Tired-Tentacle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.66K

Unrealized P&L

-$319

Hit rate

60.7%

Resolved

1,415

Trades

24,497

lifetime

Volume

$570.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$281

1 position

First seen

2026-04-30

last 06-04 07:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 46% +$3,704

Sports

1% 20% $-40

Other

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 3242 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes		+22,484	$600	1¢	$281	$-319	06-01 17:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	99	$3.0K	2,600	2,260	+340	open	—	05-24 11:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	33	$3.0K	2,200	2,200	+0	open	—	05-25 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	71	$2.3K	2,884	1,447	+1,437	open	—	05-23 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	37	$2.3K	3,000	930	+2,070	open	—	05-26 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	22	$2.2K	2,800	1,700	+1,100	open	—	05-24 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	50	$2.1K	2,312	1,005	+1,307	open	—	05-16 05:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	29	$2.1K	1,800	1,300	+500	open	—	05-23 11:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	33	$2.0K	3,482	0	+3,482	open	—	05-26 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	89	$2.0K	1,400	1,014	+386	open	—	05-23 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	14	$2.0K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	05-20 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	45	$2.0K	1,556	1,556	+0	open	—	05-24 14:00
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	2	$2.0K	1,296	1,296	+0	open	—	05-26 01:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	11	$1.8K	1,700	720	+980	open	—	05-23 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	10	$1.8K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	05-23 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	49	$1.8K	1,230	1,222	+8	open	—	05-25 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	7	$1.7K	2,000	1,000	+1,000	open	—	05-25 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	17	$1.6K	2,800	240	+2,560	open	—	05-24 09:30
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	6	$1.6K	23,255	1,032	+22,222	open	—	06-02 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	17	$1.6K	2,200	331	+1,869	open	—	05-26 05:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	13	$1.6K	2,600	301	+2,299	open	—	05-20 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	41	$1.6K	1,084	1,083	+1	open	—	05-25 04:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	41	$1.5K	2,300	848	+1,452	open	—	05-26 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$1.5K	1,024	1,024	+0	open	—	06-03 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	12	$1.5K	2,200	880	+1,320	open	—	05-26 04:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	32	$1.5K	1,815	604	+1,212	Up	+$292	05-10 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	14	$1.5K	2,420	976	+1,444	open	—	05-23 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	63	$1.5K	1,340	1,022	+318	open	—	05-17 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	18	$1.5K	1,800	497	+1,303	open	—	05-23 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	57	$1.5K	800	800	+0	open	—	05-24 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	18	$1.4K	1,600	800	+800	open	—	05-22 13:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 07:16:24	btc updown 15m 1780557300	Up	BUY	1,139	39¢	$440	0xf14e31…
06-04 07:13:57	btc updown 5m 1780557300	Up	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0x0fece2…
06-04 07:12:25	btc updown 5m 1780557000	Down	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x4e09c2…
06-04 06:41:51	btc updown 5m 1780555200	Up	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0xe792b8…
06-04 06:41:45	btc updown 5m 1780555200	Up	BUY	176	57¢	$100	0xf26bb1…
06-04 06:40:09	btc updown 5m 1780555200	Up	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0xac466e…
06-04 06:32:27	btc updown 5m 1780554600	Up	BUY	333	6¢	$20	0x969650…
06-04 05:19:04	btc updown 5m 1780550100	Down	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0xf1fe6f…
06-04 05:19:04	btc updown 5m 1780550100	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xdcfbae…
06-04 05:19:04	btc updown 5m 1780550100	Down	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0xd95d72…
06-04 05:19:04	btc updown 5m 1780550100	Down	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xbf26c1…
06-04 05:19:04	btc updown 5m 1780550100	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x9eaded…
06-04 05:19:04	btc updown 5m 1780550100	Down	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x9c6a18…
06-04 05:19:04	btc updown 5m 1780550100	Down	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x8ded15…
06-04 05:19:04	btc updown 5m 1780550100	Down	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0x7fd1d5…
06-04 05:19:04	btc updown 5m 1780550100	Down	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x5f8ad1…
06-04 05:19:04	btc updown 5m 1780550100	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x43840e…
06-04 05:19:04	btc updown 5m 1780550100	Down	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0x1b589f…
06-04 05:19:00	btc updown 5m 1780550100	Down	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0xd89826…
06-04 05:19:00	btc updown 5m 1780550100	Down	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x548af4…
06-04 05:18:58	btc updown 5m 1780550100	Down	BUY	111	11¢	$12	0x0ef331…
06-04 05:18:33	btc updown 5m 1780550100	Down	BUY	57	11¢	$6	0xd05b9d…
06-04 05:18:03	btc updown 5m 1780550100	Up	BUY	500	44¢	$221	0xb0e10f…
06-04 05:18:00	btc updown 5m 1780550100	Up	BUY	300	46¢	$138	0xb63806…
06-03 13:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	28	49¢	$14	0xfa2be8…
