Warped-Scholar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$473.1K

Unrealized P&L

-$6.13K

Hit rate

57.2%

Resolved

7,544

Trades

8,996

lifetime

Volume

$12.6M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.40K

Open exposure

$3.61K

9 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 10-28 00:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 181 days

Categories

Other

70% 47% +$218,783

Sports

30% 52% +$254,456

Politics

0% 75% +$236

Crypto

0% 24% -$342

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 204 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)	Nets		+2,134	$1,025	99¢	$2.1K	+$1,089	10-27 16:36
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)	Trail Blazers		+2,173	$1,043	52¢	$1.1K	+$98	10-27 11:06
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)	Nets		+350	$175	99¢	$346	+$172	10-27 18:31
Sam Houston vs. Missouri State	Sam Houston	—	+40	$13	18¢	$7	-$6	10-26 13:56
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes		+9	$2,547	7¢	$1	-$2,547	10-14 14:36
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes		+2	$1,092	4¢	$0	-$1,092	10-16 10:44
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes		+0	-$1,878	12¢	$0	+$1,878	09-29 19:38
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes		+1	$2	1¢	$0	-$2	10-16 10:44
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes		+2	$5,718	0¢	$0	-$5,718	10-16 10:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	22	$361.7K	637,225	0	+637,225	No	-$361,673	07-12 01:04
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	3	$226.8K	383,312	0	+383,312	Spain	+$156,542	07-19 18:11
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 1pt5	208	$202.8K	398,620	0	+398,620	Spain	-$196,891	07-02 18:52
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	3	$200.4K	385,280	0	+385,280	England	+$184,928	07-06 00:05
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 corners total 7pt5	61	$199.5K	351,615	0	+351,615	Over	+$152,093	07-19 18:26
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	3	$153.7K	332,550	0	+332,550	Argentina	+$178,848	07-15 16:04
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	3	$153.3K	278,874	0	+278,874	No	-$153,319	07-05 19:30
fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 2pt5	122	$120.0K	244,897	0	+244,897	Brazil	-$119,999	06-20 00:02
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	38	$107.2K	233,723	0	+233,723	France	-$107,186	06-30 19:51
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 total 2pt5	9	$106.6K	210,627	0	+210,627	Over	+$104,044	06-30 18:01
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	2	$104.6K	222,220	0	+222,220	Belgium	+$117,588	07-07 00:00
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 spread home 1pt5	2	$104.3K	160,902	0	+160,902	Belgium	+$56,637	07-10 17:05
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 corners total 8pt5	44	$102.1K	235,730	0	+235,730	Over	+$133,594	07-19 18:23
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 spread home 1pt5	3	$100.3K	194,795	0	+194,795	DR Congo	+$94,494	07-01 15:55
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 2pt5	3	$91.6K	148,148	0	+148,148	Over	-$91,585	07-15 18:51
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	2	$80.0K	183,224	0	+183,224	Spain	+$103,199	07-14 18:09
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	33	$29.5K	125,948	97,959	+27,989	No	+$1,040	07-13 06:05
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-10?	3	$29.2K	67,969	0	+67,969	No	+$38,742	10-06 09:50
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5	3	$24.4K	30,533	0	+30,533	Under	+$6,107	10-17 08:57
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	8	$23.4K	75,402	0	+75,402	Argentina	-$23,419	07-12 03:32
fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 corners total 7pt5	40	$22.0K	42,384	0	+42,384	Over	+$20,352	07-01 02:06
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$22.0K	89,500	59,660	+29,840	Yes	+$31,862	07-14 16:26
