Trusty-Cirrus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$48

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.9%

Resolved

160

Trades

1,911

lifetime

Volume

$71.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 05-31 20:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

39% — —

Sports

33% — —

Politics

21% — —

Crypto

8% 89% $-48

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 107 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	9	$7.4K	5,269	5,269	+0	open	—	01-30 16:31
nba mil okc 2026 02 12	26	$6.9K	6,408	6,408	+0	open	—	02-13 02:35
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 140 164	26	$4.0K	3,912	3,894	+18	open	—	02-11 17:00
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 40 64	38	$2.9K	2,085	2,085	+0	open	—	02-14 15:17
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	23	$2.9K	9,668	9,668	+0	open	—	02-09 22:01
nba was cle 2026 02 11	25	$2.5K	1,321	1,321	+0	open	—	02-12 02:17
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	5	$2.1K	1,299	1,299	+0	open	—	02-09 05:36
elon musk of tweets february 19 february 21 40 64	18	$1.9K	31,990	990	+31,000	open	—	02-20 14:43
nba mil okc 2026 02 12 1h moneyline	13	$1.8K	1,610	610	+1,000	open	—	02-13 01:36
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 165 189	19	$1.6K	4,033	1,433	+2,600	open	—	02-11 16:59
nba det tor 2026 02 11	2	$1.4K	744	744	+0	open	—	02-12 02:37
epl mac ful 2026 02 11 mac	2	$1.4K	700	700	+0	open	—	02-11 21:05
nba mem den 2026 02 11	7	$1.3K	718	718	+0	open	—	02-12 06:58
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 65 89	26	$1.3K	2,128	2,128	+0	open	—	02-14 15:34
nba dal lal 2026 02 12 1h moneyline	16	$1.3K	700	700	+0	open	—	02-13 04:12
another us government shutdown by february 14	37	$1.2K	5,443	5,443	+0	open	—	02-15 01:37
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 190 214	10	$1.2K	1,973	1,973	+0	open	—	02-11 14:55
nba mil orl 2026 02 09	17	$1.2K	1,084	450	+634	open	—	02-10 01:42
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 0 39	47	$1.2K	2,915	2,033	+882	open	—	02-14 14:56
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	4	$1.0K	519	519	+0	open	—	02-24 23:40
nba chi bos 2026 02 11	7	$928	500	500	+0	open	—	02-12 02:03
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	2	$869	450	450	+0	open	—	02-24 14:18
epl ast bri 2026 02 11 ast	3	$866	471	471	+0	open	—	02-11 21:25
nba atl cha 2026 02 11	2	$808	408	408	+0	open	—	02-12 02:35
sea fio pis 2026 02 23 fio	5	$765	426	426	+0	open	—	02-23 19:31
nba ind nyk 2026 02 10	1	$756	900	0	+900	open	—	02-10 09:16
nba ind tor 2026 02 08	5	$755	430	430	+0	open	—	02-08 22:14
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 360 379	4	$645	739	151	+588	open	—	02-24 15:50
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	2	$615	336	336	+0	open	—	02-20 06:16
nba mia was 2026 02 08	5	$609	344	344	+0	open	—	02-08 19:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 20:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	71¢	$9	0x7af25e…
05-31 20:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0xea2f80…
05-31 19:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x596c92…
05-31 19:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x7c8f44…
05-31 18:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xf93902…
05-31 15:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x45a99e…
05-31 09:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x1bd764…
05-30 16:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x23aad8…
05-30 06:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xc43716…
05-30 05:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$5	0x2e4f21…
05-30 05:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xc9f35e…
05-30 04:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x6d0300…
05-29 10:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x247517…
05-29 04:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x978727…
05-29 01:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xc36d7c…
05-28 11:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x5129c9…
05-28 11:19:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x651e64…
05-28 11:19:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x651c5c…
05-28 05:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xed2fcd…
05-26 08:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x1407f1…
05-26 08:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x4e960b…
05-26 04:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0x2ded56…
05-26 02:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x82acf7…
05-26 02:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$6	0x945018…
05-26 00:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xd09e88…
05-26 00:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xc856f1…
05-26 00:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x1535e4…
05-26 00:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x58e2f5…
05-25 22:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x2b8799…
05-25 22:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xe19ba5…
05-25 12:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x803bcf…
05-24 07:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xe51788…
05-24 06:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xac48bd…
05-23 20:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x5def84…
05-22 10:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0xe9d9ce…
05-22 05:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x23590a…
05-21 22:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x6accf4…
05-20 23:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	15	97¢	$14	0x020322…
05-20 23:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0x8dd170…
05-20 23:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	12	97¢	$11	0x7c4243…
05-20 23:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x825307…
05-20 21:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0xd489d6…
05-20 21:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x9c3878…
05-20 21:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xbd8ca7…
05-20 21:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0xfb0e1d…
05-20 09:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xe83460…
05-20 09:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x45a3ec…
05-20 05:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x9b7fdf…
05-20 05:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x2f9b40…
05-14 11:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	92¢	$7	0x426305…
05-14 10:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x624888…
05-14 10:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xd240c9…
05-13 18:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	83¢	$11	0xae9a42…
05-13 18:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xbaf8d2…
05-13 18:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x2ab745…
05-13 18:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	11	95¢	$11	0xeaa602…
05-13 18:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x6451eb…
05-13 18:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xa1a3fc…
05-13 18:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x5b9aa6…
05-10 14:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x99f981…
05-10 14:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0xa03f8b…
05-10 14:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0x77526d…
05-10 14:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0x9ffa21…
05-10 14:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	86¢	$4	0x606283…
05-10 13:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0xd0c12f…
05-10 13:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	83¢	$4	0xb587b9…
05-10 13:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x2db461…
05-10 13:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xce2885…
05-10 13:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x5015e4…
05-10 13:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xb45ed1…
05-10 13:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0x1cdebe…
05-10 13:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	87¢	$3	0x8b5a5e…
05-10 13:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xd0f013…
05-10 13:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	92¢	$3	0xd1c6fd…
05-10 13:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	92¢	$3	0x5f2521…
05-10 12:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	93¢	$3	0xc64f4c…
05-10 12:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	90¢	$3	0x131c35…
05-10 04:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x459461…
05-10 03:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0xebf9d5…
05-10 03:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x03aee2…
05-10 03:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x29af94…
05-10 03:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	91¢	$7	0xf981a2…
05-10 03:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0xc3c56d…
05-10 03:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0xe22692…
05-10 03:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0xcff2f5…
05-10 03:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	94¢	$6	0x5fce77…
05-10 03:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	7	96¢	$6	0xab75e2…
05-10 03:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	93¢	$6	0xde7465…
05-10 02:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x53df22…
05-10 02:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x2e1c65…
05-10 02:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0xa07c20…
05-10 02:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$6	0x839862…
05-10 02:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xe51ff5…
05-10 02:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xe0ddf7…
05-10 02:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xcc99c5…
05-10 02:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xb2f14b…
05-10 02:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x221f10…
05-10 02:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0x0efa77…
05-10 02:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0xba3d7a…
05-10 02:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0x06de17…