f72a	Down	+250	$100	$100	3	03-16 03:30
ftyukon 0x0482…f72a	Up	+250	$100	$100	15	03-16 00:26
(anonymous) 0x4acf…49ec	Down	+237	$6	$6	9	03-16 03:34
Wide-Stealth 0x9d4a…c2a6	Down	+232	$214	$214	4	03-16 03:18
Appropriate-Sip 0x1f08…c6f5	Up	+220	$218	$218	4	03-16 03:46
(anonymous) 0xcee4…278d	Down	+200	$1	$1	4	03-16 03:49
Colorful-Pipe 0xb373…2aa2	Up	+193	$190	$190	2	03-16 03:34
Impassioned-Botany 0x9826…983b	Up	+193	$190	$190	2	03-16 03:34
Tidy-Watchmaker 0xbb2e…ad55	Down	+183	$100	$100	1	03-16 00:10
(anonymous) 0x143a…5c30	Up	+180	$175	$175	1	03-16 03:34
(anonymous) 0x2bf2…a1f2	Up	+160	$154	$154	9	03-16 03:44
Adventurous-Magnet 0xca0c…b9b6	Down	+152	$368	$1,019	41	03-16 03:33
Favorite-Sunflower 0xba01…8535	Down	+131	$73	$73	18	03-16 03:31
Favorite-Sunflower 0xba01…8535	Up	+126	$52	$52	15	03-16 03:31
Wide-Stealth 0x9d4a…c2a6	Up	+126	$107	$107	2	03-16 03:30
(anonymous) 0x7ead…3af5	Up	+120	$118	$118	1	03-16 03:35
Normal-Saddle 0x18e0…4940	Up	+114	$112	$112	1	03-16 03:35
(anonymous) 0x5fa1…e70b	Down	+105	$62	$62	21	03-16 02:05
Cruel-Collaboration 0x1ccb…a91e	Down	+100	$0	$0	3	03-16 03:53
(anonymous) 0xf4f4…1ce6	Down	+100	$3	$3	3	03-16 03:33
(anonymous) 0x9ce4…bbfd	Up	+95	$31	$31	19	03-16 02:45
(anonymous) 0xd2ed…a534	Down	+94	$2	$2	2	03-16 03:46
Lovable-Pineapple 0x726b…9daa	Up	+86	$84	$84	2	03-16 03:43
(anonymous) 0x5fa1…e70b	Up	+86	$34	$34	17	03-16 01:23
(anonymous) 0xd68d…b397	Up	+83	$83	$83	2	03-16 03:49
(anonymous) 0x3a29…f3fb	Up	+79	$77	$77	1	03-16 03:35
(anonymous) 0x200a…fb09	Up	+76	$74	$74	1	03-16 03:35
(anonymous) 0x9ce4…bbfd	Down	+75	$37	$37	15	03-16 02:05
Youthful-Calico 0x285b…f3d3	Down	+74	$0	$7	25	03-16 03:49
Adventurous-Magnet 0xca0c…b9b6	Up	+71	$74	$221	17	03-16 03:33
(anonymous) 0x80b1…1cc6	Up	+60	$3	$3	4	03-16 03:02
(anonymous) 0x80b1…1cc6	Down	+60	$3	$3	3	03-16 03:33
(anonymous) 0x70b4…8802	Down	+50	$20	$20	1	03-16 03:25
(anonymous) 0x4b98…63bc	Down	+50	$22	$22	2	03-16 03:24