Minor-Downturn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$58

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.5%

Resolved

Trades

387

lifetime

Volume

$8.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 07-20 19:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 85% $-58

Other

3% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7AM ET	2	$194	98	98	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 12:14
btc updown 4h 1784491200	10	$188	100	100	+0	open	—	07-19 23:31
btc updown 4h 1784404800	2	$187	100	100	+0	open	—	07-18 23:52
bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 4pm et	3	$163	95	90	+5	open	—	07-17 20:54
bitcoin up or down july 11 2026 10am et	3	$152	85	80	+5	open	—	07-11 14:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7AM ET	2	$152	77	77	+0	Down	+$2	05-10 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12PM ET	2	$151	76	76	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 17:08
bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 5am et	5	$151	88	88	+0	open	—	07-10 09:51
btc updown 15m 1784318400	3	$148	80	80	+0	open	—	07-17 20:12
bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 3pm et	3	$145	80	75	+5	open	—	07-17 19:58
btc updown 15m 1783671300	2	$132	70	70	+0	open	—	07-10 08:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	3	$130	70	65	+5	Down	$-1	05-07 13:12
btc updown 15m 1783685700	2	$124	70	70	+0	open	—	07-10 12:29
btc updown 15m 1783689300	4	$115	65	65	+0	open	—	07-10 13:29
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 goals kevin de bruyne gte1	3	$100	54	54	+0	open	—	07-01 22:09
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 btts first half	2	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	07-02 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	1	$97	99	0	+99	Up	$-97	05-13 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4PM ET	1	$96	97	0	+97	Down	+$1	05-12 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	1	$94	95	0	+95	Up	+$1	05-12 12:44
btc updown 5m 1784458200	5	$92	50	50	+0	open	—	07-19 10:54
bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 1pm et	4	$90	50	45	+5	open	—	07-04 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$89	90	0	+90	Down	+$1	05-12 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	1	$86	87	0	+87	Up	+$1	05-12 08:29
btc updown 5m 1784329800	2	$85	90	0	+90	open	—	07-17 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$84	85	0	+85	Up	+$1	05-10 20:25
btc updown 15m 1784406600	4	$84	90	0	+90	open	—	07-18 20:39
btc updown 15m 1775197800	3	$83	43	43	+0	open	—	04-03 06:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	1	$83	90	0	+90	Up	+$7	05-12 11:49
will bitcoin reach 66k on july 14	2	$81	85	0	+85	open	—	07-14 21:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$79	80	0	+80	Down	+$1	05-12 10:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 02:34:01	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	348	0¢	$1	0x02332a…
07-21 02:32:04	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x48a112…
07-21 02:31:49	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x61c2b6…
07-20 19:39:42	btc updown 5m 1784576100	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe3a3ec…
07-20 19:36:09	btc updown 5m 1784576100	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xade463…
07-20 19:31:51	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x674b50…
07-19 23:31:25	btc updown 4h 1784491200	Up	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x230171…
07-19 23:31:12	btc updown 4h 1784491200	Up	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x764660…
07-19 23:30:10	btc updown 4h 1784491200	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x1f6cce…
07-19 23:29:49	btc updown 4h 1784491200	Up	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x8efe4d…
07-19 23:28:46	btc updown 4h 1784491200	Up	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x4f9f47…
07-19 23:28:12	btc updown 4h 1784491200	Up	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xe61c35…
07-19 23:28:01	btc updown 4h 1784491200	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xbea951…
07-19 23:27:43	btc updown 4h 1784491200	Up	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x1d715a…
07-19 23:26:45	btc updown 4h 1784491200	Up	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x23fa12…
07-19 22:49:28	btc updown 4h 1784491200	Up	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x2e5a44…
07-19 19:35:51	btc updown 4h 1784476800	Down	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x871b85…
07-19 18:44:13	btc updown 15m 1784485800	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc7655c…
07-19 18:32:30	btc updown 15m 1784485800	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xda0be6…
07-19 18:26:40	btc updown 15m 1784484900	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7216d0…
07-19 18:02:37	btc updown 4h 1784476800	Up	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x4d2ab6…
07-19 17:51:36	btc updown 4h 1784476800	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x64569f…
07-19 17:41:28	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x11fe98…
07-19 16:57:27	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x7f32f0…
07-19 12:13:18	btc updown 5m 1784463000	Up	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xd45e05…
07-19 12:12:49	btc updown 5m 1784463300	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x7c5b9e…
07-19 12:10:48	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf52007…
07-19 12:07:45	btc updown 5m 1784463000	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd36d30…
07-19 12:02:15	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x8eb9bc…
07-19 11:14:10	btc updown 15m 1784458800	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x819ab8…
07-19 11:08:30	btc updown 15m 1784458800	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x3a55d6…
07-19 10:54:42	btc updown 5m 1784458200	Down	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x381273…
07-19 10:51:39	btc updown 5m 1784458200	Down	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x51415d…
07-19 10:51:37	btc updown 5m 1784458200	Down	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0xd35a89…
07-19 10:51:37	btc updown 5m 1784458200	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x9827c1…
