Fearful-Staircase-Missile — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

50.6%

Resolved

546

Trades

992

lifetime

Volume

$5.98K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 10-27 19:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Other

99% 50% -$15

Sports

1% 38% +$6

Politics

0% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Guayaquil: Franco Roncadelli vs Valerio Aboian	Valerio Aboian	—	+8	$3	98¢	$8	+$5	10-27 19:30
Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	—	+5	$3	31¢	$2	-$1	10-27 19:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk	2	$189	175	175	+0	Marta Kostyuk	-$4	06-02 09:17
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	2	$188	238	238	+0	Joao Fonseca	-$12	05-31 11:56
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev	2	$173	114	114	+0	Alexander Zverev	+$6	06-02 09:11
wta bejlek alexand 2026 08 18	15	$164	165	165	+0	Sara Bejlek	+$4	08-18 20:42
atp borges nakashi 2026 08 19	5	$127	65	165	-100	Brandon Nakashima	+$0	08-19 18:03
atp rublev borges 2026 08 18	6	$110	88	88	+0	Nuno Borges	+$3	08-18 14:51
atp nakashi medvede 2026 08 18	5	$108	100	100	+0	Brandon Nakashima	+$4	08-17 21:44
atp fonseca zandsch 2026 08 16	5	$106	185	185	+0	Joao Fonseca	+$6	08-16 16:29
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	37	$105	115	85	+30	MOUZ	-$4	10-10 20:45
atp sonego tiafoe 2026 08 16	2	$105	140	140	+0	Frances Tiafoe	+$4	08-16 10:27
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	2	$96	155	155	+0	Team Spirit	+$28	08-23 12:51
wta kostyuk andreev 2026 08 19	6	$96	0	200	-200	Marta Kostyuk	-$4	08-19 16:44
atp rinderk cerund 2026 08 16	8	$95	76	76	+0	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	-$1	08-16 16:46
wta parry boisson 2026 08 17	4	$94	78	78	+0	Diane Parry	+$18	08-17 16:29
atp borges cerundo 2026 08 16	3	$91	100	100	+0	Nuno Borges	-$3	08-16 18:23
atp fritz michels 2026 08 16	2	$91	75	75	+0	Taylor Fritz	+$1	08-16 18:17
wta bouzkov jovic 2026 08 18	5	$88	70	70	+0	Marie Bouzkova	+$0	08-19 00:22
atp lehecka fils 2026 08 17	3	$88	111	111	+0	Arthur Fils	-$3	08-16 18:25
atp tsitsip augeral 2026 08 16	6	$87	100	100	+0	Felix Auger-Aliassime	-$1	08-16 17:12
wta kostyuk kenin 2026 08 16	2	$86	220	220	+0	Marta Kostyuk	+$37	08-16 19:34
Valorant: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	25	$86	65	65	+0	G2 Esports	+$7	10-11 13:55
wta krejcik bejlek 2026 08 16	4	$85	70	70	+0	Sara Bejlek	-$1	08-16 15:04
wta shnaide rybakin 2026 08 19	10	$81	0	160	-160	Elena Rybakina	+$1	08-19 18:03
wta siniako maneiro 2026 08 16	9	$79	80	80	+0	Katerina Siniakova	-$1	08-16 18:26
atp zverev fritz 2026 06 20	3	$79	70	70	+0	Taylor Fritz	-$1	06-20 09:58
wta noskova tauson 2026 08 17	11	$76	122	122	+0	Linda Noskova	-$5	08-17 16:35
atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	5	$72	45	45	+0	Alexander Zverev	+$2	06-07 12:14
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli	8	$69	67	67	+0	Flavio Cobolli	-$1	06-03 09:01
wta cirstea kalinsk 2026 08 17	2	$66	65	65	+0	Sorana Cirstea	-$1	08-17 15:48
wta timofee kabbaj 2026 06 05	3	$63	167	167	+0	Maria Timofeeva	+$3	06-05 16:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 19:30:21	Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x3207f6…
10-27 19:30:18	Sioux Falls: Timo Legout vs Valentin Royer	Valentin Royer	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xe286f4…
10-27 19:30:17	Guayaquil: Franco Roncadelli vs Valerio Aboian	Valerio Aboian	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x2e919b…
10-27 14:30:05	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	MIBR	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x9af4f2…
10-27 14:11:33	Courmayeur: Anna Blinkova vs Dalma Galfi	Dalma Galfi	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0xb6f2cb…
10-27 13:56:44	Queretaro: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Emiliana Arango	Elizabeth Mandlik	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0xd9cc60…
10-27 13:10:51	Sioux Falls: Stefan Kozlov vs Murphy Cassone	Stefan Kozlov	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xdba6f7…
10-27 13:01:17	Sioux Falls: Aidan Mayo vs Hynek Barton	Hynek Barton	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0xe08769…
