Appropriate-Fox — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.78K

Unrealized P&L

+$33

Hit rate

62.2%

Resolved

414

Trades

4,626

lifetime

Volume

$96.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$247

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-30 11:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 159 days

Categories

Other

59% 43% -$1,950

Crypto

28% 30% +$294

Politics

13% 25% -$6,137

Sports

0% 40% +$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+100	$72	78¢	$78	+$6	10-23 22:51
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+100	$64	70¢	$70	+$6	10-03 22:11
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+100	$34	55¢	$54	+$20	10-04 00:59
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+100	$44	44¢	$44	+$0	10-03 22:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will us gdp growth in 2025 be between 2pt0 and 2pt5	189	$9.6K	4,290	6,552	-2,261	Yes	+$667	02-20 14:36
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?	93	$5.9K	8,089	7,006	+1,083	Yes	-$2,455	04-10 06:06
will gold gc hit low 4300 by end of march	88	$3.3K	6,120	2,686	+3,434	No	-$1,032	03-29 23:09
will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in december	34	$2.7K	1,098	1,755	-657	Yes	+$67	01-13 13:33
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	40	$2.3K	1,860	1,560	+300	Yes	+$380	03-30 18:43
ethereum above 1800 on february 24	48	$2.2K	2,087	1,000	+1,087	Yes	+$411	02-24 14:41
will there be 10 12 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	29	$2.1K	1,140	1,240	-100	Yes	+$77	01-27 14:04
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	8	$2.0K	6,000	0	+6,000	Yes	-$2,000	02-28 06:54
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	7	$1.9K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$135	02-27 16:06
will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	34	$1.8K	1,388	1,432	-44	Yes	+$378	03-23 06:58
will gold gc hit low 4700 by end of march	13	$1.8K	1,006	1,007	-1	Yes	+$214	03-19 17:32
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt3 in november	7	$1.7K	0	1,700	-1,700	Yes	-$23	01-10 10:24
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	2	$1.6K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	-$1,600	02-27 23:07
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	14	$1.6K	1,100	1,100	+0	No	+$462	03-30 23:01
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt1 or less in january 157	29	$1.6K	1,133	1,150	-17	No	+$265	02-13 13:43
will annual inflation increase by 2pt4 in january 964	32	$1.6K	1,400	1,400	+0	Yes	+$737	02-13 13:42
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?	9	$1.4K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	-$1,360	02-27 11:36
cl up or down on march 18 2026	11	$1.2K	1,400	200	+1,200	Up	+$31	03-18 22:07
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	6	$1.1K	700	700	+0	Yes	+$75	01-31 11:00
will trumps remarks not air 625	9	$1.1K	2,292	650	+1,642	Yes	-$771	04-01 23:12
will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of march	57	$923	7,270	3,880	+3,389	No	-$90	03-30 19:03
ethereum above 2000 on march 1	13	$917	700	700	+0	No	+$297	03-01 16:54
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	7	$881	700	700	+0	No	+$131	02-01 06:21
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	12	$808	700	700	+0	No	-$140	01-17 13:25
will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 14	29	$780	2,402	657	+1,745	Yes	-$197	01-14 16:50
will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be between 1pt0 and 1pt5	21	$779	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$770	02-20 14:32
ethereum above 2100 on february 26	26	$755	800	300	+500	No	+$237	02-26 13:55
ethereum above 2900 on january 26	15	$701	602	609	-7	Yes	+$179	01-26 17:22
will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on march 8	9	$685	400	400	+0	Yes	+$113	03-08 17:33
will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	6	$673	355	355	+0	Yes	+$36	03-23 18:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 11:03:52	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x76ccde…
10-29 12:30:08	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?	Yes	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0xa6e0e6…
10-28 18:01:43	Will Fiorentina win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	BUY	127	0¢	$0	0xd53b33…
10-28 16:21:16	Will Fiorentina win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xd65ed7…
10-28 14:39:53	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 28?	No	BUY	62	6¢	$4	0x98f8fd…
10-28 13:56:13	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 28?	No	BUY	42	10¢	$4	0xdba92a…
10-28 13:47:10	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 28?	No	BUY	38	10¢	$4	0xbbb574…
10-28 13:46:53	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 28?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x287d1f…
10-28 13:39:47	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 28?	No	BUY	38	6¢	$2	0x08e082…
10-28 13:21:44	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 28?	No	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x3e0184…
10-28 12:29:37	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 28?	No	BUY	70	12¢	$8	0x399b51…
10-28 12:28:58	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 28?	No	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x159888…
10-28 12:28:10	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 28?	No	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x5b037b…
10-28 12:27:23	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 28?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xe2c4ac…
10-28 05:38:23	Will Fiorentina win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x9b11a4…
10-27 15:37:59	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 27?	No	BUY	75	1¢	$1	0xf1c388…
10-27 15:20:44	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 27?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xbae380…
10-27 15:11:00	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 27?	No	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x9e78d8…
10-27 14:54:54	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 27?	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xd0777f…
10-27 14:08:06	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 27?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xb5d66d…
10-26 07:48:51	Will Fiorentina win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x1b7bcd…
10-25 21:34:15	Will Fiorentina win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x95de1a…
10-25 20:47:15	Will Fiorentina win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x30db7e…
10-25 20:47:15	Will Fiorentina win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	BUY	75	0¢	$0	0x217387…
10-24 09:06:20	Will Fiorentina win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	BUY	94	0¢	$0	0x119e32…
10-23 22:51:41	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x0ebd46…
10-21 12:11:05	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 21?	No	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0xab1eb7…
10-21 12:11:05	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 21?	No	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x907cd4…
10-20 06:17:55	Will Fiorentina win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	BUY	896	0¢	$1	0x9092a5…
10-20 03:35:26	Will Fiorentina win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	BUY	3,190	0¢	$3	0xc8b031…
10-18 04:34:23	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	Yes	BUY	82	67¢	$55	0x15be1d…
10-17 05:30:14	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x94f5cb…
10-16 18:41:33	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x46dc65…
