Vague-Food — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

16.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$330

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 10-26 08:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Other

58% 52% -$1

Crypto

27% 38% $0

Politics

12% 50% $0

Sports

3% 75% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	2	$21	11	10	+1	No	$0	06-22 11:42
highest temperature in lucknow on march 22 2026 38c	2	$20	10	9	+1	No	$0	03-21 16:16
will gold gc settle over 7000 on the final trading day of march 2026	2	$17	9	8	+1	No	$0	03-21 16:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 26?	2	$17	9	8	+1	Yes	+$0	10-26 08:25
bitcoin above 60k on march 10	2	$16	9	7	+1	Yes	$0	03-09 17:37
houthi strike on israel by march 6 2026	2	$16	8	7	+1	No	$0	03-09 17:40
will bitcoin dip to 64k august 24 30 2026	2	$15	8	7	+1	No	$0	08-29 17:29
military action against iran ends on march 22 2026	2	$15	8	7	+1	No	$0	03-21 16:20
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	2	$15	8	7	+1	No	$0	08-29 17:27
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$13	7	6	+1	No	$0	03-21 16:21
bank of japan decreases interest rates after march 2026 meeting	2	$13	7	6	+1	No	$0	03-09 17:49
will google gemini be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 13	2	$11	6	5	+1	No	$0	03-11 11:11
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C or higher on August 30?	2	$11	6	5	+1	No	$0	08-29 17:31
bitcoin above 74k on march 11	2	$9	5	4	+1	No	$0	03-11 11:12
Will Ideogram have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?	2	$9	5	4	+1	No	$0	08-29 17:32
will temu shop like a billionaire be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 24	2	$9	5	4	+1	No	$0	03-21 16:24
house passes massie khanna war powers resolution by march 13 231	2	$7	4	3	+1	No	$0	03-09 17:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	2	$7	4	3	+1	Yes	$0	05-07 03:20
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	2	$7	4	3	+1	No	$0	02-04 03:46
Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	2	$7	4	3	+1	Yes	$0	05-07 03:24
f1 japanese grand prix winner colapinto 2026 03 29	2	$7	4	3	+1	No	$0	03-21 16:25
will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 8	2	$6	3	2	+1	No	$0	02-04 03:51
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 17 be between 90 and 95?	2	$5	3	2	+1	No	$0	05-07 03:24
will global temperature increase by less than 1pt05c in february 2026	2	$5	3	2	+1	No	$0	03-09 17:43
will smoke be said 100 times during the iem cologne 2026 grand finals 20260614191816910	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	06-22 11:49
no change in bank of englands interest rates after february 2026 meeting	2	$5	3	2	+1	Yes	$0	02-04 03:54
Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $4.00 on August 31, 2026?	2	$5	3	2	+1	No	$0	08-29 17:33
Will Lille win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	02-04 03:55
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies	2	$2	2	0	+2	New York Mets	+$0	05-07 03:18
mbwm quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 20 2026 1pt34	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	01-20 12:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 08:26:09	Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Mika Stojsavljevic	Alexandra Eala	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd99da2…
10-26 08:25:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x73a094…
10-26 08:25:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd0ee45…
10-26 08:19:59	Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x413e8f…
08-29 17:35:19	Will The Left win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfe05a5…
08-29 17:34:22	Will Régis Gaudreault win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb062ac…
08-29 17:33:45	Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $4.00 on August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x28fcb8…
08-29 17:33:24	Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $4.00 on August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x86440a…
08-29 17:32:51	Will AC Monza win on 2026-08-29?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb742b1…
08-29 17:32:07	Will Ideogram have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xa029fa…
08-29 17:31:54	Will Ideogram have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf64f14…
08-29 17:31:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C or higher on August 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x124831…
08-29 17:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x47f113…
08-29 17:30:34	Will David Harbour – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x898592…
08-29 17:29:57	Will “The Traitors” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xb86a8f…
08-29 17:29:01	will bitcoin dip to 64k august 24 30 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x337e74…
08-29 17:28:34	will bitcoin dip to 64k august 24 30 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfa7f92…
08-29 17:27:51	Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xca362c…
08-29 17:27:36	Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x71e383…
08-29 17:26:24	Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd6201b…
06-22 11:49:20	will smoke be said 100 times during the iem cologne 2026 grand finals 20260614191816910	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf94bcb…
06-22 11:42:53	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc91dfe…
06-22 11:42:35	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x326883…
05-07 03:24:21	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xbb3745…
05-07 03:24:01	Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 17 be between 90 and 95?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x096da6…
05-07 03:23:26	Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 17 be between 90 and 95?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x559f01…
05-07 03:20:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x8b13f7…
05-07 03:20:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x3d3336…
05-07 03:19:11	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x984c02…
05-07 03:18:31	New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies	New York Mets	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3c2d2a…
05-07 03:18:20	New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies	New York Mets	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x39115a…
05-07 03:16:28	Will SUJA LIFE's market cap be at least $1.4B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7a2cb5…
03-21 16:25:31	f1 japanese grand prix winner colapinto 2026 03 29	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xf7d5cd…
03-21 16:25:23	f1 japanese grand prix winner colapinto 2026 03 29	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x14cf81…