10-27 12:00:12	Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x4302c9…
10-27 11:57:08	Brest: Kilian Feldbausch vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	Kilian Feldbausch	BUY	9	39¢	$4	0xeceb42…
10-27 11:00:12	Sioux Falls: Braden Shick vs Max Hans Rehberg	Braden Shick	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x79b237…
10-27 10:30:06	Brest: Martin Damm vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg	Martin Damm	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xb4cf31…
10-27 10:00:15	Erste Bank Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Ignacio Buse	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x238c99…
10-27 10:00:12	Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Botic van de Zandschulp	Alex Michelsen	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xb34cf7…
10-27 09:35:51	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	MOUZ	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xd51001…
10-27 09:35:48	Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	Team Nemesis	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x3c8403…
10-27 09:35:45	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Nemiga	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x8fa5a5…
10-27 09:35:42	Counter-Strike: magic vs BIG (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	magic	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x116be3…
10-27 09:29:30	Brest: Felix Balshaw vs Ugo Blanchet	Felix Balshaw	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xa641fb…
10-27 09:29:27	Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x5aaeb3…
10-27 09:29:24	Brest: Matisse Bobichon vs Michael Geerts	Michael Geerts	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x4330cb…
10-27 09:29:21	Courmayeur: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x4282c7…
10-27 09:29:18	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Zizou Bergs	Zizou Bergs	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xa71b22…
10-27 09:29:14	Brest: Moez Echargui vs Francesco Maestrelli	Moez Echargui	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x05fde7…
10-24 19:40:03	Seoul: Woobin Shin vs Thomas Fancutt	Woobin Shin	SELL	9	35¢	$3	0x3cdcac…
10-24 19:40:00	Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Tristan Schoolkate	Tristan Schoolkate	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x62cf03…
10-24 19:39:59	Japan Women's Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Katerina Siniakova	Ashlyn Krueger	SELL	8	44¢	$4	0xcea52c…
10-24 19:39:59	Seoul: Shintaro Imai vs Kokoro Isomura	Shintaro Imai	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0x9d28d4…
10-24 19:39:56	Ningbo: Egor Pleshivtsev vs Dominik Palan	Egor Pleshivtsev	SELL	9	39¢	$4	0x0b0140…
10-24 19:35:23	Seoul: Alafia ayeni vs Uisung Park	Uisung Park	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x9e5c0f…
10-24 19:35:23	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Maxim Zhukov	SELL	9	37¢	$3	0x12a7d9…
10-24 19:31:32	Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa	Taisei Ichikawa	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x8af2b4…
10-24 19:31:29	Fort Worth: Alexander Maarten Jong vs Darwin Blanch	Alexander Maarten Jong	SELL	12	25¢	$3	0xbb3688…
10-24 19:20:21	Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa	Taisei Ichikawa	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xb5ee22…
10-24 19:20:18	Ningbo: Egor Pleshivtsev vs Dominik Palan	Egor Pleshivtsev	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xd199d9…
10-24 19:19:29	Seoul: Koki Matsuda vs Geun Jun Kim	Geun Jun Kim	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0x85b7a6…
10-24 19:19:26	atp imai isomura 2026 10 24	Shintaro Imai	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xf12d50…
10-24 18:54:14	Japan Women's Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Katerina Siniakova	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x5c3e32…
10-24 18:54:12	atp pankin zhukov 2026 10 24	Maxim Zhukov	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0xd0376b…
10-24 18:54:08	Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Tristan Schoolkate	Tristan Schoolkate	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x4860e7…
