Warped-Scholar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$473.4K

Unrealized P&L

-$7.24K

Hit rate

57.1%

Resolved

7,557

Trades

9,021

lifetime

Volume

$12.6M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.40K

Open exposure

$2.39K

7 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 10-28 07:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 181 days

Categories

Other

70% 47% +$218,662

Sports

30% 52% +$254,852

Politics

0% 75% +$236

Crypto

0% 24% -$342

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 204 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-28?	No	+5,183	$2,073	44¢	$2.3K	+$233	10-25 21:40
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	+171	$70	46¢	$78	+$8	10-25 20:25
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+9	$2,547	7¢	$1	-$2,547	10-14 14:36
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	+2	$1,092	4¢	$0	-$1,092	10-16 10:44
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+0	-$1,878	14¢	$0	+$1,878	09-29 19:38
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+1	$2	1¢	$0	-$2	10-16 10:44
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+2	$5,718	0¢	$0	-$5,718	10-16 10:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	22	$361.7K	637,225	0	+637,225	No	-$361,673	07-12 01:04
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	3	$226.8K	383,312	0	+383,312	Spain	+$156,542	07-19 18:11
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 1pt5	208	$202.8K	398,620	0	+398,620	Spain	-$196,891	07-02 18:52
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	3	$200.4K	385,280	0	+385,280	England	+$184,928	07-06 00:05
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 corners total 7pt5	61	$199.5K	351,615	0	+351,615	Over	+$152,093	07-19 18:26
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	3	$153.7K	332,550	0	+332,550	Argentina	+$178,848	07-15 16:04
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	3	$153.3K	278,874	0	+278,874	No	-$153,319	07-05 19:30
fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 2pt5	122	$120.0K	244,897	0	+244,897	Brazil	-$119,999	06-20 00:02
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	38	$107.2K	233,723	0	+233,723	France	-$107,186	06-30 19:51
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 total 2pt5	9	$106.6K	210,627	0	+210,627	Over	+$104,044	06-30 18:01
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	2	$104.6K	222,220	0	+222,220	Belgium	+$117,588	07-07 00:00
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 spread home 1pt5	2	$104.3K	160,902	0	+160,902	Belgium	+$56,637	07-10 17:05
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 corners total 8pt5	44	$102.1K	235,730	0	+235,730	Over	+$133,594	07-19 18:23
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 spread home 1pt5	3	$100.3K	194,795	0	+194,795	DR Congo	+$94,494	07-01 15:55
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 2pt5	3	$91.6K	148,148	0	+148,148	Over	-$91,585	07-15 18:51
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	2	$80.0K	183,224	0	+183,224	Spain	+$103,199	07-14 18:09
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	33	$29.5K	125,948	97,959	+27,989	No	+$1,040	07-13 06:05
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-10?	3	$29.2K	67,969	0	+67,969	No	+$38,742	10-06 09:50
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5	3	$24.4K	30,533	0	+30,533	Under	+$6,107	10-17 08:57
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	8	$23.4K	75,402	0	+75,402	Argentina	-$23,419	07-12 03:32
fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 corners total 7pt5	40	$22.0K	42,384	0	+42,384	Over	+$20,352	07-01 02:06
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$22.0K	89,500	59,660	+29,840	Yes	+$31,862	07-14 16:26
atp sharipo ivashka 2026 09 14	1	$19.4K	38,030	0	+38,030	cancelled	-$380	09-15 06:57
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-10?	3	$19.3K	33,212	0	+33,212	Yes	-$19,263	10-06 12:51
Will FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	2	$19.1K	76,211	0	+76,211	Yes	+$57,158	10-21 10:18
mlb tex laa 2026 08 10 total 8pt5	1	$18.8K	32,920	0	+32,920	Under	+$14,156	08-11 01:23
mlb pit cin 2026 08 02 total 8pt5	1	$18.5K	40,142	0	+40,142	Over	-$18,466	08-02 17:11
New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5	1	$18.4K	38,412	0	+38,412	Over	-$18,438	09-03 01:12
mlb wsh phi 2026 08 04	1	$18.0K	25,753	0	+25,753	Philadelphia Phillies	+$7,726	08-04 12:22
mlb min sea 2026 08 02 total 8pt5	1	$17.4K	27,240	0	+27,240	Over	-$17,433	08-02 19:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 08:21:08	Erste Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Brandon Nakashima	Tallon Griekspoor	BUY	472	34¢	$160	0x9b67dc…
10-28 08:18:13	Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	1,150	35¢	$402	0xdbc532…
10-28 08:17:31	Guangzhou Open: Han Shi vs Dayana Yastremska	Dayana Yastremska	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xeeb026…
10-28 08:11:20	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	326	19¢	$62	0x8e491f…
