Minor-Downturn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$233

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.6%

Resolved

295

Trades

527

lifetime

Volume

$10.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 08-18 14:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 66% -$69

Other

4% 57% -$160

Politics

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 09:20 UTC	2	$288	150	150	+0	Up	+$9	08-05 09:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 13:30 UTC	8	$254	135	135	+0	Up	+$10	07-29 13:33
will bitcoin reach 65k on august 6	6	$196	193	160	+33	No	-$123	08-06 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7AM ET	2	$194	98	98	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 12:14
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-19 20:00 UTC	10	$188	100	100	+0	Up	+$8	07-19 23:31
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-18 20:00 UTC	2	$187	100	100	+0	Up	+$13	07-18 23:52
will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893	5	$175	222	0	+222	Yes	-$175	08-18 14:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-18 20:30 UTC	8	$172	90	90	+0	Down	+$4	07-18 20:43
bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 4pm et	3	$163	95	90	+5	Down	-$3	07-17 20:54
bitcoin up or down july 11 2026 10am et	3	$152	85	80	+5	Up	+$8	07-11 14:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7AM ET	2	$152	77	77	+0	Down	+$2	05-10 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12PM ET	2	$151	76	76	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 17:08
bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 5am et	5	$151	88	88	+0	Up	+$2	07-10 09:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 20:00 UTC	3	$148	80	80	+0	Down	+$12	07-17 20:12
bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 3pm et	3	$145	80	75	+5	Down	+$5	07-17 19:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 08:15 UTC	2	$132	70	70	+0	Up	+$6	07-10 08:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	3	$130	70	65	+5	Down	-$1	05-07 13:12
bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 4pm et	5	$124	135	5	+130	Down	+$9	07-27 20:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 12:15 UTC	2	$124	70	70	+0	Down	+$2	07-10 12:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 13:15 UTC	4	$115	65	65	+0	Down	+$4	07-10 13:29
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 goals kevin de bruyne gte1	3	$100	54	54	+0	No	+$8	07-01 22:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 11:30 UTC	4	$98	103	0	+103	Up	+$5	07-27 11:33
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 btts first half	2	$97	50	50	+0	No	+$3	07-02 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	1	$97	99	0	+99	Up	-$97	05-13 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4PM ET	1	$96	97	0	+97	Down	+$1	05-12 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	1	$94	95	0	+95	Up	+$1	05-12 12:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 10:50 UTC	5	$92	50	50	+0	Down	+$6	07-19 10:54
bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 1pm et	4	$90	50	45	+5	Up	-$1	07-04 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$89	90	0	+90	Down	+$1	05-12 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	1	$86	87	0	+87	Up	+$1	05-12 08:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-18 14:01:30	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893	No	BUY	41	79¢	$32	0xf037eb…
08-18 12:54:27	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xa328f7…
08-18 12:29:09	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xd37c20…
08-18 11:55:30	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893	No	BUY	48	79¢	$38	0x1c349d…
08-18 11:53:15	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893	No	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x424cad…
08-10 13:45:34	will bitcoin dip to 64k on august 10	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x860746…
08-07 19:11:43	meta up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0x61e965…
08-07 17:02:06	will bitcoin reach 66k on august 7	No	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0x7be520…
08-07 11:23:48	will bitcoin reach 66k on august 7	No	BUY	13	68¢	$9	0x486bc2…
08-07 11:19:18	will bitcoin reach 65k on august 7	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb97a35…
08-07 09:46:39	will bitcoin reach 65k on august 7	No	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x56aaf8…
08-07 09:33:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xf5bf63…
08-07 09:33:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x3a6c85…
08-07 09:32:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x03dc80…
08-07 09:25:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x16f2aa…
08-07 09:19:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x36fe0d…
08-07 09:19:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xfba037…
08-07 09:17:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xa7ba75…
08-06 21:39:11	will bitcoin reach 65k on august 6	No	BUY	29	88¢	$25	0xed877c…
08-06 21:38:06	will bitcoin reach 65k on august 6	No	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0xf3cf91…
08-06 21:18:33	will bitcoin reach 65k on august 6	Yes	SELL	150	12¢	$18	0xd446c4…
08-06 15:33:08	will bitcoin reach 65k on august 6	No	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x98c8ce…
08-06 15:11:12	will bitcoin reach 65k on august 6	Yes	BUY	150	97¢	$145	0xa2a301…
08-06 15:09:51	will bitcoin reach 65k on august 6	No	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xaced06…
08-06 14:47:23	will bitcoin dip to 64k on august 6	Yes	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0xe74485…
08-06 14:47:03	bitcoin up or down on august 6 2026	Down	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x3e6f9a…
08-06 12:15:48	will bitcoin dip to 64k on august 6	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x5d18c5…
08-06 12:13:59	bitcoin up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x79284d…
08-06 10:11:36	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-06 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0xdcc2c3…
08-06 10:11:36	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-06 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x03be8f…