10-24 18:54:05	Seoul: Alafia ayeni vs Uisung Park	Uisung Park	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xc45cb3…
10-24 18:54:02	Seoul: Woobin Shin vs Thomas Fancutt	Woobin Shin	BUY	9	39¢	$4	0xfb9ae5…
10-24 18:52:39	Fort Worth: Alexander Maarten Jong vs Darwin Blanch	Alexander Maarten Jong	BUY	12	27¢	$3	0x59b7db…
10-24 12:00:03	Cali: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Valerio Aboian	Felipe Meligeni Alves	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xdd5d9d…
10-24 09:00:06	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Bublik	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xcbeef0…
10-23 16:27:27	Fort Worth: Alexander Maarten Jong vs Aidan Mayo	Aidan Mayo	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0xe93e12…
10-23 15:50:48	Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x1ec206…
10-23 15:50:47	Lisbon: Andrea Pellegrino vs Svyatoslav Gulin	Svyatoslav Gulin	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x8d8646…
10-23 02:30:15	Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x0371d4…
10-23 00:30:11	Ningbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Marie Bouzkova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x37673a…
10-22 05:30:17	Florence: Filippo Romano vs Yanaki Milev	Yanaki Milev	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x5c0700…
10-22 02:30:11	Almaty Open: Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci	Terence Atmane	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x402d1e…
10-21 22:00:48	Fort Worth: Gabriel Debru vs Alex Rybakov	Alex Rybakov	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xaebbdc…
10-21 22:00:44	Lisbon: Sumit Nagal vs Benjamin Hassan	Benjamin Hassan	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xf5cc1f…
10-21 22:00:41	Florence: Samuele Pieri vs Sandro Kopp	Sandro Kopp	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x3b758e…
10-21 22:00:39	Lisbon: Alexander Ritschard vs Raul Brancaccio	Alexander Ritschard	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x016d0c…
10-21 22:00:36	Florence: Federico Bondioli vs Francesco Forti	Francesco Forti	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xab497a…
10-21 22:00:33	Guangzhou 2: Cruz Hewitt vs Tristan Schoolkate	Tristan Schoolkate	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x791006…
10-21 22:00:30	Ningbo Open: Iva Jovic vs Jasmine Paolini	Jasmine Paolini	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xc71136…
10-21 12:00:05	European Open: David Goffin vs Remy Bertola	Remy Bertola	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x32d7f7…
10-21 09:30:09	Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw	Felix Balshaw	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x22353e…
10-21 05:30:17	European Open: Dino Prizmic vs Damir Dzumhur	Damir Dzumhur	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x76875b…
10-21 02:30:08	Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich	Aliaksandra Sasnovich	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x1b7694…
10-21 02:30:05	Almaty Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Tomas Etcheverry	Mattia Bellucci	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x14f1e3…
10-20 19:00:15	Cali: Federico Coria vs Nicolas Mejia	Nicolas Mejia	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x735145…
10-20 15:30:09	Cali: Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Felipe Meligeni Alves	Felipe Meligeni Alves	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x5f0bd3…
10-20 15:00:03	Fort Worth: Andres Martin vs Erik Arutiunian	Erik Arutiunian	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x370bc0…
10-20 14:30:11	Lyon Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x59e7f2…
10-20 13:30:09	Fort Worth: Gavin Young vs Alex Rybakov	Alex Rybakov	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x98b005…
10-20 13:30:06	European Open: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Raphael Collignon	Nishesh Basavareddy	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xe3d59d…
10-20 12:30:17	Cali: Hugo Dellien vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	12	31¢	$4	0xed3049…