03-21 16:24:43	will temu shop like a billionaire be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 24	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xe9bf7d…
03-21 16:24:31	will temu shop like a billionaire be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 24	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x95311d…
03-21 16:22:13	will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 11 be less than 60	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5eb3b7…
03-21 16:21:13	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe106ef…
03-21 16:20:59	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4dfd41…
03-21 16:20:25	military action against iran ends on march 22 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x7403f8…
03-21 16:20:09	military action against iran ends on march 22 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbcbb53…
03-21 16:17:33	will gold gc settle over 7000 on the final trading day of march 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x89245b…
03-21 16:17:07	will gold gc settle over 7000 on the final trading day of march 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x88dec7…
03-21 16:16:43	highest temperature in lucknow on march 22 2026 38c	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x9b39f8…
03-21 16:16:29	highest temperature in lucknow on march 22 2026 38c	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xae2d89…
03-21 16:15:23	bun bay uni 2026 03 21 spread home 1pt5	FC Bayern München	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x230ec2…
03-11 11:14:19	crint bgd pak 2026 03 11	Bangladesh	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7f3d57…
03-11 11:12:11	bitcoin above 74k on march 11	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xd59016…
03-11 11:11:55	bitcoin above 74k on march 11	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x216cf9…
03-11 11:11:31	will google gemini be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 13	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x63d896…
03-11 11:11:21	will google gemini be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 13	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfd40bf…
03-11 11:10:35	swiss national bank increases policy rate after march meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5aa0e1…
03-11 11:09:47	bbw quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 12 2026 1pt27	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x2cc937…
03-09 17:53:57	lol vdn wlg 2026 03 09 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xde40f2…
03-09 17:49:25	bank of japan decreases interest rates after march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xaea862…
03-09 17:49:09	bank of japan decreases interest rates after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9d1e88…
03-09 17:44:49	house passes massie khanna war powers resolution by march 13 231	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x0b58b3…
03-09 17:43:19	will global temperature increase by less than 1pt05c in february 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4e666f…
03-09 17:42:59	house passes massie khanna war powers resolution by march 13 231	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf1d544…
03-09 17:41:33	will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2ab2bb…
03-09 17:40:03	houthi strike on israel by march 6 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x01a2bd…
03-09 17:39:41	houthi strike on israel by march 6 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x03d423…
03-09 17:37:15	bitcoin above 60k on march 10	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xbc8735…
03-09 17:36:55	will global temperature increase by less than 1pt05c in february 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3f33ef…
03-09 17:32:49	bitcoin above 60k on march 10	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3ea62b…
02-04 04:00:54	will grok 4pt20 be released on february 3 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1c3769…
02-04 04:00:16	trump invokes war powers against venezuela by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfb9fd6…
02-04 03:58:44	will united states record a medal at the 2026 winter olympics 445	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd07283…
02-04 03:55:00	Will Lille win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc5aded…
02-04 03:54:44	no change in bank of englands interest rates after february 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x407454…
02-04 03:54:24	will the price of solana be less than 80 on february 4	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc52ae3…
02-04 03:51:32	will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 8	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf4ff1b…
02-04 03:51:02	no change in bank of englands interest rates after february 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3a7cb8…
02-04 03:50:26	will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 8	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x688573…
02-04 03:48:26	will amazon run an ad during super bowl lx	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6cce50…
02-04 03:46:56	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xcd35f8…
02-04 03:46:14	cbb rutger ucla 2026 02 03	UCLA Bruins	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3cc191…
02-04 03:45:08	will patricia arquette win best actress in a television movie or limited series at the 2026 sag awards	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x97a9c7…
02-04 03:45:00	will patricia arquette win best actress in a television movie or limited series at the 2026 sag awards	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3855d3…
02-04 03:44:30	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa04be8…
01-20 12:24:28	maduro trial scheduled by january 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2561c0…
01-20 12:23:14	will uae strike yemen by january 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9ab68e…
01-20 12:21:38	key quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 20 2026 0pt39	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x300d6a…
01-20 12:21:22	mbwm quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 20 2026 1pt34	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd9583d…
01-20 10:54:44	Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8a7503…
01-20 10:52:16	Will Lille win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa3c37c…
01-20 10:51:30	ethereum above 2800 on january 20	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xca0b7e…
01-20 10:50:30	will the diplomat win best ensemble in a drama series at the 2026 sag awards	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb1ffc3…