atp sharipo ivashka 2026 09 14	1	$19.4K	38,030	0	+38,030	cancelled	-$380	09-15 06:57
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-10?	3	$19.3K	33,212	0	+33,212	Yes	-$19,263	10-06 12:51
Will FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	2	$19.1K	76,211	0	+76,211	Yes	+$57,158	10-21 10:18
mlb tex laa 2026 08 10 total 8pt5	1	$18.8K	32,920	0	+32,920	Under	+$14,156	08-11 01:23
mlb pit cin 2026 08 02 total 8pt5	1	$18.5K	40,142	0	+40,142	Over	-$18,466	08-02 17:11
New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5	1	$18.4K	38,412	0	+38,412	Over	-$18,438	09-03 01:12
mlb wsh phi 2026 08 04	1	$18.0K	25,753	0	+25,753	Philadelphia Phillies	+$7,726	08-04 12:22
mlb min sea 2026 08 02 total 8pt5	1	$17.4K	27,240	0	+27,240	Over	-$17,433	08-02 19:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 00:05:56	Will SC Paderborn 07 vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x955c1f…
10-27 23:40:51	Aguilar vs. Medvedev: Match O/U 21.5	Over	BUY	34	49¢	$17	0x6fe838…
10-27 23:30:54	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	115	42¢	$48	0xb54681…
10-27 23:16:20	Will AC Milan vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9,188	25¢	$2,297	0xee512b…
10-27 23:16:18	ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	54	39¢	$21	0xccd6eb…
10-27 22:41:14	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	988	19¢	$188	0xdd3348…
10-27 22:41:14	Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	144	34¢	$49	0x9b9c36…
10-27 22:26:36	Sioux Falls: Daniil Ostapenkov vs Patrick Maloney	Patrick Maloney	BUY	19,473	51¢	$9,931	0xb0f81f…
10-27 22:26:36	Senators vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9a5649…
10-27 21:00:59	Erste Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	885	51¢	$451	0x6ab5db…
10-27 20:41:03	Exact Score: Athletic Club 3 - 1 Real Sociedad de Fútbol?	Yes	BUY	160	6¢	$9	0xd17b5c…
10-27 20:11:00	Queretaro: Nadia Podoroska vs Alice Rame	Alice Rame	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0x4464f4…
10-27 20:01:39	Exact Score: Newcastle United FC 1 - 0 Everton FC?	Yes	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0xcc085b…
10-27 20:01:20	Exact Score: Newcastle United FC 1 - 0 Everton FC?	Yes	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0x98b202…
10-27 19:36:05	Swiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz vs Rinky Hijikata	Rinky Hijikata	BUY	43	14¢	$6	0x77c7e8…
10-27 19:11:15	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	12	55¢	$6	0x532016…
10-27 19:10:57	Guayaquil: Emilio Camacho vs Angel Veliz	Emilio Camacho	BUY	66	58¢	$39	0xe1d482…
10-27 18:41:15	UFC Fight Night: Joe Kropschot vs. Nick Klein (Middleweight, Prelims)	Joe Kropschot	BUY	0	73¢	$0	0x27dca9…
10-27 18:40:54	UFC Fight Night: Joe Kropschot vs. Nick Klein (Middleweight, Prelims)	Joe Kropschot	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0x808387…
10-27 18:31:05	Spread: Celtics (-12.5)	Nets	BUY	350	50¢	$175	0xf758ea…
10-27 18:11:20	Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	74	33¢	$24	0xae4aa0…
10-27 18:11:03	Frosinone Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	75	45¢	$34	0x4c552a…
10-27 18:01:12	Will Hammarby IF vs. IK Sirius end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	78	20¢	$16	0x134229…
10-27 17:41:03	AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	565	41¢	$232	0xb15562…
10-27 17:36:21	Brest: Stefano Travaglia vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert	Stefano Travaglia	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x3ba42c…
10-27 17:36:03	Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-2.5)	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund	BUY	75	28¢	$21	0x90a84a…
10-27 17:36:03	Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)	Fleetwood Town FC	BUY	1,022	41¢	$419	0x54e427…
10-27 17:36:03	AC Monza vs. SSC Napoli: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	52	37¢	$19	0x01f2c9…
