Golden-Lecture — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.79K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.9%

Resolved

4,443

Trades

20,223

lifetime

Volume

$378.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-31 01:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 230 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 40% -$5,528

Other

0% 15% -$36

Sports

0% 0% -$168

Politics

0% 25% -$56

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down february 27 12am et	142	$6.0K	4,000	4,000	+0	Down	+$1,960	02-27 05:59
bitcoin up or down february 24 5am et	15	$4.2K	3,250	3,250	+0	Up	+$2,217	02-24 10:59
bitcoin up or down february 27 4am et	63	$3.1K	2,100	2,100	+0	Down	+$1,102	02-27 09:45
ethereum up or down february 27 12am et	26	$3.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	Down	+$981	02-27 06:04
bitcoin up or down february 26 5am et	22	$3.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	Down	+$1,000	02-26 10:49
ethereum up or down february 23 9pm et	41	$3.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	Up	+$1,000	02-24 02:59
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	3	$2.0K	1,002	1,002	+0	No	-$1	02-13 22:02
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-26 09:00 UTC	7	$1.8K	3,000	3,000	+0	Up	$0	02-26 12:09
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-26 21:00 UTC	26	$1.8K	1,263	1,263	+0	Down	+$726	02-27 00:55
bitcoin up or down february 24 9pm et	22	$1.8K	1,335	1,335	+0	Down	+$887	02-25 03:00
bitcoin up or down march 13 1pm et	62	$1.7K	1,200	1,200	+0	Down	+$684	03-13 17:45
bitcoin up or down march 1 12am et	10	$1.7K	1,200	1,200	+0	Down	+$719	03-01 06:13
bitcoin up or down february 25 12am et	25	$1.7K	1,200	1,200	+0	Down	+$708	02-25 05:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 17:20 UTC	2	$1.5K	1,500	1,500	+0	Up	+$1,442	03-08 17:25
bitcoin up or down february 23 9pm et	17	$1.5K	4,000	0	+4,000	Down	-$1,480	02-24 02:53
bitcoin up or down on february 4	23	$1.4K	2,555	2,555	+0	Down	-$40	02-03 20:42
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-26 21:00 UTC	2	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	Down	+$590	02-27 00:54
bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 10am et	13	$1.2K	904	893	+11	Down	+$594	03-16 14:41
ethereum up or down february 27 4am et	35	$1.2K	1,200	1,200	+0	Down	+$0	02-27 09:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 05:35 UTC	29	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	Up	+$770	02-28 05:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 04:00 UTC	11	$1.1K	800	800	+0	Up	+$432	02-25 04:12
ethereum up or down february 20 9pm et	20	$1.0K	800	800	+0	Down	+$543	02-21 03:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 09:00 UTC	130	$1.0K	3,400	0	+3,400	Up	-$1,039	02-25 09:04
ethereum up or down on february 4	29	$1.0K	1,200	1,200	+0	Down	+$336	02-03 20:42
bitcoin up or down february 25 4am et	41	$1.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Up	-$1,000	02-25 09:04
bitcoin up or down february 26 11pm et	40	$1000	2,000	0	+2,000	Up	-$1,000	02-27 04:00
bitcoin up or down february 25 3am et	16	$1000	2,700	0	+2,700	Up	-$1,000	02-25 08:20
ethereum up or down february 24 5am et	48	$1000	3,250	0	+3,250	Down	-$1,000	02-24 10:40
bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 9am et	27	$995	1,200	600	+600	Down	+$203	04-07 13:59
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-22 05:00 UTC	3	$992	800	800	+0	Down	+$592	02-22 09:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 01:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x5962ff…
10-31 00:59:22	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x344472…
10-31 00:45:39	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x99ccbf…
10-31 00:28:13	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xb92f35…
10-31 00:28:00	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xbf3416…
10-31 00:12:45	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xda290a…
10-30 23:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xb9b727…
10-29 23:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x58c7bc…
10-29 23:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x10eaa8…
10-29 21:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xed4e1e…
10-29 15:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x645101…
10-29 15:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc6c43a…
10-29 15:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xb8127e…
10-29 15:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb42657…
10-29 14:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa81142…
10-29 14:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6c326b…
10-29 14:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x77b29d…
10-29 14:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xbd1e6c…
10-29 14:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x969b3e…
10-29 14:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x100852…
10-29 12:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa51bfc…
10-29 12:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x035b80…
10-29 10:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf024df…
10-29 10:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf44c1f…
10-29 10:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x073902…
10-29 09:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xa8bb2e…
10-29 09:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf387f9…
10-29 09:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x85a8b8…
10-29 09:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x2ad90f…
