Low-Highlight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$166

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

76.7%

Resolved

725

Trades

1,279

lifetime

Volume

$2.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$43

5 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 10-29 19:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 60% -$132

Other

30% 85% -$4

Politics

10% 78% -$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+20	$9	69¢	$14	+$4	10-25 18:04
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+13	$3	99¢	$13	+$10	10-27 00:39
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	+14	$10	68¢	$10	$0	10-29 19:59
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+20	$10	31¢	$6	-$4	10-25 12:27
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+13	$10	1¢	$0	-$10	10-26 22:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 21?	5	$60	151	0	+151	Yes	+$1	10-20 22:07
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 13:45 UTC	1	$30	32	0	+32	Down	-$30	04-20 13:47
Will Trump say "Drag Show" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	3	$29	61	0	+61	No	+$1	10-19 11:20
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026?	4	$26	27	27	+0	No	+$0	10-08 21:06
Paris curfew by October 19?	3	$26	60	0	+60	Yes	+$6	10-19 17:08
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$19	40	0	+40	open	—	10-25 18:04
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 13:50 UTC	2	$18	9	9	+0	Down	+$0	04-20 13:55
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?	2	$18	36	0	+36	Yes	+$1	10-12 06:51
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 22?	4	$17	35	0	+35	No	+$1	10-22 07:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	3	$17	22	22	+0	Up	+$10	05-05 11:14
Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026?	2	$16	34	0	+34	Yes	+$1	10-13 01:29
Will Bonnie Crombie win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?	2	$16	32	0	+32	No	+$0	10-26 15:45
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 67% to 68%?	2	$16	32	0	+32	No	+$0	10-14 23:38
Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$15	32	0	+32	open	—	10-29 06:02
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 24?	3	$15	31	0	+31	No	+$0	10-24 10:21
Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	2	$15	31	0	+31	Yes	+$0	10-12 22:24
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	2	$15	31	0	+31	Yes	+$0	10-20 10:32
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	1	$15	26	0	+26	Yes	-$15	10-04 20:24
Will "Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 2m and 3m?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	10-10 14:04
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	2	$15	32	0	+32	No	+$1	10-14 04:45
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1?	2	$14	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	10-11 01:36
Will UK annual inflation be between 3.4% and 3.6% in September?	3	$14	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	10-20 14:04
will trump say ai during his midterm rally in kentucky october 17	2	$14	29	0	+29	No	+$0	10-16 08:05
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?	2	$14	29	0	+29	Yes	+$0	10-18 19:58
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	+$0	10-27 07:36
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	+$0	10-25 01:12
Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	2	$13	28	0	+28	No	+$0	10-10 03:46
Will Bank of America (BAC) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$13	33	0	+33	No	+$3	10-14 10:15
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 14:05 UTC	3	$13	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	04-20 14:11
Will Ségolène Royal finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?	3	$13	26	0	+26	No	+$1	10-11 13:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 19:59:43	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x1b0d4d…
10-29 19:59:40	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x96028e…
10-29 06:02:05	Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	16	34¢	$5	0xf69c9a…
10-29 03:31:25	Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0x355f33…
10-28 23:45:38	Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x6d6989…
10-28 16:56:47	Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	11	32¢	$4	0xb7b6cf…
10-28 16:43:55	Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0x8c018d…
10-28 16:00:50	Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x802237…
10-28 15:54:02	Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xc84699…
10-27 18:32:26	Will RZP-Zehut win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	13	14¢	$2	0xf6fa14…
10-27 18:28:26	Will RZP-Zehut win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xc45548…
10-27 14:41:15	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x670148…
10-27 07:36:23	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0x7fe2eb…
10-27 05:25:29	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x995a51…
10-27 04:24:09	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x38c433…
10-27 00:39:44	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0x844c5b…
10-26 22:02:44	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xd30fa0…
10-26 15:45:20	Will Bonnie Crombie win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?	No	BUY	16	35¢	$6	0xb9d288…
10-26 08:02:57	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x2998c9…
10-26 06:02:15	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xec9c20…
10-26 03:35:42	Will Bonnie Crombie win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x8eb5f7…
10-25 18:04:11	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xbb58b8…
10-25 12:27:05	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb42418…
10-25 01:12:42	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0x3a2bf0…
10-24 23:28:42	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xdcf04c…
10-24 15:41:44	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 24?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xe08cbe…
10-24 10:21:06	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x433f4d…
10-24 09:03:14	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 24?	No	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0xee1c24…
10-24 08:32:05	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $11M?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd4b76f…
10-24 07:32:20	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $11M?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x829ff3…
10-24 05:03:05	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 24?	No	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0x0a3979…
10-24 04:53:20	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 24?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x52215c…
10-23 21:18:35	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on October 23?	Yes	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0xd58d10…
10-23 06:35:17	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on October 23?	No	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0xd1079a…