10-27 17:21:59	Exact Score: AS Roma 2 - 2 Cagliari Calcio?	Yes	BUY	640	3¢	$19	0x72cae3…
10-27 17:10:56	Guayaquil: Nicolas Jarry vs Hugo Dellien	Nicolas Jarry	BUY	473	44¢	$208	0x807631…
10-27 16:56:05	AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	175	65¢	$114	0xf411ee…
10-27 16:47:14	Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	2,256	8¢	$180	0xfcb067…
10-27 16:41:00	Brest: Stefano Travaglia vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert	Stefano Travaglia	BUY	138	32¢	$44	0x94dda1…
10-27 16:36:26	Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	270	3¢	$8	0x881da6…
10-27 16:36:09	Spread: Celtics (-11.5)	Nets	BUY	2,134	48¢	$1,025	0xbcdf2f…
10-27 16:31:17	Exact Score: AS Roma 0 - 1 Cagliari Calcio?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xee84c5…
10-27 16:06:03	Spread: SV 07 Elversberg (-3.5)	SV 07 Elversberg	BUY	1,246	12¢	$150	0xcc89a2…
10-27 15:51:05	Spread: Columbus Crew (-2.5)	Columbus Crew	BUY	475	5¢	$24	0xbe6467…
10-27 15:47:29	Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)	Cowboys	BUY	1,688	49¢	$827	0x81a249…
10-27 15:40:53	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	373	38¢	$142	0x43d4a7…
10-27 15:30:54	UFC Fight Night: Tainara Lisboa vs. Lucia Szabová (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)	Lucia Szabová	BUY	5,296	84¢	$4,449	0x4a0a02…
10-27 15:00:59	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	60	53¢	$32	0xa3023c…
10-27 14:40:57	Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)	Torino FC	BUY	411	69¢	$284	0x7df4b1…
10-27 14:11:26	Exact Score: Chelsea FC 0 - 0 Manchester United FC?	Yes	BUY	280	5¢	$14	0x5de801…
10-27 14:11:00	Will EC Bahia win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	2,526	51¢	$1,288	0xac5605…
10-27 14:06:00	Courmayeur: Anna Blinkova vs Dalma Galfi	Dalma Galfi	BUY	119	35¢	$42	0x1e7840…
10-27 14:01:08	Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)	Bologna FC 1909	BUY	401	67¢	$269	0x3836d6…
10-27 13:56:17	Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	2,903	52¢	$1,510	0x1678a4…
10-27 13:51:26	Spread: Spurs (-17.5)	Kings	BUY	7,371	46¢	$3,391	0x6e766e…
10-27 13:51:26	Blue Jackets vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	2,262	40¢	$905	0x01ff72…
10-27 13:25:59	Spread: Lakers (-8.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x203eec…
10-27 13:11:05	Falcons vs. Buccaneers	Falcons	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xc5ce66…
10-27 12:31:00	VfL Bochum vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Team to Advance	1. FSV Mainz 05	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0x121599…
10-27 12:16:23	Swiss Indoors Basel: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Arthur Fils	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	BUY	4,600	24¢	$1,104	0x1a3f36…
10-27 12:11:12	Exact Score: Barnet FC 3 - 0 York City FC?	Yes	BUY	338	5¢	$15	0x535293…
10-27 12:10:54	Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)	US Sassuolo Calcio	BUY	487	76¢	$370	0x5aa95b…
10-27 12:06:09	Erste Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Martin Landaluce	Martin Landaluce	BUY	63	10¢	$6	0x7e9248…
10-27 12:05:50	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	130	54¢	$70	0x6b457a…
10-27 12:05:50	Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	154	17¢	$26	0x4e65c1…
10-27 12:05:48	Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Botic van de Zandschulp	Botic van de Zandschulp	BUY	313	36¢	$113	0xbfb58b…
10-27 12:05:48	Canucks vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	59	83¢	$49	0x7e07df…
10-27 11:30:56	Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz	Karen Khachanov	BUY	889	20¢	$178	0x255fe8…
10-27 11:06:02	Spread: Lakers (-2.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	2,173	48¢	$1,043	0x09dc7b…
10-27 11:01:06	New York City FC vs. Atlanta United FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	58	40¢	$23	0x01bf95…
10-27 10:56:14	Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)	FC Internazionale Milano	BUY	75	29¢	$22	0x866159…
