Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$287

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

41.6%

Resolved

333

Trades

1,083

lifetime

Volume

$5.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-07-01

last 10-29 12:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Other

58% 49% -$174

Crypto

28% 49% -$105

Politics

8% 52% -$19

Tech

5% 20% -$27

Sports

2% 60% +$39

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes		+0	$3	4¢	$0	-$3	09-14 12:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
wti up or down on september 4 2026	14	$138	129	126	+3	Down	-$5	09-04 18:33
Will the median home value in NYC be between $663,000 and $689,000 on September 30?	20	$135	156	156	+0	Yes	-$5	09-08 12:20
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 26?	7	$129	95	95	+0	Yes	+$19	08-26 13:54
iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	13	$111	99	98	+1	No	+$1	07-09 20:08
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 8?	13	$110	120	120	+0	Down	-$1	09-08 02:55
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $512,000 and $518,000 on September 30?	14	$105	115	115	+0	No	+$2	08-28 16:52
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	8	$98	102	102	+0	Yes	+$2	09-05 11:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 17:30 UTC	45	$96	124	85	+39	Up	-$9	07-03 17:33
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	10	$90	103	103	+0	No	-$11	09-05 08:25
spy up or down on september 4 2026	9	$88	80	80	+0	Down	+$9	09-04 18:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 18:30 UTC	15	$86	127	94	+33	Down	-$15	08-18 18:34
spx opens up or down on september 4 2026	4	$78	160	160	+0	Up	-$18	09-04 13:16
wti up or down on july 15 2026	7	$75	250	30	+220	Up	-$65	07-15 19:32
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,137,000 on September 30?	15	$64	80	80	+0	No	-$8	09-07 13:03
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 14?	4	$61	42	40	+2	No	+$19	07-14 13:46
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 15?	10	$61	85	32	+53	No	+$16	07-14 17:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 19:55 UTC	25	$58	77	72	+5	Down	-$6	07-03 19:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 11:45 UTC	30	$55	130	0	+130	Up	-$25	07-15 11:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 19:40 UTC	34	$54	75	55	+20	Up	+$4	07-01 19:44
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?	5	$53	60	60	+0	Yes	+$2	09-03 15:34
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 30?	6	$52	60	40	+20	Yes	+$7	08-29 16:46
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 29?	12	$51	58	58	+0	Yes	-$2	08-28 23:54
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 1?	5	$50	60	40	+20	No	-$13	08-31 20:38
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 15?	5	$50	60	60	+0	Yes	-$4	08-14 21:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 11:35 UTC	26	$49	105	0	+105	Up	+$6	07-15 11:37
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	3	$46	50	50	+0	open	—	09-08 12:41
wti up or down on september 3 2026	6	$45	62	62	+0	Up	-$15	09-03 12:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 20:00 UTC	23	$43	60	40	+20	Down	-$5	07-01 20:03
spy up or down on september 2 2026	6	$43	72	22	+50	Up	-$3	09-02 13:30
Will the median home value in NYC be at least $689,000 on September 30?	4	$42	40	40	+0	No	-$5	08-26 09:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 12:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0xa3951e…
10-29 12:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xbdf760…
10-28 15:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0x557e7c…
10-28 15:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x81b049…
10-28 15:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	40	57¢	$23	0x4bea30…
10-28 15:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xfddd0b…
10-28 15:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	71	20¢	$14	0x60a630…
10-28 15:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x68e881…
10-19 18:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	73	9¢	$7	0x550d5d…
10-19 18:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xa31980…
10-19 18:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x056eb6…
10-19 13:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	37	30¢	$11	0xd52ada…
10-19 13:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x15841d…
10-19 13:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	37	40¢	$15	0xcfcb58…
10-19 13:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xb5e1e3…
10-18 21:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	50	33¢	$16	0xa286ef…
10-18 21:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x759257…
10-18 21:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x5e80fb…
10-18 15:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	36	28¢	$10	0x7b812e…
10-18 15:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x24024e…
10-18 15:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	51	24¢	$12	0x74df3b…
10-18 15:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	51	20¢	$10	0xedc0cc…
10-18 15:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	47	21¢	$10	0x6601c8…
10-18 14:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	48	39¢	$19	0xc350e6…
10-18 14:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xaa52b8…
10-18 13:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x4e6ac3…
10-18 12:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xa9c01d…
10-18 12:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1993dc…
10-18 12:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x1c68b6…
10-18 12:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x877710…
10-18 11:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x158535…
10-18 11:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xfe7fbd…
10-17 23:02:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 23:00 UTC	Up	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0xfad709…
10-17 23:01:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x15fd4c…
10-17 22:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc2141f…
10-17 22:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xad8921…
10-17 22:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x1d7024…
10-17 22:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xb8782f…
10-17 22:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x2214c3…
10-17 22:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb10bef…
10-17 22:31:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 22:30 UTC	Up	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x152fe3…
10-17 22:31:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xd99e6e…
10-17 22:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x18fbdd…
10-17 22:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe1f555…
10-17 22:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0x5bbada…
10-17 22:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x4968db…
10-17 22:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x130960…
10-17 22:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xb06c7c…
10-17 22:07:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 22:05 UTC	Up	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x352ef9…
10-17 22:06:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2a6c18…
10-17 14:28:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 14:25 UTC	Down	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x6fd3d2…
10-17 14:26:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x255672…
10-17 14:16:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 14:15 UTC	Up	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x41dc63…
10-17 14:16:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x35d539…
10-17 14:10:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 14:10 UTC	Down	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0xd77a13…
10-17 14:10:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xb314ac…
10-16 21:21:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:20 UTC	Down	SELL	4	17¢	$1	0x52367a…
10-16 21:21:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa14f2a…
10-16 20:56:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:55 UTC	Up	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xb1404c…
10-16 20:55:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x67bb90…
10-16 20:51:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x65c493…
10-16 20:47:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x209969…
10-16 20:46:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x560411…
10-16 20:43:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:40 UTC	Down	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0xe65e7f…
10-16 20:40:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x2d07ee…
10-16 13:32:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x032cb3…
10-16 13:32:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa83d84…
10-16 13:26:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:25 UTC	Down	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x955255…
10-16 13:25:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd76a14…
10-16 13:06:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:05 UTC	Up	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xf846ad…
10-16 13:06:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe89a65…
10-16 13:06:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:05 UTC	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x82ab9b…
10-16 13:06:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2ab933…
10-16 13:05:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:05 UTC	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x792cb4…
10-16 13:05:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xff8b48…
10-16 12:57:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:55 UTC	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xe92c31…
10-16 12:56:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe407cc…
10-16 12:52:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:50 UTC	Up	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x056a9b…
10-16 12:51:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x83058b…
10-16 12:41:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:40 UTC	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xb27655…
10-16 12:40:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x8e7413…
10-16 12:36:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:35 UTC	Up	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x07e16c…
10-16 12:36:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x8c9169…
10-16 12:35:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:35 UTC	Up	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xe15542…
10-16 12:35:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xa236b4…
10-15 23:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x9343df…
10-15 23:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb6af62…
10-15 23:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xcf7c3d…
10-15 22:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2ae29e…
10-15 21:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x2b7eb4…
10-15 21:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x3991a9…
10-15 21:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x893025…
10-15 21:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf40293…
10-15 21:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x5f1341…
10-15 21:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd6b6b2…
10-15 21:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x0256f2…
10-15 21:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x72018d…
10-15 21:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x4dbaae…
10-15 21:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x5511c9…
10-15 21:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xd7d812…