06-03 13:30:28	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	889	2¢	$15	0xef4e65…
06-03 13:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	94	50¢	$47	0x3f0378…
06-03 13:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	49	99¢	$49	0xe170a7…
06-03 13:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	49	36¢	$18	0x93dd2b…
06-03 13:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	948	2¢	$19	0xb4a711…
06-03 13:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	511	45¢	$231	0x268878…
06-03 13:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xb57d7a…
06-03 13:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	341	59¢	$200	0x3e400e…
06-03 13:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	924	2¢	$20	0xd8380e…
06-03 13:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	187	56¢	$105	0x8eb39d…
06-03 13:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	737	54¢	$395	0x35af0a…
06-03 13:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	563	53¢	$300	0xd4d605…
06-03 11:35:33	LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner	EDward Gaming	BUY	787	6¢	$50	0xe581ab…
06-03 10:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	421	82¢	$346	0x404a7c…
06-03 10:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	421	71¢	$300	0x4f9fdc…
06-03 10:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	300	99¢	$297	0x736c1b…
06-03 10:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	300	63¢	$189	0x689f04…
06-03 10:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0xd462db…
06-03 10:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x94d78b…
06-03 10:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	300	12¢	$37	0x8e60a9…
06-03 10:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x0e2777…
06-03 10:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	212	43¢	$90	0x09f662…
06-03 10:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x93f72c…
06-03 10:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xd61ed2…
06-03 10:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1,024	99¢	$1,013	0xb5c6d4…
06-03 10:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1,024	50¢	$515	0x730ae0…
06-03 10:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0x5d09f2…
06-03 10:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	300	53¢	$159	0x6db277…
06-03 09:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	433	1¢	$4	0xbd7bd5…
06-03 09:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	433	46¢	$200	0x413597…
06-03 09:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	319	63¢	$200	0xeb18be…
06-03 09:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x60333b…
06-03 09:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x90c08a…
06-03 09:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1,076	20¢	$216	0x60fb3e…
06-03 09:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1,076	9¢	$100	0xe9fdb1…
06-03 08:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	190	42¢	$80	0x79969c…
06-03 08:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	163	95¢	$155	0x899b9c…
06-03 08:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	163	61¢	$100	0xaad343…
06-03 08:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	223	55¢	$122	0x83f734…
06-03 08:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	223	45¢	$100	0x92197f…
06-03 08:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	156	95¢	$148	0x4ddbb6…
06-03 08:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x6fe360…
06-03 08:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	799	61¢	$485	0x510c6e…
06-03 08:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	376	54¢	$203	0x41eb15…
06-03 08:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	422	52¢	$220	0x25a69e…
06-03 08:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	428	23¢	$100	0x085c2d…
06-03 08:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb1e14f…
06-03 08:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x717295…
06-03 08:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xf95343…
06-03 08:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xdf0fa2…
06-03 08:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xd96b59…
06-03 08:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xc7719b…
06-03 08:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xb28da7…
06-03 08:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xae0907…
06-03 08:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0xaaaf69…
06-03 08:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa863f9…
06-03 08:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x95b3d3…
06-03 08:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x8d7304…
06-03 08:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$4	0x6b5fa2…
06-03 08:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x474cae…
06-03 08:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x410fa8…
06-03 08:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x3e31f2…
06-03 08:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x373b50…
06-03 08:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	26	95¢	$25	0x318cb6…
06-03 08:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x29a09d…
06-03 08:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x05aff3…
06-03 08:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf3eaea…
06-03 08:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xe8aa7e…
06-03 08:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xe2a90c…
06-03 08:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xdef040…
06-03 08:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xaa2200…
06-03 08:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xa5e164…
06-03 08:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0xa2d423…
06-03 08:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x965f9c…
06-03 08:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x832908…