10-27 10:21:33	Exact Score: US Sassuolo Calcio 3 - 3 SS Lazio?	Yes	BUY	140	2¢	$3	0xb5f57f…
10-27 10:17:15	Swiss Indoors Basel: Jerome Kym vs Arthur Rinderknech	Jerome Kym	BUY	6,177	51¢	$3,150	0xe7ff70…
10-27 10:17:15	Spread: Fenerbahce (-1.5)	Fenerbahce	BUY	426	47¢	$200	0x1758d2…
10-27 10:10:54	Ceará SC vs. Goiás EC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	75	49¢	$37	0x122945…
10-27 09:46:26	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	572	62¢	$355	0x6e5a70…
10-27 09:35:59	AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	75	38¢	$28	0xe3a738…
10-27 09:11:17	Spread: KK Crvena Zvezda (-5.5)	KK Crvena Zvezda	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xa9e39a…
10-27 09:11:00	Spread: KK Crvena Zvezda (-5.5)	KK Crvena Zvezda	BUY	216	49¢	$106	0xa5c31e…
10-27 09:01:03	Curitiba: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Laura Pigossi	Maria Lourdes Carle	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0xba98c1…
10-27 09:01:03	Brest: Tom Paris vs Borna Gojo	Tom Paris	BUY	562	23¢	$129	0x75fe6b…
10-27 08:55:54	Valencia vs. Fenerbahce	Fenerbahce	BUY	728	50¢	$364	0x96c8ac…
10-27 08:51:33	Spread: Lions (-3.5)	Vikings	BUY	1,627	51¢	$830	0x387c8f…
10-27 08:30:56	CD Cuarte vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	16,468	59¢	$9,716	0x91c7de…
10-27 08:11:08	Will Wigan Athletic FC win on 2026-09-26?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x6dd341…
10-27 08:06:00	Spread: CF América (-1.5)	Club Tijuana	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0x885f63…
10-27 07:51:32	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 1 - 0 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund?	Yes	BUY	281	5¢	$14	0x46543c…
10-27 07:26:09	Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Karlsruher SC: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xf09ded…
10-27 07:22:50	Patriots vs. Dolphins	Dolphins	BUY	439	24¢	$105	0x4fb3e4…
10-27 07:22:48	Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert	Ugo Humbert	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xe11260…
10-27 07:22:48	Will West Indies win?	No	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0xe07df9…
10-27 07:22:48	Will Mjallby AIF win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x7fb3f8…
10-27 07:22:05	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	294	6¢	$18	0x3a2a14…
10-27 06:30:53	AC Monza vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	96	33¢	$32	0xc335d9…
10-27 06:00:45	Brest: Michele Ribecai vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	Michele Ribecai	BUY	155	24¢	$37	0xf7131a…
10-27 04:30:48	Erste Bank Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Ignacio Buse	Ignacio Buse	BUY	665	37¢	$246	0x700218…
10-27 00:56:02	Exact Score: Tottenham Hotspur FC 3 - 2 Crystal Palace FC?	Yes	BUY	150	4¢	$6	0xf04103…
10-27 00:21:57	Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	138	74¢	$102	0x377f02…
10-27 00:05:47	Guangzhou Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Magda Linette	Anastasia Zakharova	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x65a40e…
10-26 22:47:05	Chargers vs. Rams: O/U 44.5	Over	BUY	90	46¢	$42	0xf1ee40…
10-26 22:06:03	Swiss Indoors Basel: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar	Alejandro Tabilo	BUY	29	25¢	$7	0x013f5d…
10-26 21:36:14	Swiss Indoors Basel: Ben Shelton vs Aleksandar Kovacevic	Aleksandar Kovacevic	BUY	106	18¢	$19	0xfceb0d…
10-26 21:01:00	Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	290	48¢	$139	0xe85535…
10-26 20:56:12	Guangzhou Open: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Zeynep Sonmez	Sara Sorribes Tormo	BUY	170	31¢	$53	0x67cf5a…
10-26 20:47:09	Venezia FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	58	48¢	$28	0x36b0dc…
10-26 19:25:57	Guangzhou Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Sofia Kenin	Kaitlin Quevedo	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x4c2d51…