Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$93.4K

Unrealized P&L

-$50.3K

Hit rate

73.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,036

lifetime

Volume

$1.43M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.38K

Open exposure

$174.9K

10 positions

First seen

2026-09-10

last 10-28 02:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

57% 60% +$41,737

Other

43% 60% +$51,696

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 284 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	+108,205	$52,781	55¢	$59.6K	+$6,786	10-22 15:06
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	+37,731	$30,062	71¢	$26.8K	-$3,273	09-11 13:06
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	+44,214	$18,749	55¢	$24.3K	+$5,569	10-08 14:09
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+24,634	$23,330	99¢	$24.3K	+$947	10-27 19:21
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	+30,112	$18,669	58¢	$17.5K	-$1,204	10-22 10:26
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	+17,907	$11,598	68¢	$12.3K	+$669	10-27 20:22
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	+5,773	$4,041	74¢	$4.2K	+$202	10-27 12:49
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	+4,255	$2,978	74¢	$3.1K	+$149	10-27 18:40
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+79,300	$61,765	2¢	$1.6K	-$60,179	10-27 20:15
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	+2,313	$1,272	56¢	$1.3K	+$12	10-22 07:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	312	$488.8K	633,328	8,386	+624,942	No	+$56,315	09-16 17:57
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	107	$183.4K	180,026	159,606	+20,420	Yes	-$55,118	10-26 05:16
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	86	$166.2K	263,812	0	+263,812	open	—	10-27 20:05
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	5	$89.0K	111,827	0	+111,827	Yes	+$22,839	09-19 08:40
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	9	$69.5K	60,032	60,032	+0	open	—	10-28 02:06
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	62	$61.8K	79,300	0	+79,300	open	—	10-27 20:15
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	24	$52.8K	108,205	0	+108,205	open	—	10-22 15:06
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	116	$43.8K	60,096	0	+60,096	Yes	+$16,266	10-26 18:55
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	28	$41.2K	40,000	22,093	+17,907	open	—	10-27 20:22
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	72	$36.9K	39,053	39,053	+0	No	-$9,745	10-25 20:40
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	62	$35.3K	116,229	0	+116,229	Yes	+$80,900	10-25 22:32
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	37	$30.1K	37,731	0	+37,731	open	—	09-11 13:06
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	60	$27.1K	54,214	10,000	+44,214	open	—	10-08 14:09
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	5	$23.3K	24,634	0	+24,634	open	—	10-27 19:21
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	18	$18.7K	30,112	0	+30,112	open	—	10-22 10:26
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$17.6K	22,058	0	+22,058	No	+$4,500	10-26 18:55
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs	3	$15.2K	26,566	0	+26,566	Eternal Fire	-$15,245	10-21 18:52
Valorant: Blezz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Project Blender Phase 2 Group B	12	$10.1K	20,893	0	+20,893	Natus Vincere	-$10,140	10-22 15:53
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$8.6K	11,499	0	+11,499	No	+$2,861	10-25 22:32
Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs Morningstar (BO3) - VOID Autumn Cup Playoffs	3	$5.0K	8,258	0	+8,258	cancelled	-$851	10-21 01:47
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	1	$4.0K	5,773	0	+5,773	open	—	10-27 12:49
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	3	$3.0K	4,255	0	+4,255	open	—	10-27 18:40
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	2	$1.3K	2,313	0	+2,313	open	—	10-22 07:53
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,062,000 and $1,083,000 on December 31?	5	$25	52	52	+0	open	—	10-22 17:30
Will The Democrats win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	10-27 13:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 02:06:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	60,032	44¢	$26,414	0x6e0e44…
10-27 20:23:41	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	23,873	72¢	$17,189	0xa8485a…
10-27 20:23:27	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2,598	72¢	$1,871	0x79a8c5…
10-27 20:23:27	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	3,529	72¢	$2,541	0x3f5ac7…
10-27 20:22:12	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	22,093	67¢	$14,802	0xd06e99…
10-27 20:18:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	11,949	72¢	$8,604	0x41f418…
10-27 20:15:42	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	201	72¢	$144	0x6de732…
10-27 20:15:36	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	7,850	72¢	$5,652	0xd098da…
10-27 20:15:11	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	0	41¢	$0	0x5a7547…
10-27 20:15:11	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	204	41¢	$84	0x4fa379…
10-27 20:14:39	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	305	41¢	$125	0x0ddfc7…
10-27 20:14:33	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	132	41¢	$54	0xd505f1…
10-27 20:14:26	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x791bc1…
10-27 20:14:23	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	2,000	41¢	$820	0xb4eadf…
10-27 20:14:23	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	13	41¢	$5	0x718d09…
10-27 20:14:12	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1,556	41¢	$638	0x87960a…
10-27 20:14:08	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	3,441	41¢	$1,411	0xd8376a…
10-27 20:14:06	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x1749cb…
10-27 20:11:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0x977ca8…
10-27 20:11:36	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	9,982	71¢	$7,087	0xa6c391…
10-27 20:11:36	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0x2dd927…
10-27 20:11:35	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x49a894…
10-27 20:11:35	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0x0eda5d…
10-27 20:11:33	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x35366e…
10-27 20:11:20	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	27	41¢	$11	0xaafab6…
10-27 20:11:17	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	771	41¢	$316	0x156864…
10-27 20:10:32	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1,834	41¢	$752	0x4d0f55…