10-29 09:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0893ac…
10-29 09:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc7e92f…
10-29 09:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x8ba020…
10-29 09:14:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-29 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x49edfb…
10-27 21:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x9bedf6…
09-17 14:00:46	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xf0c93b…
09-15 05:05:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xfb537a…
09-15 04:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x363810…
09-15 04:08:03	Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x548c78…
09-14 06:02:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 14, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x59f01e…
09-08 19:11:37	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xd0423e…
09-08 18:49:00	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	23	40¢	$9	0xd94148…
09-08 18:49:00	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x82a789…
09-08 18:49:00	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	23	40¢	$9	0x7bbe5a…
09-08 18:49:00	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	23	40¢	$9	0x6d8e13…
09-08 18:49:00	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x403d8d…
09-08 18:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xef03bb…
09-08 17:44:30	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x271a9a…
09-08 17:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	39	25¢	$10	0xca5caf…
09-08 17:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x40c9c6…
09-08 17:11:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x9a5aea…
09-08 17:11:19	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x33bbfb…
09-08 16:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0x46fc5c…
09-08 16:07:15	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x4967a6…
09-08 16:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x190fee…
09-08 04:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0xab2b7f…
09-08 04:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x0a96f6…
09-08 04:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xdae032…
09-08 04:07:24	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x5662a2…
09-08 03:04:31	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x2c897f…
09-07 21:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0xb05eb1…
09-07 21:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x8f03dc…
09-07 21:10:01	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xe52f58…
09-07 20:06:15	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0xa4c748…
09-07 20:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x8ea34e…
09-07 20:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x251e3c…
09-07 20:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xd781ff…
09-07 19:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xb89911…
09-07 19:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x23f752…
09-07 19:01:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xf0350b…
09-07 19:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	110	99¢	$109	0x22f933…
09-07 18:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	60	31¢	$19	0xb55e04…
09-07 18:23:28	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0xf00951…
09-07 18:23:27	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0xef6c4d…
09-07 18:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x488a6d…
09-07 15:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x7d71ef…
09-07 15:02:30	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x62c471…
09-07 14:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x105995…
09-07 14:04:18	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x450212…
09-07 13:33:21	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	21	32¢	$7	0xd7d731…
09-07 13:33:19	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x78eff6…
09-07 13:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x41fb27…
09-07 13:32:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x52392c…
09-07 13:32:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	14	32¢	$4	0x01afb5…
09-07 11:08:37	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0xfacdc5…
09-07 11:08:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0xfab6a2…
09-07 11:08:31	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	61	40¢	$24	0xfc983b…
09-07 11:08:31	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x2ea0f8…
09-07 11:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xfaa9fe…
09-07 09:37:13	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x843d2a…
09-07 09:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0xe0bdd0…
09-07 09:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xae2534…
09-07 09:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x8ec376…
09-07 09:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x6534f2…
09-07 09:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	26	40¢	$10	0x3addfc…
09-07 09:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x02041e…
09-07 07:25:15	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x45dcfd…
09-07 07:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xbb4dea…
09-07 02:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10PM ET	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xf90d1e…
09-07 02:38:54	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 10PM ET	Up	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x3a1486…
09-07 02:38:52	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe7bea2…