Realized P&L
-$96
Unrealized P&L
-$65
Hit rate
37.3%
Resolved
266
Trades
821
lifetime
Volume
$3.32K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$490
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-21
last 07-17 17:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 35 days
Categories
Other
65% 82% +$20
Tech
27% 53% -$109
Politics
8% 83% -$7
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-17).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes -95 -$48 67¢ $-64 -$16 07-04 20:35
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes -90 -$76 58¢ $-52 +$24 06-05 02:58
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -60 -$45 85¢ $-51 -$7 07-13 14:38
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes -120 -$16 42¢ $-51 -$34 06-26 13:18
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -90 -$58 56¢ $-50 +$9 07-17 14:12
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes -60 -$22 81¢ $-49 -$27 06-09 13:58
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? Yes -60 -$16 76¢ $-46 -$29 06-30 07:57
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -90 -$9 42¢ $-38 -$29 06-17 16:19
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes -105 -$31 31¢ $-32 -$1 07-07 17:22
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes -30 -$3 68¢ $-20 -$17 07-10 10:51
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? Yes -60 -$11 12¢ $-8 +$4 06-21 08:19
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T? Yes -30 -$2 17¢ $-5 -$4 06-09 10:09
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? Yes -32 -$9 15¢ $-5 +$5 06-10 11:33
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T? Yes -20 -$4 20¢ $-4 $0 07-12 04:04
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T? Yes -21 -$2 14¢ $-3 -$1 07-11 16:54
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? Yes -54 -$17 6¢ $-3 +$14 07-13 06:02
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Yes -60 -$3 4¢ $-3 +$1 07-14 00:01
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T? Yes -10 -$1 21¢ $-2 -$1 06-15 09:59
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T? Yes -19 -$1 4¢ $-1 +$0 07-11 10:46
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T? Yes -14 -$2 5¢ $-1 +$1 06-09 14:15
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -30 -$2 2¢ $-1 +$1 06-14 08:15
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes -120 -$11 0¢ $-1 +$10 07-07 17:21
Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes -72 -$5 1¢ $-1 +$4 06-17 09:05
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026? Yes -37 -$12 1¢ $-0 +$12 06-15 15:58
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -60 -$10 1¢ $-0 +$9 06-03 14:15
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -30 $0 1¢ $-0 $0 07-01 03:47
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -30 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 06-14 15:17
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -30 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 06-14 15:17
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes -60 -$2 0¢ $-0 +$2 06-01 16:06
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -90 -$5 0¢ $-0 +$5 06-17 13:06