10-27 20:05:57	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	31,926	26¢	$8,301	0xc14ebb…
10-27 20:05:29	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	7,520	26¢	$1,955	0xd7244b…
10-27 20:05:29	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	135	26¢	$35	0xd5570b…
10-27 20:05:29	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	135	26¢	$35	0x847be2…
10-27 20:05:29	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x1f75f3…
10-27 20:05:24	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	43	26¢	$11	0xba8f04…
10-27 20:05:23	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x3a9126…
10-27 20:05:23	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x204a5c…
10-27 20:05:21	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	231	26¢	$60	0xd23447…
10-27 19:45:33	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0x828f3f…
10-27 19:45:24	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	62	68¢	$42	0x2b1dc6…
10-27 19:45:17	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	700	68¢	$476	0x9904a2…
10-27 19:45:17	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	625	68¢	$425	0x7273df…
10-27 19:45:12	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	312	68¢	$213	0x826ac7…
10-27 19:45:03	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1,312	68¢	$893	0xc87bb7…
10-27 19:45:02	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0xf2737b…
10-27 19:44:56	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	3,072	68¢	$2,089	0x6f4c34…
10-27 19:44:41	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	57	68¢	$39	0x0c752f…
10-27 19:44:14	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	178	68¢	$121	0x6327ca…
10-27 19:43:56	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	280	68¢	$190	0xbdb453…
10-27 19:43:51	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	496	68¢	$337	0x1a87d8…
10-27 19:43:50	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	2,793	68¢	$1,899	0x2ae43e…
10-27 19:43:33	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	2,972	68¢	$2,021	0x3ddbf6…
10-27 19:43:27	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	397	68¢	$270	0x059ebc…
10-27 19:43:06	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	300	68¢	$204	0xa5cba3…
10-27 19:42:47	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	97	68¢	$66	0x7771c4…
10-27 19:42:26	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1,000	68¢	$680	0x3fead2…
10-27 19:42:20	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	31	68¢	$21	0x326c9d…
10-27 19:42:14	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1,400	68¢	$952	0xd38ac0…
10-27 19:42:03	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	58	68¢	$39	0xd1df10…
10-27 19:42:02	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	300	68¢	$204	0xf46258…
10-27 19:42:02	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	3,520	68¢	$2,394	0x4d6f42…
10-27 19:27:27	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	150	80¢	$120	0xa9a063…
10-27 19:27:14	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	17	80¢	$13	0xc7b589…
10-27 19:26:50	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	71	80¢	$57	0xe16198…
10-27 19:21:36	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1,027	95¢	$977	0x084788…
10-27 19:20:41	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	981	95¢	$933	0xad7746…
10-27 19:20:38	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xecbf05…
10-27 19:20:33	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	423	80¢	$338	0x5a033d…
10-27 19:20:32	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	16,804	95¢	$15,981	0x406ccc…
10-27 19:14:59	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	38,443	65¢	$24,988	0xba75be…
10-27 19:14:57	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	57	65¢	$37	0x57620b…
10-27 19:14:56	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	2,000	65¢	$1,300	0x8764d1…
10-27 19:14:56	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	9,500	65¢	$6,175	0x05a50d…
10-27 19:14:47	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	18,041	66¢	$11,907	0xa4b26b…
10-27 19:14:14	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1,187	95¢	$1,129	0x53a2bd…
10-27 19:08:14	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	15,771	68¢	$10,724	0x79c870…
10-27 18:50:51	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	304	84¢	$255	0x3db7db…
10-27 18:49:00	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	338	84¢	$284	0x0c41de…
10-27 18:48:20	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	62	84¢	$52	0x0f1841…
10-27 18:48:06	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	125	84¢	$105	0x0d60ac…
10-27 18:45:30	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	156	84¢	$131	0xbeb4d1…
10-27 18:43:11	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	62	84¢	$52	0x688b46…
10-27 18:42:51	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1,250	84¢	$1,050	0xd4e8b9…
10-27 18:41:48	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1,750	84¢	$1,470	0xbfd9f5…
10-27 18:41:18	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x64f22a…
10-27 18:40:24	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1,000	84¢	$840	0xf73cfd…
10-27 18:40:15	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xba2a0a…
10-27 18:39:35	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	600	84¢	$504	0x659141…
10-27 18:39:27	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	62	84¢	$52	0x50415e…
10-27 18:38:33	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	625	84¢	$525	0xcd14ff…
10-27 18:38:12	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1,250	84¢	$1,050	0xf302f1…
10-27 18:37:44	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	25	84¢	$21	0xd45e98…
10-27 18:37:21	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	2,500	84¢	$2,100	0xec7d55…
10-27 18:36:54	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	62	84¢	$52	0xcc5c2c…
10-27 18:36:38	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	19,807	84¢	$16,638	0x87b426…
10-27 18:33:45	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	2,743	85¢	$2,332	0x1acc4e…
10-27 17:17:05	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	3,030	73¢	$2,212	0xadc549…
10-27 17:16:47	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	0	73¢	$0	0xb3415f…
10-27 17:16:41	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	356	73¢	$260	0x2464b0…
10-27 17:15:48	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	367	73¢	$268	0xa24524…
10-27 17:14:50	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xa81e6d…
10-27 17:13:42	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1,852	73¢	$1,352	0x24c78c…