10-20 10:32:17	Lyon Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Cameron Norrie	Benjamin Bonzi	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0xac6f6f…
10-20 10:32:14	Lyon Open: Ugo Humbert vs Corentin Moutet	Ugo Humbert	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x6362a5…
10-20 10:32:11	Lyon Open: Arthur Fery vs Borna Gojo	Borna Gojo	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x534ee6…
10-20 10:32:08	European Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Clement Chidekh	Clement Chidekh	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xd53705…
10-20 07:00:16	European Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Marcos Giron	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x43b9e5…
10-20 04:00:15	Florence: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Oriol Roca Batalla	Radu Mihai Papoe	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xafcb8a…
10-20 04:00:12	Ningbo Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Belinda Bencic	Belinda Bencic	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xadbe04…
10-19 15:00:05	Fort Worth: Edward Winter vs Timo Legout	Timo Legout	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x8e7421…
10-19 13:10:03	Fort Worth: Kaylan Bigun vs Patrick Zahraj	Patrick Zahraj	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x5b9bb9…
10-19 12:00:15	Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame	Lorenzo Sonego	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x21e832…
10-19 07:00:05	Florence: Miguel Damas vs Samuele Pieri	Samuele Pieri	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0xb35645…
10-19 05:00:09	Lisbon: Pedro Rodenas vs Benjamin Hassan	Benjamin Hassan	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x7c5365…
10-19 03:00:14	Japan Women's Open: Katie Boulter vs Himeno Sakatsume	Himeno Sakatsume	BUY	9	39¢	$4	0xb3514d…
10-19 01:30:17	Ningbo Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Han Shi	Sorana Cirstea	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x1def91…
10-19 01:10:17	Guangzhou: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Luca Castelnuovo	Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0xc93d2d…
10-19 00:00:12	Guangzhou: Saba Purtseladze vs Khumoyun Sultanov	Khumoyun Sultanov	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0xf9ab45…
10-18 11:52:50	Lyon Open, Qualification: Kyrian Jacquet vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg	Kyrian Jacquet	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x71d213…
10-18 09:30:09	Lyon Open, Qualification: Jan Kumstat vs Michael Mmoh	Jan Kumstat	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x5da08b…
10-18 08:00:05	Maia: Francesco Passaro vs Zsombor Piros	Zsombor Piros	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x8a1ed2…
10-18 04:00:08	Jinan: Mattia Bellucci vs Martin Landaluce	Mattia Bellucci	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2cd0e3…
10-18 02:30:08	Guangzhou: Yaroslav Demin vs Alexandr Binda	Alexandr Binda	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x347afa…
10-18 02:00:14	Ningbo Open, Qualification: Tatiana Prozorova vs Kamilla Rakhimova	Kamilla Rakhimova	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xbe48e7…
10-18 00:30:09	Ningbo Open, Qualification: Anhelina Kalinina vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich	Aliaksandra Sasnovich	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xb056d9…
10-18 00:10:12	Guangzhou: Masamichi Imamura vs Saba Purtseladze	Masamichi Imamura	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xf294e7…
10-17 12:59:12	atp coppeja guerrie 2026 10 17	Andrea Guerrieri	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x39ed66…
10-17 12:54:14	atp gill papoe 2026 10 17	Radu Mihai Papoe	SELL	12	92¢	$11	0xb0eb84…
10-17 07:00:17	atp gill papoe 2026 10 17	Radu Mihai Papoe	BUY	12	45¢	$5	0xb8e0b9…
10-16 17:08:24	wta andrees stefani 2026 10 16	Lucrezia Stefanini	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x412e23…
10-16 06:00:07	Mallorca: Francesca Curmi vs Elizara Yaneva	Elizara Yaneva	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x04ab17…