Messy-Foundation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$178

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.6%

Resolved

524

Trades

526

lifetime

Volume

$2.41K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-27

last 11-03 16:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 36% -$201

Other

31% 75% +$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$13	34	+34	Down	-$13	05-28 01:03
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	1	$12	12	+12	Yes	+$0	08-01 15:27
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	1	$12	12	+12	No	+$0	08-01 15:27
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	1	$12	12	+12	No	+$0	10-07 14:44
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	1	$12	13	+13	No	+$1	09-05 14:06
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	1	$12	13	+13	No	+$1	08-28 14:00
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	1	$12	12	+12	Yes	+$0	08-24 14:00
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	1	$12	12	+12	Yes	+$0	10-07 14:44
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	1	$12	12	+12	Yes	+$0	09-15 14:59
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	1	$12	13	+13	No	+$1	10-09 14:40
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	1	$12	13	+13	Yes	+$1	11-02 15:12
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$12	12	+12	Yes	+$0	08-04 14:00
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	1	$12	12	+12	Yes	+$0	09-08 15:07
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	1	$12	12	+12	No	+$1	08-14 14:18
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	1	$12	12	+12	No	+$0	11-02 15:12
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	1	$12	13	+13	Yes	+$1	11-03 16:00
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	1	$12	13	+13	Yes	+$1	09-23 14:00
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	1	$12	13	+13	No	+$1	09-23 14:01
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	1	$12	12	+12	No	+$1	10-28 14:00
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	1	$12	12	+12	Yes	+$0	10-28 14:00
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	1	$12	13	+13	No	+$1	10-16 14:19
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	1	$12	13	+13	Yes	+$1	10-16 14:19
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	1	$12	13	+13	No	+$1	11-03 15:52
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$12	13	+13	No	+$1	08-07 14:00
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$12	13	+13	Yes	+$1	08-07 14:00
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	1	$12	12	+12	Yes	+$1	10-13 14:00
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	1	$12	12	+12	No	+$0	08-25 14:00
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	1	$12	12	+12	Yes	+$0	08-25 14:00
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	1	$12	13	+13	No	+$1	08-15 14:48
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?	1	$12	13	+13	No	-$12	08-19 14:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 16:00:46	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xfdb2a3…
11-03 15:52:42	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0xb05f3b…
11-02 15:12:37	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x4072da…
11-02 15:12:34	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xb1f1f0…
10-30 14:30:42	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xa7525d…
10-30 14:22:37	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xb6da6e…
10-30 14:00:51	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xce0a43…
10-28 14:00:43	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x97db67…
10-28 14:00:40	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xf88786…
10-27 14:12:42	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	89¢	$11	0xd4c427…
10-27 14:10:41	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0xfba840…
10-26 14:44:33	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x01f829…
10-26 14:38:30	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x71ddb1…
10-24 14:34:42	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x104450…
10-24 14:10:32	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0x5dda5b…
10-23 14:02:47	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x60e169…
10-23 14:02:44	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xfb4071…
10-21 14:22:27	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x942bb8…
10-21 14:16:29	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5a11bc…
10-20 15:17:33	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	4	66¢	$2	0xa0e2b2…
10-20 14:12:53	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x7c4144…
10-19 15:48:33	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x9e8af4…
10-19 15:46:32	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x09d7f9…
10-16 14:19:06	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x7db402…
10-16 14:19:00	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x9d2e69…
10-13 14:00:41	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9d086a…
10-13 14:00:37	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xfdefde…
10-12 14:00:47	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	12	95¢	$12	0x6205f2…
10-12 14:00:44	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x695b2d…
10-10 14:28:45	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x0e46c2…
10-10 14:26:43	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x0b3c61…
10-09 14:42:48	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x9a98cb…
10-09 14:40:43	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0xdef3f3…
10-07 14:44:34	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x0df99a…
10-07 14:44:32	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x01e984…
10-06 14:00:47	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x84c551…
10-06 14:00:42	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x6f6946…
09-30 14:00:38	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x35b471…
09-30 14:00:35	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x9407a5…
09-28 14:04:26	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x11c37b…
09-28 14:02:24	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x264e77…
09-25 14:00:44	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xa730df…
09-25 14:00:41	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x6d451c…
09-23 14:01:01	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	No	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0xd20c96…
09-23 14:00:58	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0xb43c07…
09-19 14:30:33	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0x3843bd…
09-19 14:21:29	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	No	BUY	12	88¢	$10	0x788018…
09-18 14:00:57	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xfc746a…
09-18 14:00:54	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x95ce96…
09-16 14:12:34	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0xf35b4f…
09-16 14:10:37	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	No	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0xd27982…
09-15 14:59:40	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x83a397…
09-15 14:59:39	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xaeb008…
09-14 14:10:31	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd09846…
09-14 14:10:28	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x7e30e2…
09-11 15:27:33	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x6b8b11…
09-09 14:17:01	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xc9d0d0…
09-09 14:16:58	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xe73bd5…
09-08 15:07:51	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xaf6ca7…
09-07 14:28:33	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x6e5251…
09-07 14:08:30	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0x7615a5…
09-05 14:06:34	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	No	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0x5412a2…
09-05 14:06:31	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x7946e9…
09-04 14:06:39	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xf38ae1…
09-04 14:06:37	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x88430b…
09-02 14:34:15	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x1c6478…
09-02 14:28:16	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0x9aa0a4…
08-31 14:04:28	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0x8765bb…
08-31 14:04:25	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0x6806d4…
08-28 14:00:46	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0x62a591…
08-26 14:22:28	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	87¢	$3	0x77f96f…
08-26 14:18:39	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xc980ea…
08-25 14:00:49	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x818c32…
08-25 14:00:48	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xf71781…
08-24 14:00:31	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x83dbc5…
08-22 15:10:27	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xf89629…
08-22 14:30:34	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xa0539e…
08-22 14:14:34	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x1d6014…
08-19 14:09:31	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf5cb9a…
08-19 14:09:27	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x1dbe71…
08-18 14:14:22	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	4	86¢	$4	0xa47ece…
08-17 14:24:39	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x1bf0d9…
08-17 14:24:36	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	No	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x7604b2…
08-15 14:48:39	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	No	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0x125627…
08-15 14:48:37	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xbda6a4…
08-14 14:18:28	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xfd9f6a…
08-14 14:18:25	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x75e3eb…
08-12 14:00:30	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x88d57c…
08-12 14:00:27	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x4c12de…
08-11 14:10:27	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0x32e35b…
08-11 14:08:24	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0x5047b7…
08-10 14:48:18	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x8f4a1b…
08-10 14:46:30	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xabbff3…
08-08 14:32:34	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0xc832e6…
08-08 14:32:33	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0xad3642…
08-07 14:00:45	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x7f01c9…
08-07 14:00:42	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0x7f5c78…
08-04 14:00:50	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xdd71bb…
08-03 14:38:24	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xdb93ea…
08-03 14:36:26	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x363c07…