Familiar-Whirlpool — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$457

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.9%

Resolved

1,614

Trades

5,989

lifetime

Volume

$17.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 10-15 04:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% -$449

Other

0% 31% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 136 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 15:00 UTC	11	$82	0	142	-142	Up	+$10	06-17 15:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 17:15 UTC	24	$66	0	120	-120	Up	+$1	07-04 17:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	13	$61	0	116	-116	Up	+$3	05-13 12:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-28 02:30 UTC	27	$60	0	120	-120	Up	+$0	06-28 02:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 19:45 UTC	26	$59	0	120	-120	Up	-$1	07-27 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	6	$57	0	110	-110	Up	+$2	05-13 03:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 10:15 UTC	23	$55	0	104	-104	Up	+$0	07-04 10:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	6	$54	0	98	-98	Down	+$5	05-13 03:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 15:15 UTC	9	$54	0	94	-94	Up	-$10	06-17 15:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 17:00 UTC	26	$52	0	110	-110	Down	-$3	07-27 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	8	$52	0	86	-86	Up	+$9	05-12 14:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 15:00 UTC	25	$51	0	105	-105	Up	+$1	07-04 15:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	8	$50	0	92	-92	Down	+$4	05-13 01:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	7	$50	0	96	-96	Down	+$2	05-13 02:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	6	$49	0	70	-70	Up	+$14	05-13 02:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	1	$49	0	49	-49	Up	$0	05-12 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	9	$48	0	104	-104	Down	-$4	05-12 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	3	$48	0	96	-96	Down	$0	05-13 02:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 15:15 UTC	16	$48	40	40	+0	Down	$0	07-29 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	1	$47	0	48	-48	Down	-$1	05-12 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	1	$47	0	47	-47	Up	$0	05-12 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	14	$45	0	84	-84	Down	-$3	05-13 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	3	$44	0	94	-94	Down	-$3	05-12 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	3	$44	0	61	-61	Up	+$12	05-09 12:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	5	$44	0	86	-86	Down	+$1	05-12 16:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 13:45 UTC	17	$44	0	83	-83	Up	+$2	06-17 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$43	0	72	-72	Down	+$7	05-12 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	3	$43	0	86	-86	Down	$0	05-12 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	1	$43	0	43	-43	Up	$0	05-12 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	2	$42	0	60	-60	Up	+$12	05-09 13:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 04:49:29	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 15?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x9b4501…
10-15 00:00:43	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 15?	No	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x40a0c6…
10-14 08:33:47	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 15?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x7991ca…
10-14 08:21:29	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 15?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xaec73a…
10-14 06:36:41	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 14?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x6776fc…
10-14 04:32:32	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 14?	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x3faec4…
10-13 06:58:29	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 14?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x1f415e…
10-13 06:55:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 14?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x634e3a…
10-13 04:41:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 13?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xdbe982…
10-13 04:04:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 13?	No	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xe8ae27…
10-13 02:21:29	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0x131845…
10-12 08:45:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x33b13e…
10-12 08:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 13?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x2fa3aa…
10-12 08:22:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 13?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x2d9f4d…
10-12 00:58:38	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0xc3703b…
10-11 23:52:47	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C or below on October 12?	Yes	SELL	65	0¢	$0	0x62d3e5…
10-11 23:16:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	41	1¢	$0	0x6ac9e8…
10-11 20:16:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 12?	No	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x9cc0e4…
10-11 19:43:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	68	0¢	$0	0xd931dc…
10-11 17:10:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	36	0¢	$0	0x2026ad…
10-11 09:10:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x30d5d9…
10-11 09:09:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C or below on October 12?	Yes	BUY	65	2¢	$1	0x049511…
10-11 09:08:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 12?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xa6e656…
10-11 09:07:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x0a73d8…
10-11 09:05:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	68	2¢	$1	0xc767fb…
10-11 09:04:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	41	3¢	$1	0x3569a0…
09-23 06:26:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xec17b6…
08-19 14:55:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x86456d…
08-19 14:55:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x3e3981…
08-19 14:46:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 14:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x43a7c2…
08-19 14:45:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xe5eb8f…
08-19 12:58:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 12:55 UTC	Down	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x6c5f51…
08-19 12:58:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xbe2887…
08-19 12:56:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 12:55 UTC	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x06e3fa…
08-19 12:56:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xaae7ca…