10-16 18:29:42	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x707600…
10-16 14:53:03	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 16?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xc55ace…
10-16 13:16:19	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 16?	No	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x142739…
10-15 23:04:55	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 16?	No	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x69a060…
10-15 19:29:29	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 16?	No	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x2ae156…
10-15 16:08:25	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	Yes	BUY	98	70¢	$68	0x9840cb…
10-15 15:50:44	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 15?	No	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0xbd8a71…
10-15 15:50:20	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 15?	No	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x295481…
10-15 15:49:55	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 15?	No	BUY	34	0¢	$0	0xff7d8a…
10-15 15:49:22	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 15?	No	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x0c7100…
10-15 15:48:49	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 15?	No	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0x51132f…
10-15 15:48:16	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 15?	No	BUY	36	1¢	$0	0x6f6731…
10-15 15:14:35	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 15?	No	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x219850…
10-15 15:14:34	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 15?	No	BUY	90	14¢	$13	0xa26cfd…
10-15 15:12:02	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 15?	No	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x1261e0…
10-15 14:48:23	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 15?	No	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x025de5…
10-15 13:43:16	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 15?	No	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x471d29…
10-14 19:55:03	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xffac51…
10-13 15:12:35	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 13?	No	BUY	55	6¢	$3	0xb493e3…
10-13 15:08:46	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 13?	No	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0xa30694…
10-13 15:06:49	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 13?	No	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x35f3bf…
10-13 14:30:46	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 13?	No	BUY	65	11¢	$7	0x9463e5…
10-13 14:16:13	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 13?	No	BUY	35	11¢	$4	0x09a98d…
10-12 15:14:36	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 12?	No	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xd4021d…
10-12 15:14:35	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 12?	No	BUY	120	2¢	$3	0x65521a…
10-12 15:10:27	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 12?	No	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0x7b90c0…
10-12 15:10:21	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 12?	No	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xbdedb3…
10-12 15:10:17	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 12?	No	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x72ca69…
10-12 15:10:12	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 12?	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xfc74a4…
10-12 15:08:02	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 12?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xcb3a0f…
10-12 13:47:33	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 12?	No	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xfd70cc…
10-12 13:45:42	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 12?	No	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x3f27e9…
10-12 13:39:33	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 12?	No	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xec0fd2…
10-12 12:05:12	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 12?	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xa1e3a5…
10-08 16:00:03	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x281ffa…
10-08 15:58:12	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	280	0¢	$0	0x1e6ee0…
10-08 15:49:47	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	44	1¢	$0	0x2404d0…
10-08 15:48:26	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0xc5a207…
10-08 15:48:26	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x25e014…
10-08 15:47:38	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x567cfe…
10-08 15:45:44	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x91b7b2…
10-08 15:45:35	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 8?	No	BUY	210	2¢	$4	0x1583ca…
10-08 15:41:21	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x93c985…
10-08 15:35:36	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 8?	No	SELL	95	97¢	$92	0xf908bc…
10-08 15:35:36	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 8?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xb0653c…
10-08 14:46:38	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	81	0¢	$0	0x275faf…
10-08 14:16:32	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xbd28f5…
10-08 13:50:29	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	115	0¢	$1	0x031366…
10-08 11:34:29	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	49	3¢	$1	0x3e28e4…
10-08 11:34:20	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	51	3¢	$2	0x48b0a9…
10-08 11:23:21	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x520286…
10-08 11:18:59	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x7b08ef…
10-08 11:16:26	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 8?	No	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0xf5b470…
10-07 14:30:10	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 7?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xff2a4e…
10-07 13:02:35	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 7?	No	BUY	90	12¢	$11	0x27cde1…
10-07 13:02:35	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 7?	No	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x1e4177…
10-07 13:02:25	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 7?	No	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0x076bed…
10-07 12:21:31	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 7?	No	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0x9fb111…
10-07 12:21:31	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 7?	No	BUY	80	23¢	$18	0x4b9415…
10-07 12:18:23	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 7?	No	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x71de7a…
10-07 07:01:21	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x43778d…
10-07 06:33:14	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September?	Yes	SELL	15	10¢	$2	0x0e2b45…
10-06 14:59:03	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on October 6?	No	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x38e0fb…
10-06 14:59:03	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on October 6?	No	BUY	94	10¢	$9	0x2fb74c…
10-06 12:48:24	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	Yes	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x058ed7…
10-06 09:51:34	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	Yes	SELL	100	73¢	$73	0x537f67…
10-06 08:35:16	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	Yes	SELL	49	73¢	$36	0xb49aa4…