Thunderous-Loaf-Recapitulation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

93.2%

Resolved

287

Trades

333

lifetime

Volume

$618

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 11-07 11:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 115 days

Categories

Other

100% 93% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 3°C on November 8?	No	+1	$1	98¢	$1	+$0	11-07 09:35
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on November 8?	No	+1	$1	93¢	$1	$0	11-07 11:14
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 13°C on November 8?	No	+1	$1	90¢	$1	$0	11-07 09:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 28?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	08-28 09:14
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on August 24?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	08-24 11:40
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on August 28?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	08-28 15:48
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 4?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	09-03 15:17
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on September 9?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	09-08 22:40
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 18?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	08-18 04:20
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on August 25?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	08-25 14:04
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 5?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	09-05 13:50
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 31?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	08-31 16:36
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 26?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	08-26 08:09
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 19?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	08-19 11:11
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 29?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	08-28 15:48
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 26?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	08-26 01:31
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 22?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	08-22 04:12
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 17?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	08-17 09:24
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 4?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	09-04 03:33
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 10?	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	08-09 11:47
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 11?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	-$1	07-11 14:21
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on May 21?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-20 23:56
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on May 21?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-20 15:11
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on May 21?	1	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	-$3	05-21 05:09
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on May 22?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-21 14:45
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on May 18?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-17 16:24
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 18?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-17 12:30
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on May 22?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-22 04:28
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 21?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-20 23:32
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on May 18?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-17 22:02
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on May 23?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-22 12:31
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 20?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-19 18:10
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on May 21?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-20 23:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 11:14:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on November 8?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x29369c…
11-07 09:35:40	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 13°C on November 8?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe9d5b9…
11-07 09:35:39	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 3°C on November 8?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6ef916…
11-06 19:40:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 3°C on November 6?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6360c4…
11-05 17:51:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on November 6?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd08338…
11-05 09:39:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 3°C on November 6?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x853998…
11-05 09:39:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on November 6?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xaea0c2…
11-05 02:18:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on November 5?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa35f08…
11-04 14:51:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on November 5?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd83dc0…
11-03 06:07:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on November 3?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1612db…
11-02 15:55:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on November 2?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe44b15…
11-02 09:22:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on November 3?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc03dd3…
11-01 15:22:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on November 2?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0c9f6a…
10-28 13:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 28?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbab949…
10-27 09:24:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 28?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x57aa33…
10-26 07:08:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 26?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xcf201f…
10-25 10:01:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 26?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x56f3eb…
10-23 08:07:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 23?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x638f79…
10-22 14:57:00	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on October 22?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x35839b…
10-22 09:12:29	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 23?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x75747c…
10-22 09:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 23?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd2bb5e…
10-21 10:17:48	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4c5763…
10-20 17:07:47	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 20?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xdebe30…
10-20 15:29:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 20?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x79bb88…
10-20 01:34:41	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 20?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3cbac4…
10-19 14:07:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 20?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb28144…
10-19 11:39:57	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 20?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe74f82…
10-19 11:39:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 20?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb69f4b…
10-19 04:17:59	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 19?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa63b21…
10-18 13:34:41	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 19?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8d0190…
10-15 09:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 16?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x064dea…
10-14 10:31:17	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 14?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xdfaf60…
10-13 09:55:41	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 14?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x49b32c…
10-11 14:41:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 11?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf34189…
10-10 09:54:43	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 11?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x277962…
09-28 06:44:03	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on September 28?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xcfc2fa…
09-27 22:44:38	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on September 28?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x18856a…
09-27 11:16:27	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on September 28?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x96f959…
09-27 10:27:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on September 28?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xefb781…
09-22 14:13:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on September 23?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x55c441…
09-22 10:07:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on September 23?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xef9f22…
09-21 06:18:20	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 21?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xdabc2c…
09-20 09:50:51	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 21?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xeb6d80…
09-17 13:57:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on September 17?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3b793f…
09-16 15:52:15	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on September 16?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfb6e79…
09-16 12:35:19	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on September 16?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x997b1a…
09-16 10:07:39	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on September 17?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9c3dc5…
09-16 05:13:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 16?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfbac52…
09-16 02:45:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 16?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4ca09d…
09-15 14:29:34	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on September 16?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5bc63e…
09-15 10:23:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 16?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf6fee9…
09-15 09:34:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 16?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe7c7e9…
09-15 09:34:07	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on September 16?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb6c77b…
09-12 10:07:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xfa5fd2…
09-08 22:40:10	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on September 9?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x58f0cf…
09-08 09:34:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on September 9?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x2fd04d…
09-05 13:50:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 5?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x78e4f3…
09-04 10:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on September 5?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xd9d92f…
09-04 09:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 5?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x2f61d4…
09-04 03:33:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 4?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x41b9d0…
09-03 15:17:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 4?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1214c1…
09-03 09:32:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 4?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xf7c0d6…
09-03 09:32:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 4?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xc41b50…
08-31 16:36:01	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 31?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x654da4…
08-30 12:46:33	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 31?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x828b9b…
08-28 15:48:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 29?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x69c9dc…
08-28 15:48:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on August 28?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x62978a…
08-28 10:04:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 29?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x911aed…
08-28 09:14:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 28?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x5172e8…
08-27 09:31:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on August 28?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xfe6d05…
08-27 09:31:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 28?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x754a9c…
08-26 08:09:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf50109…
08-26 01:31:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x010ef3…
08-25 14:04:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on August 25?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x7c81b5…
08-25 13:15:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 26?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x4a2d92…
08-25 09:58:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 26?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xa6b336…
08-24 11:40:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on August 24?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xbcab88…
08-24 10:01:46	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on August 25?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x61d278…
08-23 11:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on August 24?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x978e43…
08-22 09:56:22	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on August 23?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x1af548…
08-22 04:12:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 22?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x5dbd5a…
08-21 15:55:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 22?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xa750a7…
08-21 09:20:52	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on August 22?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x8133d0…
08-19 11:11:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 19?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6454ce…
08-18 09:15:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 19?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x620fa3…
08-18 04:20:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 18?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x0d0f2b…
08-17 09:24:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 17?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x931f7d…
08-17 09:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 18?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x1e79f9…
08-16 12:28:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 17?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x714ff4…
08-14 09:46:52	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x350b9f…
08-12 14:27:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 13?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x1e099e…
08-12 10:21:22	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on August 13?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xc59cd7…
08-11 07:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xba3f87…
08-10 08:54:09	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 11?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x861709…
08-09 11:47:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 10?	No	SELL	2	69¢	$2	0xe857f6…
08-09 09:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 10?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xb7b4bd…
08-09 07:21:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 10?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xba7f06…
08-08 13:22:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 9?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x7b8237…
08-08 13:22:54	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C on August 9?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x5a8188…
08-07 07:50:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 8?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x669524…