Ill-Informed-Meat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.9%

Resolved

339

Trades

391

lifetime

Volume

$8.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 10-24 14:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 78 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 96% +$4

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:45 UTC	1	$50	50	+50	Down	+$0	06-04 07:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$50	50	+50	Down	+$0	06-03 17:09
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 03:35 UTC	1	$50	50	+50	Down	+$0	06-04 03:39
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	1	$50	50	+50	Down	+$0	06-04 13:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 21:35 UTC	1	$50	50	+50	Down	+$0	06-03 21:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 10:40 UTC	1	$50	50	+50	Down	+$0	06-04 10:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 21:50 UTC	1	$50	50	+50	Down	+$0	06-03 21:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 01:25 UTC	1	$50	50	+50	Up	+$0	06-04 01:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 13:05 UTC	2	$50	50	+50	Down	+$0	06-04 13:09
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$50	50	+50	Down	+$0	06-03 15:50
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 01:00 UTC	1	$50	50	+50	Up	+$0	06-04 01:04
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$50	50	+50	Up	+$0	06-03 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	1	$50	50	+50	Down	+$0	06-04 11:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 14:20 UTC	1	$50	50	+50	Up	-$50	06-04 14:24
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$50	50	+50	Up	+$0	06-04 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$50	50	+50	Up	+$0	06-03 16:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 04:25 UTC	1	$50	50	+50	Down	+$0	06-04 04:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 13:25 UTC	1	$50	50	+50	Up	+$0	06-04 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$50	50	+50	Up	+$0	06-03 14:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:45 UTC	1	$50	50	+50	Up	+$0	06-04 02:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 22:20 UTC	1	$50	50	+50	Down	+$0	06-03 22:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 23:15 UTC	1	$50	50	+50	Down	+$0	06-03 23:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 14:00 UTC	1	$50	50	+50	Down	+$0	06-04 14:05
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:25 UTC	1	$50	50	+50	Down	+$0	06-04 02:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 22:25 UTC	1	$50	50	+50	Down	+$0	06-03 22:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 01:55 UTC	1	$50	50	+50	Down	+$0	06-04 01:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 22:15 UTC	2	$50	50	+50	Down	+$0	06-03 22:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 14:10 UTC	1	$49	50	+50	Up	+$1	06-04 14:14
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$49	50	+50	Up	+$1	06-03 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:40 UTC	1	$48	50	+50	Up	+$2	06-04 02:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 14:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x43338c…
10-22 13:54:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xe0c285…
10-13 12:54:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x44fa97…
09-30 13:14:41	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xeb045f…
09-24 08:39:45	Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd212ff…
09-21 09:44:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x0675e0…
09-21 08:44:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xaddde8…
09-21 08:44:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb08c02…
09-21 08:44:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x130807…
09-20 16:54:40	Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xb93669…
09-20 03:44:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xefef81…
09-03 07:25:06	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9352f6…
09-01 09:09:40	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x5868ca…
08-25 04:25:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd7206c…
08-24 05:19:45	Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb5e3d7…
08-24 02:04:48	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x33c316…
08-24 02:04:46	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe0ae57…
08-24 00:15:01	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5a32d4…
08-23 04:24:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8e4f8f…
08-22 05:24:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2d0e04…
08-22 05:24:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd840a8…
08-21 09:24:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x82209b…
08-21 08:14:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xdc1f8b…
08-21 08:14:52	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xd312b2…
08-21 01:34:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x284ec6…
08-20 11:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xfc9de4…
08-20 09:24:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x44d691…
07-31 14:19:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6a5df5…
07-25 20:20:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x66b65a…
07-21 01:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x251782…
07-20 09:24:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa2cbaf…
07-13 01:19:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa6aaa5…
07-13 00:24:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x91245f…
07-11 23:34:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xee0667…
07-11 15:44:38	Ethereum Up or Down - July 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc02880…
07-10 01:54:38	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7a42af…
07-07 23:59:59	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 23:55 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xecd4e3…
07-07 14:59:38	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x55ad0f…
07-03 00:39:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x02555e…
07-02 14:29:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x323de2…
07-02 14:24:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x4d526e…
07-02 13:44:41	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x2e0e44…
07-02 13:39:38	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x9bac4c…
07-02 12:34:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x499329…
07-01 22:34:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xef53a5…
07-01 14:39:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6026d1…
07-01 02:14:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x236f6f…
07-01 01:19:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xba6bbc…
06-30 13:04:40	Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4e08ec…
06-30 00:34:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x0f70a5…
06-29 21:34:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xda66b1…
06-29 14:34:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x02eaa2…
06-29 14:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3b1029…
06-29 13:54:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xfa4f9e…
06-29 13:49:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x3ac1d8…
06-29 05:24:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x80a611…
06-29 00:49:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6a3343…
06-28 23:59:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 23:55 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xbea692…
06-27 06:54:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6e1cde…
06-27 03:19:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2ce54e…
06-26 14:29:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x463d92…
06-26 14:19:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xeb1a3c…
06-26 14:04:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5b331d…
06-26 13:49:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd4c21e…
06-26 13:34:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf7d630…
06-26 12:49:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7987b4…
06-26 12:49:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x485964…
06-26 06:19:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x72797d…
06-26 03:54:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb9832d…
06-26 03:09:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x9d88eb…
06-26 03:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xbe29fc…
06-26 02:59:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc2f63b…
06-26 00:05:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x66066e…
06-25 16:49:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x49f3d5…
06-25 15:24:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd36bb3…
06-25 14:24:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe01e7d…
06-25 12:39:41	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4a25d7…
06-24 20:19:38	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xeea840…
06-24 20:19:38	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5be08a…
06-24 20:19:38	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x122c98…
06-24 17:49:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4db0f4…
06-24 15:24:53	Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x962db6…
06-24 13:54:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x844ab0…
06-24 07:19:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf03ae9…
06-24 02:24:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x51fccd…
06-23 16:15:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd806b8…
06-23 14:59:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xade809…
06-23 03:09:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xe40fbf…
06-22 03:04:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xef2a5e…
06-21 21:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6ebb3f…
06-21 03:24:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 03:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4d5087…
06-20 15:04:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe4ab59…
06-18 23:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd26d75…
06-18 15:34:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x306b28…
06-18 15:24:52	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe10738…
06-18 01:19:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x459e66…
06-17 12:29:49	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x88ca92…
06-16 12:49:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9cc5e3…
06-14 22:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x51d838…
06-14 22:04:39	Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xeb465b…