08-06 09:01:20	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-06 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x344c07…
08-05 20:09:36	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-05 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd13b1a…
08-05 19:32:14	will bitcoin reach 65k on august 5	No	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x6aee33…
08-05 13:26:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 13:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xda315c…
08-05 13:15:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x452da0…
08-05 13:13:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x97605f…
08-05 13:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4d3d9a…
08-05 12:55:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x003ee1…
08-05 12:16:18	bitcoin up or down august 5 2026 8am et	Up	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xfacdf3…
08-05 12:15:44	bitcoin up or down august 5 2026 8am et	Down	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x1c0f7a…
08-05 12:00:39	bitcoin up or down august 5 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xdfd996…
08-05 11:59:17	bitcoin up or down august 5 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x455819…
08-05 11:41:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x1bf21a…
08-05 11:36:41	bitcoin up or down august 5 2026 7am et	Down	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xc91f62…
08-05 11:22:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x6db1fe…
08-05 11:07:08	bitcoin up or down august 5 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x532ae7…
08-05 09:24:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 09:20 UTC	Up	SELL	150	99¢	$148	0x268ab9…
08-05 09:22:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	150	93¢	$140	0x074a69…
08-05 08:46:02	bitcoin up or down august 5 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x72ae2f…
08-05 08:04:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	30	93¢	$28	0x61a9f7…
08-05 08:01:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0x6a4fcc…
08-05 08:01:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x419a84…
08-05 07:35:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x57e29b…
08-05 07:31:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xabd57f…
08-05 07:31:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x361429…
08-04 15:45:30	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-04 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x1dabae…
08-04 15:35:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xc099b3…
08-04 13:42:27	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-04 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2eb94a…
08-04 08:09:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xb4c836…
08-04 08:07:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x5f8ea2…
08-03 12:11:24	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x75bd46…
08-03 12:11:20	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xcbef62…
08-03 09:59:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x5ebbfd…
08-03 09:44:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6caaaf…
08-03 08:32:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x471b6c…
08-03 08:32:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x8c55f8…
08-03 08:23:51	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xa9ab6d…
08-03 08:02:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x2291e7…
08-03 07:28:51	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	40	64¢	$26	0xbbf524…
08-03 07:28:51	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xba8ec0…
08-03 07:28:29	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x0077b8…
08-03 07:20:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x6ca34c…
08-03 07:12:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x6a48ca…
08-03 07:04:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x896f57…
08-03 07:04:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x4b6fc3…
08-03 07:02:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe96deb…
07-31 12:19:24	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0xbc19c2…
07-31 12:19:02	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x42cce1…
07-31 11:24:33	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 7am et	Down	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0xb97d6c…
07-31 11:15:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 11:00 UTC	Down	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0xca6a88…
07-31 11:05:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x191a83…
07-31 11:05:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0xa3d73b…
07-31 11:05:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0xca0c49…
07-31 11:03:27	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x515944…
07-31 11:02:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x310d44…
07-31 10:57:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xbc7dc8…
07-31 10:51:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xdbf927…
07-30 12:15:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x334cd8…
07-30 12:15:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb92b0b…
07-30 09:50:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x161d3c…
07-30 07:55:29	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa0a7d7…
07-29 13:33:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 13:30 UTC	Up	SELL	130	99¢	$129	0xd7f6ab…
07-29 13:32:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x9e9a8b…
07-29 13:32:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	38	92¢	$35	0x7b9b38…
07-29 13:32:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	74	92¢	$68	0x769d6c…
07-29 13:32:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x975032…
07-29 13:30:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 13:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0xeed871…
07-29 13:30:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 13:30 UTC	Up	SELL	4	65¢	$2	0x966e1e…
07-29 13:29:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc9666b…
07-29 07:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0x2761ae…