07-19 10:51:37	btc updown 5m 1784458200	Down	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x13f33e…
07-19 10:46:21	btc updown 15m 1784457900	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xab1f2a…
07-18 23:52:31	btc updown 4h 1784404800	Up	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x214b0a…
07-18 22:28:33	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 6pm et	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x1ef237…
07-18 22:25:42	btc updown 4h 1784404800	Up	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x533460…
07-18 22:04:21	btc updown 15m 1784412000	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x29d42e…
07-18 22:03:07	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x87f27a…
07-18 20:39:45	btc updown 15m 1784406600	Down	BUY	23	93¢	$21	0xaf5c28…
07-18 20:39:45	btc updown 15m 1784406600	Down	BUY	61	93¢	$57	0x843b8c…
07-18 20:39:45	btc updown 15m 1784406600	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x03b22b…
07-18 20:39:40	btc updown 15m 1784406600	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x864905…
07-17 23:18:43	btc updown 5m 1784330100	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x2366e5…
07-17 23:13:46	btc updown 5m 1784329800	Down	BUY	29	94¢	$27	0xbb83a4…
07-17 23:13:43	btc updown 5m 1784329800	Down	BUY	61	94¢	$58	0x6c9466…
07-17 23:01:49	btc updown 15m 1784329200	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x1257d9…
07-17 22:44:24	btc updown 5m 1784328000	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x75f6c2…
07-17 22:40:04	btc updown 5m 1784328000	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xd29fd2…
07-17 21:06:24	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0x406c4b…
07-17 21:05:52	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x9bfa98…
07-17 20:54:24	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc807c4…
07-17 20:52:48	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 4pm et	Down	SELL	90	89¢	$80	0x8e60a8…
07-17 20:34:28	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	90	90¢	$81	0x97b8ea…
07-17 20:12:31	btc updown 15m 1784318400	Down	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0x21e81e…
07-17 20:12:30	btc updown 15m 1784318400	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1d52eb…
07-17 20:01:40	btc updown 15m 1784318400	Down	BUY	80	85¢	$68	0x4b4256…
07-17 19:58:18	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 3pm et	Down	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0x448be0…
07-17 19:49:39	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	75	92¢	$69	0x8e2d2d…
07-17 19:38:19	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9f7b5c…
07-17 19:28:46	btc updown 15m 1784315700	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xd1ef1c…
07-17 18:53:24	btc updown 5m 1784314200	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x40f33f…
07-17 18:50:46	btc updown 5m 1784314200	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x2568c1…
07-17 18:44:48	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x22388c…
07-17 18:36:12	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xdc4702…
07-17 18:34:49	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x5e8143…
07-17 18:04:00	btc updown 15m 1784311200	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x391805…
07-17 17:46:54	btc updown 15m 1784310300	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x83a8ae…
07-17 17:31:46	btc updown 15m 1784309400	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xf23f01…
07-17 17:28:33	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 1pm et	Down	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x32ca94…
07-17 17:17:09	btc updown 15m 1784308500	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb1d570…
07-17 17:16:46	btc updown 5m 1784308500	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x4fa2e9…
07-17 17:11:07	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x9b30ed…
07-17 17:02:27	btc updown 15m 1784307600	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xb6034b…
07-17 17:00:31	btc updown 15m 1784307600	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x575cfa…
07-16 12:46:14	btc updown 15m 1784205900	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf4b250…
07-16 12:22:25	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x7f3ebe…
07-16 11:32:38	btc updown 4h 1784188800	Up	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x51a2d1…
07-16 09:07:14	btc updown 4h 1784188800	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x510e70…
07-15 18:18:35	bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x73b90a…
07-15 10:58:13	bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 6am et	Down	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x06b609…
07-15 10:08:13	bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x839470…
07-15 10:08:07	bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x15bebb…
07-15 08:54:55	btc updown 15m 1784105100	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x3ab53c…
07-15 08:53:10	btc updown 15m 1784105100	Down	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xc1d58c…
07-15 08:46:23	btc updown 15m 1784105100	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x9a0b13…
07-15 07:30:08	btc updown 5m 1784100600	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe02da6…
07-15 07:27:05	btc updown 5m 1784100300	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x9cf08d…
07-14 21:17:37	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 14	No	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0x921f66…
07-14 21:12:08	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 14	No	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x398295…
07-14 21:10:22	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 14	No	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xb8e5f8…
07-14 21:08:16	btc updown 4h 1784059200	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3e6ea7…
07-14 19:58:22	btc updown 5m 1784058900	Down	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xd1d259…
07-14 19:57:08	btc updown 5m 1784058900	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc9a76d…
07-14 18:54:01	bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2287a9…
07-14 17:25:46	btc updown 5m 1784049900	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x0c3b99…
07-14 16:15:08	bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x415255…