Careless-Intellect — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$165

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

71.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$12.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$261

Open exposure

$531

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 11-06 15:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

83% 78% +$164

Crypto

13% 50% $0

Politics

4% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No		-522	-$521	100¢	$-521	$0	11-06 15:28
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes		+15	$11	68¢	$10	-$1	11-06 15:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
atp kouame lehecka 2026 03 20	2	$4.9K	2,672	2,672	+0	Jiri Lehecka	+$398	03-21 03:11
atp quinn lehecka 2026 03 22	2	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	Jiri Lehecka	+$90	03-22 16:20
will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	2	$1.1K	533	533	+0	No	-$1	03-28 22:13
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$1.1K	534	534	+0	No	-$1	03-27 03:05
atp collign dimitro 2026 03 18	2	$762	600	600	+0	Raphael Collignon	-$330	03-19 22:01
atp walton mensik 2026 03 21	2	$636	400	400	+0	Jakub Mensik	+$164	03-22 00:55
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	4	$521	0	522	-522	open	—	11-06 15:28
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	1	$443	443	0	+443	No	+$0	02-25 03:21
atp augeral fucsovi 2026 03 21	5	$260	400	0	+400	Felix Auger-Aliassime	+$140	03-21 17:29
atp bublik berrett 2026 03 20	3	$249	580	580	+0	Matteo Berrettini	-$214	03-20 23:48
atp rublev tabilo 2026 03 21	5	$111	140	140	+0	Alejandro Tabilo	-$88	03-21 22:23
atp zverev moutet 2026 02 23	1	$103	104	0	+104	Zverev	+$1	02-25 03:20
atp navone vachero 2026 03 20	1	$33	36	0	+36	Valentin Vacherot	+$3	03-21 03:11
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$16	8	8	+0	No	+$0	05-28 02:39
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	1	$11	15	0	+15	open	—	11-06 15:29
Will Trump say "Somali" or "Somalia" or "Somalian" during King Charles visit?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	04-29 17:07
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	03-21 03:10
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on June 10?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	06-09 05:20
will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	03-22 18:24
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 1?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	04-29 17:08
will ucla win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	03-21 03:10
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	1	$6	6	0	+6	Yes	+$0	03-22 19:04
deepseek v4 released by april 7	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	04-07 03:09
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$6	6	0	+6	Yes	+$0	05-28 02:40
highest temperature in paris on march 15 2026 8corbelow	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$0	03-15 05:20
will charlie kirk be said at the oscars	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$1	03-15 05:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 15:29:46	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0x0771bd…
11-06 15:28:52	Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	502	100¢	$501	0x3eccdb…
06-09 05:20:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on June 10?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x93f697…
05-28 02:41:14	Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x17bff4…
05-28 02:40:50	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x200f9b…
05-28 02:40:02	Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x1ea621…
05-28 02:39:27	Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xc55f89…
05-28 02:39:06	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xa0a58a…
04-29 17:08:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 1?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xc1bea5…
04-29 17:07:46	Will Trump say "Somali" or "Somalia" or "Somalian" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x3a7f4f…
04-29 17:07:20	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xfb5b5b…
04-07 03:09:37	deepseek v4 released by april 7	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xb77521…
03-28 22:13:34	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	SELL	533	100¢	$532	0x0d2e2e…
03-28 00:48:51	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	BUY	533	100¢	$532	0xc315c0…
03-27 03:05:17	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	534	100¢	$531	0xf24bdc…
03-22 19:05:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	534	100¢	$532	0x84ed95…
03-22 19:04:41	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xa2717e…
03-22 18:24:09	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x90c9b9…
03-22 16:20:37	atp quinn lehecka 2026 03 22	Jiri Lehecka	SELL	1,000	91¢	$910	0xd3a59a…
03-22 16:18:59	atp quinn lehecka 2026 03 22	Jiri Lehecka	BUY	1,000	82¢	$820	0x726930…
03-22 00:55:05	atp walton mensik 2026 03 21	Jakub Mensik	SELL	400	100¢	$400	0x1eb02f…
03-21 22:24:29	atp walton mensik 2026 03 21	Jakub Mensik	BUY	400	59¢	$236	0x4f383c…
03-21 22:23:15	atp rublev tabilo 2026 03 21	Andrey Rublev	SELL	33	8¢	$3	0xd4a7fe…
03-21 22:23:15	atp rublev tabilo 2026 03 21	Andrey Rublev	SELL	28	8¢	$2	0x02a57a…
03-21 22:23:11	atp rublev tabilo 2026 03 21	Andrey Rublev	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0xe06d50…
03-21 22:23:05	atp rublev tabilo 2026 03 21	Andrey Rublev	SELL	66	8¢	$5	0x9bd59d…
03-21 20:21:09	atp rublev tabilo 2026 03 21	Andrey Rublev	BUY	140	71¢	$99	0x88eb4e…
03-21 17:29:45	atp augeral fucsovi 2026 03 21	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	72	68¢	$49	0x3f2364…
03-21 17:29:35	atp augeral fucsovi 2026 03 21	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xaefac1…
03-21 17:29:27	atp augeral fucsovi 2026 03 21	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xbaa882…
03-21 17:29:25	atp augeral fucsovi 2026 03 21	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	19	68¢	$13	0x04afca…
03-21 17:25:51	atp augeral fucsovi 2026 03 21	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	300	64¢	$192	0x02ab34…
03-21 03:11:59	atp navone vachero 2026 03 20	Valentin Vacherot	BUY	36	92¢	$33	0x1355f8…
03-21 03:11:29	atp kouame lehecka 2026 03 20	Jiri Lehecka	SELL	2,672	100¢	$2,669	0xe94a81…
03-21 03:10:17	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2b1985…
03-21 03:10:03	will ucla win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x6fcbed…
03-21 01:40:59	atp kouame lehecka 2026 03 20	Jiri Lehecka	BUY	2,672	85¢	$2,271	0xadc10d…
03-20 23:48:23	atp bublik berrett 2026 03 20	Alexander Bublik	SELL	580	3¢	$17	0x3dfd71…
03-20 22:57:31	atp bublik berrett 2026 03 20	Alexander Bublik	BUY	80	39¢	$31	0x099bdd…
03-20 22:56:47	atp bublik berrett 2026 03 20	Alexander Bublik	BUY	500	40¢	$200	0x8e39fd…
03-19 22:01:35	atp collign dimitro 2026 03 18	Grigor Dimitrov	SELL	600	36¢	$216	0xc74864…
03-19 21:33:11	atp collign dimitro 2026 03 18	Grigor Dimitrov	BUY	600	91¢	$546	0x61822c…
03-15 05:20:53	highest temperature in paris on march 15 2026 8corbelow	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0x685540…
03-15 05:19:37	will charlie kirk be said at the oscars	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x5c316b…
02-25 03:21:02	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	443	100¢	$443	0x2ca76c…
02-25 03:20:08	atp zverev moutet 2026 02 23	Zverev	BUY	104	99¢	$103	0x81cfd9…