10-28 08:10:55	Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	1,936	35¢	$678	0xd75a88…
10-28 08:10:55	Spread: Rockets (-8.5)	Rockets	BUY	5,094	49¢	$2,496	0x7bf3eb…
10-28 08:05:58	Courmayeur: Yelyzaveta Kotliar vs Erika Andreeva	Yelyzaveta Kotliar	BUY	238	18¢	$43	0xe69da6…
10-28 07:56:05	Spread: Raptors (-5.5)	Raptors	BUY	27	47¢	$13	0x12442e…
10-28 07:46:28	Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)	Atalanta BC	BUY	1,352	5¢	$68	0x31f1c8…
10-28 07:35:55	AC Milan vs. Bologna FC 1909: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x58df61…
10-28 07:32:31	Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	77	19¢	$15	0x27fa43…
10-28 07:32:14	Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)	Nuggets	BUY	12,584	47¢	$5,914	0xa7dc96…
10-28 07:25:50	AC Milan vs. Bologna FC 1909: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x2666e7…
10-28 07:21:13	AC Milan vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xe46dfd…
10-28 07:11:04	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	102	78¢	$80	0x940831…
10-28 07:05:59	Spread: BK Hacken (-3.5)	BK Hacken	BUY	785	9¢	$71	0xa84a9c…
10-28 07:05:59	Spread: BK Hacken (-2.5)	BK Hacken	BUY	792	20¢	$158	0x1e1744…
10-28 07:05:59	Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-1.5)	VfL Wolfsburg	BUY	498	7¢	$35	0x0cc9c7…
10-28 06:56:46	Will Genoa CFC vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	69	27¢	$19	0xf55e22…
10-28 06:16:02	RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AJ Auxerre: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x48dec5…
10-28 06:10:53	FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x2a2ccb…
10-28 05:47:50	Genoa CFC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x00edf9…
10-28 05:46:04	Dundee FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x396003…
10-28 05:40:50	Dundee FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	32	59¢	$19	0x224bc0…
10-28 05:36:13	Dundee FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xf738d6…
10-28 05:35:52	Dundee FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x34fb02…
10-28 05:16:28	Will Fulham FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	98	24¢	$24	0x7c1974…
10-28 05:16:28	Will Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	80	24¢	$19	0x233855…
10-28 05:05:44	Genoa CFC vs. Juventus FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xaec76a…
10-28 05:00:53	Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)	Genoa CFC	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0xf17d06…
10-28 04:51:43	Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	81	17¢	$14	0xe5c56c…
10-28 02:01:03	Courmayeur: Robin Montgomery vs Lisa Pigato	Lisa Pigato	BUY	175	29¢	$51	0x36edd2…
10-28 00:05:56	Will SC Paderborn 07 vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x955c1f…
10-27 23:40:51	Aguilar vs. Medvedev: Match O/U 21.5	Over	BUY	34	49¢	$17	0x6fe838…
10-27 23:30:54	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	115	42¢	$48	0xb54681…
10-27 23:16:20	Will AC Milan vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9,188	25¢	$2,297	0xee512b…
10-27 23:16:18	ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	54	39¢	$21	0xccd6eb…
10-27 22:41:14	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	988	19¢	$188	0xdd3348…
10-27 22:41:14	Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	144	34¢	$49	0x9b9c36…
10-27 22:26:36	Sioux Falls: Daniil Ostapenkov vs Patrick Maloney	Patrick Maloney	BUY	19,473	51¢	$9,931	0xb0f81f…
10-27 22:26:36	Senators vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9a5649…
10-27 21:00:59	Erste Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	885	51¢	$451	0x6ab5db…
10-27 20:41:03	Exact Score: Athletic Club 3 - 1 Real Sociedad de Fútbol?	Yes	BUY	160	6¢	$9	0xd17b5c…
10-27 20:11:00	Queretaro: Nadia Podoroska vs Alice Rame	Alice Rame	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0x4464f4…
10-27 20:01:39	Exact Score: Newcastle United FC 1 - 0 Everton FC?	Yes	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0xcc085b…
10-27 20:01:20	Exact Score: Newcastle United FC 1 - 0 Everton FC?	Yes	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0x98b202…
10-27 19:36:05	Swiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz vs Rinky Hijikata	Rinky Hijikata	BUY	43	14¢	$6	0x77c7e8…
10-27 19:11:15	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	12	55¢	$6	0x532016…
10-27 19:10:57	Guayaquil: Emilio Camacho vs Angel Veliz	Emilio Camacho	BUY	66	58¢	$39	0xe1d482…
10-27 18:41:15	UFC Fight Night: Joe Kropschot vs. Nick Klein (Middleweight, Prelims)	Joe Kropschot	BUY	0	73¢	$0	0x27dca9…
10-27 18:40:54	UFC Fight Night: Joe Kropschot vs. Nick Klein (Middleweight, Prelims)	Joe Kropschot	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0x808387…
10-27 18:31:05	Spread: Celtics (-12.5)	Nets	BUY	350	50¢	$175	0xf758ea…
10-27 18:11:20	Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	74	33¢	$24	0xae4aa0…
10-27 18:11:03	Frosinone Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	75	45¢	$34	0x4c552a…