10-22 09:24:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x9465b1…
10-22 09:24:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x158d5d…
10-22 07:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x7718ab…
10-22 07:02:02	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0x99013d…
10-22 06:27:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 22?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x797fb6…
10-22 04:36:17	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x63cc56…
10-22 04:03:03	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 22?	No	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x807854…
10-22 02:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x0c28c9…
10-22 01:21:17	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x2bfc17…
10-22 00:46:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x559aa8…
10-22 00:26:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x5a7008…
10-22 00:07:17	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 22?	No	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x8acc76…
10-21 12:25:15	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xe2e340…
10-21 12:23:57	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 22?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xa18e23…
10-20 22:07:18	Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 21?	Yes	BUY	22	84¢	$19	0x971b61…
10-20 22:07:05	Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 21?	Yes	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x119d13…
10-20 17:03:39	Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 21?	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x0ddbc0…
10-20 17:02:41	Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 21?	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x4fde0c…
10-20 17:00:23	Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 21?	No	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xc34ba1…
10-20 14:04:50	Will UK annual inflation be between 3.4% and 3.6% in September?	No	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0xf3b23c…
10-20 10:32:02	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xf46bdd…
10-20 07:58:19	Will UK annual inflation be between 3.4% and 3.6% in September?	Yes	BUY	14	67¢	$9	0xdafc57…
10-20 07:11:55	Will UK annual inflation be between 3.4% and 3.6% in September?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x5bb070…
10-20 05:44:17	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0x9d342e…
10-20 04:26:38	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x2d25d0…
10-20 04:18:56	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x01067b…
10-20 03:52:03	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x60d9c8…
10-20 00:36:06	Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 34% to 36%?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xdbb815…
10-20 00:12:54	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xf476f7…
10-19 17:08:11	Paris curfew by October 19?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xc6d684…
10-19 17:07:56	Paris curfew by October 19?	No	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xec0ff1…
10-19 17:06:41	Paris curfew by October 19?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xe978d2…
10-19 15:36:02	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xfd0d2b…
10-19 11:20:12	Will Trump say "Drag Show" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0x48596d…
10-19 10:22:35	Will Trump say "Drag Show" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	0	64¢	$0	0xa02f5d…
10-19 08:41:02	Will MrBeast's next video get between 96 and 100 million views on day 2?	Yes	BUY	3	19¢	$0	0xdc63ec…
10-19 08:37:44	Will MrBeast's next video get between 96 and 100 million views on day 2?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x5a34b5…
10-19 06:46:33	Will MrBeast's next video get between 96 and 100 million views on day 2?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x13f972…
10-19 03:37:03	Will Trump say "Drag Show" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x6f039e…
10-19 01:04:38	Will "You Can See Everything" score at least 99 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0x057728…
10-18 23:49:21	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x73cb22…
10-18 19:58:39	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?	No	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0xe3441e…
10-18 19:24:39	Will "You Can See Everything" score at least 99 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x14d946…
10-18 13:05:24	Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe9bfca…
10-18 13:01:36	Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x2c4657…
10-18 11:16:53	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xbf98ce…
10-18 11:00:15	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x75c46d…
10-18 10:09:00	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x8afb0c…
10-18 06:41:39	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xccb328…
10-18 03:44:32	Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?	No	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x0a87c4…
10-18 03:33:03	Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xe40da7…
10-18 03:28:06	Will Patrick Johnstone win the 2026 New Westminster mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x4ada1e…
10-18 00:12:48	Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	No	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xd19a34…
10-17 04:35:14	Will Patrick Johnstone win the 2026 New Westminster mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0x7d4b5b…
10-16 23:12:15	Will "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 8m?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xbd461f…
10-16 20:27:20	Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?	Yes	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0x9d1def…
10-16 14:37:22	Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x36c57f…
10-16 13:35:46	Will Trump say "Pee-wee" or "Peewee" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xc0e4ba…
10-16 13:11:48	Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?	No	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x4713b8…
10-16 13:00:22	Will Trump say "Pee-wee" or "Peewee" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x3d0843…
10-16 08:05:28	will trump say ai during his midterm rally in kentucky october 17	Yes	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0xa84f4e…
10-16 07:22:07	will trump say ai during his midterm rally in kentucky october 17	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x7435b2…
10-15 21:19:00	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	No	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0xed34e0…
10-15 20:03:32	Will MrBeast's next video get between 270 and 280 million views on week 2?	No	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x73e464…
10-15 14:44:44	Will MrBeast's next video get between 270 and 280 million views on week 2?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xb37cc0…
10-15 13:00:50	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xb19175…