Nifty-Butter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.96K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.1%

Resolved

210

Trades

385

lifetime

Volume

$35.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$93

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 05-14 13:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 51% $-3,960

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 123 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	6	$1.6K	4,689	0	+4,689	Up	$-1,566	05-10 22:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$1.1K	1,947	0	+1,947	Down	+$847	05-10 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	3	$1000	1,585	0	+1,585	open	—	04-29 14:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$900	1,222	0	+1,222	open	—	04-29 19:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	3	$836	541	541	+0	Down	+$236	05-09 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	3	$735	1,306	0	+1,306	open	—	04-29 16:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	4	$670	887	78	+808	open	—	04-29 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$522	919	0	+919	Down	+$397	05-10 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$500	754	0	+754	Down	+$254	05-09 23:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$500	998	0	+998	open	—	04-29 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$500	932	0	+932	Down	$-500	05-09 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$500	781	0	+781	open	—	04-29 14:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$500	750	0	+750	open	—	04-29 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$500	657	0	+657	open	—	04-30 13:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	1	$500	512	0	+512	open	—	04-29 07:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	1	$490	1,108	0	+1,108	Up	$-490	05-10 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$450	986	0	+986	Up	$-450	05-09 23:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$352	560	0	+560	open	—	04-29 16:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$300	451	0	+451	Up	$-300	05-10 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$300	616	0	+616	Up	$-300	05-13 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$300	665	0	+665	Down	+$365	05-09 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$300	659	0	+659	Down	+$359	05-10 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$300	566	0	+566	open	—	04-29 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$300	691	0	+691	open	—	04-29 19:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$300	385	0	+385	Up	$-300	05-10 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$300	565	0	+565	Down	$-300	05-09 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$300	326	0	+326	open	—	04-29 14:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$293	268	268	+0	open	—	04-29 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$283	188	188	+0	Down	+$83	05-10 21:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$225	531	0	+531	Down	+$306	05-13 10:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 13:50:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xf55eb1…
05-14 13:48:51	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xc080d2…
05-14 12:50:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xb36ac8…
05-14 12:45:28	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	41	60¢	$25	0xb027bb…
05-14 12:44:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x45e17f…
05-14 12:30:37	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xeffb68…
05-14 12:20:27	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x79b361…
05-14 12:20:07	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x2e59c3…
05-14 12:03:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xc5702c…
05-14 12:03:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xc60f34…
05-14 10:55:08	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x2dff37…
05-14 10:46:47	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x905d68…
05-14 10:45:09	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x249bf6…
05-14 10:40:26	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x4f343b…
05-14 10:35:20	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x490c3f…
05-14 10:33:56	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	41	62¢	$25	0xc8d0a9…
05-14 10:20:08	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x353e20…
05-14 09:50:09	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x212154…
05-14 07:51:26	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x4109d4…
05-14 07:35:08	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xe4ae44…
05-14 07:00:13	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x580f45…
05-14 06:50:55	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x56bba0…
05-14 06:45:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x735bdb…
05-14 06:35:12	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x409d4c…
05-14 06:10:12	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xe3762a…
05-14 05:55:09	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	54	47¢	$25	0x7f38c6…
05-14 05:50:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xa31447…
05-14 05:36:54	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x577de0…
05-13 22:05:11	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0xc81532…
05-13 22:01:48	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xf2cf1d…
05-13 21:55:20	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x8230db…
05-13 21:51:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x457e4a…
05-13 21:21:46	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x764e29…
05-13 21:16:17	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0xe82f14…
05-13 21:01:28	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x771a12…
05-13 20:15:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	41	60¢	$25	0xf522af…
05-13 20:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x6df7c4…
05-13 19:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xd2d2e0…
05-13 18:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0xdaa4c0…
05-13 18:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	95	53¢	$50	0x72ecfc…
05-13 18:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x4ca5d6…
05-13 18:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0xf01eb0…
05-13 18:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x76f0bb…
05-13 18:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0xde5739…
05-13 18:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0xd4b3f3…
05-13 18:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	159	31¢	$50	0xc43d64…
05-13 18:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x1bfcf3…
05-13 18:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	378	13¢	$50	0xa9caec…
05-13 18:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	130	38¢	$50	0xf05172…
05-13 18:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x2a5704…
05-13 18:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xb72ef4…
05-13 18:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xebcf53…
05-13 18:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0xbbc45a…
05-13 18:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x8e0128…
05-13 18:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	99	50¢	$50	0x80db49…
05-13 18:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	97	52¢	$50	0xb941c1…
05-13 18:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0xfee9db…
05-13 18:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	84	60¢	$50	0x0924c6…
05-13 17:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xaf1c70…
05-13 17:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x304b8c…
05-13 17:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x79f1a3…
05-13 17:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x9e7660…
05-13 17:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0xb4bf76…
05-13 17:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0xb50bd8…
05-13 17:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x563dae…
05-13 17:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x60c55f…
05-13 17:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xa7efce…
05-13 17:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	392	51¢	$200	0xf740c9…
05-13 17:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xdd6c01…
05-13 17:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x255388…
05-13 16:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	188	53¢	$100	0x5b79ed…
05-13 16:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x4ba272…
05-13 16:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x179325…
05-13 15:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	210	48¢	$100	0x409d56…
05-13 15:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x6ccdd1…
05-13 14:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	616	49¢	$300	0xd7790d…
05-13 14:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x7680e8…
05-13 14:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x42535b…
05-13 14:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	227	52¢	$117	0x84fe11…
05-13 13:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x6b4972…
05-13 13:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x7b8eaf…
05-13 12:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	236	57¢	$136	0x012b48…
05-13 12:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	226	62¢	$140	0x0014cf…
05-13 12:46:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x3c2679…
05-13 12:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	294	29¢	$86	0xbabc5e…
05-13 12:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	107	52¢	$55	0xc9dd59…
05-13 12:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	245	53¢	$130	0x062e53…
05-13 11:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	239	42¢	$100	0x59264a…
05-13 11:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	260	51¢	$132	0x9ce345…
05-13 10:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	531	42¢	$225	0x280deb…
05-13 10:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	235	58¢	$137	0x1f63f3…
05-13 10:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	157	64¢	$100	0xd3736f…
05-13 09:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0xae220c…
05-13 09:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0x1b6eea…
05-13 07:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0xdefe58…
05-13 06:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x0c9bb5…
05-13 06:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x0beae9…
05-13 05:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	95	52¢	$50	0xb4efb2…
05-13 05:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0xdbbf9e…
05-12 19:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x135aeb…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Favorable-Dawn 0x444f…1469	302	$647	427	05-14 13:53
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	300	$195.4K	28,027	05-14 13:53
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	300	$157.8K	11,809	05-14 13:53
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	300	$35.3K	2,973	05-14 13:54
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	299	$272.2K	10,356	05-14 13:56
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	299	$35.3K	2,059	05-14 13:53
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	294	$70.1K	21,295	05-14 13:53
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	294	$64.4K	19,187	05-14 13:53