08-18 18:42:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 18:40 UTC	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x5ccf61…
08-18 18:42:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xd19b46…
08-18 18:31:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 18:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xf226ba…
08-18 18:31:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x10fc59…
08-18 18:11:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 18:10 UTC	Down	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0xde929d…
08-18 18:11:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 18:10 UTC	Down	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x687cc8…
08-18 18:11:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 18:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x8103d2…
08-18 18:05:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x404790…
08-18 18:05:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0xe396cd…
08-18 18:05:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0xd35c7b…
08-18 17:51:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 17:50 UTC	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x4fabd5…
08-18 17:51:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xbf99e2…
08-18 17:51:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x8ee084…
08-18 17:46:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 17:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x0eb680…
08-18 17:46:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x7d2bd1…
08-18 17:46:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 17:45 UTC	Up	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0xd67724…
08-18 17:46:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 17:45 UTC	Up	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0x19de48…
08-18 17:45:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x073479…
08-18 17:32:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 17:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x315d3c…
08-18 17:32:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x5db410…
08-18 17:31:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 17:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xc5f25a…
08-18 17:31:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x127b48…
08-18 17:25:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 17:25 UTC	Up	SELL	0	27¢	$0	0x55e7b8…
08-18 17:25:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 17:25 UTC	Up	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x2c62f1…
08-18 17:25:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6a15f5…
08-18 17:20:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 17:20 UTC	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x047e61…
08-18 17:20:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xe7c189…
08-18 17:15:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xc814a0…
08-18 17:15:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$2	0xfe6eb3…
08-18 17:15:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x17021f…
08-18 17:11:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 17:10 UTC	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xdb2b54…
08-18 17:11:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 17:10 UTC	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xbc9c89…
08-18 17:11:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 17:10 UTC	Down	SELL	1	57¢	$1	0xac9361…
08-18 17:11:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xbe6401…
08-18 17:06:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 17:05 UTC	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x6e19d4…
08-18 17:06:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x4a3373…
08-18 16:57:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 16:55 UTC	Down	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x132d7c…
08-18 16:57:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x112d05…
08-18 16:56:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 16:55 UTC	Up	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0xe900b4…
08-18 16:56:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 16:55 UTC	Up	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x3209c7…
08-18 16:56:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa092f9…
08-18 16:55:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 16:55 UTC	Down	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xe86a7d…
08-18 16:55:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xacbcd4…
08-18 16:31:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 16:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x9ff6a3…
08-18 16:31:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x064fdc…
08-18 16:30:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 16:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xd7352f…
08-18 16:30:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x275379…
08-18 16:26:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 16:25 UTC	Down	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x4a98ad…
08-18 16:26:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 16:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x177a9e…
08-18 16:25:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 16:25 UTC	Up	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x6381a7…
08-18 16:25:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x42998d…
08-18 15:26:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 15:25 UTC	Down	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x84824d…
08-18 15:26:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xd4ae72…
08-18 15:21:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 15:20 UTC	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xf71715…
08-18 15:21:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xe05533…
08-18 15:20:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 15:20 UTC	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xd9d43a…
08-18 15:20:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xc370d4…
08-18 15:16:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 15:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x840363…
08-18 15:16:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xc2ef4d…
08-18 15:15:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 15:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x01bc46…
08-18 15:15:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x839d21…
08-18 15:11:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 15:10 UTC	Up	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x6214da…
08-18 15:11:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x89b18a…
08-18 15:05:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 15:05 UTC	Down	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xe69fef…
08-18 15:05:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x503176…