10-27 18:01:12	Will Hammarby IF vs. IK Sirius end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	78	20¢	$16	0x134229…
10-27 17:41:03	AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	565	41¢	$232	0xb15562…
10-27 17:36:21	Brest: Stefano Travaglia vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert	Stefano Travaglia	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x3ba42c…
10-27 17:36:03	Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-2.5)	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund	BUY	75	28¢	$21	0x90a84a…
10-27 17:36:03	Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)	Fleetwood Town FC	BUY	1,022	41¢	$419	0x54e427…
10-27 17:36:03	AC Monza vs. SSC Napoli: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	52	37¢	$19	0x01f2c9…
10-27 17:21:59	Exact Score: AS Roma 2 - 2 Cagliari Calcio?	Yes	BUY	640	3¢	$19	0x72cae3…
10-27 17:10:56	Guayaquil: Nicolas Jarry vs Hugo Dellien	Nicolas Jarry	BUY	473	44¢	$208	0x807631…
10-27 16:56:05	AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	175	65¢	$114	0xf411ee…
10-27 16:47:14	Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	2,256	8¢	$180	0xfcb067…
10-27 16:41:00	Brest: Stefano Travaglia vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert	Stefano Travaglia	BUY	138	32¢	$44	0x94dda1…
10-27 16:36:26	Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	270	3¢	$8	0x881da6…
10-27 16:36:09	Spread: Celtics (-11.5)	Nets	BUY	2,134	48¢	$1,025	0xbcdf2f…
10-27 16:31:17	Exact Score: AS Roma 0 - 1 Cagliari Calcio?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xee84c5…
10-27 16:06:03	Spread: SV 07 Elversberg (-3.5)	SV 07 Elversberg	BUY	1,246	12¢	$150	0xcc89a2…
10-27 15:51:05	Spread: Columbus Crew (-2.5)	Columbus Crew	BUY	475	5¢	$24	0xbe6467…
10-27 15:47:29	Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)	Cowboys	BUY	1,688	49¢	$827	0x81a249…
10-27 15:40:53	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	373	38¢	$142	0x43d4a7…
10-27 15:30:54	UFC Fight Night: Tainara Lisboa vs. Lucia Szabová (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)	Lucia Szabová	BUY	5,296	84¢	$4,449	0x4a0a02…
10-27 15:00:59	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	60	53¢	$32	0xa3023c…
10-27 14:40:57	Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)	Torino FC	BUY	411	69¢	$284	0x7df4b1…
10-27 14:11:26	Exact Score: Chelsea FC 0 - 0 Manchester United FC?	Yes	BUY	280	5¢	$14	0x5de801…
10-27 14:11:00	Will EC Bahia win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	2,526	51¢	$1,288	0xac5605…
10-27 14:06:00	Courmayeur: Anna Blinkova vs Dalma Galfi	Dalma Galfi	BUY	119	35¢	$42	0x1e7840…
10-27 14:01:08	Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)	Bologna FC 1909	BUY	401	67¢	$269	0x3836d6…
10-27 13:56:17	Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	2,903	52¢	$1,510	0x1678a4…
10-27 13:51:26	Spread: Spurs (-17.5)	Kings	BUY	7,371	46¢	$3,391	0x6e766e…
10-27 13:51:26	Blue Jackets vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	2,262	40¢	$905	0x01ff72…
10-27 13:25:59	Spread: Lakers (-8.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x203eec…
10-27 13:11:05	Falcons vs. Buccaneers	Falcons	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xc5ce66…
10-27 12:31:00	VfL Bochum vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Team to Advance	1. FSV Mainz 05	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0x121599…
10-27 12:16:23	Swiss Indoors Basel: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Arthur Fils	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	BUY	4,600	24¢	$1,104	0x1a3f36…
10-27 12:11:12	Exact Score: Barnet FC 3 - 0 York City FC?	Yes	BUY	338	5¢	$15	0x535293…
10-27 12:10:54	Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)	US Sassuolo Calcio	BUY	487	76¢	$370	0x5aa95b…
10-27 12:06:09	Erste Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Martin Landaluce	Martin Landaluce	BUY	63	10¢	$6	0x7e9248…
10-27 12:05:50	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	130	54¢	$70	0x6b457a…
10-27 12:05:50	Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	154	17¢	$26	0x4e65c1…
10-27 12:05:48	Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Botic van de Zandschulp	Botic van de Zandschulp	BUY	313	36¢	$113	0xbfb58b…
10-27 12:05:48	Canucks vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	59	83¢	$49	0x7e07df…
10-27 11:30:56	Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz	Karen Khachanov	BUY	889	20¢	$178	0x255fe8…
10-27 11:06:02	Spread: Lakers (-2.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	2,173	48¢	$1,043	0x09dc7b…
10-27 11:01:06	New York City FC vs. Atlanta United FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	58	40¢	$23	0x01bf95…
10-27 10:56:14	Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)	FC Internazionale Milano	BUY	75	29¢	$22	0x866159…
10-27 10:21:33	Exact Score: US Sassuolo Calcio 3 - 3 SS Lazio?	Yes	BUY	140	2¢	$3	0xb5f57f…
10-27 10:17:15	Swiss Indoors Basel: Jerome Kym vs Arthur Rinderknech	Jerome Kym	BUY	6,177	51¢	$3,150	0xe7ff70…
10-27 10:17:15	Spread: Fenerbahce (-1.5)	Fenerbahce	BUY	426	47¢	$200	0x1758d2…